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JPYUSD

Fundamental Market Analysis for February 11, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) has experienced a slight decline at the start of the new week, as concerns over US President Donald Trump's tariff threats have resurfaced, leading to speculation that Japan could also be subject to new US duties. Additionally, the moderate strength of the US Dollar (USD) has led to an increase in the USD/JPY pair towards 152.00 during the Asian session. The positive US jobs report on Friday, along with expectations that Trump's policies could boost inflation and limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed's) policy easing ability, is having a modest impact on the USD. However, a significant yen decline seems unlikely due to growing confidence that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again this year, which continues to push Japanese government bond (JGB) yields higher. Consequently, the narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and other major central banks is expected to limit the decline in JGB yields. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling in the yen before confirming that the USD/JPY pair has bottomed in the near term. Trade recommendation: SELL 151.80, SL 152.40, TP 151.00
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
ShortThe price failed to reclaim the recent high at $158.87 and closed below the previous higher high. It also closed below EMA21, EMA55 and ascending trendline. All momentum indicators enter the bear zone and lines are pointed to the downside. The similar price set up happened on the 17th July 2024 (blue vertical line in the chart) and it was followed by a sharp price fall. I opened a short position at $154.55. Stop loss is placed at 156.80 (just above EMA 21) and the initial target is $151.40. Risk:Reward is roughly 1:1.75.
Short
by EbonyFalcon
2
USDJPY R2🔍 Technical Analysis of USD/JPY 📌 Overall Trend: After a downward correction, the price has reached the 154.250 support zone. A positive reaction at this level suggests a potential upward move. A price gap is visible in the 156.000 - 156.400 range, which may lead to a price increase to fill the gap. 📈 Buy Trade Signal (Long Position) 🔹 Entry Conditions: If the price holds the 154.250 - 154.400 support zone and bullish reversal candlesticks appear, a long trade is recommended. The ideal entry range is 154.600 - 154.860. 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Below 154.250 🔹 Take Profit (TP): First target: 155.860 Second target: 156.110 Third target: 156.400 (if the bullish momentum continues) 🔹 Risk Management: If the price stabilizes below 154.250, reconsider the trade. Breaking above 156.110 increases the likelihood of further bullish movement to fill the price gap. ✅ Final Conclusion: If the price finds support at 154.250 - 154.400, a buy trade is favorable. A breakout above 156.110 could lead to a further target of 156.400. 📌 Ensure confirmation through price action and candlestick patterns before entering the trade.
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
USDJPY 4H Bearish TrendOANDA:USDJPY 📶 Technical Analysis: Weekly (1W): Price is near its all-time high formed in 2024, with a bullish trend supported by moving averages (MAs). Daily (1D): While the price shows bearish movement since the start of 2025, MAs indicate an overall bullish trend. There's significant volatility on both the upside and downside due to strong support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors like interest rate expectations and other economic events. 4-Hour (4H): In January 2025, the price has formed a bearish trend, breaking two support levels at 156.5 and 155.0. On January 27, the price tested the 155 support level three times before breaking it with a strong candle. MAs on the 4H chart are also showing a bearish formation. Strategy: A potential short position is suggested if the price retests and confirms resistance at the broken support level of 155.0. Watch for the next key support around 152.0 if the price breaks below the current low of 153.7. 🆕 Fundamental Analysis: Fed Interest Rates Decision (Jan 29): No change expected in the federal funds rate, currently at 4.5%. The accompanying press conference will provide important guidance for future market expectations. 🔤 Trade Comment: A potential pending short order at 155.0 with a risk no more than 2%. JPY is strong against all major pairs on 27 Jan as JPY currency index has +0.85%
Short
by boykopetevboev
**DXY Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Sell Setup**This DXY 1-hour chart suggests a potential sell opportunity around the 108.400 resistance zone. The price is approaching the marked "Possible to sell zone," and the analysis indicates waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position. Key Observations: - **Resistance Zone:** 108.400 area acts as a key resistance, previously causing reversals. - **Bearish Confirmation:** Suggested before entering a sell position. - **Downside Targets:** - **First Target:** 107.749 - **Second Target:** 107.444 - **Final Target:** 106.951 If price rejects this resistance with bearish price action, it could confirm a short setup. Conversely, a breakout above 108.400 may invalidate the bearish outlook.
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Gold Approaching Key Resistance Berish Rjction or Bullish BrkoutBased on the chart provided: ### Key Observations: 1. **Resistance Zone**: - Price is approaching a strong resistance zone around 2,720–2,740, as indicated by the shaded area. - Previous interactions with this level suggest potential rejection, making it a critical zone for monitoring price action. 2. **Target Levels**: - **1st Target**: 2,680 – a minor support level where price might pause or bounce if rejection occurs. - **2nd Target**: 2,640 – a key mid-level support area aligned with historical price structure. - **3rd Target**: 2,623 – a stronger support zone near the previous low, offering a potential bounce zone. 3. **Risk-Reward Setup**: - A clear risk zone (stop-loss) is placed above the resistance zone (around 2,759), indicating a bearish outlook. - The trade setup assumes a rejection from the resistance area, with the first target likely to hit before deeper retracements. 4. **Market Context**: - Recent bullish momentum may face exhaustion as it approaches resistance, especially if accompanied by reduced volume. - The "Change of Character" (ChoCh) annotations suggest a possible shift in momentum around the resistance zone. ### Potential Trade Scenarios: 1. **Bearish Rejection**: - Look for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., bearish engulfing candles, rejection wicks) around the 2,720–2,740 zone. - Short entry: Near 2,720–2,730. - Targets: 2,680, 2,640, and 2,623, in that order. 2. **Bullish Breakout**: - If the price breaks above 2,740 with strong momentum, invalidate the bearish scenario. - Look for a retest of the 2,740 level as new support for long positions. - Target: 2,770–2,800. ### Additional Notes: - **Divergences**: Check for any bearish divergences in RSI or MACD to confirm weakness near the resistance zone. - **Economic Events**: Be cautious of news or data releases that may increase volatility in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
"Awaiting Bearish Confirmation at Key Resistance Zone on DXY"Based on the chart of the U.S. Dollar Index: 1. **Trend Analysis**: The index is currently within an upward channel, indicating a bullish trend. The price is oscillating between the upper and lower boundaries of this channel. 2. **Recent Movements**: There’s a noticeable price peak around the upper boundary, suggesting potential exhaustion. The recent downward movement indicates the possibility of a reversal. 3. **Bearish Confirmation**: The note emphasizes waiting for bearish confirmation before executing any trades. This suggests that it's prudent to look for signs of trend reversal or weakening momentum before making a bearish move. 4. **Strategy**: The advice is clear: without confirmation of a bearish trend, no trading should occur, highlighting a cautious approach. 5. **Key Levels**: Watch for key support around the mid-channel and resistance near the upper boundary, which could signal entry or exit points. Overall, the chart indicates a cautious approach is necessary, focusing on confirmations before taking any trading actions.
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
(JPYUSD) Analysis chart suggests a potential rejection from the resistance zone with an anticipated downward move, as shown by the blue arrow. Key observations include: Resistance Rejection: The price is struggling to break above the marked resistance zone, aligning with the downtrend's upper boundary. Trend Continuation: The downward channel remains intact, implying the potential for the price to head lower if the rejection is confirmed. Potential Target: The price may aim for the lower boundary of the channel, possibly testing support areas around 0.006300 or lower. Are you considering entering a sell position here, or waiting for more confirmation? Let me know how you'd like Looking at the chart, here are potential targets based on the descending channel and price action: 1. **1st Target**: **0.006320** (near the middle of the channel and a minor support zone). FX_IDC:JPYUSD 2. **2nd Target**: **0.006300** (key support area aligning with the lower channel boundary). 3. **Final Target**: **0.006280** (bottom of the channel for a full move). Keep an eye on how price behaves around the mid-channel zone; it could pause or bounce before reaching the lower levels. Would you like to adjust for risk management or trail the stop as the price moves?
Short
by TRADE_CENTER_1
The U.S. Dollar Index may be approaching a potential buy zoneHere’s a more detailed version of your DXY trading plan: DXY Trading Plan** Buy Zone:** Enter a buy position around **107.900**, but only after confirming bullish price action (e.g., rejection wicks, strong bullish candles, or signs of support holding firmly). Targets:** - First Target:** **108.200** – A key resistance level. Consider partial profit-taking or setting a tighter trailing stop here. - Third Target:**108.500** – If **108.200** breaks out with strong bullish momentum, hold for this higher resistance level as your final target. Risk Management:** - Stop-Loss:** Place your stop-loss slightly below **107.800** to protect against sudden reversals. - Close Trade:** If the price at **107.900** fails to hold or shows signs of weakness, exit the trade to limit losses. position Sizing:** Keep your risk-to-reward ratio in check, aiming for at least 1:2 (or higher). What to Watch For:** - **Confirmation Signals at 107.900:** Look for bullish candlestick patterns like hammer candles or engulfing patterns. - **Momentum Around 108.200:** Pay attention to price reactions at this level. If DXY struggles here, consider securing profits or exiting. - **Market Context:** Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, news, or events impacting the dollar index, as these can shift momentum quickly. **Additional Tip:** If the price nears **108.200**, move your stop-loss to breakeven or slightly above **107.900** to secure your position while giving the trade room to breathe. TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
1
Xauusd for a selling opportunity from the H1According to the lower timeframe, I'm personally looking for a selling opportunity from the H1 resistance area because it's a major zone for sellers. Now the price consolidating between the parallel channel, but we can expect, it will break the resistance and move towards the major resistance area. But if the price successfully breaks our channel downside, then we will start placing our stop orders. Target:- 2588.00 / 2558.53 Let's see how the price will move. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
#USDJPY Taking a closer look at the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour timeframe, the current price action highlights a significant area of interest that could dictate the next move in the market. The momentum appears to be building around this key zone, offering potential opportunities for both intraday traders looking for quick gains and scalpers aiming to capitalize on shorter movements. Whether it leads to a breakout or a reversal will depend on how the price interacts with these critical levels, making patience and confirmation essential for executing a well-timed and calculated trade.
by SadarExplore
$JPIRYY -Japan's Inflation Rate (October/2024)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 2.3% October/2024 source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications -The annual inflation rate in Japan fell to 2.3% in October 2024 from 2.5% in the prior month, marking the lowest reading since January. Electricity prices saw the smallest increase in six months (4.0% vs 15.2% in September), as the effects of the energy subsidy removal in May diminished. Also, gas prices rose more slowly (3.5% vs 7.7%). In addition, costs slowed for furniture and household utensils (4.4% vs. 4.8%) and culture (4.3% vs. 4.8%). Moreover, prices dropped further for communication (-3.5% vs -2.6%) and education (-1.0% vs. -1.0%). On the other hand, prices edged higher for food (3.5% vs 3.4%) and housing (0.8% vs. 0.7%). Meanwhile, transport prices jumped (0.5% vs. 0.1%) amid faster rises in cost of clothing (2.8% vs 2.6%), healthcare (1.7% vs 1.5%), and miscellaneous items (1.1% vs 0.9%). The core inflation rate hit a six-month low of 2.3%, down from September's 2.4% but above estimates of 2.2%. Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.4%, a reversal from a 0.3% fall in September.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
USD/JPY Market Analysis 26/09/2024 After 70 days of constant decline, the USD/JPY pair has finally managed to break the descending trendline and exit the prolonged bearish trend. At the moment, it is still unclear whether this is a long-term trend reversal or just a short-term pullback within the larger downtrend. The charts clearly show a breakout of the main descending trendline, followed by a flip of the horizontal and diagonal support/resistance levels, which further confirmed the significance of this move. This breakout has been tested and validated at multiple levels — first at the diagonal trendline, and then at the horizontal support level. One of the key signals for this potential reversal is the bullish divergence on the 4-hour timeframe, which indicated a weakening of the selling pressure and a potential trend change. This signal was further strengthened by the crossover of the Moving Average 7 above the Moving Average 21, which occurred right before the breakout. After the breakout confirmation, the price managed to reclaim the 0.236 Fibonacci level, but it is now facing a crucial resistance at the MA 200 level, which will determine the next direction. We are currently at a critical juncture — either we break through this level and head towards the 0.382 Fibonacci level, or we retrace and test the horizontal support once more, which now serves as a key support zone. It remains to be seen whether the price can maintain these levels or if it will revert back into the previous trend. If we see another successful test of the horizontal support, it could indicate further upside potential and a transition into a more stable bullish trend.
by RhinoAkaBear
USD/JPY Analysis - September 30, 2024Based on the current technical review and previous analyses, we observe key changes on the USD/JPY chart. After the pair broke through a key resistance level, a pullback has occurred, allowing us to identify important technical zones and opportunities for entering scalp positions. In this analysis, we consider the main aspects of this breakout, the pullback, and potential for further growth. Breakout of Key Resistance and Pullback: The breakout was anticipated based on prior analyses. Following this breakout, the price began to retrace back towards previous resistance levels, which have now become support. The zone where this retracement is occurring coincides with the 0.61 - 0.65 Fibonacci level, further confirming the strength of this area as a "golden pocket" for potential reversals. Bullish Divergence and Volume Loss: As the price fell to this confluence, bullish divergence formed on lower timeframes, signaling a possible return of buying strength. The decrease in volume during this time indicates a loss of momentum among sellers, which contributed to the decision to enter a scalp position and take advantage of the bounce from this level. Trendline as Temporary Support: The diagonal trendline has served as crucial support during the bounce. The plan is to monitor this trendline, and if it is breached, a retest of the previous support level is expected, which will open a new opportunity for entry. This could be a key moment for establishing a new uptrend, as a support/resistance flip at this level is likely to trigger a new wave of buying activity. Fibonacci Golden Pocket (0.61 - 0.65 Fib Level): This zone is one of the most reliable areas for seeking price reversals in technical analysis. Located within the "golden pocket," it provides additional confluence that can confirm the validity of the plan. This zone often attracts investors as it represents an optimal balance between retracement and potential growth. Expected Setup and Take Profit Target: The target, set at 147.827, represents a resistance level that the price may test again after successfully flipping support into resistance. This target is logically set based on previous high price levels, while the setup offers a potentially very high Risk/Reward ratio of over 6.19, making it exceptionally attractive for trading. ⚠️ Disclaimer: ⚠️ 🚫 This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research before making any decisions.🚫
by RhinoAkaBear
USDJPY Favors Bearish ViewOn Friday, the USD/JPY is trading at around 142.30. An analysis of the daily chart shows that the pair is in a consolidation phase within a descending channel, which favors a bearish view. Moreover, the 14 - day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stays below the 50 - level, reaffirming the existing bearish perspective. Looking at the downside, the USD/JPY pair could encounter immediate support at 139.58, which represents the lowest level since June 2023. After that, there is the lower limit of the descending channel close to 137.50. Regarding the resistance , the 21 - day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at the 143.56 level serves as an initial hurdle. Subsequently, there is the upper limit of the descending channel around the 144.80 level.
Short
by Tekapo-Invest
1
USD/JPY analysis 2024/09/20 FX_IDC:USDJPY Notice: The points are only valid from 2024/09/20 to 2024/10/05 What we have now? 1.The key support and resistances level: 152 148.2 144 142 139.5 What should we do? 1.Open the long position when the price fails to break through the lower support level TP when the price is close to upper resistance level or TP 50% of your position first, the other 50% for a huge breakout. SL when the price break through the lower support level 2.Open the short position when the price fails to break through the upper resistance level TP when the price is close to lower support level or TP 50% of your position first, the other 50% for a huge breakout. SL when the price break through the upper resistance level Future Price movement 70% chance : The 139.5 price level is a really strong support, and I don't think it'll drop below that in the next month. It'll probably bounce between 144 and 139.5 for at least two weeks, building up enough momentum to push towards the resistance at 152 30% chance : Break below 139.5 Always put a Stop Loss for your positions!! Trade safe!
Long
by DrkeezySSGcup
1
USD/JPY Price Analysis (1H)The price of USD/JPY is currently approaching a support level and could be setting up for a pullback. If it bounces off this support, we could see a potential upward move. However, if the support is broken, the next target could be the next support level Key scenarios to watch: If the price bounces back from the support, it may signal a reversal. If the price breaks out below the support, it could move toward the next support level. Let’s monitor closely and see how it develops!
by WaveRiders2