JPY/USD – Bullish Breakout After Falling Wedge!Let's take a deep dive into the JPY/USD price action and technical setup on the daily chart. The market has presented us with a falling wedge breakout, a strong bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates a potential shift from the previous downtrend into an uptrend.
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern – Bullish Reversal Signal
The falling wedge is a classic bullish reversal pattern. It forms when price action makes lower highs and lower lows within two converging trendlines. The key characteristic of this pattern is the decreasing selling pressure, leading to a breakout to the upside.
We observed a clear breakout from the wedge, indicating bullish momentum.
Buyers have stepped in strongly, pushing prices above the resistance zone.
This signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
2️⃣ Breakout Confirmation & Key Levels
Once the price broke above the wedge, it faced a crucial resistance zone (marked in blue on the chart). After breaking this level, it has now turned into support—a strong technical confirmation.
Resistance Turned Support: The previous resistance is now acting as support, giving further confidence in the bullish move.
Retest Expected: After breakouts, the price often comes back to retest support before continuing higher. If it holds, it’s a good entry opportunity.
3️⃣ Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit Targets
Based on the technical setup, here’s how we can approach this trade:
🔹 Entry: Ideal entry is around the current support zone after a successful retest.
🔹 Stop Loss: Placed below the support level at 0.006574 to minimize risk.
🔹 Take Profit (TP): The target price is set at 0.007126, aligning with the previous swing high.
4️⃣ Trade Outlook & Expected Movement
If the price holds above support, we expect a bullish continuation towards the target.
A minor pullback is possible before the next move higher.
If the price breaks below the support zone, it may invalidate the bullish setup.
📌 Final Thoughts
This setup is a high-probability bullish trade, backed by the falling wedge breakout and retest of a key level. However, always manage risk properly and wait for confirmation before entering the trade.
What do you think? Do you see further upside, or is this a false breakout? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #BullishBreakout #ChartPatterns
JPYUSD
JPY/USD Price Action & Trade Setup
Market Structure & Trend:
The chart illustrates JPY/USD on the 4-hour timeframe, showing a rising channel pattern.
Price has recently rejected from resistance near 0.0068058 and is now showing signs of a bearish move.
Trade Setup:
Bearish bias: The pair is breaking down from the channel, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Key levels:
Resistance: 0.0068058
Support Zone: 0.0064368 (Target area)
Potential Move: A continuation of this bearish movement may lead to a drop toward the support zone.
Conclusion:
If the price sustains below the midline of the channel, further downside is likely.
A retest of support at 0.0064368 could offer potential opportunities for either a bounce or a continuation of the bearish trend.
📌 What’s next? Watch for price action near the support zone for potential trade setups.
Gold Short Setup: Double Top Rejection and Key Sell TargetsThe chart indicates a potential double-top formation near the 3005 level, suggesting a possible reversal if bearish confirmation appears. The price is testing a key resistance zone, and a rejection could lead to a decline toward the rising trendline for support. A confirmed break below this trendline might trigger further downside movement. However, a breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish setup and signal continuation of the uptrend. Waiting for a clear confirmation is crucial before making any trading decisions.
For a short-term sell setup, potential targets:
- First target: 2,979 (initial support)
- Second target: 2,960 (if momentum increases)
If price breaks below these levels with strong bearish confirmation, then 2,940 could be the next short-term target.
Gold (XAU/USD) Key Levels & Trade Setups: BUY & SELL ENTRY Gold (XAU/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis:
1. Key Resistance Zone:
- The price is currently near the $2,922-$2,930 resistance zone.
- This area has acted as a previous supply zone, indicating potential selling pressure.
2. Potential Price Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Rejection from Resistance & Downtrend
- If price fails to break above $2,922-$2,930, a rejection could send it lower.
- A break of the rising trendline could confirm bearish momentum.
- First target: Around $2,898-$2,900 (previous support zone).
- Second target: Around $2,873, which is a strong demand area.
- Final bearish target: Around $2,855-$2,846 if the momentum continues downward.
Scenario 2: Breakout Above Resistance & Bullish Move
- If gold breaks and closes above $2,930 with strong momentum, further upside is expected.
- First target:$2,945-$2,950, marked as the next resistance level.
- A successful breakout could lead to higher bullish continuation.
3. Trendline & Breakout Structure:
- The price had a previous breakout from a descending channel.
- The current bullish structure could be invalidated if the price breaks below the trendline and key support levels.
Trading Plan:
- Watch for price action at $2,922-$2,930 resistance.
- Look for a rejection confirmation (bearish candle patterns) for a potential short setup.
- For a buy position, wait for a strong breakout above $2,930 with a retest for confirmation.
Gold Breaks Out of Triangle Pattern: Targeting $2,970–$2,980This chart shows a breakout from a triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe for gold (XAU/USD). The breakout has occurred above the resistance of the triangle, indicating potential bullish momentum.
- Resistance Zone: The previous resistance level was around 2,936–2,940, which was tested multiple times before the breakout. Now, this level may act as new support.
- Target: The projected target for this breakout is near 2,970–2,980, aligning with the height of the triangle pattern.
A successful retest of the breakout level could confirm further bullish movement toward the target zone.
Yen Falls Below 153 as BOJ Offers Little Policy ClarityThe yen fell below 153 per dollar on Wednesday, hitting a one-week low after BOJ Governor Ueda gave little clarity on rate policy. He reiterated the BOJ's commitment to a 2% inflation target, despite board member Tamura suggesting rates may rise to 1% in late 2025. The yen also weakened as Trump’s escalating tariffs raised inflation concerns, limiting the Fed’s ability to cut rates.
The key resistance level appears to be 153.85, with a break above it potentially targeting 154.90 and 156.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 11, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) has experienced a slight decline at the start of the new week, as concerns over US President Donald Trump's tariff threats have resurfaced, leading to speculation that Japan could also be subject to new US duties. Additionally, the moderate strength of the US Dollar (USD) has led to an increase in the USD/JPY pair towards 152.00 during the Asian session. The positive US jobs report on Friday, along with expectations that Trump's policies could boost inflation and limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed's) policy easing ability, is having a modest impact on the USD.
However, a significant yen decline seems unlikely due to growing confidence that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again this year, which continues to push Japanese government bond (JGB) yields higher. Consequently, the narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and other major central banks is expected to limit the decline in JGB yields. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling in the yen before confirming that the USD/JPY pair has bottomed in the near term.
Trade recommendation: SELL 151.80, SL 152.40, TP 151.00
ShortThe price failed to reclaim the recent high at $158.87 and closed below the previous higher high. It also closed below EMA21, EMA55 and ascending trendline.
All momentum indicators enter the bear zone and lines are pointed to the downside. The similar price set up happened on the 17th July 2024 (blue vertical line in the chart) and it was followed by a sharp price fall.
I opened a short position at $154.55. Stop loss is placed at 156.80 (just above EMA 21) and the initial target is $151.40. Risk:Reward is roughly 1:1.75.
USDJPY R2🔍 Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
📌 Overall Trend:
After a downward correction, the price has reached the 154.250 support zone.
A positive reaction at this level suggests a potential upward move.
A price gap is visible in the 156.000 - 156.400 range, which may lead to a price increase to fill the gap.
📈 Buy Trade Signal (Long Position)
🔹 Entry Conditions:
If the price holds the 154.250 - 154.400 support zone and bullish reversal candlesticks appear, a long trade is recommended.
The ideal entry range is 154.600 - 154.860.
🔹 Stop Loss (SL):
Below 154.250
🔹 Take Profit (TP):
First target: 155.860
Second target: 156.110
Third target: 156.400 (if the bullish momentum continues)
🔹 Risk Management:
If the price stabilizes below 154.250, reconsider the trade.
Breaking above 156.110 increases the likelihood of further bullish movement to fill the price gap.
✅ Final Conclusion:
If the price finds support at 154.250 - 154.400, a buy trade is favorable.
A breakout above 156.110 could lead to a further target of 156.400.
📌 Ensure confirmation through price action and candlestick patterns before entering the trade.
USDJPY 4H Bearish TrendOANDA:USDJPY
📶 Technical Analysis:
Weekly (1W): Price is near its all-time high formed in 2024, with a bullish trend supported by moving averages (MAs).
Daily (1D): While the price shows bearish movement since the start of 2025, MAs indicate an overall bullish trend. There's significant volatility on both the upside and downside due to strong support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors like interest rate expectations and other economic events.
4-Hour (4H): In January 2025, the price has formed a bearish trend, breaking two support levels at 156.5 and 155.0. On January 27, the price tested the 155 support level three times before breaking it with a strong candle. MAs on the 4H chart are also showing a bearish formation.
Strategy: A potential short position is suggested if the price retests and confirms resistance at the broken support level of 155.0. Watch for the next key support around 152.0 if the price breaks below the current low of 153.7.
🆕 Fundamental Analysis:
Fed Interest Rates Decision (Jan 29): No change expected in the federal funds rate, currently at 4.5%. The accompanying press conference will provide important guidance for future market expectations.
🔤 Trade Comment:
A potential pending short order at 155.0 with a risk no more than 2%.
JPY is strong against all major pairs on 27 Jan as JPY currency index has +0.85%
**DXY Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Sell Setup**This DXY 1-hour chart suggests a potential sell opportunity around the 108.400 resistance zone. The price is approaching the marked "Possible to sell zone," and the analysis indicates waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position.
Key Observations:
- **Resistance Zone:** 108.400 area acts as a key resistance, previously causing reversals.
- **Bearish Confirmation:** Suggested before entering a sell position.
- **Downside Targets:**
- **First Target:** 107.749
- **Second Target:** 107.444
- **Final Target:** 106.951
If price rejects this resistance with bearish price action, it could confirm a short setup. Conversely, a breakout above 108.400 may invalidate the bearish outlook.
GOLD is ready to fly againXAUUSD Gold is showing strong signs of preparing to take off again! After consolidating and building momentum, the precious metal is positioning itself for another powerful move upward. As the market aligns, this could be the perfect time to watch for golden opportunities. Are you ready to ride the wave of gold's next flight?"
Gold Approaching Key Resistance Berish Rjction or Bullish BrkoutBased on the chart provided:
### Key Observations:
1. **Resistance Zone**:
- Price is approaching a strong resistance zone around 2,720–2,740, as indicated by the shaded area.
- Previous interactions with this level suggest potential rejection, making it a critical zone for monitoring price action.
2. **Target Levels**:
- **1st Target**: 2,680 – a minor support level where price might pause or bounce if rejection occurs.
- **2nd Target**: 2,640 – a key mid-level support area aligned with historical price structure.
- **3rd Target**: 2,623 – a stronger support zone near the previous low, offering a potential bounce zone.
3. **Risk-Reward Setup**:
- A clear risk zone (stop-loss) is placed above the resistance zone (around 2,759), indicating a bearish outlook.
- The trade setup assumes a rejection from the resistance area, with the first target likely to hit before deeper retracements.
4. **Market Context**:
- Recent bullish momentum may face exhaustion as it approaches resistance, especially if accompanied by reduced volume.
- The "Change of Character" (ChoCh) annotations suggest a possible shift in momentum around the resistance zone.
### Potential Trade Scenarios:
1. **Bearish Rejection**:
- Look for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., bearish engulfing candles, rejection wicks) around the 2,720–2,740 zone.
- Short entry: Near 2,720–2,730.
- Targets: 2,680, 2,640, and 2,623, in that order.
2. **Bullish Breakout**:
- If the price breaks above 2,740 with strong momentum, invalidate the bearish scenario.
- Look for a retest of the 2,740 level as new support for long positions.
- Target: 2,770–2,800.
### Additional Notes:
- **Divergences**: Check for any bearish divergences in RSI or MACD to confirm weakness near the resistance zone.
- **Economic Events**: Be cautious of news or data releases that may increase volatility in gold.
"Awaiting Bearish Confirmation at Key Resistance Zone on DXY"Based on the chart of the U.S. Dollar Index:
1. **Trend Analysis**: The index is currently within an upward channel, indicating a bullish trend. The price is oscillating between the upper and lower boundaries of this channel.
2. **Recent Movements**: There’s a noticeable price peak around the upper boundary, suggesting potential exhaustion. The recent downward movement indicates the possibility of a reversal.
3. **Bearish Confirmation**: The note emphasizes waiting for bearish confirmation before executing any trades. This suggests that it's prudent to look for signs of trend reversal or weakening momentum before making a bearish move.
4. **Strategy**: The advice is clear: without confirmation of a bearish trend, no trading should occur, highlighting a cautious approach.
5. **Key Levels**: Watch for key support around the mid-channel and resistance near the upper boundary, which could signal entry or exit points.
Overall, the chart indicates a cautious approach is necessary, focusing on confirmations before taking any trading actions.
(JPYUSD) Analysis chart suggests a potential rejection from the resistance zone with an anticipated downward move, as shown by the blue arrow. Key observations include:
Resistance Rejection: The price is struggling to break above the marked resistance zone, aligning with the downtrend's upper boundary.
Trend Continuation: The downward channel remains intact, implying the potential for the price to head lower if the rejection is confirmed.
Potential Target: The price may aim for the lower boundary of the channel, possibly testing support areas around 0.006300 or lower.
Are you considering entering a sell position here, or waiting for more confirmation? Let me know how you'd like Looking at the chart, here are potential targets based on the descending channel and price action:
1. **1st Target**: **0.006320** (near the middle of the channel and a minor support zone). FX_IDC:JPYUSD
2. **2nd Target**: **0.006300** (key support area aligning with the lower channel boundary).
3. **Final Target**: **0.006280** (bottom of the channel for a full move).
Keep an eye on how price behaves around the mid-channel zone; it could pause or bounce before reaching the lower levels. Would you like to adjust for risk management or trail the stop as the price moves?
The U.S. Dollar Index may be approaching a potential buy zoneHere’s a more detailed version of your DXY trading plan:
DXY Trading Plan**
Buy Zone:**
Enter a buy position around **107.900**, but only after confirming bullish price action (e.g., rejection wicks, strong bullish candles, or signs of support holding firmly).
Targets:**
- First Target:** **108.200** – A key resistance level. Consider partial profit-taking or setting a tighter trailing stop here.
- Third Target:**108.500** – If **108.200** breaks out with strong bullish momentum, hold for this higher resistance level as your final target.
Risk Management:**
- Stop-Loss:** Place your stop-loss slightly below **107.800** to protect against sudden reversals.
- Close Trade:** If the price at **107.900** fails to hold or shows signs of weakness, exit the trade to limit losses.
position Sizing:** Keep your risk-to-reward ratio in check, aiming for at least 1:2 (or higher).
What to Watch For:**
- **Confirmation Signals at 107.900:** Look for bullish candlestick patterns like hammer candles or engulfing patterns.
- **Momentum Around 108.200:** Pay attention to price reactions at this level. If DXY struggles here, consider securing profits or exiting.
- **Market Context:** Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, news, or events impacting the dollar index, as these can shift momentum quickly.
**Additional Tip:**
If the price nears **108.200**, move your stop-loss to breakeven or slightly above **107.900** to secure your position while giving the trade room to breathe.
TVC:DXY
Xauusd for a selling opportunity from the H1According to the lower timeframe, I'm personally looking for a selling opportunity from the H1 resistance area because it's a major zone for sellers.
Now the price consolidating between the parallel channel, but we can expect, it will break the resistance and move towards the major resistance area.
But if the price successfully breaks our channel downside, then we will start placing our stop orders.
Target:- 2588.00 / 2558.53
Let's see how the price will move. CAPITALCOM:GOLD
#USDJPY Taking a closer look at the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour timeframe, the current price action highlights a significant area of interest that could dictate the next move in the market. The momentum appears to be building around this key zone, offering potential opportunities for both intraday traders looking for quick gains and scalpers aiming to capitalize on shorter movements. Whether it leads to a breakout or a reversal will depend on how the price interacts with these critical levels, making patience and confirmation essential for executing a well-timed and calculated trade.
$JPIRYY -Japan's Inflation Rate (October/2024)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 2.3%
October/2024
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
-The annual inflation rate in Japan fell to 2.3% in October 2024 from 2.5% in the prior month, marking the lowest reading since January.
Electricity prices saw the smallest increase in six months (4.0% vs 15.2% in September), as the effects of the energy subsidy removal in May diminished.
Also, gas prices rose more slowly (3.5% vs 7.7%).
In addition, costs slowed for furniture and household utensils (4.4% vs. 4.8%) and culture (4.3% vs. 4.8%).
Moreover, prices dropped further for communication (-3.5% vs -2.6%) and education (-1.0% vs. -1.0%).
On the other hand, prices edged higher for food (3.5% vs 3.4%) and housing (0.8% vs. 0.7%). Meanwhile, transport prices jumped (0.5% vs. 0.1%) amid faster rises in cost of clothing (2.8% vs 2.6%), healthcare (1.7% vs 1.5%), and miscellaneous items (1.1% vs 0.9%).
The core inflation rate hit a six-month low of 2.3%, down from September's 2.4% but above estimates of 2.2%.
Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.4%, a reversal from a 0.3% fall in September.
Usdjpy ahead to 147.65Jpyusd ahead to 147.65, by my math, at least, maybe a little down more to make a divergence to go up again, but this is all about day ind3x, about dollar power, be careful, with and without the election day, I'm just selling and do nothing (seeing what happens) until election day
Have a good trading, everyone.
USDJPY a bit choppy but still traded above 150.000 key level.Despite USDJPY chopping around the 149.000 key level, the pair has already traded back above 150.000 key level as highlighted in our earlier post yesterday. Retail sales was the key driver of volatility today. The dollar strength persisted sending the pair higher. The pair now looks forward to clear 150.500 level before the daily candle closes.