USD/JPY Extends Upside Momentum Beyond 151.00 Level The USD/JPY pair continues to trade positively for the sixth consecutive day during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The upward movement is supported by higher US Treasury bond yields and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The pair is currently hovering around the 151.70 mark, marking a 0.10% increase for the day.
USD/JPY has sustained its winning streak, trading above 151.40 in early European trading on Friday. Unexpectedly hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell had a significant impact, boosting US Treasury bond yields and strengthening the US Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY). However, the Japanese government may consider interventions to limit the upward momentum of the USD/JPY pair in response to these developments.
Powell's statement at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) event on Thursday expressed concerns that the current policies may not be sufficient to curb inflation. This sentiment led to an increase in the US Dollar Index (DXY), fluctuating around 106.00, with the 10-year US Treasury bond yield at 4.62% at the time of writing.
Despite strong tightening policies from major central banks, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintains its accommodative stance. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Thursday that the central bank would cautiously approach exiting extremely loose monetary policies to prevent significant bond market disruptions.
However, the Japanese Yen continues to face pressure as the plan to exit extremely loose policies may be delayed due to lower wage increases. Reasonable wage growth is considered a crucial factor for the Bank of Japan to contemplate an exit from prolonged loose monetary policies.
Market participants closely monitor Fed's Logan speech and the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for November, seeking signals to identify trading opportunities in the USD/JPY pair.What do you think about this pair?
Jpyusdshort
Japanese Yen Nears 33-Year Low Amid Powell's Rate Hike SignalThe Japanese yen faced rapid depreciation today, approaching levels not seen in 33 years, following signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell that interest rate hikes may continue amid concerns about persistent inflation. The yen traded at 151.44 against the US dollar, showing a slight 0.06% increase from the previous session.
On Thursday, Powell reiterated hawkish views on interest rates, challenging market expectations that had predicted rate cuts in 2024. His comments underscored doubts about achieving the Fed's 2% inflation target with the current policy framework, leading the market to reconsider the potential for rate cuts in mid-2024 from June to July.
This stance contributed to the yen's worst performance since August, with a monthly decline of 1.42%. The currency's notable slide over the past month hit a one-year low of 151.72 against the dollar on October 31 and is now approaching levels not seen since 151.96.
The sharp decline of the yen has drawn the attention of Japan's Ministry of Finance (MOF), raising growing concerns about the need for intervention in the currency market to stabilize the yen and minimize potential impacts on the Japanese economy. The MOF closely monitors these developments as currency exchange rates hover near a crucial level that previously prompted official action.
JPYIRR SHORT JPY weakness continues:Strong bearishIran’s currency hits record low amid tensions with the West
Depreciation of the rial comes amid boiling tensions with the West and continuing protests in Iran.
On Sunday, the United States dollar went past the 450,000-rial mark for the first time on the open market.
On Sunday, the central bank said it will soon raise the maximum amount of currency that can be sold to an individual annually from 2,000 euros ($2,176) to 5,000 euros ($5,439) in an apparent effort to show it has no shortage of currency.
The cap was introduced after the US unilaterally abandoned the 2015 Iran nuclear deal with world powers in 2018 and imposed harsh sanctions, triggering a new currency crisis in Iran.
To combat currency devaluation, Iran’s police force has periodically announced the arrest of dozens of currency speculators in recent months.
Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki kept up verbal warnings on Tuesday against the yen's depreciation, saying he would respond appropriately if currency moves became excessive.
At the end the interest rates differential between 2 countries are important.
Which country offers more interest rates for your money? That currency is the winner
JPYUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: JPYUSD
Entry: 0.006974
TP: 0.006848
SL: 0.007072
Bias: Short
For this instrument our core bias is short as we see the strength of dollar prevails over the strength of this currency. The study of support and resistance also show a positive expectation for shorting opportunity.