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Absa showing downside to R135.00 - SMC also appliedPATTERNS: Absa is forming one of the two Either an Reverse Inverse Cup and Handle . Now price is broken below the handle, the chance is that it'll head to R135.60. Or it's forming a head and shoulders where the Right Shoulder is now ready to form (upside) then downside to the target. 21>7 - Bearish Price<200 Bearish RSI<40 - Bearish SMC: We can see a Bearish Fair Value Gap has formed. This is where the 1st and 3rd candle does NOT overlap in price. The market now will want to rebalance and move up into the gap to fill the orders before it comes down. Hence, this is when the Right Shoulder will form. If the price goes back up it'll give a short term BUY SMC to R185.00 If the price continues down then the target will be R135.60. Regardless, the overall trend and bias is down in the medium term.
JSE:ABGShort
by Timonrosso
Sappi showing strong downside to R42.39 thanks to a TriangleSymmetrical Triangle formed on Sappi. This is where a pattern moves neither up or down just sideways. We then had a break down, which confirmed the trend direction. 200>21>7 - Bearish RSI<30 - Bearish Target R42.39 INTERESTING FACTS Sappi Limited is a South African pulp and paper company founded in 1936. The company has operations in over 40 countries across the world. Sappi produces a variety of products, including printing paper, packaging paper, and speciality paper. The company is the world's largest producer of dissolving wood pulp, a key ingredient in the production of rayon and other textiles. Sappi is also a leading producer of graphic paper, which is used for printing magazines, brochures, and catalogs. It's also traded on the NYSE!
JSE:SAPShort
by Timonrosso
UPDATE: Goldfields hit stop loss - but I warned you Inv Rev Cup and Handle formed and the price broken below the Brim level. There were mixed signals with the indicators and I warned you that we need the price to break and confirm below the 200MA. Which obviously, it tested reversed, Smart Money jumped in swept liquidity and pushed the price up. However, it's not just Smart Money to blame. Gold had a bit of reverse as investors had no idea where to put their money in. They are freaking out with the bank crisis in 2023. They are freaking out with Silvergate and crypto exchanges still liquidating. They are freaking out with these fears of high interest rates coming in the US. So as bitter as it hit the stop loss, it gives us a fantastic hedge for long side with Gold incase we get a pump catalyst with the market soon (which I doubt). I will be waiting for bulish signals to buy Goldfields. Let's see.
JSE:GFILong
by Timonrosso
TARGET HIT City Lodge hit the target at R3.71 but I'm not happy Bear Diamond Pattern formed on City Lodge a few weeks ago. We then had a strong break down, which showed a big collapse to come. We set our target at R3.71 which many traders thought I was crazy. I told them I hope I am wrong, because I don't like when companies drop in value who offer great value to customers. But the charts showed downside and I couldn't be biased. The target hit and unfortunately, we still see downside to come. I'll be waiting for the next formation in the meantime.
JSE:CLHShort
by Timonrosso
UPDATE: Transaction Capital hit my Take profit but I'm pissedFalling Range formed on TCP and there was a trend channel bearish 200> 7<21 All the signs were showing downside to a target at R26.46. Which it hit. If I held it just one more day it would have gone to R14.50. But that's trading for you. Now with the gaps and panic selling, we can expect some accumulation to form bringing the price up to close the gap. Then we will need to wait for the next formation and pattern to form. I'll await and let you know
JSE:TCPShort
by Timonrosso
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Life Health Care group showing strong upside to R21.39 WARNINGW Formation since Sep 2022. It's been moving in a sideways range without any promising direction. Then in February we had a breakaway gap. This is where the price jumped from the sideways range into an uptrend. And most sellers and stop losses were hit. This showed strong upside to come. 7>21>200 RSI>50 Target R21.39 WARNING Gaps like to close 70% of the time. And I don't generally like taking any trades where there are prior gaps. I'd take this trade as a medium probability one.
JSE:LHCLong
by Timonrosso
Glencore is could break down for the 1st time in years to R81.70M Formation has formed on Glencore. This was prior to an ongoing uptrend, until last year. Last year it moved into a range bounded state which has formed this M Formation near the end of 2022. Now we can expect a break down any day now below the neckline. There are other bear signs, and the biggest is RSI. 21>7 - Bearish Price>200 - TEST RSI has been forming lower highs since before the M formation. This is an extremely Bearish divergence where we can expect the price to follow. RSI<50 Target R81.70
JSE:GLNShort
by Timonrosso
UPDATE: Naspers short confirmed to target R2,766Break in Uptrend structure confirmed and we are no longer in an uptrend. We've been in a sideways range and now entering a bear market as of today. We now have a largeish Inv Cup and Handle with a few bearish signals. 21>7 - bearish price>200 - Bullish RSI <50 - Bearish lower highs Target R2,766.00 WARNING Even though we expect the price to drop, it's only correcting back to the 200MA zone. Once the price gets there, we'll see a test between the bulls and bears before a chosen direction is established.
JSE:NPNShort
by Timonrosso
Prosus hit our target up at R1,446 now expect downsideTarget hit at R1,446 recently from a larger Cup and Handle. And since then we had the price go up one more day before entering into a strong sideways range. During this time it formed an Inv Cup and Handle with a few bearish signals. 21>7 - bearish Price>200 - Bullish Target R1,1033 RSI<50 Bearish WARNING Even though we expect the price to drop, it's only correcting and equilibrating back to the 200MA elastic mean zone. Once the price reaches here, there'll be a test between the bulls and bears before a chosen direction is established.
JSE:PRXShort
by Timonrosso
USD/ZAR target hit at R18.48 & we have another dreadful target It pains me to say our USD/ZAR trade hit the take profit level at R18.48 and now it looks like further upside for the USD is on the way. Another Cup and Handle has formed, which has broken above the neckline. And if we place the stop loss below the handle, we get the next target at R19.71. 7>21>200 RSI>50 Target R19.71 With interest rates on the rise in America after Daddy Powell mentioned more upside to come, meanse investors will continue to invest in the US dollar with high income yielding assets like Bonds, Money Markets and High interest savings rates options. As long as interest rates (or the fear of them) continue up, we will continue to see US dollar strength which will bring down many other exotic currencies like the rand.
Long
by Timonrosso
PPC trade update - still looking good for a long to R4.29W Formation is still in effect with PPC. 7>21 - Bullish Price > 200MA Bullish RSI>50 >70- Bullish Target R4.29 This is a patience game now. Here's some facts about the company PPC Limited was founded in 1892 as De Eerste Cement Fabrieken Beperkt and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. PPC is the acronym for Pretoria Portland Cement, which is the original name of the company. The company operates in six African countries, including South Africa, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Rwanda, Ethiopia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. It produces a range of cement products, including Portland cement, Surebuild, Rapid Hard, and 3Q Mahuma, which are used in a variety of construction applications. The company has a strong focus on sustainability and has implemented a range of initiatives to reduce its environmental impact and promote social development in the communities where it operates. It has a market capitalization of over ZAR 2 billion as of March 2023.
JSE:PPCLong
by Timonrosso
Merafe showing downside to test R1.00 again read fundamentalsM Formation formed on the daily and we are just waiting for the price to break below the neckline. 21>7- Bearish Price <200 - Bearish RSI <50 lower highs Target R1.08 CONCERNS: Many resource companies are showing downside to come. It seems like smart money knows something the public doesn't. This corresponds to the strengthening dollar. Ever since the US dollar started strengthening in February 2023, Resources markets have been showing volatility with no conviction of upside. Economically speaking for Merafe, the price of ferrochrome (Which is used in the production of stainless steel) is denominated in US dollars, which means that changes in the value of the dollar can impact the price of ferrochrome. This is because a stronger dollar makes it more expensive for buyers in other countries to purchase ferrochrome, as they need to exchange their own currency for US dollars in order to make the purchase. This can lead to a decrease in demand for ferrochrome, which can put downward pressure on the price. Additionally, a stronger dollar can make it less profitable for ferrochrome producers in countries with weaker currencies to sell their products on the global market. This can lead to a drop in supply of ferrochrome, which can also put downward pressure on the price.
JSE:MRFShort
by Timonrosso
Capitec showing strong downside to come to R1,528Inverse Cup and Handle formed on Capitec and the price has just been on a strong downside trend for the last year. We had a break below the brim level with indicators showing strong negative divergences. 200>21>7 RSI>50 - Mixed Target R1,528 ABOUT THE COMPANY Capitec is a South African retail bank that was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Stellenbosch, Western Cape. The bank has been recognized as one of the fastest-growing retail banks in the world, with over 16 million customers as of 2021. The bank offers a range of low-cost products and services, including savings accounts, loans, and insurance. In 2017, Capitec was named the best bank in the world by the Lafferty Global Awards, which recognized the bank's focus on customer service and its commitment to financial inclusion. The bank has a market capitalization of over ZAR 200 billion as of March 2023.
JSE:CPIShort
by Timonrosso