Jse
JSE still heading up despite FED 75 basis points hikeAs you can see as a position trader, we don't care about short term fluctuations with what happens with the FED, Employment numbers or Earnings.
We only care about what we see in the charts and where the markets are more likely to head.
The JSE ALSI 40 upside is still intact, and we are cautiously optimistic.
BULLISH BIAS
Barloworld - heading on top of the world!Barloworld has beautifully broken above the W Formation
Showing a ton of upside to come.
The 7 >21 MA bullish. The price is above the 200MA
CONCERNS:
The 200 is still above the 7 and 21 MA but I guess with a change in trend, we will see this no longer soon.
BULLISH
Mediclinic looking healthierMediclinic has just broken out of a somewhat Rounding bottom formation.
The demand and buying has kicked in which could send this price flying, once the support is retested and confirmed for upside.
CONCERNS:
The liquidity isn't great as the candles are quite large and erratic.
Bias - Bullish.
Ninety 1 W Pattern - Bullish R49.81W Formation has formed on the daily and price has broken up and out of it.
Moving Averages are almost perfect but still below 200MA..
Target 1 - R49.81
Bullish
With the JSE on the next upleg, we can expect a number of Top 40 companies on the index to rise in the next week or two.
ANH ready for flying fish to R1023.73W Formation on the daily has recently broken up and out of the neckline.
It then retested the support and bounced up, showing demand and buying is in play.
Moving Averages are almost perfect but price is still below 200MA...
Target R1023.73
With the JSE on the next up-leg, this could help boost the share price with this trade idea.
Standard Bank upside to come to R186.29Falling Wedge has established on Standard Bank.
Price has just broken above, but it's early days.
7>21 but 200 is still flirting with the previous Moving averages...
My first target is R186.29.
CONCERNS:
The JSE is mirroring the upside of the American markets (with the good earnings results) With the Dollar strengthening again, this bull run could be short lived and the market could crash below forming a fake out. I'll nevertheless take the trade and only risk 1% of my portfolio...
Bullish Harami - FSRA Bullish Harami has formed on JSE:FSR which is a bottom reversal signal. It has triggered our long position and we have a target at around the 64.40 level. There is however, a gap that needs to be closed at around the 61 level. Be aware of this, as it may close the gap and come down instead of continuing upward.
Choose your loss buy or sell We are currently in a very difficult trading environment for the JSE ALSI 40 (and the stocks in the index) and I believe world wide (with most markets).
This sideways movement has been going since July 2022...
The world is in a rut with major issues like high inflation, ongoing interest hikes, currency collapses, US dollar strength, UK economic collapse, East wars and COVID recovery.
Our hands are unfortunately tied, how long this will last and what the damage will be (drawdown wise). But we will control it with lowering our losses from 2% to 1.5%. This will all be guided through a process until we overcome it...
But it's part and parcel with trading and it's something that is very common on a yearly basis...
HOWEVER! This is crucial to understand as a trader.
Since the derivative markets, the algorithm of movement (between buying and selling) has changed drastically.
From the markets moving in strong trends (70% of the time) from 1940 - 2007 where a monkey could have thrown a dart and profited from any Blue Chip stock for 20 years.
To now we are seeing the markets trend around (20% of the time, if that) from 2007 -2022.
We have no choice but to make the stop loss and take profits prices tighter and to hold for less period of time.
This will be a patience game but will be worth it in the end.
Only those strong enough to stick around and act accordingly with their correct risk management will reap the rewards.
What are your thoughts?
Tigerbrands next run up to ATHLarge Tripple Bottom
There are also two Cup and Handles formed in the recent past.
Now that price has broken above both Brim levels it's looking bullish.
RSI> 50 and above the downtrend line.
Target R219.05
CONCERNS
Liquidity is low and it causes spikes in prices.
Such a large formation, can sizzle out the price move and it can continue sideways for the next few months.
We have our 7 week time stop loss so let's go.
$STXRES Satrix Resources. Testing channel support (again)This channel is holding up pretty well with the top and the bottom of the channel being tested multiple times.
Best case scenario is support holds up once again and and we test the top of the channel
Worst case is this ends up being a bear flag, support breaks to the downside and we test support levels lower down (blue lines)
If you go long, impliment a stop loss. This is a bear market after all.