Yep, the JSE ALSI 40 is in yet another Twilight Zone. We see sideways motion, prior downtrend and there are sideways indicators. The bearish bias part of it is that price is below 200MA. The RSI is showing lower highs (Bearish divergence). We also see low volume on the buying side. More importantly, we have a flat monday with no conviction... And if the...
PPC hit our initial target at R3.50. It then confirmed a breach above the neckline from the larger cup and handle formed since March 2023... Now there is a slight consolidation before the upside to continue. We see the moving averages are perfectly aligned where 7>21>200 And the RSI>50 and making higher lows. New target will be at R4.40
The JSE ALSI 40 once again tested the 200MA. It then retreated back with its tail between its legs. However, the drop has not been aggressive and big. So we can make an assumption that this is a current dip that will cause a rounding bottom. If this is true, it will complete a Cup and Handle formation. And when the price breaks above the brim level we could...
It's been a very tough year for swing traders. Go long the market drops. Go short the market rallies. Don't do anything and you save from the burn. But in the bigger scheme of things, it looks like we are in an accumulation phase. The accumulation phase is a period in which smart money (informed and experienced traders or institutional investors) is...
It's clear that we've had the 1 year anticipated breakout. And it's down. Right now, we are having a slight rally which is known as a Bear Market Rally or a Dead Cat Bounce. The price can go up a day or two but the resistance level will most likely hold. And this will cause the next down leg with the ALSI... First target will be around 61,403
JSE ALSI 40 is currently testing its November 2022 Support (which was resistance). The price will need to break below to get traction to the downside. It can take a few days and for bulls and bears to fight this one. But we'll see. If it breaks down there is a decent target 59,369/ My bias is indeed down, but there does need a strong catalyst to break this.
Here is the update with the ALSI 40... It seems to be in a tighter range with the resistance (short term downside) and the support from the Symmetrical Triangle since Dec 2022. We will be watching these levels carefully and will look to hedge positions as we are heavily short at the moment. At first glance, it shows that the price action is indeed more...
Symmetrical Triangle formed on ALSI and the darn price has just been moving within it for months on end. Any JSE short term trader is most likely struggling with the whipsaws. If one is not diversified in Forex or Indices - I don't know how they are making an income this year. Regardless, the price has broken below the triangle and below the 200MA for the...
Inverse Head and Shoulders has formed on the 15m. Downtrend is also abolished. We can get a test at the new support before it rallies on up to 71,416. This might give a conservative entry level for bulls, before the next leg up. The daily trend however, needs a lot more upside before we get into a Bull trend (but hey it's a start)
Your guess is as good as mine. One day we are up another is down. One week is up, one month is sideways. This is NOT conducive for trending markets. This is NOT conducive for breakout traders. This is not conducive for momentum traders. So we need to wait for a breakout to have a better idea on where it wants to go. Right now I'm long 8 stocks and short 6...
JSE ALSI 40 - Cup and Handle seems to be forming on the ALSI 40, We need to wait for a breakout to the upside. Price >200MA RSI>50 Target 79,178 I prefer banking money when markets go up than down. So this might be the saviour for May with the JSE ALSI! SMC: We have a Sell Side LIquidity area below the new Handle. This is where Smart Money has come and...
Head and Shoulders formed on Absa. We are seeing strong bearish signals since the price broke below the neckline. 200>21>7 RSI<50 Target R118.91 SMC: Buy Side Liquidity Order block is showing above the Right Shoulder. This is where Smart Money is sweeping Buying from long traders and stops from Shorters and are selling into the buys. These tell me downside is...
Head and Shoulders has formed on Shoprite and the price has broken below the neckline. 200>21>7 - Bearish RSI<50 Target R177.11 CONCERNS: I don't like shorting strong companies generally especially when the JSE ALSI 40 is on a strong uptrend. Revenue growth is up 17.20% Net income Growth is up 14.70% Average annual Revenue growth (15yr) up 11.08% Net Margin...
W Formation is forming on Sasol. We are seeing the downtrend slow down in momentum, and it looks like the price wants to break up and out of the down trend. This is a bit premature for a breakout trader, but it's still good to watch and prepare for. We have other indicators that still show downside (but potentially changing trend) 200<21<7 - Bearish RSI <50...
Potential Cup and Handle is forming on the daily. We are seeing higher lows form and the supply side is dwindling. Once we get a break above the brim level, it'll be all systems go. 7>21 Price <200 - Bearish RSI>50 -bullish Target R1,644.61 SMC: Sell Side Liquidity order block has formed below the formation. Each time the price touches, it runs up. That's...
Inv Cup & Handle formed and broke below the brim level. 200>21 >7 - Bearish RSI<50 Target R28.63 Bearish bias We had a BOS up twice before, we had a Change of Character. This means, we go our trend reversal on the bigger time frame, showing downside to come. This works with the INv Cup and Handle and because the Daily Bias on the JSE is bearish all confirms...
PATTERNS: Absa is forming one of the two Either an Reverse Inverse Cup and Handle . Now price is broken below the handle, the chance is that it'll head to R135.60. Or it's forming a head and shoulders where the Right Shoulder is now ready to form (upside) then downside to the target. 21>7 - Bearish Price<200 Bearish RSI<40 - Bearish SMC: We can see...
Cup and Handle formed on Mediclinic and has broken above the brim. We also have a consistent uptrend form of a RIsing Wedge. We see a break above it, there'll be a ton of upside we can take advantage with. 7>21>200 Target R124.33