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Kelly

Kelly Criterion: Why YOLO Trading FailsThe Kelly Criterion is a formula that calculates the optimal bet size based on known probabilities that maximizes gains while minimizing ruin... or not getting “rekt” . When we read social media and see infographics of "if you had just invested all your money into THIS you'd have THAT MUCH" it is tempting to dream about how rich we could be just betting BIG . Unfortunately in the real world statistics tell us that this is rarely the truth. However, statistics can tell us what we should do...
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by norok
9
XLMUSD Buy strategy (Investor style)BITTREX:XLMUSD Trend - Uptrend in major timeframe could confirm when price breakout / stand over 0.5 Possibility - Range in 0.25-0.5 waiting for market choose direction Key support - resistance - 0.25 Latest Low - 0.35 ( 61.8% retracement from All Time High) - 0.5 ( 50% retracement from All Time High) Chance for investor Entry - Buy zone : 0.25-0.5 TP : All Time High , All Time High+ SL : 0 (Leverage 1-1 Buy and hold) - For high volatile product Risk-Reward - Expected Return At Entry point 50% All time high ,TP at All Time High - RiskReward=1, (if TP higher than All Time High : RiskReward will be 1.x ) Buy margin $1000 at 50%All Time High can growth up to $2000 at All time high - You could gain Risk-Reward by Buy below it (50%) Money-portfolio management SL=0, Margin use 10-35% of portfolio ex. Portfolio size $10000 , use 10% ($1000) as Margin to trade XLMUSD by SL=0 - Can gain risk up to 10-35% (kelly criterion) Notes - Trader could use Grid strategy to generate cashflow/Collect coin-CFD contract at Grid 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.40, - Cashflow can generate capital-margin for position at 0.5 or lower - Invest with size that you could accept loss - This strategy is good for investor whom believe in performance of product XLMUSD - longterm
BITTREX:XLMUSDLong
by investorresource
XRPUSD Buy Strategy (investor style)BITFINEX:XRPUSD Trend - Uptrend in major timeframe could confirm when price breakout / stand over 1.2 Possibility - Range in 1.2 - 0.7 waiting for market choose direction Key support - resistance - 1.2 (61.8% retracement from All Time High) - 0.7 Latest Low Chance Entry - Buy zone : 0.7-1.2 TP : All Time High , All Time High+ SL : 0 (Leverage 1-1 Buy and hold) - For high volatile product Risk-Reward - Expected Return At Entry point 50% All time high ,TP at All Time High - RiskReward=1, (if TP higher than All Time High : RiskReward will be 1.x ) Margin $1000 at 50%All Time High can growth up to $2000 at All time high - You could gain Risk-Reward by Buy below it (50%) money-portfolio management SL=0, Margin use 10-35% of portfolio ex. Portfolio size $10000 , use 10% ($1000) as Margin to trade XRPUSD by SL=0 - Can use up to 10-35% (kelly criterion) Notes - Trader could use Grid strategy to generate cashflow/Collect coin-CFD contract at Grid 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2, - Cashflow can generate capital-margin for position at 1.2 - Invest with size that you could accept loss - This strategy is good for investor whom believe in performance of product XRP/USD , and Ripple company (AS Value investor) - longterm
BITFINEX:XRPUSDLong
by investorresource
ETH Buy zone in triangleTrend Can confirm uptrend in major time frame when price breakout/stand over 1000 Possibility Triangle in 700-850, waiting for pick direction (Breakout triangle) Chance for invest Buy zone 700-850, TP = All time high or All time high + Money management SL=0, Leverage 1-1 , for high volatile product Risk Reward 50% All time high = limit risk =1R, TP at All time high Risk Reward =1/1 = 1, TP higher Risk Reward > 1 Portfolio management Use 1-3% of Account Margin to risk in this product Notes - Can use Grid - entry , or Grid for generate Cash flow - Can use margin up to 10-35% (kelly criterion idea)
BITFINEX:ETHUSDLong
by investorresource