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DXY: Retracement possibly over, or in a sideways patternDownside is minimal, so I'll start buying back into my dollar positions gradually here. After today's close, we can start buying into new daily highs, with a stop under yesterday's low. It might fail, but eventually this approach will lead to an excellent trade. Alternatively to risking 0.5% each time and getting stopped until it goes, you could buy a wider stop position, gradually over a week. Risk in that case would be a $2.40 drop. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:DXYLong
by IvanLabrie
6
ETHEUR: Fiat chart looks strongIf we break out here we'll get a confirmation in the daily timeframe, although I suspect that we will remain sideways for longer, forming an accumulation range until the market is ready to advance. If we hold in this zone, we have more than enough reasons to hold our long term longs, and once the trend fires, we can focus on intermediate term and short term trading signals to complement our investment/position trade. Potential upside in the short term matches the monthly mode resistance, so it is extremely logical and likely to see price go back to the 10 handle or close. I'm interested in seeing if we eventually break it, and hold above, to confirm further, potentially incredible upside over time. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
18
BTCCNY: Daily updateThis is what we're looking at here. We're already in a full position, so, we're limited to use leverage to add trades here. We took a long, currently in profit, and we're aiming to book profits and reduce our long term position against resistance higher. We'd like to see the following happen next: No new lows after today. Daily close above 5175. Price not hitting going under 4811, and not hitting 3991 by the 16th (if #1 and #2 happen...naturally, this won't occur) Price return to 6300 give or take, within a few days, and then go up to test the PBOC key level. After this happens, we'll need to see how price action evolves, in which case, I'd favor booking profits from our longs, except for the core long term position of 15-30%. In my case, I aim to hold 20/20%, in ETH and BTC, and not close these until we achieve the long term targets described in my other charts. Good luck to us all. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
BLong
by IvanLabrie
48
BTCCNY: Intraday viewBTCCNY's correction appears to have ended, at least for now. We need to determine if it'll hold here, or break lower before finally resuming the long term advance. I'll monitor price action to manage my position size accordingly. I'm currently long, after trimming down to 20% exposure before the PBOC news fueled 37% decline, and added 60% gradually, over 3 days. Keep an eye on RgMov and volume and ATR here, for now, things are quiet, but this won't last. I expect to see a retest of 7498.90 in the short term, but what happens after that is yet to be seen, so, I'll look to reduce my long exposure back to 20% once we hit this target, or at least place a trailing stop loss, to reduce risk on part of my position. Remember to always hold 15-30% that you never sell, spot, no leverage, and no stop loss. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
BLong
by IvanLabrie
14
BTCCNY: PBOC key level, and daily buy signalWe have an interesting key level where price might gravitate around for a while, at 7498.90. I would expect this to be the bottom, and if we don't go any lower, but instead, make a new daily high today, or in the next few days, we'll get a bullish continuation signal in the daily timeframe. Since the timeframe in control is mostly the weekly, I won't use the tight stop loss this setup offers, but instead use my position sizing algorithm to determine how many coins to own at any given time, without using a stop. The only time I'd reccomend using a stop loss is if you want the market to take you out, at least with part of your positions, if, for instance you expect some kind of retracement but aren't sure when it can happen. This advice will prove specially useful with Bitcoin and Ethereum, since they are quite volatile. Tight stops will never work in these markets. I'm long with 65% of my capital, and I'll be adding the final 15% position today. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
BLong
by IvanLabrie
7
KSS: Good level to add to longs, or get in if flatI think we have good odds here. Risking a drop to 34.57 is conservative, you could also wager on price not going under 39.50 but I'd rather have more margin of error initially. I'm long from higher and doubled my position here since I think it's a low risk spot for the post earnings momentum to end. Within the next 3-5 days we should see price move higher. The estimated earnings level lies at 46.61, it's not yet confirmed but it should be close to where the last earnings release key level will be. A 2.8% to 5.6% position is fine for the first entry, to then add as you can reduce the stop loss distance with more confirmation of upside. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:KSSLong
by IvanLabrie
BTCARS: If in Argentina, buy some Bitcoin each monthIf you have saved money in metals, dollars, or stocks, you're in more or less good shape relative to the peso, but, Bitcoin will outperform most other markets, and will be a great store of wealth, for at least 15 to 30% of your wealth. You can save each month and add to your positions in BTC, or simply allocate some of your speculative resources to it for the long term. If we get any kind of correction we can add to it, but it's likely to keep trending higher and higher, so don't miss the boat if you haven't bought in yet. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
6
INTC/AMD and/or INTC/NVDAI think a rotation is in order here. INTC hasn't underperformed this two, and specially AMD like this in a long time. All timeframes look like this might be a bottom in the ratio, so, I'd reccomend swapping your $AMD for $INTC if you have any, and/or take the pair trade. As you know, I'm 10% long $INTC, and also shorting $NVDA, but I have no $AMD position. The $NVDA one will suffice, but I wanted to point this out to investors who might be holding $AMD, sell it while it's hot. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by IvanLabrie
2
ETH: Gradually building a 20% account positionI'm buying Ethereum gradually with BTC over two weeks. I think we'll form a strong base and rally once again, after having bottomed at the low volume support in the weekly chart here, in the fiat chart. RgMov shows an uptrend, we got oversold, broke the recent downtrend linear regression channel not only made a new weekly high but also expanded the weekly range. If we break above the uptrend mode, we'll be in good shape to rally over the 100 handle here in the long term, so, don't miss out on accumulating longs here, specially if you missed the first rally before the giant sideways consolidation phase. If you have insights regarding fundamentals for this move, or any comments, leave them below. Good luck and happy new year! Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
11
BTCCNY: 3 day timeframe sentiment analysisIn this chart I show you how RgMov tells me how far corrections in an uptrend can go. In the case of Bitcoin, declines of 20% in RgMov, set up a great buy after sentiment peaks before the market runs out of sellers, and thus, turns into fertile ground for a reversal to the upside. Since 2015's low in RgMov, the trend has been largely up, making any sizeable decline, an interesting buy. My posts have been mostly buy trades due to this fact, since I knew we would see prices climb back to all time highs over time. If you have been following my trades lately, you should be in good profit, and like me, holding a core long term position, of coins we own, and some cash to be able to add up to 80% account when needed. We often rebalance the position, switching back and forth between max and minimum exposure, but always keeping some, at least since the Bitfinex hack lows happened, when it was clear the long term charts were 100% bullish. Good luck and hope these observations help you. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
BLong
by IvanLabrie
3
NZDUSD: Once again, retracing for more shortsNZDUSD can be bought, it was a long against the trend a day or two ago, and if it stays above the 'Bullish if above level' you can hold longs in it and aim higher. If it breas the resistance above (the low of the Brexit day) it could go and test the 'Brexit key level' which is the level sitting at 0.71342. I don't think it can go into a full blown uptrend, but rather, start a significant retracement in a longer term and a much stronger and sharper downtrend. So this is probably just the beginning. You can either long here, buy dips, or if you're long, hold, look to add on dips and move stops to 0.69196. Risk 0.5-1% per trade entry, and aim to trail stops after we advance above resistance, and start thinking of shorting this market at 0.71342 with a wide stop. The preferred method would be to use no stop, and enter over 5 days after hitting this level, as long as we don't close above it, and then trade with a LOW above that range. Seeing new lows after we arrive there would confirm the downside is inminent, but we still need to see if we can in fact break that level. As you know, I'm long precious metals for a couple days now, that's why I didn't buy this pair which is highly correlated with gold anyway. I'm also long TLT as a hedge to my equity trades, which is also correlated to this risk off theme. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
Short
by IvanLabrie