Keylevels
7:1 Risk Reward Short To Major SupportYeah, so the chart most likely tells more than words. But, anyway, the last week closed as a bearish engulfing on a daily chart, and I expect this to be just a retest.
From swing high to swing low drawn fib retracement shows that the price is sitting on a 61.8 % fib, which gives us an excellent risk to reward to this trade as the stop loss is just slightly above it. Major support is most likely to be tested before the pair decides which way it will continue going.
Potential trade setup: EUR/GBP analysisPrice has tapped the 76.8% retracement line on a bigger time frame at the 0.89400 with last week candle closing as a spinning top hinting that there could be a reversal due to a slowdown in momentum of buyers however with this week candle looking like it could close as a bullish candle what would confirm a reversal is if this daily candle closes below 0.89302, what would invalidate this entry is if weekly candle closes above previous high to confirm further upward momentum.
Big Impulse Is Signaling Retracement Coming SoonSince I've been gone, gold decided to shoot for the moon. However, there looks like there was no pullback of any kind since its take off. The stutter step it did last week could be signaling the retracement is about to begin. So let's see how far will gold move for a big retest or something more.
BEAR TPS:
1337.50
1326.14
1319.26
1311.11
I have to wait a little longer to determine the BULL TPs fully. For now, I'll begin these TPs at 1326.14 and post new ones if it breaks that daily SR level:
BULL TPS:
1335.26
1342.28
1357.17
Will continue to update this one more as the week continues. For now, I'm looking for the tumble down.
Continuation to The DownsideOverall move is still bearish.
But what we're looking at right here with this mini trendline is confirmation of a continuation to the downside. I only see two possible areas where it can still bounce up before rolling back down as a swing trade.
I looks like a possible double bottom formation could happen to create the bottom of a bearish harmonic, then continue the short. Or it can shoot back up close to the overall trendline before returning down.
And YES, I do believe we are going to see a return to the weekly level for my max TP.
BULL TPS:
0.94094
If breaks through...
0.95180 for bearish harmonic
0.95521 to prepare for next drop
BEAR TPS:
Based from current trendline at price...
0.94527
0.94227
0.93688
From the possible harmonic...
0.94904
Continuation for the ShortMy harmonic was too small apparently for last week's markup because it created a bigger one off the weekly for a 140+ drop. So marked it up for this week analysis.
The bearish trendline is major respected thanks to the long wick rejection from the 1.51498 area.
Price even broke through a solid support level at 1.50138 to confirm we are in a downtrend.
Looking for a pullback to 1.50138 or monthly zone in red before continuing further down.
BEAR TPS:
1.49906
1.49292
If breaks though weekly...
1.48805
Direction Depends on Respect or Reject of CountertrendlineThis was a slow moving pair for the last couple of weeks. It got a mini jolt late last week, so let's see will it continue further down, or just find the strength to keep on climbing.
Looking for multiple tests on the counter trendline to see if the price will breakout for the return to the weekly, or respect it and keep tumbling down to the daily level and bottom of the wedge below.
BULL TPS:
111.834
112.125
If price breaks out of top overall trendline...
112.564
112.938
BEAR TPS:
111.055
If breaks out of bottom overall trendline
110.703
110.273
Continuation off Bullish HarmonicThis one depends on if price will support or breakthrough monthly support/resistance and trendline to determine clear direction.
Would like to see the harmonic fully respected all the way to 1.502034.
If monthly SR and trendline broken, looking for a target tp around 1.492892.
BULL TPS:
From the monthly SR area...
1.50823
1.51084
1.51332
1.51498
target tp 1.52034
BEAR TPS:
If the monthly SR and trendline is broken through...
1.49906
1.49292
May Dance in Wedge If Doesn't BreakoutWedge formation can be seen on weekly and daily. Not full enough for the breakout yet, but have to wait and see what price does for now. In the meantime, the wedge may not even be broken this week. Currently, waiting for breakout or rejection of overall trendline.
BEAR TPS:
If overall trendline respected...
83.598
83.383
83.078
82.753
Must break trendline to reach these TPs...
BULL TPS:
84.405
84.889
85.691
Breakout of Wedge Coming SoonCurrently, price has the option of supporting or breaking through the counter trendline to determine which daily SR level it will go to. The overall move on the chart is bearish, but do not know how much longer this flag will go.
BEAR TPS/b]
0.74605
0.74422 if the counter TR is broken
0.74220
0.73982
BULL TPS:
0.74932
0.75180
0.75267
Pullback Coming for Continuation UpSince in a 4hr resistance zone, Awaiting the pullback sine price got exhausted around this area last week. Then a continuation back up around mid-week.
BEAR TPS:
111.498
111.055
BULL TPS:
All dependent on where price turns around
target TP:0112.125
112.054
111.732
111.393
NZDCAD SHORT ORDER IMMINENT! 0.91800Good evening from the UK. Its been a while since I've posted a trade on NZDCAD. Reason being the price was moving sideways for a considerable amount of time. 0.9100 was acting as a Physiological key level which was rejected a break above for around 2 months. the previous restiance has beeb broken and is now acting as a support barrier for the pair.
We have now spiralled into a uptrend channel. creating good swings higher highs and high lows. before a touch of my trendily to the upside for a first touch i have some major barrier in the way. The blue Horizontal line at 0.9250 is a monthly key level which should hold price up in the short term. The week closure for NZDCAD was very bullish therefore the bulls may not be finishing yet however I do see price pushing a few pips higher and being "overbought and retrace a good 80 pips minimum before any upside momentum.
Guys after 1 week of good research and understanding I've done a lot of back testing and implemented the RSI indicator into my trading. Im not going to tell you its main functions thats for you to find out. You finding out will be beneficial for your trading growth and development if new to the market. RSI indicator signals a sense of the pair being exhausted, oversold and expecting a correcting to the downside.
Lets see how this goes. Have a great week of trading.
Waiting for News to Determine Price DirectionUSDJPY is in a multi-day range, which means that the breakout will last for several days as well. All JPY pairs have been bullish for a moment. Bouncing against trendline several times, so a breakout is due this week. But which direction? News for USD will move this chart fully beginning Tuesday's New York session. So not trading this until Tuesday morning. (I'm really hoping for a sell)
Possible Tps if a sell:
110.366
110.087
109.809
109.489
Possible Tps if a buy:
110.964
111.324
111.947
112.125