Kiwidollar
NZDUSD | Ascending Channel Formation..!!#NZDUSD (update)
Moving in Ascending Channel Pattern from last 6 Months.
RSI Printing Bearish Divergence.
If NZD Respects the Channel Formation, then It Might form Higher Low (Might test the 0.6450 Area)
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NZD/USD UPDATE ! That was close I made an analysis yesterday on the NZD/USD talking about a possible sell for the market but jeez we almost got stopped out ,you can look for yourself. I mean talk about a fractional pip haha...
Luckily we saw price reverse but we are not out of the danger zone yet (are we ever) price reversed but it can possibly find support at the trendline it closed above.
ONLY TIME WILL TELL US NOW.
Comment down below your thoughts...
AUD/NZD flag for possible upside to 1.073Hello Fellow Trader!
AUD/NZD sitting at the lower Bollinger band on the daily chart clustering with 200 EMA.
Price also break above 1 – hour time frame trend line, and 15-minute chart showing a flag for possible upside. Wait for a clean break of flat for AUD/NZD execution.
Key Points:
- Daily – Price at 200 EMA
- Daily – Price at lower Bollinger band
- 1 – Hour - Price above trend line
- Consolidating into a possible flag for upside
- Watching 50 EMA to reclaim
- Wait for a solid close above the flag
Key Levels:
Support – 1.06925, 1.06790
Resistance – 1.07300
Entry Zone:
Optimal entry provides the greatest reward to risk ratio while supporting entry is a zone for reversal signals.
Optimal Entry – 1.07019
Candle Reversals for entry
- Bullish Hammer
- Bullish Engulfing
- Bullish Piercing
The Risk:
As traders, it is your job to mitigate the risk and only trade structures that provide high probability and great reward to risk ratios.
If you are not comfortable with defined exit levels, experiment with Moving Averages to help set solid exit rules to protect your capital.
IF: Price breaks below 1.06882 – this would suggest the structure is not in our favour and would be wise to reduce exposure or close the trade until a solid signal gives us reasons to re-enter.
Reward / Reward Targets:
Optimal Entry 1.07019 – Target 1 1.07300 = 2x Reward to Risk
Nzd / Usd is still looking for sell opportunities.Nzd / Usd is still looking for sell opportunities.
after this analysis is running
s3.tradingview.com
This pair seems to form a compression pattern, there are 2 points of view at this point that I find.
1. when the price is bumped by the blue line R (resistance) as a key level, then falls deep enough, the price will try to retrace back towards the blue trendline and then back down.
2. With the price being compressed, there is a high probability that it will compress at some point following the red line and come back down.
then what should be done? when is the best transaction that can be done?
we can sell when the price approaches the R area or touches the red upper line.
nzd / usd changes elliott wave notation.nzd / usd changes elliott wave notation.
After I observe, I will change the Elliott Wave notation for this pair, I estimate the impulse wave has finished with the formation of wave 5, currently wave a-b-c has been formed.
Will current prices return to impulse? or continue correction to form another a-b-c?
if the price does form a new impulse, then the positive price will break through 0.68200.
so we better observe first for further confirmation.
Quite a relief profit, 100pips is on the wayQuite a relief profit, 100pips is on the way
See the previous analysis at
s3.tradingview.com
Currently the price is quite close to the TP area, I still assume the price will go up, but stay alert if the trend starts to reverse direction.
there is a possibility, that this will form a channel like the one I drew above, it could also be that the price has not yet approached the channel I described but went straight down through the Validation Line.
in case the price goes down and breaks the validation line, then we can prepare for a trend change. let's take a look at the limits that I have created, while waiting for the confirmation that happens later
Nzd / Usd, has it entered a downtrend?Nzd / Usd, has it entered a downtrend?
if you look at the previous analysis,
currently it looks like it is forming a double top and the price is still stuck in the validation area, I see that there is still limited potential to go up again. most likely the price will go to 0.66800 in the near future.
SHORT PROS:
1. The price has reached the 3rd swing on a daily chart (Ascending channel).
2. Double-top formation on the weekly timeframe.
3. Structure within the structure (Rising wage within the ascending channel).
CONS: We are shorting a pullback, so have your SL in place. The USD Index is so volatile.