Pivot for Litecoin??Litecoin saw a nice pivot from the high $40's, meeting resistance around $54 or so before retracing to support at our level at $51.92. A green triangle on the KRI is confirming support, but we are looking a bit weak at the time of this writing. The Kovach OBV is still pretty flat, and if momentum stalls, we should see support at the base of the $50 handle, but after that there is a vacuum zone to $45.48. If we can pivot off current levels then $55.84 is the next target.
Kovach
Ethereum Presses HigherEthereum has gotten a nice pump. It has blasted through our upper level at $1235, only to meet stiff resistance just above that and retrace back to comfort just below that level. If we retrace further, we are likely to test the lower bound of the range at $1017. If momentum picks up again, the next target is $1341. The Kovach OBV is on a nice bull trend, but has since leveled off so a retracement is likely.
Bitcoin Rips, Meets ResistanceBitcoin saw a nice burst of momentum, and has blasted through resistance at $20.7K, testing the next level at $22.4K. We are currently seeing a red triangle on the KRI confirming resistance there, and have retraced a bit. It is unlikely BTC can muster the strength to press higher but if it does, the next target is $23.9K. If we retrace from here, $20.7K should provide support, but if not, there is a vacuum zone to $18.6K.
DXY RIPPING!!The DXY is ripping, and has blasted through our profit target at 107.20. We have since retraced, but are finding good support around this level. If momentum can continue, we should have no problems hitting our next profit target at 108.50. If we do retrace, watch the vacuum zone down to 106.13.
Stocks Press HigherThe S&P 500 is trekking up gradually, testing higher levels. we have solidified the 3800 handle, and if momentum continues, we could easily break through to the 3900's today. However, the bull rally does seem labored, with multiple red triangles on the KRI confirming resistance. We should see strong resistance at 3928 or 3937. A rejection could take us back to lower levels with 3737 a likely floor. If we are able to break out then 4009 is a likely target.
Litecoin Breakout??Litecoin is wavering in the $50's, at $50 exactly at the time of this writing. Volatility has drastically consolidated, however the Kovach OBV has flatlined, suggesting that we need more momentum to come through before anything exciting happens. If we breakout, then $55.84 is the next target. Otherwise, we can expect support at $45.48.
Ethereum Edges HigherEthereum is testing higher levels, tending toward $1200 at the time of this writing. We are just below a strong resistance level at $1235, and will have difficulties breaking through this level of resistance unless more momentum comes through. We are seeing red triangles on the KRI to confirm resistance. If we do reject current levels, $1017 is likely lower bound. However if we are able to break through then $1341 is the next target.
Bitcoin Tests Higher LevelsBitcoin is tending toward the upper bound of the range at $20.4K or so at the time of this writing. We are just below a strong level of resistance at $20.7K. If recent history serves as a good indicator, we should see strong resistance here, and are likely to reject this level, and test the lower bound of the range again at $20K or $19K. If we can muster a breakout, then $22.4K is a likely target.
Breakout for Stocks??Stocks are still broadly ranging, however the S&P is tending toward the upper bound of the range at 3867. We appear to be forming a bull wedge pattern, and the Kovach OBV is very bullish which could indicate a bull divergence. This could suggest that a breakout is imminent for stocks. If so 3937 is a good target. If we reject current levels, then the base of the range at 3737 or so is a likely target.
Gold Smashes Lower LevelsGold has fallen further, finding support exactly at our target that we identified yesterday at 1735. We are starting to see what could be the beginnings of a pivot, with a green triangle on the KRI suggesting we are finding support at this level. The Kovach OBV is very bearish, but has flatlined a bit which may indicate that the bleeding has stopped for now. If we do pivot from here, the mid 1700's should provide resistance with 1777 a likely ceiling for now. If we collapse further, we could find support at the base of the 1700 handle.
Litecoin Struggles to Maintain $50Litecoin has been trending downwards, breaking below our support levels in the $50's. We trekked briefly into the high $40's, finding support confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has flatlined suggesting we need more momentum to come through before we can anticipate any action. If so, the mid $50's seem like a good target. If we retrace further, we should have support from $45.48.
Ethereum Hangs on to $1100Ethereum has been meandering between the $1000's and the $1100's since the end of June. We saw quite a bit of resistance confirmed by red triangles on the KRI at $1100, but were able to break through. However, we fell short just below $1235, ranging about midway between this level and $1100. The lack of buying interest is concerning, but the consolidation of volatility may suggest a breakout is near. The Kovach OBV is trending upwards, suggesting a bull divergence. If so, $1235 is a likely ceiling.
Bitcoin Clings to $20KBitcoin has been wavering in the high $19K's and low $20K's since the end of June. We just have not seen much buying interest in crypto. Strength in the dollar and weakness in stocks seems to suggest we won't be seeing any massive pumps any time soon. If we do, $20.7K and $22.4K are the next targets. If we retrace, we should see support at $18.6K, then $17.6K. The Kovach OBV is steadily rising suggesting a bull divergence. If we do see a breakout, $22.4K is a likely ceiling.
Breakout Soon for Stocks??Stocks are wavering holding the range from the previous week. We are maintaining the value area between 3758 and 3848. The Kovach OBV is drifting upward, suggesting there is a bull divergence which may suggest a breakout is near. If so, 3937 is the next target. If we break down, we should expect support at the lower bound of the range at 3758, but if that does not hold, then 3694 would be a good candidate for a lower bound.
Gold PlummetsGold has plummeted, smashing through levels in the 1800's and upper 1700's. We finally found support around 1759, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has fallen off significantly, but does appear to be rounding off. If we do not find support here in the mid 1700's, we may find it in the 1740's or perhaps even at 1735. If we pivot from here, the next target is 1784.
Litecoin Finds Support in the Low $50'sLitecoin has made a brief attempt to solidify higher levels in the $50's, but $55.84 proved insurmountable and LTC swiftly rejected this level, heading back to comfort in the low $50's. We have added $50.64 as a technical level as it is a relative high from the June 16th, and is currently the price at which we are seeing support. The Kovach OBV has dropped off hard, which is a very bearish omen. If support at current levels does not hold, then $45.48 is the next target.
Ethereum Rejects $1100 😱📉Ethereum found support at $1017, and saw a brief pump which quickly faded. We found immediate resistance around $1100, a psychological level, and promptly returned to the mid $1K's. The lack of buying interest even at the base of the $1K handle is concerning, as is the lack of follow through with the brief pump we just saw. If $1017 does not hold, then $940 and $880 are the next levels of support below. If we are somehow able to rally past $1100, then $1235 will surely be a ceiling.
Brief Rally in Bitcoin Fades FastBitcoin had a nice pop to our level at $20.7K. As predicted, we saw resistance at that level, and it was swiftly struck down, back below $20K, which seems to be a barrier for Bitcoin right now. We are currently wavering in the $19K's, with little indication of another pump anytime soon. We have tested a lower level at $18.6K, and appear to be headed there once more, which is not a good sign. The floor for now should be $17.6K, but after that we have a vacuum zone down to $15.1K.
Can the US Dollar Make New Highs??The US dollar has gained considerable strength the past week. We have smashed through resistance in the 104's, to solidly regain the 105's. We are just shy of our target at 105.78. If we are able to break through 105.78, then 106.13 is our next target, set by Fibonacci extension levels. The next target is a bit further out at 107.20. If we retrace, we are likely to find support in the 104's, 104.83 and 104.53 in particular.
Oil Maintains Broad RangeOil rejected 113, and came crashing down through support at 106. It penetrated the vacuum zone between 101 and 106, but has since found support around 104, confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. We have subsequently seen a pivot back to 108, but appear to be finding resistance confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. If momentum continues then the next target is 111. It is likely that we will begin to equilibrate in the broad range between 101 and 113, so watch these levels for a potential mean reversion trade.
How Will Stocks Begin July?Stocks have begun July with a whimper so far, maintaining a very narrow range after selling off from the 3900's. We have found support in the mid 3700's, but appear to be forming a bear flag pattern. Volatility has consolidated which may portend a breakout. If so, we could make a run for the 3900's again, with 3825 and 3937 likely targets to the upside. If we sell off from here, then 3645 is a likely floor. The Kovach OBV has started to uptick slightly, which could indicate a bull divergence.
Gold Smashes Lower LevelsGold has begun the month of July with a massive selloff, giving up the 1800's entirely. We saw support at 1815, but that was quickly faded and we broke through to the value area between 1795 and 1815. However, 1795 did little to provide support and we have collapsed further to support in a cluster of levels between 1784 and 1795. It does look like we are finding support here, confirmed by a series of green triangles on the KRI. Additionally, we look quite oversold as confirmed by the Kovach OBV. Watch for a relief rally back to 1795. If gold continues to sell off, then 1777 is the next target.
Bonds Rip!!Bonds have soared, blasting through resistance at 118'04 and crossing the vacuum zone to 119'01. We anticipated resistance at 118'04, but momentum came through and we have broken through 119'01, meeting resistance just above this level confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has picked up, and should momentum continue, we should be able to hit 119'23, the next level. If we retrace, watch the vacuum zone below to 118'04.