BP approaching support, potential bounce! BP is approaching our first support at 23.73 (horizontal swing low support, 100% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 27.11 (horizontal pullback resistance,38.2% fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is also approaching support where we might see a corresponding bounce in price.
KR
KR approaching resistance, potential drop! KR is approaching our first resistance at 29.55 (horizontal swing high resistance, 61.8% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 27.57 (horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price.
KR approahching support, potnetial bounce! KR is approaching our first support at 26.20 (horizontal overlap support, 61.8%, 50% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8 %Fibonacci extension) and price might bounce to our first resistance at 29.54 (horizontal swing high resistance, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching suppport.
KR Approaching Support, Potential Bounce!KR is approaching support at 27.95 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support, ascending support line) where it could potentially rise to its resistance at 30.43 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
RSI (34, 5, 3) is being held up by a ascending support line as well.
KR Bounced Off Support, Potential Rise!KR bounced nicely off its support at 28.45 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support, ascending channel support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 30.93 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance).
RSI (34, 5, 3) is being held up by a corresponding ascending support line.
THE WEEK AHEAD: ORCL, KR EARNINGS: EWZ, TSLA, CRONEarnings:
ORCL: Announces Thursday after market. Rank/IV: 74/31. Sept 21st 68% Probability of Profit 20 delta 45/50.5 short strangle: .79 credit.
KR: Announces Thursday before market. Rank/IV: 54/37. Sept 21st 72% Probability of Profit 20 delta 30/35 short strangles: .60 credit.
Non-Earnings:
EWZ: Rank/IV: 97/48
TSLA: Rank/IV: 95/57
GDX: Rank/IV: 68/30
USO: Rank/IV: 62/26
FXE: Rank/IV: 53/8
Others of Note:
CRON: Background IV at 138% on volume of 24.1 million shares. Oct 19th 70% Probability of Profit 9/19 short strangle: 1.30 credit.
See also (for other cannabis-related underlyings):
TLRY: Background IV at 135% on volume of 9.02 million shares.
CGC: Background IV at 98.5% on volume of 13.1 million shares.
Kroger Short-Term RetracementI am not licensed or certified by any individual or institution to give financial advice. I am not a professional Stock trader.
I think Kroger will have a brief retracement, or go sideways for the next few days or couple of weeks. Today (Monday, January 22, 2018) it formed a Hanging Man Candlestick. This is often a sign of reversal, but not always. The green trendline (bottom) I have drawn is based off the bottom wicks/shadows/tails of candlesticks (primarily January 04 and January 10 of this year). The orange trendline (top) is drawn off the actual bodies of candlesticks, rather than their wicks. Either of these could provide a support base for Kroger to once again continue bullish; or again go up only to hit pause on the blue horizontal line ($29.78ish) which seems to have snagged it as resistance for the past couple of trading days, but was also briefly acting as support back in June 2017.
I don't currently hold any positions in Kroger, but may consider a Put or two if it does start to follow my prediction.
Portfolio Position: Kroger Company (NYSE:KR)Kroger operates over 2,790 retail food stores alongside pharmacies, fine jewelry, health clinics and food production facilities.
The company's share price has suffered in the past 2 years on behalf of rising concern of stiff competition and recently on the news of Amazon buying Whole Foods, being seen by analysts as having the most to lose from the tech behemoth's foray into the mass market supermarket grocery industry.
Favorable Factors Impacting Kroger:
Individual Royalties
Kroger has faced off competition with smart pricing performance to enhance their competitive edge and works on expanding stores and facilities to penetrate new markets.
Acquisition Synergies
The company has worked to grow inorganically through strategic acquisitions that fit their grocery and in-store pharmacies, like their recent ModernHEALTH acquisiton.
Foreign Currency
Kroger should benefit from the recent descent in the value of the USD creating a better imports environment and reducing purchasing power for the US Consumer.
Low Inflation
Besides boosting assets prices vs. consumer goods prices, forces retail companies to favor cash hording instead of capital investment. Kroger has seen this effect as stagnant product price growth has limited its natural growth factors and lowered investment.
Oil Prices
The historically low price of oil throughout 2016 and 2017 has been good for retail companies with lower delivery and transportation costs and higher spending by the US Consumer, who look to spend the money saved at the pump with lower gasoline prices. This factor has favorably influenced Kroger's sales and, with oil prices expected to remain relatively low, will remain a favorable condition in the years to come.
Investment Risks:
Competition
Kroger's number 1 risk is competition. With Amazon's $AMZN recent acquisition of Whole Foods there is worry that customers will be drawn away. This is evident by recent reports of traffic monitoring firms, yet I believe these fears are overdone and pricing will remain the major driver and not brand recognition. The company's strong eCommerce capabilities will battle Amazon's Whole Foods.
Pricing Pressure
The company's efforts to compete by lowering prices hurt their bottom line, shrinking 2016 EPS over 30% and 2017 EPS over 11%. Although management has committed to cutting costs and boosting operational efficiency, it's hard to see significant upside until eCommerce maturation.
Conclusion:
I believe the company is way undervalued at current levels.
While you wait, the company pays an easily sustainable $0.125/quarter dividend, amounting to a 2.43% annual yield.
I'm starting the company with a $30 price target into Q2 2018 with a Strong Buy.
Ultimately down the line, I believe Kroger will conservatively be trading over $45/share.
For the full article: seekingalpha.com
KR Bullish SwingThis is a trade that I actually set up on the morning of the gap up (6/17/17). It was triggered later that day and has now formed a flag pattern with a really nice indecision candle today. If we break today's high, should hit my 2R target before running in to the 10 EMA on the daily without a problem. Sitting at a massively strong support level. My original stop was below the low of 6/16/17 and has now been moved up to just below the support/resistance line. With 2 major gap down days in a row earlier this month, KR seems to be overextended. Ultimate target could be around $28.92 if you have the patience.