Labrietrading
$DXY: Down trend continues...Looks like the recent rally in the Dollar came to an abrupt end a while back, we had a substantial move up in Gold, Silver, Bitcoin and foreign currencies vs it so far, now we get further confirmation of the coming decline in it, today a daily signal will trigger on close, and this week, a large weekly signal might confirm as well. All hinges on FOMC's outlook, but I suspect it's already a done deal (will further accelerate Dollar weakness likely).
Likely a good idea to not own cash going forward, and rather own assets. That's the message here.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$BTCUSD: Long term projectionHistorical projection for #Bitcoin here, it is acting in a way that makes me think we saw a long term bottom already, weekly trends have worked well, could go sideways here, for a while, but daily trend is bullish currently. I remain long and patient, but not using leverage at all...The daily trend suggests we could see 31k soon but price needs to hold over yesterday's low pretty much for that to remain valid. Weekly target was reached today, and price retreated since, so I have a slight suspicion that it might remain sideways for weeks to form a new trend signal from this zone, provided the trend stays up.
The bear case is if price doesn't remain contained sideways and instead drops gradually towards 22500 within many weeks, that would be the worst case scenario here. Let's see how it shapes up, best of luck!
This might give ALTBTC pairs a chance to shine, provided trend remains up and #Bitcoin stays sideways, my automated alerts for crypto pairs will prove to be tremendously useful here.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$PAAS: Weekly trend confirms on close, daily bullishI like the setup in $PAAS here to get some #Silver exposure now that silver's trend is bullish in the daily and weekly can fire a spectacular signal in it soon.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$PFE: Trend signal predicts a bottom$PFE has a similar setup to $MRNA here, both are attractive buys from a valuation and technical standpoint here and have been beaten down lately due to the situation with rates, banking woes and negative news about COVID vaccines, COVID lock downs, etc. (a general more negative perception of health measures taken by the US govt since 2020 likely part of the reason for the decline here)
The companies still have valuable IP and profitable businesses that can rerate higher over time, specially now that the broad market appears to be trending up long term again.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$HACK: Cybersecurity is a good position to haveI like the idea of keeping 10% in this ETF, and periodically selling calls OTM each month as a way to generate extra yield on the capital allocated to it.
The recent Vulkan Files leak might serve as a short term catalyst, but the technicals were already favoring strong upside from this base before, and broad market conditions favor a bull market resurgence.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$BABA: Strong baseI like the $BABA base that triggered a huge uptrend signal after news of the company being broken down in child companies for each main division by the govt., which would give investors exposure to potentially larger growth potential in each of them separately, rather than as a conglomerate. I have a small long term position but looking to increase exposure on any dip here.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$KPTI: Low risk buy signalNice setup in $KPTI, I suggest buying these names with small positions considering the volatility that can occur after catalysts when new data is released, or around FDA approvals, etc.
Upside can be substantial though, so if technicals and fundamentals align, it's worth keeping some exposure.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$AAPL: Low risk trend signalThere's a nice trend signal in $AAPL here, every single one of these has worked historically, pretty decent odds it can rally substantially from here. Additionally, what does this say for the broad market if many stocks have such long term signals indicating strong upside coming in the near term? (it seems people are sidelined, in money market funds, we seem to have shaken everyone out recently, seems promising!)
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$TH: Strong trend with low riskTarget Hospitality is a company that provides modular accommodations and services for various industries, such as energy, government, and construction. The company has a large share of its revenue coming from government contracts, which are long-term and stable sources of income. The company has recently secured a government contract with a minimum value of $575 million, which accounts for about 73% of its expected 2022 revenue. The company also raised its full year 2021 financial outlook by 7% for revenue and 9% for adjusted EBITDA, reflecting strong customer demand and cash flow generation.
It has a diversified customer base across different sectors and regions, reducing its exposure to any single market or customer.
It has high barriers to entry due to its scale, network, quality, and safety standards, giving it a competitive advantage over other providers of modular accommodations.
It has a strong balance sheet with low debt and high liquidity, allowing it to invest in growth opportunities and withstand any market volatility.
It has attractive valuation metrics compared to its peers, such as price-to-earnings ratio (P/E), price-to-cash flow ratio (P/CF), and enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio (EV/EBITDA).
It benefits from macro trends such as increased government spending on infrastructure projects, defense initiatives, border security, disaster relief, and environmental protection. These trends could boost the demand for Target Hospitality’s services and create new opportunities for expansion.
Last but not least: the weekly and monthly chart are trending up steadily and it was exhibiting relative strength during recent market weakness.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$AMD: Long term trend is up$AMD is a leading chipmaker that provides processors for various applications of generative AI, such as ChatGPT, Bing, and Bard. Generative AI is a technology that can create new content based on existing data, such as text, code, images, and music. ChatGPT is a generative AI model that can write prose, code, and much more. It has been hailed as the most powerful and unpredictable technology of this generation. Generative AI has the potential to revolutionize and expand the creator economy by enabling new forms of expression and innovation. It can also improve efficiency and productivity in various sectors by automating tasks and generating insights. By adopting generative AI, chatgpt can transform the economy with higher efficiency, which allows economic growth despite slowing demographics long term. $AMD benefits from this trend by providing high-performance chips that power generative AI applications and platforms.
$AMD seems ready to rally steadily from here, long term trend is up and we should participate on the upside with low risk entries like this one. Try to not miss out on this one.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$COIN: weekly trend signal, could be a substantial bottomI think odds are good that Coinbase has bottomed for the first time since IPO. Worth a shot on the long side here, I like that they are planning to diversify away from US as jurisdiction and embrace international clients in a safer location allowing them to expand their offerings into lending, derivatives and whatnot.
Chart setup is very good and it should mostly correlate #Bitcoin and #miner charts so it's likely a good addition to a portfolio with exposure to crypto.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$SBSW: Sibanye looks strong here, low risk reversalInteresting play to join the trend in metals. Sibanye Stillwater Limited is a company that mines and recycles precious metals like gold, platinum, palladium, and rhodium in different countries. It also has projects to find more metals like lithium, copper, and cobalt. It started in 2013 and is based in South Africa.
$SBSW shows signs of a reversal of the recent bearish trend, could move big if it kick starts a bullish trend here. Risk is a drop under the consolidation area, upside is open ended if it behaves as per the arrows on chart.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$ETHUSDT: 3-day trend is bullish, weekly will be soon...I think #Ethereum is likely to pull off the same signal confirmation as #Bitcoin did today, I'm already long from a lower timeframe trend signal, so will let this one play out.
If above $1806.13 during this week, the signal here will be fully confirmed, which could have interesting ramifications as it could trigger a longer term signal as well.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$MSFT: Buy the dip to join the trend#Microsoft has a very interesting weekly uptrend signal active here, while the daily has just had a correction that ran its course. This gives us an interesting reward to risk entry to join the weekly trend at a more favorable reward to risk spot.
It's interesting how $GOOGL's monopoly in search being disrupted might affect things going forward also. On one hand, $MSFT has a chance at gaining ground in advertising and $GOOGL a chance to take a huge hit to their search margins if forced to integrate LLMs into it due to pressure from $MSFT (it was a big number, +30% hit). This might kick start some soul searching in $GOOGL, since they had been quite complacent and developed a ton of fluff thanks to their dominant position in search favoring it, a lot of excess they needed to shake off (head count, ridiculous woke practices and divisions burning $ for no reason like Waymo or miraculous anti aging methods to name a few, lots and lots of fat to shed).
$MSFT has done a better job in that regard, and are well positioned thanks to their subscription service model producing recurrent revenues and cash generation. Of the two, $MSFT is better run, by a lot...
Technically, $GOOGL is below weekly support while $MSFT is in a weekly uptrend and erased a recent monthly decline.
All things considered from a long term perspective I would be inclined to invest in $MSFT long term here, rather than $GOOGL, and the entry point here seems to be low risk vs potential reward, even in the short and mid term. It's certainly worth considering.
Best of luck if you do follow this buy signal.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$CL_F: Oil is flashing a bearish signalStagflation bros in shambles...Crude oil seems likely to collapse from here, which might be a tailwind for earnings over time. Inflation hysteria had reached insane levels, and perma bears and perma oil bull Canadian Fintwit types/value investors and other assorted flavors of losers of the 2009-2021 market had flocked to the theory that we would get stagflation and a period like the 70s. I know I've had my fair share of doubts regarding that but oil's chart is clear now, how can inflation go rampant with falling oil? Seems unlikely and probably a signal pointing to weaker demand than anticipated. I guess the easy market conditions for people shorting, bag holding oil or coal stocks, etc. are likely over here. Swings offered will be profitable but hard to capture if you're dogmatic about your market analysis and not flexible and paying attention to charts and ever changing conditions and news.
My take is over time we have a series of tailwinds for the economy (like oil and the big fall in the dollar from the top) that will contribute to re-rating of asset prices this year.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.