Lucid at oversold extremes.Lucid Group - 30D - We look to Buy at 13.61 (stop at 12.59)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
13.25 has been pivotal.
Bespoke support is located at 14.00.
Support could prove difficult to breakdown.
We look to buy dips.
Prices have reacted from 13.53.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Our profit targets will be 16.08 and 16.98
Resistance: 16.00 / 17.50 / 19.00
Support: 14.00 / 13.25 / 12.00
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LCD
Strong Fundamentals on LG Display going into 2022The fundamentals of LG Display are strong going into 2022. The growing Metaverse trend with virtual reality is opening a new source of revenue for OLED Panels. Electric Vehicle producers like GM are also choosing LGD to provide high-quality pOLED and OLED displays for their new Electric Fleet. It's crazy that LGD is priced like a growth stock given how booming the Display market is projected to be. Currently, LGD is also trading at a 5 P/E ratio and 1.68 eps.
COHERENT: The Nested "Mega" Cup Breakout - 2018 PT: $415So, I tried doing as much research into what a backwards Cup & Handle pattern is, or if such a thing is actually a "thing" and just gave up. If anyone has any insight or experience with them, I would love to hear it and learn please.
I believe the tariff and trade war narratives are artifically overblown. There is no way two super powers are genuinely going to break the global economy rather than find a way to profit off the volatility and enrich those who've positioned themselves strategically. Demand isn't going to diminish, people will pay for COHR's products globally. The first cup will fill in back to a comfortable $220 level that rides along the yellow, long-term baseline. Momentum from the cup filling back in will spark money to pour back in around September, right when most of the tariff news should have run its course and been sorted. This money will rally the stock up towards the $280-300 range (Golden Cross in play at this point?) and news of the next iPhone and other products coming for Holiday 2018 from other companies will have dropped.
Seeing the epic rally back up will fill the Mega Cup and once the stock has retraced back up to $320 around November, the moon shot rally upwards towards $400 will take off. Volatility will no doubt be in play from midterms, so people seeking a safe, grounded, albeit "expensive" trade may consider entering at this point. If sentiment after the midterms is high for economic expansion both domestically and globally, I don't see $400 being out of the question if the volume is there. Banks and financials will have had to recover some, the third rate hike should have taken place, commodities index should have recovered and emerging markets should no longer be suffocating, so that they can also participate in the global growth story and contribute to the 2H18 cycle. It sounds like a lot, but the windows are all there and slowly moving towards each other to line up. If COHR was being manipulated for a "perfect" trade, then this may well be where it was designed to go.
(ADDITIONAL NOTES)
COHR was flying last year, in part because of the OLED ramp up, but the Rofin acquisition was also in play. Coherent is a well diversified, educated and disciplined company. Earlier this year, the drama/rumors of the iPhone X being a failure began to spread and tank both Apple stock and perceived OLED demand. Both OLED and COHR got slammed relentlessly. Price dropped under $240 and expected to slow down. Resistance was found around $210, but it took another dive, as it is not regularly followed. I don't believe it has a lot of exposure through ETFs and other index funds either. Stocks with less exposure and coverage aren't "cool" or "fun" to watch, let alone invest in. Without any real coverage or news from Coherent themselves, the stock went into another free fall into levels not seen since the end of 2016. The stock carries a "BUY" recommendation across the board.
1) "...Apple is planning to get LG as its second OLED supplier for its OLED screens and will initially deliver between 2 and 4 million units....Related sources claim that LG Display wants to take a bigger cut, but it's not ready to meet the full demand for OLED panels."
2) "In October 2017 Japan Display has decided to halt its plans to turn its minority stake at JOLED into a majority one, and so JOLED started to seek external financing to support its plan to start mass producing OLEDs in 2019 at the JDI plant in Nomi, Ishikawa."
3) "...(China) also approved...a $2.3 billion joint venture organic light-emitting diode (OLED) plant to be built by South Korea's LG Display Co Ltd (LPL)."
OLED isn't just phones or TVs. It's also automobiles (CES made that very clear) wearables and displays on just about anything. Micro-LEDs will eventually come and COHR is aware and ready. I firmly believe there is going to be at least one more, powerful OLED ramp up to prep for 2019/2020 production rates.
VECO: A 2019 Play w/ Short Term Technicals for PT of $21.60The Veeco story is not a happy one over a lifetime analysis. However, it is still one of the major players in display, including OLED and has recently had a string of positive momentum related news. Their earnings calls are ripe with hints at a strong play going into 2019, but this year they should be seen as a short term, technical trade that can ride strong waves upward.
Based on historic ranges within the stock, some short and mid term fibonacci levels, and some strong demand for OLED in 2018, VECO is trading within a sustained channel during this year of volatility. It can easily come back to its lower end of trend trading and we know how stocks behave as they cross Fib lines. Before the tariffs and Syria news hit, this stock was on a mission to cross the $21 range. Now, with it being knocked down, it's good for a few short term gains that can be stacked for other ideas.
The market is finally stabilizing some and hopefully Syria become a neutral issue as earnings season starts up. Moving into the Summer, I feel this is a sure trade for the company, as it's not a bad story and any news is good news for Veeco. It can ride sector momentum up at any time as well and reach even $22. Don't be greedy and take what you want after crossing $21.
GNTX: A Leader, Stable & Resilient Smart Car Play; AMAT Alt IdeaDuring CES 2018, I was on a mission to hunt down companies that exuded a sense of advancement, foresight and trend setting. Gentex was one such company that I'd never heard of, but given their gorgeous expo display, helpful reps, consistent crowds and the shiny Land Rover sitting idly by, I had to investigate. They are an absolute market leader in rear view mirror tech and other sensor/camera/material plays that integrate into the Smart Car sector. Gentex is NOT a company you trade, nor really pay attention to unless you're an institutional player in the sector. Trend lines show steady growth with a nice, higher trend coming out of 2017 that has held for the most part in 2018, but it doesn't really matter. GNTX is a stud that I find recommending if people are fans of AMAT because of the stable, consistent trends. It won't breakout without some outstanding news, but it also won't drop hard during a period of volatility.
GNTX has an amazing market position, solid financials, competent leadership, lucrative R&D and powerful partnerships moving forward. Not a lot of coverage can be found for it, but anyone taking a peek has come to the same, humble, steady conclusion. GNTX is a good money hideout and long, LONG term investment as the Smart Car sector plays out. Excessive fragmentation and regulation is crippling the data portion of it, but GNTX is participating in a more tangible and familiar area.