Will lean hog catch up?The commodities market is a close-knit one, with the price hike in one commodity often affecting another. Such correlation is evident in agricultural products such as soybean meals, corn, and lean hogs.
Lean hog prices are highly correlated with Soybean Meal and Corn as young feeder pigs are fed a diet of roughly 70% corn and 30% soybean meal. As such when corn and soybean prices rise, lean hog prices often follow suit.
As spelt out in some of our previous ideas , we think agricultural commodities are due for a rally amid the backdrop of supply chain constraints arising from the Russian-Ukraine crisis, and high fertilizer costs (due to surging natural gas prices) which in turn feed into crop planting cost. Over the past 3 weeks, most agricultural products staged a rebound with Soybean Meal and Corn getting in on the action as well.
The rally resulted in Corn prices up 15% and Soybean Meal prices up 10% from 3 weeks ago while lean hog prices lagged, moving only 4.4%. Thus, we think that lean hog prices have room for more upside.
Looking at the chart of HEZ2022, we see the lean hog December 2022 futures breaking out of the range established from the start of the year and coming back to retest the range-high. We see this as support for lean hog prices to break up.
Should agricultural commodities continue their rally, higher feed cost would be translated into high lean hog prices.
Spread Entry at 90.250, stops at 87.850. Targets at 95.
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Reference:
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Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
Leanhogsfutures
waiting for HEN2020-HEV2020 to entry There is a big potential for the gorwth of this spread. Normal price difference of those 2 contract months is 10 points. (1pt = 400$)
I will have eye on this spread since i see it as a huuge oportunity, which i do not want to miss.
SL could be set below the recent low: -4.7
PT could be: 5-10
As i already have some contracts of this spread, i will add another contract after the spread close above that indicated level.
I do not recommend to anyone to hold the position as i am doing, because i have a big account and many experiences to manage risk.
But who is looking for good trade, there could be one within days.
Good luck to everyone.
LEAN HOGS FUTURES (HE1!) DailyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
LEAN HOGS FTURES (HE1!) MonthlyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing dates. The Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames.
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
LEAN HOGS FTURES (HE1!) WeeklyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing dates. The Djinn Indicators work on all charts, in all asset categories and in all time frames.
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
LEAN HOGS FUTURES (HE1!) DailyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing dates. The Djinn Indicators work on all charts, in all asset categories and in all time frames.
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.