EURUSD - 11 Steps to successfully place a Trade - with MTFA Hi Traders!
The EURUSD is in an overall Uptrend.
Firstly, let's find out what the 11 Steps are and why they're so important:
We seperated the Steps into two categories, the "Outside the Watchlist" part and the "Analysing the pair" part.
"Outside the Watchlist" --> This is the way of analysing. You should already have it in your mind.
So, you don't want to trade just "anything", you have a specific setup for which you must have the rules.
These rules contains the minimum Risk-to-Reward ratio, Market, Trending Stage, Timeframe, etc.
A: Detect the Trend:
If you don't know the trend, you don't know in which direction you want to trade.
It's just trying to find a restaurant without opening your Map. You have to declare the direction before you start to drive.
For declaring, you must analyse whether it is:
- in a Trend
- a Channel or
- a Range.
B: Do your MTFA
You have to know at which situation you are in the big picture to know what to do wisely in the shortterm Timeframe.
Imagine you hear a boy shouting: "I have an A+ in the last test!"
Do you know whether he is a good or a bad student just by hearing this sentence?
It could be his first A+ in this year or the ninth in a row.
C: NEVER BREAK YOUR RULES
There are hundreds and hundreds of Pro-Traders telling you exactly that. And the most of them are successful Traders.
There must be a reason behind it. If you aren't convinced, go and try it on your own. We wouldn't recommend that.
"Analysing the pair" --> Now after you understood the main points of the main structure, we can go deeper and
start analysing the pair.
1: Find Structure Levels:
Find Levels, which other Traders might consider too. Don't forget that there could be a reaction, both good and bad
for you. In addition, it is important to reduce to the main things only to keep a clear view at the market situation.
2: Detect usual behavior:
As mentioned before, you're looking for a specific trading setup.
When you back-/fortested it enough times, you can identify certain patterns, behaviors and effects.
For example, you noticed that after a Trend with a Trendline there is often a short Range with a Consolidation Box.
And after the Consolidation Box it turns over and moves down. So, you wait for a Range after a Trendline-Break.
3: Mark up for an Entry Trigger:
So, we already determined the usual behavior: It's the emergence of a Range.
Now you mark up the characteristic Levels of the Range: Support and Resistance.
Because you want to sell the market, you declare the Break of Support to your Entry Trigger.
4 & 5: Setting the TP and the SL
After declaring the Entry Trigger, you must now where and when to exit before you even place the trade.
For example: You get on the train. Do you think about getting off the train after you already entered?
Hopefully not! And that's the same for Trading.
6: Put the TP & SL into a Position Size Calculator
Now it is getting intresting. The first part was just theoretical.
But we want to actually trade the price. No later than entering your trade after the Entry Trigger
you have to set the Lot size. The problem is, that by not setting an equal Lotsize,
the calculation of the Risk-to-Reward ratio cannot mean anything.
If you risk more $ on one trade
and than on the other and both have the same risk-to-reward ratio, you could still lose money.
That's the failure of Money Management.
7: Wait for the Entry Trigger
This is a point which many Educators doesn't mention. It is a big danger to trade the price before the
market triggers the Entry Trigger. Because if you enter too early, chances are that the market
moves against you, because it is still tending to other Direction.
8: Place the Trade
Now you can be happy. You considered all the rules, you even waited for the Entry Trigger, you calculated your risk
and finally you can place the Trade. Even if it hits your SL : Be happy that this trade did not break any of these rules
and be proud of the preparation of it!
These were the 11 Steps on how to successfully place a Trade. We hope we helped you and that you learned something new.
If something is unclear, please don't hesitate to ask your question .
When you want to give Feedback or critizise anything important, please do that too!
Now we're going to share the screenshots of the MTFA. If you want to know more about anything, please let us know!
The timeframes are: Weekly Timeframe, Daily Timeframe, H4-Timeframe and H1-Timeframe.
Weekly:
Daily:
H4:
H1:
We recommend to trade the Break of the Trendline and the Range in combination with a candlestick pattern.
Thanks and successful Trading :)!
Learning
Learn how to create a setup using 5 price action itemsToday we will learn how to create a full setup using 5 Price Action items. This process will be made on the 1H chart and is extremely useful for Swing setups. However, the logic can be applied in any timeframe. This can also be applied to any direction today; we will work with a short setup, but it is the same for a long setup.
1) Daily Resistance zone: If we are working on the 1H chart and the price is about to face a Daily Resistance zone, we should expect a reaction there; WHY? Because The higher the timeframe of a level, the stronger it is, and we should be ready for a reaction there. This should be the first filter to use: The price is about to face a higher degree zone.
2)Define the minor support and resistances of the current trend: If we are waiting for a reaction on the Daily Resistance zone, it is essential to understand the levels we have on the current trend. WHY? Because we will use them to define the next target and the Corrective structure's location to trade.
3)Wait for the breakout of a relevant trendline: In this case, we want to see the price breaking the Ascending trendline; WHY? Because that would be a signal that the Reversal movement on the Daily level is going as expected. The breakout of the Ascending trendline is a key element: Know the conditions are optimal to start thinking on a short setup.
4) Wait for a corrective Structure on the minor Support zone: Corrective Structures are ABC or ABCDE patterns. You should be able to draw edges on that sideways movement. You can define that is ready when you have something like the example you see on the chart.
5) Now, everything is aligned to develop a setup. Your bearish idea is supported with all the previous 4 items; only at that moment you can say I will create a short setup. Define your entry-level below the structure or below "B, set your stop above "C". Define your Target on the next minor support/resistance zone. Pay attention to the risk-reward ratio you have; only take setups with a R/R ratio higher than 1.5
Thanks for reading! We hope this Template can help you with your trading.
Dream scenario: A valuable lessonBitcoin is a small 2% away from all time high. Now is a good time to look back on the past 3 years since it has gone mainstream. Many "strong hands" ended up selling right before the explosion up (the same people that criticized, insulted, reported and mocked me, while let me remind you I bought at the bottom of this explosion at ~12750 when many of them were selling "the top" and many others had already sold).
Not all the 2018 bulls have sold at the bottom, and not all have sold period. A whole lot sold near the bottom, or a little before, or a little after (even some "OGs" sold at 13k or less as the bull market was starting). But generally speaking the people that laughed at me were bullish during the entire bear market while I was bearish from March 2018 to some time in 2020 so the entire bear market, and they ended up exiting all or in part right as the new bull market was starting. Karma hits hard.
While the price going to zero after sucking the bear market bulls back in would be hilarious, where it is at now is sufficient for Bitcoin victims to draw some conclusions.
I will remind what the rules are (made an arbitrary list, those are the main ones that come to mind):
1- Do not lose money. Cut losses quickly. Have an intelligent position size.
2- Have a plan. Told some "experts" with 20 years experience that "you waited that long, why fomo in now?" back in early 2018, just got barked at.
3- Real traders goal is to make money. Victim's goal is to not miss out (and they end up missing out anyway).
4- Waiting for a big pullback for no reason is stupid.
5- Not waiting for a big pullback when one is likely is stupid.
6- Diversify. Even Mr concentration Warren Buffett diversifies (in assets, in industries, and over time).
7- If you find yourself getting influenced by the crowds, the media, etc: cut them off.
8- For stubborn people (you skipped 7 hopefully): well don't be too stubborn if the evidence is saying something different.
9- Brace yourselves for the boring saying we all heard 10 thousand times: there is no free lunch.
10- Run winners. If the price keeps going strongly up and you are on a weekly chart, why would you sell at 13k this year?
11- Use your head. I see so many mind-bogglingly stupid arguments and actions. To those people: make a damn effort, you can't be that dumb (right?).
12- Don't revenge trade: do not try to "get my money back NOW".
13- Revenge trade: If something keeps not working do something different, sometimes this is the opposite.
14- Do not try going too fast
15- Don't day trade
This is very helpful to people that held Bitcoin all of 2018-2019 and end up selling in 2020: www.nooooooooooooooo.com
How to use Corrective Structures to develop a SetupGreat day to learn something, today; we will understand how to use corrective structures to develop a setup on any chart.
a) There are 3 types of Corrective Structures, Zig-Zag (first example), Flat (Second Example), Triangles (third example). Use them as an archetype to spot them on a chart.
b) Now that you understand the types of corrective structures is time to look at one on the chart ( you can see a Flag Pattern on the real chart)
c) Should I trade all the corrective structures I see? NO, YOU DONT! You need Context. Your corrective structure must be well-positioned on the chart, it can be a Trendline, or it can be a Support. Never trade isolated patterns.
d) Then you need a clear path in the direction you are expecting. In this case, we are at All-time Highs, so we don't have any Resistance
e) How can I calculate my target? Use Fibonacci Extensions. Draw it from the base of the impulse towards its top (where the corrective structure starts) and then take it back to the impulse's bottom. Pay attention to 2 levels only 1.27 for Break Even, and 1.618 for Target
f) Only take setups with a risk-reward ratio higher than 1.5
Have a Great Day!!!
How to Trade the Breakout of a Range 101In this post, we will learn how to trade the breakout of a clear range. Let's start learning.
a) First of all, we need a clear Range ( we can say that is clear when we have a support and a resistance level and the price in between for a considerable amount of time)
b) From a technical perspective, the expected movement after a range is broken is the extension of it in the broken direction (green arrow)
c) Also, we will see how that projected movement fits in the context of the chart. In this case, we will look for the next resistance zone.
d) The correct way of identifying a resistance zone is by looking for clear reversal movements in the past. Ignore small corrections. Look for reversal movement and define it with a horizontal line ( in this case, we used 2 yellow arcs to show the idea)
e) Now you can see two things. 1) The projected distance of the range is very similar to the distance towards the next resistance zone 2) You have good space to try to catch a wave
f) But how can I trade a situation like this? You need a CONFIRMATION. In this case, we always wait for corrective structures (remember that corrective structures can be Flat, Zig Zag, Triangles, or Irregulars)
g) Wait for a clear corrective structure on the Edge of the broken Range. IF that happens, you need to define its edges, and from now, it's straightforward. (You can also look for a corrective structure on a lower timeframe; for example, if you define the range on the 4HS chart, you can change your timeframe to the 1H chart.)
h) Open positions on the Breakout of the structure, Set stop loss below the structure, Set take profit on the next resistance zone, Define the risk you will take on the trade
i) Use this as an archetype on how to trade this type of structure.
Have a great day!
Short pullback ETHusdt Etherium is looking really bullish for the last months, and I think Etherium will hold strong untill the end of the year.
But before the uptrend continues, I think Ehterium will go in a downtrend to the 320 usdt mark before continuing the uptrend.
This can be seen directly from the RSI, which represents hidden divergence in the last highs (marked in red).
I hope you like my idea,
If you do so please give me a comment on how I can improve my idea's.
I stepped into crypto a couple of months ago and want to learn as mutch as possible.
Therefore don't follow my idea's blindly and do your own research.
Hope you guys stay health and
GOOD TRADING : )
GBPAUD - Sell Daily Triangle Break - Trend Continuation Hi Traders!
The market is in an overall Downtrend.
Let's begin the Multiple Timeframe Analysis with the Weekly.
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Before we start analysing this pair, here is an important lesson for everyone who's reading that:
You probably often heard or read in trading lessons, that you shouldn't draw many things into your charts.
But the truth is, that many of them don't even really know why. They just say "so you don't become confused".
Why is it so important? It's probably more than you think.
"so you don't get confused" - this argument is valid, but not everything
You focus on the main thing and you don't get unsure because of tiny barriers
If the trade goes negative, you calm down, because you see the reasons you traded
If the trade goes positive, you don't get scared, because you know how to exit
If you go through your Journal, you instantly understand the reasons why you traded, that can help you identify the Winners and the Losers and its Setups
It gives you the skill of keeping everything uncomplicated
You can share your charts easily, without explaining :)
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Here is the screenshot:
Why did we share the information above? Because of that example we give you now.
As you can see we only drawed one Trendline into the entire chart.
This is enough to get us an idea of the current market situation.
The market broke out of the Trendline downwards.
Then it retested it and it is continuing further.
Conclusion: We're only intrested in taking Sell-Trades.
Moving on to the Daily.
Here is the screenshot:
This is the zoomed up situation of the Breakout.
Here we can see the daily Triangle.
Moving on to the H4:
Nothing new at all.
We only established the Target area, which is the tourquise dotted horizontal ray.
In addition this is ray the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement.
Lastly, the Entry Timeframe:
We here see a Wedge Pattern.
We're waiting for the Break of the Daily Triangle and the Retest at the upper Trendline of the Wedge before we enter the market.
The SL is a decent distance away from the recent high.
The risk-to-reward ratio is better than 1 to 3.
We recommend to trade the Breakout with a strong Retest.
Thanks and successful Trading :)!
Candle AnatomyDecided to start posting content. Going from Basics to more advanced topics, little by little.
If you're just starting to learn how to trade, here's the first thing you should know. What's a candle?
A candlestick is a type of price chart used in technical analysis that displays the high, low, open, and closing prices of a security for a specific period.
-The candle has an open and close price point in time. If the movement is upwards, then the candle will close above its open price. Consequently, if the movement is downwards, the candle will close below its open price.
-The wicks will show the highest and lowest prices in the market at that moment.
-When looking at the market structure, it's important to look at the body of the candles, not the wick.
-For identifying liquidity, it is important to look at the wicks.
*The information I am sharing is mostly for new traders.
*I am not Certified to give out any information, but I enjoy trading and enjoy sharing what I know as well.
Future of learning and education with $CHGGTA
-120EMA Support. High volume at $62 level.
- Early May 2020 shows double the volume from the previous highest volume day= Institutional accumulation. Average volume 2.8M. May 5th volume : 38.5M
- Distribution volume slowing down
- RSI reversal
- MACD golden cross
- Strong relative strength
FA,
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Current subscribers of 3.9M with 29% YoY growth. Total opportunity at 102M subscribers
- Baillie Gifford ownership : 11%. High quality fund ownership + Growing institutional ownership. #smartmoney
Concerns,
-Increased competition : Amazon, Khan Academy, Open study, Linkedin
- Physical textbooks are a thing of the past.
- Debt of 900M and interest coverage of 1.09. However, Cash is at 700M with a healthy current ratio of 8+
Added at $72.
Uncertainty of the MarketHi guys, to be consistent trader and successful trader, first you want to have a mindset of a beginner, willing to learn back from the basics
The mindset of you dont know that thing and by that your curiosity pushes you to learn things to decode that scenario. Always remember that there will always room for your brain to relearn again ang again. Happy trading everyone