What should we do next with USDxHello Trader around the world, how about your last friday, did you trade?
Last friday I've trade the USDCAD and AUDUSD currency
For AUDUSD I Long and lost already
But USDCAD still at the big resistance and I have short already and put a stop loss at 500pip
I really want Monday to come fast as I can
Today I want to sharing all of you
learn about How the currency connect
Sometime maybe someone Long and Short position in the same time with same currency
It was no good
Long EURUSD and also Long USDCAD is wrong
But Long EURUSD and Short USDCAD is great
Cause if we look at USDx or Dollar index
And try to compare with any currency you will see something connect
First you shoud know that USDx will move same with USDXXX currency and XXXUSD will move converse in the same time
Example
Now USDx move up
USDCAD should move upward
EURUSD should move downward
For now about USDx you will see a price have break already
so if the price will continue to move up
Price should comback and rest at the old Resistance or new support
If you see a price move downward to support
Is mean that USDx move downward
Is mean that USDXXX move downward too
Is mean that XXXUSD will move up
Did you get it?
I hope that the things that I have learned around 3 years can help you and you will be a great trader if you can
Trade is a lot of things you have to learn
And we always have to update a strategy
Is didn't mean you know something and you will rich from it
You have learn a lot of things and use it at the right time, timing is so important
Just it, that's all for today
About how there r connect
Sorry for my bad English
Hope this week you will get a lot of money
Goodluck
Learning
AAPL setting up for a pause?Apple (AAPL) has been on a hell of a bull run since January 2019 - up 123%.
However, a few recent signs point to increased volatility and the potential for price to pause in the short to medium term.
First up, trend line steepness has been increasing. Each leg has been rising at a faster rate, and while this can be considered a sign of strength, the most recent legs are unsustainable (in my humble opinion).
Markets are a constant battle been supply and demand, which is why price always zig zags on it's journey. The faster price changes, the greater the imbalance must be. At a certain point, all those who are holding AAPL longs will start taking profits, and short sellers will start viewing the price as overextended and ripe for plunder. Whether we're there yet is anyone's guess, but trading is a game of probabilities and you have to read the signs the market presents.
Next, a new Institutional Zone (IZ) has presented itself at the 321-327 zone. IZ's are one of my favourite ways of determining tradable areas in markets. Their composition is still a trade secret, but here's a clue: look for candles with small body and/or high/low range, and high volume. These are signs of large, institutional money creating positions in the market. Price will, more often than not, react to these zones in the future - presenting us small fish with opportunities.
You can see an example of a IZ formed on the 11th October 2018, and how price reacted to it at the start of May, August and October in 2019 (the 3rd October retest was a AAA grade entry opportunity).
A note: the green vertical lines highlighting the two IZ's are an indicator of my creation.
So, where is AAPL heading? Well, I have no idea. Predictions are a fools game. The market, at this point in time, is overwhelmingly bullish. However, signs are there that it may be worth taking some profit at current levels if you're holding AAPL longs. Remember, you can always re-enter if price breaks out again.
All the best,
DD
Bitcoin - Think about what you're doing...BTC is currently resting atop the 100 moving average on the 1-day chart, this moving average is going to start pressing Bitcoin for an answer in the next few days. As you can see the ceiling, for now, is the white resistance line. I am optimistic that BTC will jump above the resistance line, why? We have not lost the 100 as support for a few days, this means that BTC wants to use it as a base to spring up above. Also, another small sign is that the 100 is beginning to point up. Need another sign? Ok, we hit the 50% pullback (retracement) and bounced up from there, that's a sign of a healthy run. Again and again, we are still under a death cross which means we are only partially excited about BTC going up because this run could be over at the 100 moving average, which will be a pretty good payday for a lot of us.
Over at the 3-day chart, we don't have the best of news for the long term since the 50 moving average is crossing the 100 moving average down. When a faster-moving average is below a slower moving one it is not good. To understand this in an easier way let me put it like this; If the 20 crosses below the 50 that's not good if the 50 crosses below the 100 that's not good. Overall if a moving average with a smaller number crosses down one with a higher number, it could mean bad news. Below you can see the 50 in yellow wanting to cross the 100 in blue. It is not a major thing but let's put a pin on it. If we find more bad news on other time frames then we'll start to worry.
THIS IS THE IMPORTANT PART
Let's look at the relationship that the 200 Moving average has with price (use the main 1 day chart as reference). We are also going to look at the behavior of this moving average while we are under the 50/200MA death cross. Typically BTC will drop in price (which it already did) and then it will form a base (which it's in the process of doing) it will then start taking shots from that base at the 200 moving average and it will get rejected a few times (We have not done that even once yet.) The base, for now, appears to be $6800 it will then use this base price to take a shot at the 200MA which is at $9100, it will more than likely get rejected back to the $6800 region.
VERY IMPORTANT: Hitting the "Like" button is like a tip, please don't forget to do so after reading, this is your way of thanking me for my time and so I thank you for yours.
Why has the "B" for bitcoin in my chart gone from red to yellow? Because we have stopped doing lower lows and we have exited the secondary downtrend channel. BTC is acting neutral for now.
Follow me and you'll know exactly which coins to buy and when to buy to maximize your profits.
NOW, THE LEGEND;
Support trend lines are green
Resistance trend lines are Red
Horizontal support lines are white, the thicker the stronger the support
50 Moving Average is yellow
200 Moving Average is white
THE TREND: Going Down
THE OUTLOOK: A rally may be coming soon.
Goal : The portfolio I'd like to build in 2020Hi, my name is Wendy!
I'm a beginner and my aspiration is to learn from all you kind people here on TradingView.
One day I hope to land a job as tecnical trader with an investment firm.
Please don't hesitate to critique, correct, and leave feedback — I'm here to learn!
---
I have never traded a stock in my life.
I know nothing about how to build a portfolio.
But we have to start learning somewhere, right?
Further, I love Catherine Wood of Ark Invest.
She seems so smart and I really like her way
of describing possible futures.
So, to get started in trying to figure out what stocks
to look at and possibly add to my portfolio, I read
a bit on the ARK invest website.
I found the American Beacon fund and shamelessly
picked their top 10 stock holdings.
To bring up the total to 100% I added gold and Bitcoin.
Just to avoid any misunderstanding — I don't own these
stocks. Rather, they are stocks that I want to analyse and
hopefully invest in during 2020.
Since I'm a beginner, my main focus is learning how to pick
stocks and manage a portfolio.
What are your thoughts on how to start buidling a portfolio?
What are some simple but important things to consider?
/W
EUR/USD SHORT - DAILY TREND LINE1. Previously created a Double Top,
2. Rejecting nicely from the Fibonacci 50% resistance -> was also previous HL.
3. Downtrend
4. 4H chart creating a shooting star
We have 4 confluences.
Please if you have experience in trading and have a different opinion leave comments and say why as I'm looking to improve my trading analysis. <3
BTC bottem is in, upside to come according to volume patternGood evening everyone,
Today I took a good look at BTC.
First I want to share some information about volume with you because it is very important to understand how this can be viable information in trading.
There are three types of volume:
1: Igniting: Ignites a move in a new direction or continues and already strong/weak non-extended move.
2: Ending: Ends the current (extended) move.
3: Resting volume: Allows the stock to rest enough to continue its current move after a pause. Typically seen in consolidation breakouts/breakdowns.
I use these 3 types of volume to help discern when a stock might change direction or continue a move. Keep in mind, I am not only looking at volume, but I am also looking at support/resistance areas, how the stock arrived at its current location as well as the volume associated with the move. Lastly, on certain types of moves (especially climatic reversals), it is common to have both types of volume happening in succession.
Many people are thinking that BTC will go lower (there is fear in the market) and that makes me more confident that BTW will go higher from now, because we only have seen some resting volume and a price decline, but this is after huge igniting volume, so there must come big Ending volume to end the uptrend, for now, I haven’t seen any of that.
I expect BTC to test the old support and 200-day MA at 9400 USD in the coming weeks.
What do you guys think?
Please leave a like and comment below if you enjoyed this post.
Greetings!
Bitcoin measured downtrend to reverse only if price breaks 8700 Bitcoin price cautiously moved down for the last week, with several tenuous rallies in the process. Price broke down the pivot support level at $8600 USD today.
The overall crypto market is still very weak. Until seeing a major break out above the downtrend line with strong volume, it's safe to assume bitcoin still has room to go down. The downward structure looks like a descending wedge, which is a bullish reversal pattern. However, currently, we don't have any bullish sign for the moment.
Horizontal support 2 : 8160
Horizontal support 3: 7650
Long position AUDUSDWeekly Daily support area
lower high lowerlow has changed to higher high and making higher low now
divergence visible on 30 min
target 1----- 0.69200 (previous daily candle high)
target 2----- 0.69800 --- (if high broken) ( resistance above daily high)
strategy --> you can enter now with stop below lowest price + 10pip (aggressive entry)
or you can place stopbuy above high and add smaller trade all the way to target (what we suggest)
remember to calculate your risk first and dont take big risk (not more than 3%)
GBPCAD LONG IDEA-The 1W chart shows a re-test of the support TL on this triangle pattern. This shows that there is a lot of selling pressure and bears are in control.
If you look at price in the circled area, you can see that as price increases, the retracements are strong/deep; showing that if price were to continue higher, the bears will come back and drive price back down again:
-The 1D chart is what you're seeing right now. The exchange rate continues to close above the 61.8% zone on the Fibonacci, which would form the assumption that price is likely to rise to around 1.66920 on the C-D wave of the Harmonic pattern before turning to go south. Numerous tests of the support TL further support an increase in GBPCAD.
Now as, this is a bearish harmonic pattern we would be looking to short as we reach that 1.66920 area. This is inline with my thoughts on the weekly timeframe, (retracements are deep and therefore bulls will be stopped as we find resistance).
Please feel free to comment, tell me your thoughts and what you think!
USDJPY INVERTED H&S POTENTIAL? (This is an idea) after playing around.
-The current market sentiment is in a downtrend.
-Price has already made a Left shoulder & a Head for this structure.
-4H chart; Price holds at green zone resistance, so a potential ADAM/ADAM DOUBLE TOP:
-Price is below the 200 EMA.
-15minute chart: Harmonic pattern formation:
USDJPY Learning Volume ProfileI am learning how to use volume profile, in addition to learning how to run my analysis. For this particular pair USDJPY, I noticed where price did bounced off of. It acted as a support, and the low volume node bridge is an indicator that price was going to turn around and head back towards a point of control, as well as head towards a value area with higher value.