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GER30: Potential Bullish Bat Pattern (Could this be 4 in a row?)If you missed the initial analysis here's a video where I go over it. I think it starts at about the 20 minute mark, but you might as well watch the entire thing ;-) Weekend Review: "The Most Important thing You Can Do Is..." www.youtube.com We've been tracking this index for the past few weeks in the Live Room and so far we've been spot on with our predictions. A move into structure rolled over into a Gartley pattern, our Gartley pattern shot back up into a Cypher and our CYpher is now looking to complete a Bat pattern....potentially of course. If you missed the initial analysis here's a video where I go over it. I think it starts at about the 20 minute mark, but you might as well watch the entire thing ;-) Wishing you best of luck in the markets this week traders!!! Aki
FX:GER30Long
by Akil_Stokes
7
AUDUSD: 1hr Potential Bullish Bat PatternI'm looking at a potential bullish Gartley pattern here on the AUDUSD hourly chart completing at the 88.6 (0.7553). If the gartley were to complete I'd expect a move back into our 38.2 fibonacci retracement locate at 0.7605. With that level being so close to the 76 even handle it's probably worth front running your targets a little more. Do be aware that we have Retail Sales news out tonight at 9:30pm and Cash Rate due out at 12:30am NY which should push these thin Asia-session markets, but when the smoke clears, if the pattern is still available it looks pretty appetizing. If you're a trader that can't actively watch the charts during this time period, it may be worth playing the sidelines. Also for those of you who attended today, I'd love to hear your opinion on how things went. I mentioned the "Kaizen" philosophy in my trading, well i also use that same philosophy in life as well so all comments are welcomed so that day 2 can be even better. Akil
Long
by Akil_Stokes
32
EURAUD: Reviewing The Tape (Education not a trade idea)I've already written my "Trading Recap" blog post for today but I wanted to share something with you guys. For you guys that have been following along with my blog you know that I've been working on an article looking at professional athletes and professional traders. One of my main comparisons is the amount of preparation and review that both do. Just like Peyton Manning or Tom Brady do after every game, after each trading day I review the tape, meaning that I go back through my trading day and critique myself. After all, in this industry we are our own bosses so if we don't do it who will? Last night I posted a trade looking for a potential breakout to the upside on EURAUD, although we did test the highs of our previous structure level we never got the break that I was looking for and it ended up being a scratch trade (breakeven). This morning in our Warroom meeting Jason Stapleton fired off 2618 idea for this same pair. (I'll attach a link to the FREE 2618 training at the bottom of this post). In the live room we ended up finding a bearish Cypher at the same level and ended up getting short as well. After banking some good pips, I spend the rest of our session going through the rest of my portfolio and basically but this pair on the back burner. BIG MISTAKE, if only i would have paid more attention to it, i would have seen that IF our 2618 setup were to rally to 2nd targets THEN we'd also have a Bat pattern completion which we plant a stop & reverse at. So yeah I left a few pips on the board today but the important part is that I was able to identify my mistake and turn it into a learning experience. For those who don't take the time to review their day, well that mistake may continue to be a future mistake. Thanks for taking the time to read this and I'll see you next week at the Technical Trader Workshop!!! FREE 2618 Training Lesson: www.youtube.com 2015 FREE Technical Trader Workshop: promos.tradeempowered.com
Education
by Akil_Stokes
10
Rough day in Crude oil - not every day can be peaches & creamToday was not a good day for me day trading Crude Oil. I find it very helpful when i write up these publications as it helps me see where I made my mistakes and hopefully I correct poor behavior. So indulge me here as I walk you through how I ended up losing $330 on the day (sim). .Because of the holiday atmosphere (and roll issues relating to May contract expiry) I did not trade my combine today but rather just put trades on in my practice account. Regardless of sim vs. live, I consider every trade I do 'live' so when I fail in my practice account I consider it a fail. Now on to the trades. I woke late (not a good sign in itself) and saw I missed the first BoT long setup off the double bottom registered through the Globex session. In classic FOMO fashion I took the first BoT setup that came on a greater than 33% correction in price. I, of course, assumed the bull market would go on endlessly. The setup was poor (at best) and I later realized it was on a bear momentum divergence (holy rookie mistake batman!).That long represented way too much risk (23 ticks) and I simply could never consider taking that amount of risk on a 'live' trade why I thought it was ok to do in the practice account eludes me. In hindsight one can see why we shouldn't take that amount of risk on any one trade. Anyway, that stop was hit and now I was 23 ticks in the hole. I must admit, I hastily stalked another setup to get revenge (another bad sign) and took the first BoT short that came along shortly thereafter. Again, looking back in hindsight, momentum itself was on the upswing when I put the short on and later did 'top' out - well after I was stopped out. So now 0/2 and down 32 ticks on the day. Even though it is just a practice account, I resigned myself to the fact that I just wasn't seeing the market correctly today and shut down operations. Sadder too, I see now a respectable BoT long setup working that I just simply could not consider taking. Hopefully while you read this you see similar trading mistakes made on your own part and can learn from a 'veteran' that we all make them. No matter how long you have done this, nor how 'rich' you are, a trader is always prone to making mistakes. How we learn/grow from those mistakes is what separates the pro's from the amateurs. Cheers, Brian aka CRInvestor
FX:USOIL
by CRInvestor
1