SOL rises to $21.20 is bullish TL;DR Breakdown
Solana price analysis shows a bullish trend
Resistance for SOL is present at the $21.32 mark
Support for the SOL token is present at $20.69
Solana price analysis shows a bullish trend as the token surged above the $21.00 level, and it is currently trading at $21.20. This is a 2.25% increase from the previous 24 hours and shows that the bullish pressure behind SOL continues to grow. The current resistance for SOL is present at the $21.32 mark, so if the price breaks above this level, then we can expect further gains in the near term. On the flip side, the current support for the SOL token is present at $20.69, and if it holds, then we can expect a continuation of its bullish trend.
Learning
Scalping vs Day Trading vs Swing Trading | Learn What is Best
Knowing which trading style suits you best is a difficult question to answer, but the choice you make is not permanent. In fact, many novice traders will experiment with some or all of the various styles before settling on a method and strategy that suits their lifestyle and the funds they have to risk.
Scalping
The first trading style of this guide is called "scalping". Scalping is a form of trading where traders aim to achieve profits from relatively small price changes.
Scalpers enter and exit the financial markets within a short time-frame, which is usually a matter of a few seconds, or minutes (but the maximum is a few hours) and are known to use higher levels of leverage.
Day trading
Many traders think that day trading and scalping are similar. Although both trading styles do take place within one trading day, there are important differences that we need to highlight. Day traders open and close substantially less setups compared with scalpers. These traders sometimes open one setup a day, and often not more than a couple per trading day.
Although they both trade intraday, the day trader's strategy is to focus on the best opportunities of the day, and to hold on for a larger profit target. Therefore, a day trader usually holds on to a trade for several hours but not more than one full trading day.
Swing trading
The last trading style of our guide is called swing trading, which is a style in which traders enter and exit sporadically, holding trades over a few days or weeks. Swing trading is a system whereby traders are aiming for intermediate-term trading opportunities, and is significantly different to long-term trading.
Whichever trading style applies to you, it's important to find out, as the trading style you choose will have a profound effect on your trading outcomes and your ultimate profitability.
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😎MYTHS ABOUT TRADING BUSTED😎
⚛️The world of trading is full of myths and misconceptions. We often hear stories of overnight successes and devastating losses. It can be difficult to separate truth from fiction when it comes to trading. In this article, we will debunk some of the most common trading myths and provide the facts to help you make better investment decisions.
❌Myth: Trading is Gambling
✅Fact: Trading involves analyzing market trends, researching companies and industries, and making informed decisions based on data. Successful traders do not simply rely on luck; they systematically evaluate risk and reward before making trades.
❌Myth: You Need to be a Financial Expert to Trade
✅Fact: While a basic understanding of the market is important, you do not need a degree in finance to be a successful trader. There are numerous resources available to help beginners learn the basics of trading, including online courses, tutorials, and mentorship programs.
❌Myth: Day Trading is the Best Way to Make Money Quickly
✅Fact: Day trading involves buying and selling assets within a single trading day in order to profit on short-term price movements. While it can be lucrative, it is also risky and requires significant time and effort. Many successful traders prefer to take a long-term approach, focusing on investments that will appreciate over time.
❌Myth: You Need a Lot of Money to Start Trading
✅Fact: While having a larger investment portfolio can certainly provide more opportunities for profit, you do not need a huge amount of money to start trading. Many online brokers offer low minimum account balances, making it easier for beginners to start investing.
❌Myth: Trading is Only for the Wealthy
✅Fact: Trading is accessible to anyone with an internet connection and a willingness to learn. While high net worth individuals may have more resources to invest, anyone can start trading with a little bit of research and a willingness to take calculated risks.
❌Myth: Technical Analysis is the Only Way to Predict Market Trends
✅Fact: Technical analysis involves analyzing charts and data to predict future market trends. While it can be a valuable tool, it is not the only way to make informed trading decisions. Fundamental analysis, which involves evaluating a company's financial health and growth potential, is equally important.
❌Myth: Trading is a Solo Endeavor
✅Fact: Trading can be a solitary activity, but it is important to take advantage of opportunities to learn from and collaborate with other traders. Online forums like Tradingview, mentorship programs, and networking events can all provide valuable insights and support.
✳️In conclusion, there are many myths surrounding trading that can prevent individuals from taking advantage of its potential benefits. By separating fact from fiction, traders can make informed decisions and increase their chances of success. Whether you are a seasoned investor or a beginner, knowledge and education are essential to achieving your financial goals.
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Learn the Long History of Forex!
💶The history of the foreign exchange market (forex) dates back centuries, with evidence of currency exchange dating back to ancient civilizations. Here is a brief overview of the ancient history of forex:
• Ancient Mesopotamia: The Mesopotamians, who lived in present-day Iraq, are believed to have been the first civilization to use a form of currency. They used clay tablets to record transactions of goods and services, and it is believed that they also engaged in foreign exchange transactions.
• Ancient Egypt: The ancient Egyptians used a bartering system to trade goods and services, but they also used a form of currency in the form of metal rings. Foreign exchange transactions likely occurred between ancient Egyptian traders and merchants from other civilizations.
• Ancient China: The Chinese began using metal coins as a form of currency as early as the 7th century BC. They also engaged in foreign exchange transactions with merchants from other civilizations, such as the Greeks and Romans.
• Ancient Greece: The ancient Greeks used a bartering system to trade goods and services, but they also minted coins made of precious metals. Foreign exchange transactions likely occurred between ancient Greek traders and merchants from other civilizations.
• Ancient Rome: The ancient Romans minted coins made of precious metals, which were used as a form of currency. They also engaged in foreign exchange transactions with merchants from other civilizations.
💴It's worth noting that these ancient foreign exchange transactions were likely not as frequent and organized as they are today, and were conducted primarily through bartering or physical money exchange. The invention of paper money and the rise of banks in the Middle Ages led to the development of more organized foreign exchange markets.
💵And Here is the overview of modern history of forex:
• The modern foreign exchange market began to take shape in the 1970s, after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, which had pegged the value of currencies to the price of gold.
• Prior to the 1970s, currency trading was primarily conducted by governments and large institutions, but with the emergence of floating exchange rates, the market became more accessible to smaller investors and traders.
• In the 1980s, electronic trading began to take hold, with the introduction of new technologies such as the Reuters Dealing 2000-2 system, which allowed traders to conduct transactions electronically. This led to a significant increase in the size and liquidity of the forex market.
• The 1990s saw the continued growth of the forex market, with the introduction of new technologies such as the internet, which made it possible for individuals to trade forex online.
• In the 2000s, the forex market saw a surge in popularity as a growing number of retail traders and investors entered the market. The introduction of online trading platforms and the ability to trade on margin further increased the market's accessibility.
💰Today, the forex market is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world, with a daily turnover of over $6 trillion. It's accessible to a wide range of participants, from large banks and institutional investors to small retail traders. The forex market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, allowing traders to participate at any time.
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Multiple Time Frames Can Multiply Returns
In order to consistently make money in the markets, traders need to learn how to identify an underlying trend and trade around it accordingly.
Multiple time frame analysis follows a top-down approach when trading and allows traders to gauge the longer-term trend while spotting ideal entries on a smaller time frame chart. After deciding on the appropriate time frames to analyze, traders can then conduct technical analysis using multiple time frames to confirm or reject their trading bias.
Multiple time frame analysis, or multi-time frame analysis, is the process of viewing the same currency pair under different time frames. Usually the larger time frame is used to establish a longer-term trend, while a shorter time frame is used to spot ideal entries into the market.
HOW TO IDENTIFY THE BEST FOREX TIME FRAME?
Many traders, new and experienced, want to know how to identify the best time frame to trade forex. In general, traders should select a time frame in accordance with:
the amount of time available to trade per day
the most commonly used time frame utilized to identify trade set ups.
For example, day traders typically have the whole day to monitor charts and therefore, can trade with really small time frames. These range anywhere from a one-minute, to the 15-minute, to the one-hour time frame. Day traders that identify their trade set ups on the one-hour time frame can then zoom into the 15-minute time frame to spot ideal market entries.
Multiple time frame analysis usually produces high win rate, guaranteeing very limited risk.
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5 TYPES OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERNS Hello traders, today we will talk about 5 TYPES OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERNS
( FIRST SOME BASIC INFO )
What is Elliott Wave Theory?
The Elliott Wave Theory suggests that stock prices move continuously up and down in the same pattern known as waves that are formed by the traders’ psychology.
The theory holds as these are recurring patterns, the movements of the stock prices can be easily predicted.
Investors can get an insight into ongoing trend dynamics when observing these waves and also helps in deeply analyzing the price movements.
But traders should take note that the interpretation of the Elliot wave is subjective as investors interpret it in different ways.
(KEY TAKEAWAYS)
The Elliott Wave theory is a form of technical analysis that looks for recurrent long-term price patterns related to persistent changes in investor sentiment and psychology.
The theory identifies impulse waves that set up a pattern and corrective waves that oppose the larger trend.
Each set of waves is nested within a larger set of waves that adhere to the same impulse or corrective pattern, which is described as a fractal approach to investing.
Before discussing the patterns, let us discuss Motives and Corrective Waves:
What are Motives and Corrective Waves?
The Elliott Wave can be categorized into Motives and Corrective Waves:
1. Motive Waves:
Motive waves move in the direction of the main trend and consist of 5 waves that are labelled as Wave 1, Wave 2, Wave 3, Wave 4 and Wave 5.
Wave 1, 2 and 3 move in the direction of the main direction whereas Wave 2 and 4 move in the opposite direction.
There are usually two types of Motive Waves- Impulse and Diagonal Waves.
2. Corrective Waves:
Waves that counter the main trend are known as the corrective waves.
Corrective waves are more complex and time-consuming than motive waves. Correction patterns are made up of three waves and are labelled as A, B and C.
The three main types of corrective waves are Zig-Zag, Diagonal and Triangle Waves.
Now let us come to Elliott Wave Patterns:
In the chart I have mentioned 5 main types of Elliott Wave Patterns:
1. Impulse:
2. Diagonal:
3. Zig-Zag:
4. Flat:
5. Triangle:
1. Impulse:
Impulse is the most common motive wave and also easiest to spot in a market.
Like all motive waves, the impulse wave has five sub-waves: three motive waves and two corrective waves which are labelled as a 5-3-5-3-5 structure.
However, the formation of the wave is based on a set of rules.
If any of these rules are violated, then the impulse wave is not formed and we have to re-label the suspected impulse wave.
The three rules for impulse wave formation are:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 can never be the shortest of waves 1, 3, and 5.
Wave 4 can never overlap Wave 1.
The main goal of a motive wave is to move the market and impulse waves are the best at accomplishing this.
2. Diagonal:
Another type of motive wave is the diagonal wave which, like all motive waves, consists of five sub-waves and moves in the direction of the trend.
The diagonal looks like a wedge that may be either expanding or contracting. Also, the sub-waves of the diagonal may not have a count of five, depending on what type of diagonal is being observed.
Like other motive waves, each sub-wave of the diagonal wave does not fully retrace the previous sub-wave. Also, sub-wave 3 of the diagonal is not the shortest wave.
Diagonals can be further divided into the ending and leading diagonals.
The ending diagonal usually occurs in Wave 5 of an impulse wave or the last wave of corrective waves whereas the leading diagonal is found in either the Wave 1 of an impulse wave or the Wave A position of a zigzag correction.
3. Zig-Zag:
The Zig-Zag is a corrective wave that is made up of 3 waves labelled as A, B and C that move strongly up or down.
The A and C waves are motive waves whereas the B wave is corrective (often with 3 sub-waves).
Zigzag patterns are sharp declines in a bull rally or advances in a bear rally that substantially correct the price level of the previous Impulse patterns.
Zigzags may also be formed in a combination which is known as the double or triple zigzag, where two or three zigzags are connected by another corrective wave between them.‘
4. Flat:
The flat is another three-wave correction in which the sub-waves are formed in a 3-3-5 structure which is labelled as an A-B-C structure.
In the flat structure, both Waves A and B are corrective and Wave C is motive having 5 sub-waves.
This pattern is known as the flat as it moves sideways. Generally, within an impulse wave, the fourth wave has a flat whereas the second wave rarely does.
On the technical charts, most flats usually don’t look clear as there are variations on this structure.
A flat may have wave B terminate beyond the beginning of the A wave and the C wave may terminate beyond the start of the B wave. This type of flat is known as the expanded flat.
The expanded flat is more common in markets as compared to the normal flats as discussed above.
5. Triangle:
The triangle is a pattern consisting of five sub-waves in the form of a 3-3-3-3-3 structure, that is labelled as A-B-C-D-E.
This corrective pattern shows a balance of forces and it travels sideways.
The triangle can either be expanding, in which each of the following sub-waves gets bigger or contracting, that is in the form of a wedge.
The triangles can also be categorized as symmetrical, descending or ascending, based on whether they are pointing sideways, up with a flat top or down with a flat bottom.
The sub-waves can be formed in complex combinations. It may theoretically look easy for spotting a triangle, it may take a little practice for identifying them in the market.
Bottomline:
As we have discussed above Elliott wave theory is open to interpretations in different ways by different traders, so are their patterns. Thus, traders should ensure that when they identify the patterns.
This chart is just for information
Never stop learning
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Building Your First Trading Plan | Step By Step Guide
📖What is a trading plan?
A trading plan is a comprehensive decision-making tool for your trading activity. It helps you decide what, when and how much to trade. A trading plan should be your own, personal plan – you could use someone else’s plan as an outline but remember that someone else’s attitude towards risk and available capital could be vastly different to yours.
📚Why do you need a trading plan?
You need a trading plan because it can help you make logical trading decisions and define the parameters of your ideal trade. A good trading plan will help you to avoid making emotional decisions in the heat of the moment.
✳️TRADING PLAN CREATION STEPS:
1️⃣Outline your motivation
Figuring out your motivation for trading and the time you’re willing to commit is an important step in creating your trading plan. Ask yourself why you want to become a trader and then write down what you want to achieve from trading.
2️⃣Decide how much time you can commit to trading
Work out how much time you can commit to your trading activities. Can you trade while you’re at work, or do you have to manage your trades early in the mornings or late at night?
If you want to make a lot of trades a day, you’ll need more time. If you’re going long on assets that will mature over a significant period of time – and plan to use stops, limits and alerts to manage your risk – you may not need many hours a day.
It's also important to spend enough time preparing yourself for trading, which includes education, practising your strategies and analysing the markets.
3️⃣Define your goals
Any trading goal shouldn’t just be a simple statement, it should be specific, measurable, attainable, relevant and time-bound (SMART). For example, ‘I want to increase the value of my entire portfolio by 15% in the next 12 months’. This goal is SMART because the figures are specific, you can measure your success, it’s attainable, it’s about trading, and there’s a time-frame attached to it.You should also decide what type of trader you are. Your trading style should be based on your personality, your attitude to risk, as well as the amount of time you’re willing to commit to trading.
4️⃣Choose a risk-reward ratio
Before you start trading, work out how much risk you're prepared to take on – both for individual trades and your trading strategy as a whole. Deciding your risk limit is very important. Market prices are always changing and even the safest financial instruments carry some degree of risk. Some new traders prefer to take on a lower risk to test the waters, while some take on more risk in the hopes of making larger profits – this is completely up to you.
It is possible to lose more times than you win and still be consistently profitable. It's all down to risk vs reward.
5️⃣Decide how much capital you have for trading
Look at how much money you can afford to dedicate to trading. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. Trading involves plenty of risk, and you could end up losing all your trading capital (or more, if you are a professional trader).
Do the maths before you start and make sure you can afford the maximum potential loss on every trade. If you don't have enough trading capital to start right now, practise trading on a demo account until you do.
6️⃣Start a trading diary
For a trading plan to work it needs to be backed up by a trading diary. You should use your trading diary to document your trades as this can help you find out what’s working and what isn’t.You don’t only have to include the technical details, such as the entry and exit points of the trade, but also the rationale behind your trading decisions and emotions. If you deviate from your plan, write down why you did it and what the outcome was. The more detail in your diary, the better.
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Drunk Newbie Cypher correction.Silly old me drew the cypher harmonic wrong! Thankyou for the help and correction @FinanciallyCodependently , appropriate it! this is why I love Tradingview!
The Mistake:
Made the B-D 0.786 when it should be X-D as 0.786 and B-D is irrelevant
The Cause:
I shouldnt draw fib harmonics after a few too many 🍻🤣
Updated chart here!
The correct cypher also makes my target range more like my original confluence area 🔥
Trading Psychology: How Does Your Mind Matter In Making Money?Hello traders, today we will talk about Trading Psychology
The most famous book on trading psychology, “Tradingpsychologie” aptly remarks, ‘The greatest enemy of the trader is fear. He who is afraid loses!’.
As a trader, you must have gone through emotions such as fear, greed, regret, hope, overconfidence, doubt, nervousness etc.
While every trader goes through this emotional rollercoaster, a successful trader knows that it’s never a good idea to let your emotions influence your investment decisions.
Not letting your emotions affect your trading decisions is the real meaning of trading psychology!
In this article, we will educate you on the meaning of trading psychology. We will also reveal trading tips and tricks to mentally prepare you to trade with confidence!
So, let’s begin!
What is Trading Psychology?
Trading psychology or investor psychology refers to the trader’s emotional and mental state which dictates their trading actions.
Some of these emotions like hope, confidence are helpful and should be embraced. But emotions like fear and greed must be contained. Another emotion that is very common in financial markets is the fear of missing out or FOMO.
It is essential to understand and develop a sharp mindset along with knowledge and experience to become a successful trader.
Let us take a look at the various psychological factors that affect a trader’s mindset and some pro-tips to deal with them.
1. Fear
Fear is a natural reaction that we sense when something is at risk. While trading, risks could occur in many forms –
Some bad news about the stocks or the market
Placing a trade and realising it’s not going the way you had hoped
Fear of loss of capital
Traders generally overreact and tend to liquidate their holdings because of fear. A strong trading psychology is when traders do not let fear dictate their buy/sell strategy.
What should you do?
Every trader must first understand what they are afraid of and why? Reflect on these issues ahead of time so you can quickly identify the problem and find a solution. Your focus should be to not let the fear of loss refrain you from making profit.
2. Greed
Greed enters when you desire excess profits. Rome was not built in a day and neither will your stock market fortune. If you find yourself on a winning streak, then book your profits and move on. Majority of the time, your greed will turn a winning streak into a disaster!
What should you do?
To combat greed, you should have a predefined profit booking level. Even before you enter a trade, define your stop-loss and book-profit levels to avoid being swayed by greed.
A sound trading psychology is when you are content with your profits and do not chase irrational profits.
3. Regret
Regret in trading comes in two ways.
A trader could regret placing a trade that didn’t work or
Regret not placing a trade that could have worked.
A trading psychology based on regret can be dangerous for a trader as it may result in placing wrong trades.
What should you do?
The best way to avoid a regretful trading psychology is to accept that you can’t have all the opportunities in the market. The equation in the stock markets is very simple – You win some; you lose some.
Once you accept this rule, your trading psychology will automatically change for the better.
4. Hope
Investors often think that trading is gambling. It’s because they hope to win all the time and when they don’t, they get dejected.
What should you do?
To become a successful trader, you must have a solid trading psychology which is not dependent on hope. If you keep hoping for things to change in the near future, you’re putting your entire investment at risk.
Don’t let hope keep you invested in a loss making trade. Be practical, and book your losses at the correct time.
To attain and maintain success as a trader, you have to work hard to cultivate a mindset! Let’s see how trading psychology helps you cultivate a better mindset!
How to Improve Your Trading Psychology
1. Get Yourself in the Right Mindset
Before you even start your trading day, simply remind yourself that markets are never constant. You will have some good days and some bad days, but the bad days too shall pass.
Another effective strategy to improve your trading psychology is to give yourself time. You are not going to make a fortune on your very first trading day. You need to spend time and efforts in creating a rock solid trading strategy which isn’t affected by the market sentiments.
While you cannot completely eliminate emotions from trading, the goal is to reduce the extent of emotions controlling your trading psychology.
2. Have a Great Knowledge Base
One of the best ways to improve your trading psychology is to increase your knowledge and trading skills. Having a strong knowledge base of the stock market is key to defeating negative trading psychology. Remember, knowledge is power!
3. Remind yourself that you are Trading in Real Money
When you’re trading online, it’s easy to forget that the numbers on your screen actually represent real money. There’s nothing wrong in risking your money in hopes of generating returns. But remember to be cautious and make smarter investment decisions.
4. Observe the Habits of Successful Traders
Stock market is unique because it treats each trader differently. When it comes to trading, you should be aware of what your peers are doing, not to copy them but to learn from them.
By observing the positive characteristics of successful traders and inculcating few habits or strategies into your own trading, you can improve your trading strategies manyfolds.
5. Practice! Practice! Practice!
Last but not the least, practice is the best and most reliable way to gain mental strength. It helps you improve your trading psychology over time as you build well practised trading strategies and are well prepared for any ups or downs.
Final Thoughts
Understanding trading psychology and implementing it is a time consuming process. You have to continuously refine your trading psychology over long time periods.
To sum up, remember these three golden principles of trading psychology
Be disciplined
Be flexible
Never stop learning
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Path to AltseasonHello traders, today we will talk about Path to Altseason
BASIC INFO
Altcoin season, or ‘Altseason’, is the home of face-melting gains & high volatility. It’s pretty much Christmas for crypto traders.
Within a brief period (usually a few weeks or months), the prices of altcoins (all coins besides Bitcoin) skyrocket as investors move their money out of Bitcoin and into other cryptocurrencies.
Once prices start to rise, FOMO investment kicks in, causing a snowball effect which drives altcoin prices even higher to astronomical (and often overvalued) heights for a short period of time.
Many investors can make the majority of their profits for the year during an Altseason if they are able to sell their altcoins before Alts
Bitcoins & Altseason
Put simply, Altseason begins when altcoins start to outperform Bitcoin (when prices of alts rise in comparison to Bitcoin), and Altseason ends when Bitcoin outperforms altcoins.
However, this does not mean that when Bitcoin’s price goes down alts automatically go up. In fact, historically, Bitcoin has tended to lift altcoins when it rises and also bring them down after a major crash, with the price of Bitcoin and altcoins often being closely correlated. Previous bull markets have generally seen Bitcoin enjoy an uptrend before altcoins join the wave and head for the moon.
Key Takeaways
An altcoin is simply any other cryptocurrency that is not Bitcoin. They are usually more volatile than Bitcoin, offering high-risk high-reward opportunities.
When Bitcoin dominance (the amount of the total crypto market share held in Bitcoin) declines rapidly, it leads to an increase of investments in Altcoins, which causes an Altseason.
Predicting Altseason is not an exact science, and it is not something that’s officially announced at a certain time or date.
An Altseason can occur several times a year and they often happen within a relatively short period of time.
For maximum gains it’s crucial to sell your altcoins before Altseason is over. Alt’s prices drop just as quickly as they rose.
There have been many Altseasons in the last decade, with all of them beginning right after Bitcoin dominance declined.
The sharper the decline in BTC dominance the bigger the Altseason.
How to take advantage of Altseason?
The key to taking advantage of Altseason is to have your money in altcoins before Altseason begins, or just as it is beginning. Pay close attention as prices begin to rise, and make sure you sell out from most of your positions before Altseason ends and prices fall as quickly as they rose – don’t worry about trying to sell at the very peak, just take profits on the way up and be ready for things to end as quickly as they begun!
Top tips for navigating Altseason
Altseason is often the most lucrative time during a crypto market cycle, however, it is also the most volatile time. As the potential for gains rises so does your risk. Here are some tips to keep in mind during an Altseason:
Altseason is both an exciting and emotional time. If you’re a new investor, proceed with caution. Separating your investment decisions from your emotions is a tried-and-tested strategy for mitigating risk and maximising profits.
Having a solid exit strategy prepared will decrease the chances of you HODLing your alts through the peak only to see them fall when Altseason comes to an end.
Depending on your commitment level, spreading yourself too thin by investing in lots of altcoins can be confusing and difficult to keep track of. A bit of diversification is always good but don’t invest in more coins than you can keep track of!
Accept that you cannot be involved in every pumping altcoin. Choose your best picks and stay up to date on the relevant news and market movements.
Be sure to take profits on the way up to ensure that you realise most of your gains before prices come back down again. If you get a sizeable gain, you may want to reduce your position before the inevitable price correction!
Using your profits from Altseason to reinvest into Bitcoin while it is at a good price (and vice versa) is a popular strategy.
Risk management is the best way to make the most out of Altseason, given the sheer number of investment opportunities that will arise. Never risk so much that you won’t be able to keep playing – there can be multiple Altseasons in a year!
The key to taking advantage of Altseason is to have your money in altcoins before Altseason begins, or just as it is beginning. Pay close attention as prices begin to rise, and make sure you sell out from most of your positions before Altseason ends and prices fall as quickly as they rose – don’t worry about trying to sell at the very peak, just take profits on the way up and be ready for things to end as quickly as they begun!
The Altcoin Season Index is a helpful (but not exact) tool to see where we are in relation to Altseason. According to the Altcoin Season Index, if 75% of the Top 50 altcoins performed better than Bitcoin over the last season (90 days), it is Altcoin Season.
They also give an indication of where we are in terms of an Altcoin Month or Year, with an easy to interpret graph that shows the general long-term trends of previous Altseasons.
Altcoin season is not something that’s officially announced at a certain time or date. Nobody knows for sure when it’s upon us, nor when it will end. All we have are certain indicators that can help us know if we have entered Altseason.
Why does Altseason see such huge gains?
FOMO and the snowball effect play a big part. Part of the reason Altseason sees such a dramatic rise in prices is because many new investors see prices beginning to rise, and immediately invest out of FOMO.
This creates a snowball effect which pushes prices higher and higher until they are overvalued and in a bubble. When people realise they are riding a precarious rollercoaster that may crash at any moment, they begin to sell. This causes panic which leads to more mass selling and the price plummeting back down to earth, bringing Altseason to an abrupt end.
When is the top of Altseason/the bull market?
The million-dollar question that no-one can really answer. While crypto markets follow cycles which can be predicted based on past market movements, every bull run is different and it is incredibly difficult predict the very top of Altseason, or any bull run for that matter.
Given the fact that no-one really knows exactly when the top of the bull run or Altseason will be, it is wise to take profits along the way as your portfolio gains value. Dollar-cost-average selling (DCA) can be useful to minimise the impact of the market’s volatility while you invest.
If Bitcoin’s price goes up will altcoins also go up?
Generally, yes. The price of most altcoins is highly correlated with the price of Bitcoin. It is Bitcoin dominance, however, that indicates when Altseason is beginning.
Why are altcoins dependent on Bitcoin?
A major reason that altcoin’s and Bitcoin’s prices are so highly correlated is that many altcoins are purchased with Bitcoin. Bitcoin is often bought before the purchase of an altcoin, pushing the price of both coins up.
Similarly, if someone wants to cash out on an altcoin, many exchanges require you to first sell that altcoin for Bitcoin, and then sell the Bitcoin for cash, which pushes both prices down at the same time.
Another reason the prices are highly correlated is simply because they’re in the same asset class and things that are in the same asset class tend to go up and down together.
What to look out for to predict an Altseason
The most important thing would be a decrease in Bitcoin dominance, usually occurring after an exponential increase and subsequent consolidation. Additionally, relative trade volume, social media activity, mainstream interest, new coin listings and the volume of news articles published from crypto projects seem to be good indicators of when Altseason might be approaching.
What is Ethereum’s relationship to Altseason?
Ethereum, seen as the second most trusted cryptocurrency and the silver to Bitcoin’s gold, is at the heart of the altcoin market. The start of bullish moves for Ethereum is often the start of Altseason, especially with so many alts and DeFi projects being built on top of the Ethereum Blockchain.
Generally, after Bitcoin rallies upwards and consolidates, Ether’s price will also need to break out before altcoins can see a sizable rally.
Can altcoins lift Bitcoin?
Not really. Bitcoin rarely gets boosted by altcoins.
Generally, once altcoins have pumped and claimed dominance from Bitcoin, the steps in to take back the bulk of the crypto market share, marking the end of Altseason.
What is an example of Bitcoin Dominance influencing Altseason?
On December 9, 2017, Bitcoin Dominance had gone from 69% to 37% in the space of just 35 days (which means it went from owning 69% of the total crypto market share to 37% in just over a month).
Looking at the Altcoin market cap chart, December 9 coincides exactly with the beginning of the largest Altseason that crypto had ever seen. The sharper the decline in Bitcoin Dominance, the bigger the spike in Alts.
History also repeated itself on March 30, 2018 when a sharp decline in Bitcoin Dominance from 50 to 38 in 40 days led to a significant increase in the Altcoins market cap.
What have previous Altseasons and bull runs taught us?
Previous bull runs and Altseasons suggest that larger-cap altcoins (starting with Ethereum) pump before smaller-cap altcoins begin moving up. This usually happens after Bitcoin has had a big move up, followed by some sideways movement, causing investors to seek gains in altcoins, thus decreasing Bitcoin dominance and starting the party that is Altseason.
IMPORTANT
BTC Rises - Altcoins Not Rising
BTC drops - Altcoins Super Drop
The scenario is confirming this - Be sure to survive before Altseason arrives
Never stop learning
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MUST READ:GER 30 CURRENT VIEWPrice Broke The Lower High and And Created a New Higher which signals buying opportunities telling us that the price is currently Bullish from being bearish as I identified the zone indicated and took 50 % of the zone to reduce risk as we wait for price to retrace back to the identified level and take our positions.
Bear In mind that i use smart money concepts that's why my charts may not contain many objects e.g Trendlines,Indicators. etc
#BTC ready to go long, pay attention!Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
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#BTC WEEKLY UPDATE
This big falling wedge pattern is still in the pay.
(basics info)
what is a falling wedge pattern?
The falling wedge is a bullish pattern. Together with the rising wedge formation, these two create a powerful pattern that signals a change in the trend direction. In general, a falling wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal pattern, although there are examples when it facilitates a continuation of the same trend.
> Important support level is 25k
> BTC Needs to close this weekly candle above $25400
> The volume is increasing, which is a characteristic of a third wave. We could expect a strong bull run in the market as many indicators are showing.
> $25K will now act as strong support as it is broken after large accumulation and will likewise offer great opportunities in case of retracement.
Stay tuned I will keep updating
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Learn What is Confirmation Bias | Trading Psychology 🧠
In this educational article, we will discuss one of the most common cognitive errors of newbie traders - a confirmation bias.
In order to better understand that term, I want to start with the example:
Let's say that after doing some research, you are highly convinced that Bitcoin is bullish and that it is a decent investment.
You decide to buy that from 50.000 level, expecting the exponential growth.
Instead of growing, however, the market starts falling rapidly.
Rather than closing your position in loss, you decide to do a new research and execute the analysis, you start looking for the proof of your pre-existing beliefs. You completely neglect the voices of Bitcoin sceptics and ignore bearish clues on the price chart.
You consider only the facts that support a bullish outlook, not letting you accept the other point of view.
You become a victim of a confirmation bias.
Unfortunately, such a psychological trap frequently prevents a closing of a trading position in time, leading to substantial losses.
Confirmation bias is a common psychological error that makes a subject overvalue the information that upholds his existing beliefs and undervalue the opposing one.
Here are the most common symptoms of that trap:
1️⃣One is neglecting the objective facts.
2️⃣One is interpreting information in a way to support the existing beliefs.
3️⃣One is considering only the facts that conform with his point of view.
4️⃣One is completely ignoring the information that challenges his beliefs.
The only way to beat a confirmation bias in trading, is to learn to analyze the market from sellers' and from buyers' perspective. Your task is to compare the view of the 2 sides, and pick the one that is stronger, holding in mind the fact that everything can change.
You should always remember of the changing nature of financial markets and be ready to always reassess your views.
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10 Rules of Risk Management
Risk management is the most important aspect of any trading plan. Apart from the mathematical and strategic methodologies to employ, there are several precautions you can adopt as a trader and consider in your decision-making process.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Never forget Rule no.1.
Stick to your trading plan.
Consider the costs like spread, rollover/swap and commissions.
Limit your margin use and track available margin to avoid margin calls.
Always use Take Profit and Stop Loss orders.
Never leave open positions unattended.
Record your performance and adjust as you progress.
Avoid high volatility periods like economic news releases.
Avoid making emotional decisions when trading.
We apply risk management to minimise losses if the market tide turns against us after an event. Although the temptation of realising every opportunity is there for all traders, we must know the risks of an investment in advance to ensure we can endure if things go sour. All successful traders know and accept that trading is a complex process and an extensive risk management strategy and trading plan allow us to have a sustainable income source.
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USDT DOMINANCE MADE A RISING WEDGE PATTERN!!Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
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#USDT DOMINANCE UPDATE
USDT DOMINANCE made this rising wedge pattern in the daily time frame and currently looks like it's retesting it.
if it retests it successfully then we can expect a good bounce in alts it also indicting towards the Bullrun.
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Screw sentiment, choose BjorgumWho cares if Gold is testing its all time high, banks are collapsing, dollar weakening, stocks falling, whatever. I am calling the biggest collapse on gold since its inception bar none.
Reasoning as follows:
- CFTC retail are long on gold and commercial money is on Short by a wide margin.
- Bjorgum indication of 3rd test of the level, once with top test using wicks, next with bottom test of level using bars and third test bottom testing wicks, this indicates a heavily bearish perspective.
- Moving average confluence
- Sentiment is extremely bullish
- Logic says to buy a safety asset after huge problems globally
- 3rd test of breaking down
I need everyone reading this to understand that this is a huge opportunity for every single banker to use the liquidity entering the market and sentiment to fill their long term positions. Longs have dominated gold for a very long time and now CFTC shows us that commercial market makers and money managers are short on the asset and retail are heavily long. In every single trading environment or asset we all know what happens when retail are heavily long and commercial money is heavily short.
Using the bjorgum indicator and somna candle master, we can obviously see the monthly is going caput soon or we going parabolic, but with bjorgum we can see a very very very short sentiment and confirming more as I type this.
Please for reference as to the tests of the tops of charts and how easy they are to find, please see my long term chart on ATOM and how bjorgum was used on the levels there as well with 3 tests exactly identical to gold.
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Common Reasons Why Traders lose Money Even in an UptrendHi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange.
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I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart, Do not consider financial advice.
Common Reasons Why Traders Lose Money Even in an Uptrend
#Not Setting Stop-Loss:
#Not Conducting Technical Analysis:
#Going against the Trends:
#Following the Herd:
#Being Impatient:
#Not doing Homework or Research:
#Averaging on Losing Position:
Buy low sell high' is the motto. As simple as it sounds, why do most people lose money trading or investing?
There are four major mistakes that most beginners make:
1. Excessive Confidence
This stems from the idea that people think of themselves as special. They think they can 'crack the code' in the stock market that 99.9% of people fail to, and eventually make a living trading and investing. However, taking into consideration the fact that more people lose money in the market, this form of wishful thinking is the same mentality as going into a casino feeling lucky. You may actually get lucky and win big the first few times, but in the end, the house always wins.
2. Distorted Judgements
While simplicity is key, the approach most beginners make in trading and investing are too simplistic, to the extend where it's hard to even call it a trading logic or reason to invest. They spot a few reoccurring patterns within the market, and this is almost as if they discovered fire. It doesn't take long to realize that the "pattern" they spotted was never based on any solid reasoning, or worse, wasn't even a pattern at all in the first place.
3. Herding Behavior
The fundamentals of this is also deeply rooted in a gambling mindset. Beginners are attracted to the idea of a single trade or investment that will make them a millionaire. However, they fail to realize that there is no such thing. Trading and investing is nothing like winning the lottery. It's about making consistent profits that compound throughout time. While people should definitely look for assets that have high liquidity and some volatility , the get-rich-quick mentality drags irrational beginners into overextended/overbought stocks that eventually drop drastically.
4. Risk Aversion
Risk aversion is a psychological trait embedded within all of mankind's DNA. Winning is fun, but we can't tolerate losing. We tend to avoid risk, even when the potential reward is worth pursuing. As such, many beginners take extremely small amounts of profits, in fear that they might close their position at a loss, trading with a terrible risk reward ratio. In the long run, their willingness to not take any risks leads to losses.
Depending on the price action, they also go through seven phases of psychological stages:
- Anxiety
- Interest
- Confidence
- Greed
- Doubt
- Concern
- Regret
------------------------------------------------------------------
Lack of Discipline
An intraday trader must stick to a proper plan. A full-fledged intraday plan includes profit targets, factors to consider, methods to put a stop loss, and ways to select the right trading hours. The trading plan provides a comprehensive overview of how trading should be executed. Also, you can keep a record of trades executed during the day with the performance analysis of each stock at the end of the day. Such records help you identify the weak areas in your trading strategy and correct them. It is very important to be disciplined as a trader, the proper discipline will help you minimize the losses and maintain your capital.
Not Setting Proper Trading Limits
In intraday trading, the success lies in managing the risk. You should pre-define a stop loss and profit target when entering intraday trading. This strategy itself is an important part of trading discipline and this is where most people fail. For instance, if you incur a loss in the first hour itself, you should shut down the trading terminal for the rest of the day. You should also have an overall capital loss limit in place, it will safeguard you against trading losses.
Compensating for a Rapid Loss
This is one of the common mistakes in the trading community. When a trader incurs a loss, he/she either tries to average a position or overtrades excessively to recover the loss. This further leads to a greater loss and put them into more trouble. Losses are a part of intraday trading, instead of overtrading, it is wise to accept the loss, analyze the strategy and make improvements from the next day.
Heavy Dependency on Tips
Nowadays, there are ample of intraday tips flowing everywhere on the digital media. It is a common phenomenon for a trader to rely on these external tips, however, this needs to be avoided. The best way to learn intraday trading is by gradually learning how to read charts, understanding structures, and interpreting results on your own. Many traders refrain from taking these efforts and because of this, they end up on the losing side. The Beyond App by Nirmal Bang provides deeper insights into the market, the technical research offered by Nirmal Bang is spot on. You can use that research for reference, however, nothing can beat practical experience.
Not Keeping Track of Current Affairs
The external news, events, and tragedies do have an impact on the stock market. Hence, it is important for an intraday trader to keep a track of the Indian as well as global markets. Even the performance of global markets has an impact on the movement of Indian markets. Make your trade after the news or event has been announced, do not try to speculate the market based on the news.
There are even instances when traders do not have any sound trading strategy, they just make decisions based on gut feelings or emotions. One needs to remember that intraday trading in itself is a skill, it is not a gamble, it takes time to develop proficiency, you cannot expect rapid results. The above are some of the major reasons why intraday traders lose money, ensure that you are disciplined enough, stick to a proper strategy, analyze your strategy at regular intervals, and things will fall in place.
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From Newbie to Experienced Trader | Full Path Explained
📖I was reflecting on how I became a trader, and suddenly I was reminded of a great book called «A hero with a thousand faces» which then led to the analogy between the journey of a trader and the hero's journey. And while just as any analogy this one is somwhat superficial, I really feel like there is a lot of truth to it. Just think of how many of us have trading histories that look something like this?
♣️A grand call to adventure. Who would not want to make a pile of money working from the comfort of your own computer screen?
♠️Finding a mentor. Good mentors matter! Few of us who have succeeded would have done so without some help.
♣️Crossing over into an “unreal” world. Markets are crazy. When we look deeply into markets, maybe we become a little crazy ourselves, and we certainly become disconnected from ordinary reality.
♠️Facing dire challenges. The emotional highs and lows of trading can be extreme. Is there a trader alive who hasn’t been awake at 4am wondering if they can ever do this, why they ever tried in the first place, how they could be so stupid to make the same mistakes over and over, and what they were going to do tomorrow? (This is probably not the time to mention that we only write stories about the heroes that complete the journey! A lot of dragons feasted very well, for a very long time.)
♣️Failure somehow, perhaps almost miraculously, is transformed to success.
♠️We figure out how to incorporate our trading activities into the everyday world, and discover that things probably weren’t quite as exotic or difficult as we had thought.
📌My point is that trading is not really about learning patterns. It is not about learning some math. It is not about skill development, and it is not even about risk management. All of these things are important, but the real work of trading is work on ourselves.
✅Remember: Before facing the dragon in a cave, one needs to awaken the dragon within.
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Gongmyeong's Knowledge Sharing - Step 2
< Let's just watch it for three minutes! Zhuge Gongmyeong's Knowledge Sharing >
We learned the basic theory about the composition of candles yesterday, and today we're going to summarize the names of the candles while looking at the actual candles.
You can think of it as a review of yesterday's content!
First, let's look at the left candle.
The left candle is green, so it's bullish candle.
- Bullish candle is a candle with a higher closing price than the starting price, which means that the price was higher at the end than at the beginning of the candle formation.
The starting price and the closing price can be confusing, so let's find out the easiest high price and low price first.
The high price is the highest price in the candle. They don't care about bullish or bearish candle.
The low price is the lowest price in the candle, as opposed to the high price.
In these candle, the high price is around 22315 and the low price is around 22250.
In the bullish candle, the 'starting price' is 'below' the closing price.
So the red part is the beginning of the candle. It looks like 22265.
The closing price is the blue part located on the opposite side. It looks like it's about 22300.
This time, let's distinguish between the body and the tail.
*If you divide the bullish candle into tail and body, it can be divided into three categories: lower tail, body, and upper tail.
Lower tail (low price ~ market price)
Body (shiga to closing price)
Upper tail (Closing price ~ expensive)
We found low prices, starting prices, closing prices, and high prices earlier, so you can replace them as they are.
Lower tail (22250 to 22265)
Body (22265 to 22300)
Upper tail (22300 to 22315)
It's not hard, right?
In fact, the tail, the body, the top price, and the low price can be intuitively distinguished, so it is important to understand to the extent that "Closing price" and "Starting price" are not confused.
The candle on the right is a bar.
Check it out and let's understand why it's like that!
Traders and Gamblers: Know the main differences!Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange.
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We are gonna go through 6 crucial points and elaborate how traders are different from gamblers.
1) As a trader, one’s aim is to focus on the next 100 trades instead of the next 10. Long-term success, profitability, and consistency are two of the main things traders should target. However, a gambler’s wish and desire is to make quick money.
2) A successful trader/investor has a backtested trading plan that he sticks to and optimizes along the way, adapting to changing market conditions. On the other hand, gamblers like to trade based off what other people think and tweet, or by simply opening a random Buy/Sell position and hoping it plays out successfully.
3) Profitable traders always diversify their portfolio and risk no more than 1-2% per trade. On the contrary, gamblers go “full margin mode” on a single trade without setting a Stop Loss and end up blowing their accounts and blaming the markets.
4) Chasing markets and rushing the process is not what real traders do. Instead, they follow their plan and wait for the price to play out and match their entry criteria before executing. Nonetheless, gamblers like to overtrade, open positions based on nothing, make biased decisions.
5) When enduring a loss or two (or three), traders neither get emotional nor try to revenge the markets. They know that if they obey risk management principles and open high risk-to-reward positions, they will cover all their previous losses and get back to making profits. Gamblers, on the other hand, get angry and start attempting to revenge the market by making foolish decisions and entering many illogical trades.
6) Last but not least, if you want to be successful and profitable in this field, you have to treat trading as a business and take things seriously. Those that think markets are a playground or a casino machine will never succeed in this space.
Gambling vs Trading
Gambling involves staking on the occurrence of an event that has an uncertain outcome for winning. For an action to be considered as gambling, three prerequisites must be present; the stake, the risk involved and the prize to be obtained upon the occurrence of the event.
Gambling has existed since records began. Early gambling involved six-sided die in Mesopotamia in 3000 BC. Around the 9th century, playing cards made their entrance, giving birth to the modern card games we know today. Over the years, gambling has taken several shapes and forms such as sports betting, parimutuel betting, and the gamut of casino bets.
Trading on the other hand, involves the buying and selling of financial instruments like cryptocurrencies, stocks, bonds, derivatives amongst others. There are several types of trading such as high-frequency trading, day trading, etc. each of which has its pros and cons.
Historically, the trading of financial instruments began in the 17th century after merchants banded together to form joint-stock companies. In 1602, the Dutch East India Co. issued the first recorded paper shares, allowing for the trading of stocks. This revolutionary concept spread through the world, leading to the creation of exchanges such as the London Stock Exchange which was founded in 1773.
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As Above So Below - the harmony of the market In this real world, there is various philosophy that tries to explain the "As above, so below" harmony is the great law of nature but none can prove this law hence it's still a hypothesis.
The law of nature works on everything and the stock market is not untouched by nature.
I am not here to give a lecture on this law of nature but to prove how this harmony of nature is preserved in the stock market and to share my research work on 'Stock-et' science which is equally difficult as 'Rocket' science.
Many of you have heard of these famous patterns:-
-> 'Head and Shoulder'
-> 'Cup and Handle'
-> 'Rounding Top/Bottom'
-> 'Flag/Pennant'
-> 'Double Top/Bottom'
Do you all observe some correlation among them?
They all are candlestick patterns that either decide reversal or continuation, if this was your observation then probably you are correct but I wasn't indicating this.
Let me explain to you what kind of relationship I was talking about.
How do we estimate the target of these patterns? To the target level, we first measure the depth of the pattern i.e. how deep it's below the breakout level.
As its depth is below so will the height above.
Now, I think you all can draw how this law of nature is respected here in the candlestick pattern or more precisely in the stock market.
Let’s have an example to be more sound:-
The above chart describes how BTC fell after the breakdown following this law of nature.
It fell non-stop without showing any jerk until it attained the same depth as its height or say it fell until
the script attained the equilibrium.
This proves how the market preserves "As above, so below" harmony, the great law of nature.
Still not convinced then look to another example,
This is the vice-versa of the previously explained example, here index attains the height as the depth
of the cup - i.e. ' equilibrium' after giving a breakout.
This proves how the market preserves "As below, so above" harmony, the great law of nature.
Now let's look at this concept with different dimensions i.e. dimensions of mathematics, physics, and chemistry.
Don’t be afraid I'm not going to talk about 'Rocket' science but 'Stock-et' science.
-> In math, we all have read negative and positive cancels out i.e. (-3+3=0) same in candlestick patterns if the stock has a pattern depth of then the pattern target would be +30% to attain '0' or say 'equilibrium'.
-> In physics, we all have read that negative charges neutralize the positive charge to attain 'equilibrium' same in the stock market.
-> In chemistry, we all have read that all chemical changes occur in nature to attain 'equilibrium' i.e. two elements share their electrons to attain 'stability' ( H2O, here two hydrogen molecules share their 1 electron with 6 electrons of oxygen to attain equilibrium) this same happens in markets all market movements occur to attain 'stability'.
You all can use this law to get the target after the breakout or breakdown cause the pattern name matters less.
Generally, people have fantasies about 'Rocket' science but we traders have fantasies about 'Stock-et' science.
Please drop comments on whether you have a fantasy for any of the above science.
Also, let me know how many of you believe that the stock market doesn't work on speculation but has its science
let's call it 'Stock-et' science.