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USDCHF RELATED IDEA (LONG IDEA)I assume, we'd be looking to go long on USDCHF now after the C corrective wave. Furthermore, this could be an opportunity for price to create an inverted head and shoulders and potentially push the market past the daily resistance trend line.
That also tells me, the price of Gold may weaken temporarily as both pairs tend to move in the opposite direction to each other.
GBPUSD continues to make a new low..I assume GBPUSD can either start to rise due to testing the daily support trend line as well as forming a doji on the 1H chart. If a bullish Harami or bullish engulfing bar forms on the 4H we'll be looking to go long.
OR..
Due to the sellers momentum it could continue to break through and reach my monthly support at 1.23800.
AUDUSD lOOKING TO GO LONG AUDUSD & GOLD have a positive correlation, because Australia is the 3rd biggest Gold producer, so I believe as the price of Gold increases, so will AUD and from technical stand point we're looking for a a re-test of daily trend resistance and continuation of the up trend over the course of the week.
SHORT AUDCAD: Analysis and Plan for the week ahead (26JUNE2019)I am still new to this but I am still learning. I am just sharing of what I feel through the analysis that I did while the market was closed on the weekends.
We are looking at the AUDCAD pair. Currently this pair is in down ward trend. The price is currently hitting the monthly high key level. I have plotted the trend line accordingly from Lower Highs to Lower Lows. From what it looks like it will be going upwards for a bit to hit the weekly high key line and then chances that it will continue to go downwards.
Next Move: Wait for the price to hit the weekly high and bounce down wards. Once you see the price action going down wards, confirm and then take a SELL. From experience, it might go down to the weekly low and create a double bottom.
Day Trading Trend or Trading Range? Can be applied to investingIn the previous article we discussed only trading on strong trend days or strong markets. We also identified what increases the likelihood of a day (or market) becoming a strong trend. As said before, there are only a handful of strong days a month (or only a few strong markets at any given time). Because of this, it is just as important to identify and understand when a market is likely not a trend and more likely a trading range.
Within the first hour or two of the open (when day trading), it is often obvious if the day will likely become a trend day or a trading range. Once the market has been identified as likely a trading range, it is unlikely to become a trend day as the market tends to continue what it has been doing. In this case it is more likely to continue to have heavy two sided trading and less likely to convert into a strong and healthy trend.
But wait - most channels are some form of trading range right? Yes. This is a form of slanted trading range, or a trending trading range. This is where the market is technically in a trend but it is very weak and likely to reverse at any time. In fact, by the close it will likely reverse and the trend is unlikely to remain intact.
Characteristics of a Trading Range Day
"............"
So if most days are not trend days and are instead some sort of trading range, cant a day trader use this information to his advantage? Of course, if it aligns with your trading style or method. But you must understand that you are not likely to win on many trades, or win a large reward. Instead most trades even strong ones, only go for 1X the risk. On top of that there are many trades to take, most of which fail. This makes it difficult to remain focused and continue trading without emotions and without missing the trades you need to win to recover losses.
What about only taking strong trades ".......?" That is a reasonable thing to do, but the probability is still often lower and the reward is as well. And on these days most stop order entries fail, resulting in repeated failures. This is a "............." If not, you will likely get stopped out just before prices go your direction! Or the market will only go in your favor temporarily before stopping you out.
This makes trading difficult for beginners and even for those with experience. However most do not realize they should simply remove themselves from the market during these times. Instead they continue to trade as they think they should, and continue to grow losses, making it harder to recover even on a good trading day.
"I do not like to trade when the market is likely to reverse at any time. I only like to trade when the market is not likely to reverse at all." - Josh Ridenour
**These ideas and strategies can also be applied to higher time frames and even long term investing.
"..." = withheld material from original post (members only material).
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GOLD Video - Pure PRICE ACTION Top Down AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD
- Weekly (Bearish) : Doji at a weekly level indicating indecision and momentum loss with a wide swing divergence
- Daily (Bearish) : Pinbar rejection with divergence
- 4hr (Entry) : Double top with a trendline break
EP: 1336.25
SL: 1360.36
TP1: 1311.47
TP2: 1290
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EURCHF Video - Bullish PRICE ACTION on MULTI TIME FRAMESFX:EURCHF
- Weekly (Bearish) : Long wick candle off the zone forming a pinbar
- Daily (Bearish) : Inside bar with a bunch of indecision candles on the zone
- 4hr (Entry) : Trendline & Wedge Breakout
EP: 1.12400
SL: 1.11686
TP1: 1.13113
TP2: 1.13406
TP3: 1.14255
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Major support# False breakout @ support
# Yesterday's candle pinned support
# The last candle on H4 also pinned support
Buying at market price 136.336 with
#SL below support @ 135.048 and
# TP just below the 141 mark @ 140.847
To learn the dynamics behind the analysis, please join my mailing list using the link below zc.vg
As usual don't bet the farm. Good risk management won't kill you but the lack thereof could!
Major resistance prevails# Resistance was respected
# Bearish engulfing pattern completed
# RSI recovering from oversold conditions
Shorting at market price 1.62732 with
# SL above bearish engulfing @ 1.64194 and
# TP lower down @ 1.57542
To learn the dynamics behind the analysis, please join my mailing list using the link below zc.vg
As usual don't bet the farm. Good risk management won't kill you but the lack thereof could!