EURUSD: 2 Advanced Pattern Non Farm Payroll Predictions Happy NFP day traders! As you know we've been tracking the EURUSD all week in the live room and last night I was finally able to get short an hour after the New York close.
We never know what to expect from our monthly Non-Farm Payroll report (and accompanying news) but here are a few predictions on the higher timeframe that are worth keeping an eye on.
We have 2 potential bat patterns setting up on this pair. A potential bullish bat down at 1.0580's and a potential bearish one up at 1.1380's.
Something that I truely enjoy about being a trader vs. an investor is the fact that we get to act like a mercenaries in the markets. Meaning in situations like this we're not concerned if the market will go up or down, because we have a plan to attack either situation. Good luck out there today gang and please remember to hit that "thumbs up" button before leaving. I really do appreciate the support!
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Head Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
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EURUSD: An Update Analysis on Recent Price ActionPrice action on the Euro ended up rallying right up to the previous level of resistance that we predicted. Although we didn't see the full trend continuation move that I had on my radar advanced pattern traders were able to take advantage & profit from a pain free bearish bat pattern completion.
Price action has now given us a HHHC about previous resistance which means it's time to rework the analysis. (I got a question about this earlier) but short-term this is considered a bullish rotation, however the underlying trend is still bearish & I would now expect a move to the $1.0900-$1.0950's level for my next killzone.
With the NFP tomorrow I may not have the opportunity to take advantage of that short, so during my day trading session we'll certainly be looking for ways to get long in anticipation of the potential short in my Live Trading Room.
Check out the video I posted yesterday "The Most Important Trading Periscope You've Seen This Year!" www.youtube.com
And as always please hit that THUMBS UP on this post and share it with a fellow trader.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Head Trading Coach at www.TradeEmpowered.com
EURUSD: 4h Forming Head and ShoulderThe right shoulder is not complete yet but I expect it to be a double top before it moves to 1.08234 which is a neckline area which coincide with the daily S2 support and Fibonacci extension of 1.414. On the way down to this support ,I expect a bounce at the 1.8077 - 1.8084 area before a short lived rally to the daily pivot of 1.0912 and after which I expect it to continue to a support of 1.08234. The market could also begin with a gap as the market had not reacted to the unemployment claims yet.
There is a harmonic pattern that is forming on the right shoulder as well but could not put it since the chart will be too messy.
NZDUSD: (1st trade of 2016) Bullish Cypher Pattern I didn't plan on doing any analysis today but one of my training course clients shot this over the chat and well...can't pass up on a valid Cypher pattern. Here's to 2016, let's see I can pick up right where I left off.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Head Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
CADJPY : Long OpportunityA confluence of Fibonacci and support line around a harmonic pattern spells a long opportunity. The price may try to reach a Fibonacci level of 127.2% at 85.76 but fail since it is seriously oversold. For those who can't wait for the formation to complete as indicated on the chart, wait for at least 87.5 to break set stop a few pips below 85.76
EURUSD : Long term Forecast for 2016 - 2017 I am not a long term trader however it is often good to know the prevailing market bias so that we don't make huge short term projections against the prevailing market bias. When you take a short position in 2016 it would be a good thing to be conservative with your targets as the EURUSD is going up. Once the 1.1059 break happens I see an area of resistance at 1.1616 - 1.1760 and also at 1.1901 - 1.2098 , so I do advise you look out for these areas as they may offer temporal reversals before the market goes for 1.2300
EURUSD: Two Things To Think About & Not Just PatternsHey traders, obviously this is not a time that you want to be trading, but i did want to share 2 things with you guys.
1) Two potential advanced patterns setting up here on the EURUSD inside of our current sideways movement and...
2) The link to the year ending Question & Answer session that Charles Miles, Jason Graystone & myself did this past Monday. www.youtube.com
Have a great holiday season! If trading in 2015 went well for you get ready to wipe the slate clean and continue being consistently profitable...and if it didn't then make sure you're doing what needs to be done in order to make 2016 different.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Head Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
BE PREPARED AT MARKET OPEN: GBPUSD WITH POTENTIAL BEARISH BAT!Hello Traders,
doing my weekend market analysis before market open I've found a nice potential bearish bat pattern on the 4h chart which perfectly lines up with the 1.618% Fibonacci inversion.
Stops and Targets as shown.
-Have a great last trading week before christmas. Felix
USDCAD 240min Still Predicting $1.40's (with Video)A few days ago I shared an idea looking at the USDCAD predicting that price action has an opportunity to go as far as $1.40 before hitting any significant resistance. On that post I was looking at 2 levels, a main potential reversal zone and a smaller potential reversal zone in which I had an aggressive reason for entry.
Well, price action just missed my entry by a few pips which means I had to clear orders and wait to see if the market would provide another opportunity. I had some questions about the analysis as well so I decided to discuss it in a trading video (link below) along with my opinion on how to play next week's interest rate decision.
The main potential reversal zone is still on my radar but because we've created a new structure high, I'll also be eyeing up a closer zone between 1.3620's-1.3515's.
Here's the link to the video & if you're not a subscribe of mine on youtube stop missing out & become one
"What To Have Before Taking A Trade" www.youtube.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Head Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
USDCAD 1 Hour Bull Bat Pattern (Think we can go to $1.40)USDCAD has been a pair that I've had my sights on for a while now. After clearing our previous level of resistance I see nothing in the way of $1.40. My optimal reversal zone starts a little bit lower around the 1.3420 level but any chance I have to get long, i'm going to take and will be certainly keeping a portion of my position on for the bigger potential move similar to what we did this summer.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Head Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Check out my FREE Youtube Videos www.youtube.com
How to choose your entrySo I will be looking for the zone ( green box ) if we get to it on Monday.
I do not trade the butterfly on its own but i will use it as my Entry technique. We have a butterfly with the ABCD and some Fib clusters running into my Support area or Zone so i will be keeping an eye out. This is an example on how to choose your entry if you have your zone but you need a reason.
I just Want to point out for newer traders, There are 6 spots left on our list to receive the FREE from beginner to pro "how to become a technical analysis" the only thing you need to do is subscribe to our YouTube channel, first 15 will get this course for FREE, we are talking about a complete course !! from the basics to writing your tradingplan and money management so make sure you subscribe. The course will be out in Des 2015
Link to channel : www.youtube.com
GBPUSD: Two Different Patterns, One Same Level of SupportContinuing on last nights GBPUSD discussion we now have both a potential bullish Cypher and bullish gartley pattern setting up at our previous level of resistance turned support.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Make sure you head over to youtube (search "Akil Stokes") and check out my most recent Weekend Review video
"The 4 Stages of Trading"
GBPUSD 1 Hour: Hidden Divergence ExampleWe don't talk about this too much in outside of the 12WT because many traders have a hard enough time wrapping their heads around regular divergence, but here's a crystal clear example of the "Hidden Divergence" that some of you have heard me mention before.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
EURJPY: Back to Back Bat Patterns & A Video on Money Management Consolidation often breeds harmonic patterns & that's exactly what we're seeing here on the EURJPY hourly chart. Now we're still holding a partial position on yesterday's bullish bat pattern and if price action were to push up to our second targets that would give us the opportunity to put in an SAR and get involved in the bearish one that looks to be forming as well.
Also I've been getting a lot of questions about money management lately. If you haven't seen this video already make sure you check it out as it should give you a better idea of the money management strategy that I use in my trading.
youtu.be
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Trading Coach\
www.Tradeempowered.com
GBPJPY 1 Hour: Potential CTS Shortthis was a potential opportunity that I had on my radar yesterday, unfortunately the markets decided to do absolutely nothing but go sideways creating a channel. If we breakout of this channel to the upside I'll be looking at a third harmonic move setting up a potential selling opportunity as we come into previous structure resistance starting at the 187.40's level.
Syndicate members, i just emailed out a video going over this one in a little more detail.
Also Check out my latest Periscope Video "3 Questions From A Prospective Trader" www.youtube.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
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EURUSD 1 Hour: 3 Advanced Patterns Setting Up/ Ideas for a VideoComing off a massive week in the Syndicate it’s somewhat refreshing to have only taken a single trade this week. Well two if you count the AUDUSD Bull bat that just filled a few hours ago (60min). Either way a slow week often means that there are a lot of potential patterns going through there setup legs and the EURUSD is a prime example.
Three potential patterns on this pair, on this time frame. A potential Bullish Gartley, a Bearish Gartley, and a Bearish Cypher. Not much on the news front until tomorrows ECB Press Conference and our normal Thursday Unemployment Claims, so we’ll see how things pan out.
Also, as many of you know I put out a weekly trading video on my youtube page every Thursday. www.youtube.com
Well this week I’m a little short on ideas, so if you have something that you’d like to be discussed do me a favor and leave your comment under this video and I’ll go through them before tomorrow’s recording starts. Good luck in the markets traders and remember…
PLAN YOUR TRADE, & TRADE YOUR PLAN
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst at Trade Empowered
Click here for 20+ hours of FREE Training
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USD/TRY D1 Perspective I had a request from a friend to analyze USD/TRY:
On daily perspective I saw a nice classical Elliot Wave with double zigzag till point E correction waves.
Before starting the analyze I want you to eliminate the harmonic pattern that I draw there; First we start with trends and the potential of opening trade. PA (Price Action) creates trend and trends give us opportunity to open a position trade by its steep. On S2 line we had 2 potential of Buy and why we do not Sell on R1.2 is because of its upward steep and we will never Sell on upward trend and never do amateurish scalping and we do not close our deal until either S2 breaks or we see a PA TP Signal which we had it on the top and Also a good Sell Signal at the same time.
Remember as a good trader how we open Sell Position is not when ever we see double top just sell on it. Even though we have seen a bearish PA on the top we still should wait ti S 1.1 trend to break and then we can open Sell position with SL of above R 1 + Spread. Since price follows our expectation we will sell any time if price touches the R1.1 with SL of above it. (Remember you must first observe that does the price are going to touch and pull back or it will breaks the trend. You never Sell if your trend is broke out. You follow the price till you reach the Future Expected Price A (FEPA) and if price does not change direction; you will follow the same strategy till you reach FEPB. (If R 1.1 dose not break).
Since we have S 2 Trend line seems to be stronger than R1.1 you also can expect an uptrend around that area. If we see S 2 Breaks R 1.1 we get ready to see a harmonic pattern in future.
Our expected Patterns and Elliot are not our signal, it's just a map and idea that we can look at them some time. We trade based on your best friend (trend) and PA.
Any time if the harmonic pattern is completed you can expect for a bullish movement.
Remember you will close all the sell position if R 1.1 breaks and will not open any position till you reach on 1 safe trend. Hold is also an option.
FEP are found by Orbits strategy that I have explained in many of my previous perspective. If you are new to it please read my previous analysis and if still you have problem with it feel free and email me at farsi.masoud@gmail.com
USDCAD: Minimize Your Mistakes Video (Not a New Trading Idea) Last week i mentioned that I took a "Bad Trade" In this video I walk through my analysis of the pair and the reasons that the trade was not executed properly in hopes that you guys can learn from my mistake.
www.youtube.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Trader
www.tradeEmpowered.com
EURUSD: What We've Had & What We Have NextAs mentioned in this week’s video (link below), the Euro has been a great pair for me over the past month or so and has helped me greatly in finally breaking my September Curse. As price action breaks to the upside I’m preparing for my next short in the form of a potential bearish Bat Pattern.
The patterns prior to the bat setup are all described in the video below along with a discussion about trading competitions, a 270% return in 3 months, a walkthrough of my audusd trade from earlier in the week (from thought process to completion) and a lot more. Please let me know what you think.
Forex Trading: “A Little Bit of Everything Related to trading” www.youtube.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst at Trade Empowered
Click here for 20+ hours of FREE Training
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