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Will market land hard over next 2 days?INTERMEDIATE WAVE 1 We are potentially wrapping up Intermediate wave 1 and Minor wave 5 at the beginning of Primary wave C. We appear to have completed Minor wave 1 with a low by 12:30 on April 1. Minor wave 2 finished in the first hour of trading on April 5. Minor wave 3 bottom before 13:30 on April 6. Minor wave 4 may have ended today, during the final 30 minutes of the session. There is a chance Minor wave 4 ends tomorrow. This would require a new high above 4521.16. Right now, wave 4 has moved 49.59% that which Minor wave 3 moved. Although 50% is not an official Fibonacci percent, it is a historical reversal price. The biggest forecast metric for Elliott Wave Theory is the length of wave 3. In the current setup, if my wave count is accurate, has Minor wave 3 shorter than Minor wave 1. This means Minor wave 5 cannot be longer than Minor wave 3. Minor wave 3 concluded in 11 hourly trading bars. This means whenever wave 5 begins, it cannot be longer than 11 hours in length. If wave 4 has ended, 11 hours begin tomorrow. There are 7 hourly trading bars (in the 6.5 hour trading session). Minor wave 5 could end no later than 12:30 on April 11. It is also possible Minor wave 5 ends tomorrow. For this to occur, the index will most likely drop below the low (and endpoint) from Minor wave 3 which was 4450.04. At the very least, this requires a drop of 1.57%. This is certainly possible in one day, but something significant geopolitically or economically would likely have to occur. My initial targets are between 4378.34 and 4435.70, although my models have strong agreement at 4442. INTERMEDIATE WAVE 2 When Minor wave 5 ends, so does Intermediate wave 1. Intermediate wave 2 will be comprised of a three wave (ABC) which moves upward. This will most likely occur next week being a holiday shortened week. Economic calendar is light and earnings season does not kick off until the final trading day next week with the banks. This wave could last 1-2 weeks, until the full earnings picture is realized (forecast not good). INTERMEDIATE WAVE 3 Intermediate wave 3 is where I am forecasting the most significant downward movement. This could be due to Russia-Ukraine, but it will also occur during earnings season. My guess is the economic outlook, inflation, interest rates, transportation costs, along with the Fed’s pace and rate of rate increases will take center stage during earning calls. This outlook may look bleak in the near-term, but I expect the market to find its bottom before the end of the summer and as early as mid-May.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
4
SP500 either topped, will top, or flying high for yearsMy patience is being tested right now. I am running out of possible days of length and price targets. I have the market in Sub-Millennial wave 1 (began June 1877), Grand SuperCycle wave 5 (began March 6, 2009), SuperCycle wave 3 (began March 23, 2020), Cycle wave 2 (began January 4, 2022), Primary wave B (began February 24, 2022), Intermediate wave C (began March 8, 2022). The shorthand for this wave is 1532BC which is based on wave letters and numbers combined. Right now, Intermediate wave C (if we are still in it, we cannot be for much longer) is: 1) 1) 15 days long 2) 2) Gain of 479.43 3) 3) 300% the length of wave A 4) 4) 172.99% the move of wave A 5) 5) Accounts for 65.22% of the larger wave’s (Primary B) length 6) 6) Makes up 91.73% of the larger wave’s (Primary B) move This also makes the stats on Primary wave B look like: 7) 7) 23 days long 8) 8) Gain of 522.65 9) 9) 65.71% retracement of Primary wave A’s length (35 bars) 10) 10) 74.24% retracement of Primary wave A’s movement (dropped 703.97 points) 1-My models only forecast 15, 17 and 27 days in length for wave C. Most of the model agreement was below 10 days. 2-The move is not necessarily a factor by itself but the additional data will use this. The price forecasts below the current high is 4633.725. The next set of price points tops below 4700 are: 4637.45, 4652.15, 4653.96, 4657.99, 4664.74, 4665.448, 4673.78, 4674.76, 4675.68, 4676.19, 4681.05, 4689.68, 4697.24. These prices begin to have more gaps than the prices below this point. There is a 4 point grouping in the 4670s. 3-Intermediate C waves rarely exceed the 300% length of wave A which is where the index is based on today’s high. Intermediate C has moved 276.92% (wave ended C2C, we are 2BC), 281.25% (2BC), 466.67% (C2C), 517.39 (54C). 4-Intermediate C waves ending in BC have a median move which is 127.13% of Intermediate wave A and an average of 123.72%. Intermediate C waves ending in 2BC have a median move of 152.47% and an average of 142.60%. The maximum is 242.75% of intermediate wave A’s movement. We are above the normal in the current case. 5-In the three wave structure of Primary wave B, Intermediate C waves ending in BC have a median contribution of 31.25% for Primary wave B’s length and an average of 33.46%. Waves ending in 2BC have a median contribution of 49.45% and average of 44.22%. The highest contribution so far is 64.29% for 2BC and BC waves. 6-Likewise regarding the contribution to the overall wave, BC waves make up 68.74% as a median and 70.32% on average. There are four occasions above 90.49%. Waves ending in 2BC have a median make up of 90.49% and with a maximum at 95.12%. The current contribution is still acceptable, and quite common for 2BC waves. 7-The forecast days from my models at and above the current length are 26, 28, 32, 40, 51, 52, 59, 63, and 70 days in length. Strong agreement at 26 and 28 days. 8-The price forecasts for the end of Primary wave B have a few tight price target pockets which are: 4637.365, 4637.588, 4645.7, 4645.874, 4654.17, 4654.2, 4654.525, 4658.71, 4658.962, 4659.03, 4659.04, 4659.691, 4675.203, 4677.57, 4677.81, 4687.6, 4687.61, 4688.36, 4688.39. 9-Typical Primary waves ending in 2B match 25% to 400% the length of Primary wave A. Waves ending in 32B usually retrace around 55-70% with an outlier at 400%. We are in the smaller window now, but only for a day or two more at most. 10-Typical Primary waves ending in 2B move 41 to 88% of wave A’s movement. Waves ending in 32B move 54-77% which we are also nearing the high end of this window. To conclude, 1) the market has either topped today and we finally began Primary wave C downward with the final 15 minutes of trading today; 2) the market can rise for 2 more days at most before a reversal; or 3) We are not in Primary waves B or C and instead we ended all of the downward movement on February 24. If the latter is the case we are in the early stages of Cycle 3 which will see massive upward momentum for possibly 2-3 years. If option 1 remains valid, the chart below shows early signs of where movement will take us. Regardless of option 1 or 2, we will find a bottom and then begin Cycle 3 with the same aforementioned results. I am bullish long-term, but remain bearish in the short-term until we either break above 4818 or move below 3900.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
NFG to cool off on NATO news?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 25, 2022 with a closing price of 68.04. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 67.47 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 2.05% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 3.298% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.552% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 50 trading bars after the signal. A 0.4% decline must occur over the next 50 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 15 trading bars; half occur within 26 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 44 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:NFGShort
by StockSignaler
Will Red Hot STLD Cool Off?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 25, 2022 with a closing price of 89.32. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 88.46 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 2.053% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.824% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 7.606% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 22 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 36 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:STLDShort
by StockSignaler
Will AKAM retest February lows?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 18, 2022 with a closing price of 116.2. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 115.23 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 3.488% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 5.983% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 11.105% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 17 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 26 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:AKAMShort
by StockSignaler
2
Opendoor to test March 8 lowsBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 17, 2022 with a closing price of 8.27. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 8.14 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 12.193% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 23.192% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 24.512% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 16 trading bars; half occur within 28 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:OPENShort
by StockSignaler
2
Avis CAR heading down soon?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 18, 2022 with a closing price of 278.865. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 276.66 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 2.741% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 5.867% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 11.846% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 6 trading bars; half occur within 18 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:CARShort
by StockSignaler
DG hit probable resistance on FridayBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 18, 2022 with a closing price of 226.135. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 224.83 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 1.767% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 3.167% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.958% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 6 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 27 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:DGShort
by StockSignaler
CDNA Likely Set To FallBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 18, 2022 with a closing price of 39.7. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 38.81 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 6.683% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 12.867% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 17.423% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 16 trading bars; half occur within 23 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:CDNAShort
by StockSignaler
LOVE likely to drop very soonBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on March 18, 2022 with a closing price of 48.06. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 47.35 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 8.856% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 11.629% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 15.77% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 6 trading bars; half occur within 12 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 30 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:LOVEShort
by StockSignaler
Can TEL leap tomorrow?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 16, 2022 with a closing price of 131.36. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 132.945 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.319% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.592% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 13.75% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 11.5 trading bars; half occur within 23.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33.0 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:TELLong
by StockSignaler
Possible Wild Week Before More Months of DeclineThis chart depicts potential movement over the next 2 weeks based on my application of Elliott Wave Theory and historical data for the S&P 500. I currently have the index in in Sub-Millennial wave 1 (began June 1877), Grand SuperCycle wave 5 (began March 6, 2009), SuperCycle wave 3 (began March 23, 2020), Cycle wave 2 (began January 4, 2022), Primary wave B (began February 24, 2022), Intermediate wave C (began March 8, 2022). I have two sets of targets based on my analysis of Primary wave B and its historical relationships as well as Intermediate C in Primary B and its historical relationships. Primary B (1532B) Primary B began when Primary wave A ended on February 24, 2022 at 4114.65. Primary A began on January 4, 2022 when the market topped at 4818.62. Primary A lasted 35 trading days and dropped 703.97 points from top to bottom which is a rise over run (R/R) (move / days) of -20.113. My models forecast Primary B to last 4, 13, 18, 19, or 28 days based on similar 32B wave data. The most agreement is on 18 days, with secondary agreement on 13, 19, and 28. For context, day 13 is March 15, 18 is March 22, 19 is March 29, and 28 is April 5. My models further forecast the end of this wave occurring between 4498.62 and 4567.92. There are two pockets of agreement for the possible end. The first is 4498.62, 4498.63, and 4498.67. The second is slightly larger with 4555.33, 4555.36, 4559.33). Additional data comes from the historical R/R data observed in a Primary B. I have applied R/R data to the potential length outcomes from the beginning of the prior paragraph. If Primary B lasts 18 days, the application of a historical R/R of 23.404 gives us a target price of 4535.92. Staying with 18 days there is another R/R pointing to 4567.92. At 19 days, R/R data of 23.404 places a target area of 4559.33. Lastly, a 28 length with historical R/R of 14.496 points to 4520.53. Another analyzed dataset comes from the relationship of the move between Primary A and Primary B (simple division of A/B). The historical ratios applied to A’s move of 703.97 provides the following targets: 4498.63, 4555.35, 4613.67, 4654.20, and 4769.09. Intermediate C (1532BC) Intermediate C is believed to have begun on March 8, 2022 when Intermediate B concluded its 3 wave pattern downward. Intermediate wave C should be comprised of 5 Minor waves ultimately leading upward. Identifying waves current waves requires skill and is not always perfect. I believe we finished Minor wave 1 (up) on March 9 at 3:33 pm EDT. As of now, I have Minor 2 finishing at the Friday closing low of 4200.49 at 3:59 pm EDT. I do not like to identify the end of a wave in the present as it almost always is wrong. If we gap up on Monday, this may confirm Minor 2 has ended. Which would put the market in wave 3 which should easily surpass the Minor 1 top of 4299.40 within the next 2-3 days. My models forecast Intermediate C to last 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, 14, or 17 trading days. The strongest agreement is 6 days (8 data points) followed by 5 days (7). Day 5 is March 15 and day 6 is March 16 which also align with the dates from the forecasts based on Primary B. The price targets range wider than before with 4422.51-4592.93. This range contain 3 pockets of interest with the strongest agreement in the 4572-4587 range. Pocket 2 is 4497-4512 and 3 is 4422-4437. All prices of interest are: Pocket 3 = 4422.51, 4423.777, 4424.333, 4427.557, 4429.953, 4430.19, 4434.144 Additional = 4439.81-4443.654-4447.915-4448.556-4454.057-4459.259-4463.06-4466.083-4467.93-4469.093-4475.106-4484.17-4486.8 Pocket 2 = 4497.004, 4498.72, 4503.082, 4504.61, 4506.658, 4507.996, 4509.491, 4510.29 Additional = 4512.412-4515.101-4519.56-4520.647-4528.104-4529.941-4533.79-4533.86-4548.6-4550.257-4554.416-4556.682-4559.29-4569.676-4571.012 Pocket 1 = 4574.69, 4575.31, 4575.67, 4578.87, 4580.78, 4581.663, 4584.838 Additional = 4585.802-4586.547-4586.601-4589.385-4591.954-4592.937 Another analytic model determines the relationship between wave C’s movement and the total movement of the larger wave, in this case the larger wave is Primary B. Movement for waves ending in 2BC tend to makeup between 59-95% of the overall macro wave’s movement. Similar to waves ending in 2BC are wave ending in 4BC or BBC. 4BC waves similarly make up 36-99%, while BBC can makeup 30-95%. Intermediate C’s movement would have to make up 86% or greater then the entire movement for Primary B in order for any of the current targets above to be achieved. The reason for this is that Intermediate B nearly retraced 100% of all the gains achieved by Intermediate wave A (actual retracement was 86.303%). Use the table below considering if Intermediate C’s movement makes up x% of Primary B’s movement, this coincides with the listed price targets: 86% = 4422.51-4430.19 87% = 4439.81-4454.057 88% = 4463.06-4486.80 89% = 4497.00-4520.647 90% = 4533.79-4559.29 90.49% (a prior value) = 4554.416-4584.838 91% = 4578.87-4611.34 These are the reasons for my forecast squares in the chart above. We shall see what actually takes place. Regardless, we could be looking at quick and large movement up in the very near-term. Primary C is next which could take the market down well below 3931.00 with a bottom between May 11 and June 2. I will provide more context as we complete more waves.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
1
HP Will Likely Gain This Week Before DeclinesBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 11, 2022 with a closing price of 36.29. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 36.71 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.499% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.594% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 12.467% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 24 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:HPQ
by StockSignaler
Coca-Cola May Recover Over Next 2 WeeksBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 11, 2022 with a closing price of 58.72. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 59.02 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 1.5345% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.719% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.30% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 14.0 trading bars; half occur within 26.5 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 36.5 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:KOLong
by StockSignaler
STX Set For A Quick Jump Next Week?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 11, 2022 with a closing price of 87.33. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 88.71 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.129% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 9.993% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 12.625% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 2 trading bars; half occur within 7 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 18 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:STXLong
by StockSignaler
We have faith in LVS to make up big groundBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 2, 2022 with a closing price of 44.4. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 44.86 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.912% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 11.262% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 21.391% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 10 trading bars; half occur within 20 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:LVSLong
by StockSignaler
LAC about to jump higher before the March stumble?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on March 4, 2022 with a closing price of 24.973. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 25.11 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.579% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.399% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 17.491% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 50 trading bars after the signal. A 0.4% rise must occur over the next 50 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 6 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 40 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:LACLong
by StockSignaler
Atomera May Drop SoonBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on February 11, 2022 with a closing price of 15.8. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 15.58 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 5.756% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 9.602% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 15.873% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 2 trading bars; half occur within 4 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 17 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NASDAQ:ATOMShort
by StockSignaler
Double-Top Coming For Ciena?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on February 15, 2022 with a closing price of 68.53. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 69.51 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.261% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 17.521% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 27.504% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 20 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:CIENLong
by StockSignaler
Separate Buy Signals for Tempur SealyBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on February 18, 2022 with a closing price of 37.08. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 37.42 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 6.508% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 11.562% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 19.856% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 13 trading bars; half occur within 29 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 37 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:TPXLong
by StockSignaler
KGC, The Barometer For Easing Tensions?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on February 10, 2022 with a closing price of 5.45. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 5.39 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 8.029% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 12.591% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 21.953% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 10 trading bars; half occur within 20 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:KGCShort
by StockSignaler
CCI has light at the end of this tunnelBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on February 18, 2022 with a closing price of 162.34. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 171.32 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 15.282% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 18.349% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 28.872% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 14 trading bars; half occur within 27 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 31 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:CCILong
by StockSignaler
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