S&P 500 Breakdown Confirms Earlier Bearish SignalsThe S&P 500 broke down below its 50DMA again and looks set for a 200DMA test. This move confirmed earlier bearish signs.
S&P 500 Breakdown Confirms Earlier Bearish Signals drduru.com $SPY $QQQ #AT40 #T2108 #VIX $IWM $CPB $NFLX $LEN $EEM $RHT $THO $WGO $WYNN $AUDJPY #forex
LEN
Dissonance: Decelerating Housing Data, Diverging Builder StocksHome builder stocks are starting to diverge as housing data decelerates. Investors are showing interesting preferences even as all builders continue to tell similar stories. For more....
Housing Market Review (April, 2018) - Dissonance: Decelerating Housing Data and Diverging Home Builder Stocks drduru.com $ITB $PHM $LEN $KBH #housingwatch #stockmarket
October 3 Earnings: Lennar - The Luxury Housing God Lennar has had an impressive performance record with a recovering economy and housing market.
The company's continued effort on Real Estate development and Financing is fueling sales growth.
Earnings should get a boost from cost cutting and operational efficiency efforts.
Sales, however, are expected to dampen in the quarter with 120 homes deliveries postponed due to hurricanes.
Rising construction, labor and land costs are expected to damped earnings luster.
I believe the company will provide healthy guidance and beat expectations.
I'm starting Lennar with a $60.00 Price Target heading into 2018.
$len losing momentum/distribution higher time frame is showing range bound price action- negative divergence in rsi
closer look at mid time frame shows the transition from a range expansion to range contraction and selling volume pressure being applied along with negative momentum
lower time frame shows price action in that same range contraction apply pressure to the support area with multiple retest
looking for alignment across all timeframes to tilt to the bearish side where theres is the least resistance to the downside
first level to 51.7x area and then down to 51.1x
Home Builders to sell with rising interest rates and lower salesTurning very bearish on the home builders. Increasing interest rates will increase costs. Delinquencies are rising and creditors are contracting. Most activity in mortgage applications is either refi - due from recent fall in 30-year, or existing home sales. Builders are falling behind and sales goals will not be met.
False breakout...Housing SUCKS. This is the SLOW season coming up, to make it worse. New housing apps down to lowest level in forever, everything about housing SUCKS. GREAT SHORT HERE.
Update 11/21: I was a little early on this short! I was happy to buy a few cheap $33.5 weekly puts for next week. I typically don't like to buy options at the end of the week to carry into the next, but, this was one hell of a candlestick up, that hardly seems sustainable. But then again, I never thought the XHB would make it this far. This whole thing is being propped up with HFT/ALGO BS because the whole market s rigged. Look at all the mess: FOREX Scandel, Libor scandal, now the latest commodity scandel, Madoff, JP Morgan and all these banker deaths that seem all too conspicuous. ALL these unusual banker suicides 48 of them in the past year and a half, and now on last night who slit his own throat and wrists? Who does that to themselves? Ridiculous. Many of them at JP Morgan, some who knew each other, some in IT Programming. Probably knew too much. Did you know these institutions carry insurance policies on their employees that are classified? They have a motive to see them killed if they get in the way. THEY COLLECT. I'm not conspiratorial, it's just the way this screwed up place we call planet earth has become. Pretty sickening how greedy and selfish we can be at times. Anyway, this wasn't meant to be a diatribe. There are so many banking scandals it's sick. And none of them go to jail. They to big to fail, and to big to jail.
Update: Wow, who would have thought the ECB would finally juice the market, and China drops rates. Next up... does the FED juice the market to keep up? I am finally short XHB at 33.50. I hope there are no more surprises!