My journey with Alien WorldsThis was by far one of my most shining moments in crypto. This "buy out the gate" strategy works great for concert tickets.
I feel like I have really earned my stripes by buying my first rug pull coin that is now technically too cheap to sell.
A cockroach. A constant reminder.
The badge of a true crypto degenerate :)
Lesson
Investment tips/lessons on bitcoinThis tips/lesson applies to every stock or crypto or any other financial instrument, that you truly belive in and have done your own research on.
Imagine you are a late #bitcoin investor and on the 28th of May you decide to invest in bitcoin, first you should set yourself a long term target. I have shown on the graph an example of $33000 per bitcoin and here is my tips, how you should had invested to succeed and how much your investment will give you! Lets say you have a salary of $1000 per month and your investment is 10% of your income, so that should be $100, each month.
On 1st of June 2019 you purchase your first bitcoin at a price of $12000 that's 0,00833333, 2nd purchase 0,00914746, 3rd - 0,00960799, 4th - 0,01256281, 5th - 0,01136364, 6th - 0,01342282, 7th - 0,01333333, 8th - 0,00968992, 9th - 0,01219512, 10th - 0,01449275, 11th - 0,01136364, 12th - 0,01052632, 13th - 0,01111111, 14th - 0,00862069, 15th - 0,00862069, 16th - 0,00943396, 17th - 0,00649351, 18th - 0,00510204. So that's 1,5 year of investment and it equals to 0,18542112 btc which was $1800. 28th of December you reach your target and yor income will equal to $6118 ($33000*0,18542112). So you have gained *3 of your investment, after only one year and a half, it's not bad! What do you think?
Thats a little secret how to be a success and you don't have to trade
Rolls Royce Trade Review - 20% profit in just 3 weeks!Hi traders,
This is the first in a series of trade reviews that I will be doing for TradingView viewers where each week I will review one or two of my trades. We will outline why we entered them and also how they went.
This is meant only for educational purposes for you to learn some of the skills that I implement when trading.
In this trade I used a very simple break and retest of a key level as the investment strategy.
If you have any questions then please let me know in the comments.
A Day Traders Results of not Sticking to the Plan! feat. BoeingAt times I find myself locked in to trying to find a better entry while my trade plan is setting up during the day. More often than not, when the internal battle is won by the impatient voice in my head,
I sneak into a trade early and pay the price for it.
Well... today was one of those days
I'm not sitting here saying that my set-ups are always right, nor am I saying I'm some trading savant that wins every trade. What I am saying is the important part is to have a plan and follow it. In doing this, it eliminates a lot of the emotion that can go into the decisions being made throughout the trading day. It allows for well-thought out entry and exit points, manages exposure of losses when wrong, and provides a picture of what the profit/loss will be depending on if the analysis is right or wrong.
Below is just an example of a position I took today in which I didn't follow my plan and ended up being on the wrong side of the trade. The technical analysis explained is simply included to describe the approach and thought process I had in entering this trade. In no way am I suggesting for anyone to use these types of set ups, nor am I claiming these set ups are a successful way to trade.
SPOILER ALERT: The price action would have given me my entry if I would have stuck to the plan.
This morning I posted the trade idea image below before entering a trade in BA
At this point I had been patient and let the 1st move settle. I noticed that the price action was stuck dead in the middle of a battle between two previous action zones; one supply (top gray-shaded zone) and one demand (bottom green-shaded zone). I was licking my chops knowing that this was setting up perfectly for a day trade. I anticipated that the price action would give me a good point of confirmation before making its move either to the up or down-side.
The plan that if the price broke up above the supply zone, entry would be triggered at a rejection of downside re-entry into supply. Or to enter a long put position at a rejection of upside re-entry back into the demand zone, following a break below.
The confirmation of a call entry would give a change of about 3 delta to the upside while placing my stop-loss at a break below the supply zone, giving a delta of -1.5. Profit target was decided by an above descending trendline in which the angle was produced by previous highs of supply resistance connected to the following confirmed demand zone before a lower supply was formed. So, a higher supply based resistance would be drawn to a lower demand-found support, angling down towards but above the current price range. My thought here is that if there is downside rejection to a previous supply zone, the sellers are currently no longer there. Inversely, an upside rejection to a previous demand zone shows that the buyers are no longer there.
The confirmation to enter a put position provided the same risk/reward profile as the call entry. Similarly, the profit target was decided by the inverse of the supply to demand (descending) trendline. Which results from a previously lower supply zone connected to a higher confirmed demand zone, ascending towards but below the current price action.
Whether it was because I got impatient, or maybe I thought I had solved the Rubik's cube equivalent to arbitrarily drawn trendlines for intra-day breakouts... It didn't matter, I didn't really have a plan.
Below is where I decided to enter the trade. - I posted this chart as an update to the trade idea shortly after I entered.
I wasn't sure what resistance would be produced from a break of that level and I wasn't really sure at the time where my stop loss should be placed. After entering the trade I realized that the entry would give me higher negative delta to reach my stop (increasing it to as potentially high as -2). I still really wasn't sure where price would find upside resistance, so I just used the same resistance as the original plan.
So what came as a result?
After a break of the supply zone failed to hold, a higher low was found but was quickly met with a rejection to break back into supply.
The result? A potential diamond top developing!
Translation = quick, everyone long simultaneously set stop losses on a break below the bottom trendline support.
Next up. You guessed it
Stop was hit and I exited the trade for a loss.
The result of entry from the original plan is as follows.
Lessons to be learned-
1. Yes, although in this case my original trade plan would have given me my entry and produced the expected profit, this will not always be the case.
If a trade plan is created and it doesn't end up triggering your intended entry, GOOD! you were wrong anyways but you didn't have to lose money this time to figure that part out.
Take this as an opportunity to review your trade plan. See what indications you may have missed to enter or not to enter. See where you can improve your edge.
2. Maintain control of your emotions during price action, don't let quick moves produce a reaction.
If a move is already happening quickly, guess what you're late to the dinner party. Don't try and convince yourself that the stale crackers and warm coleslaw left is the meal you really want to be eating.
3. If you miss a trade or your plan doesn't produce an entry, try an identify where others entered and why.
4. Look at both sides of every trade.
-If you intend to go long ask yourself if you already held a position what would keep you from selling at your entry, or what would reasons would there be to add to your position here.
-If you're short ask yourself "why wouldn't I buy here" or "why would I want to be quick to sell at this level?"
5. The best part about trading is learning. At times, it is more rewarding to learn than it is to win.
-I have included the link to my original BA trade idea
Why most people fail as retail traders?I see two main reasons which complement each other for the high rate of failure.
First and foremost, the media and the industry promote this idea that it’s easy to become a profitable trader and anybody can go it. This is, of course, not true. Theoretically, anybody can do it if willing to put the effort and approach it as a business. Practically almost nobody approaches trading with the same rigorousness as any other professional endeavor.
Let’s put aside the first reason, about which there is not much we can do. A big chunk of the industry relies on peoples being naive and we’re not going to change that. On top of the first reason, we have a second reason related to people themselves. Most of those who try trading financial markets simply don’t manage their emotions and risk well enough to survive the learning curve.
Managing your own emotions turns out to be a complex endeavor and constantly changing market conditions lengthen the learning curve. One of the things that makes this business so attractive is also the main thing that makes it so difficult to master.
The direct and sometimes violent feedback you receive from the market, after each trading decision, has an astonishing impact on a human’s ability to keep his psychological well being in check and control his own reactions. It has the potential to disrupt executive functions and trigger instinctual “fight or flight” responses. This leads to emotional trading or trading on tilt which quickly generates more losses than any other mistake you could make in this business.
Most other jobs have a protective buffer zone between usual day to day work decisions and the ultimate feedback — end of the month paycheck. This profession doesn’t. Every little call you make has an immediate impact on your capital. Every little mistake can take a portion of your capital away and every good decision can bring it all back and more. This kind of psychological exposure is heavily distressful and being aware of its mechanisms makes a huge difference.
So … psychology differentiates the pro. Don’t get me wrong … professional discretionary traders are not emotionless but are much more aware and in control of their reactions. The successful pro deeply understands that trading is mainly about people's perceptions and the rest are just details.
You may ask yourself how can such a level be reached? A starting point is to stay away from any market, financial instrument, time frame, trading technique, or any combination of those that doesn’t fit who you are deep inside. The least the exposure to triggers that can awake the demons within, the best.
Always seek strategies that you understand and match your inner self. For example … if you are impatient trade shorter time frames, if you are very risk-averse don’t use huge margin, if you are risk-averse but you don’t have enough capital use margin with a tight risk management (maybe options), if you have a statistical mind try quantitative approaches etc. There are infinite possibilities to adapt to yourself and is a must to do it if you want to have a chance.
It always amuses me to see the vast majority of educational resources geared towards what market does when most of the success in this business is knowing how you adapt to the market, whatever it may do. And, of course, the market is, more or less, the other traders.
Trade Accordingly to your own set-up Hi guys, today ill be showing you that trades that are in your set up are the best. They give you high probability trades. Bigger reward trade, less risk, and you can review it again and again to improve your trades. I always put stop loss to lessen my risk. Happy trading everyone
Wondering why GOLD drops? Here is WHY!Hey tradomaniacs,
lots of Robin-Hood-Traders are asking themselfs: Why is gold and silver dropping?
Well it can have a lot of reasons such as Profit-Saves due to the overbought situation, the fact that stock-market continues to climb and SPX500 is almost at its All-Time-High (portfolio turnover).
It can be the fact that DXY (US-DOLLAR-INDEX) is oversold and so likely to retrace.
There can be a lot of reasons but one very obvious correlation that makes sense: US BONDS YIELD went straight up after hitting an all-time-low.
Why is that? When there is still uncertainy and fear the stock-market all the institutional traders are looking for save havens.
Save havens are usually alternatives to stocks such as metals, currencies like YEN and CHF or BONDS as you get a safe and fix return for your investment.
But what if the interest rates are too low? You look for alternative assets which are not interest.
Gold has always been a save haven, which is the reason why the current rally makes no sense.
Why would CHF, YEN, metals such as Silver and Gold climb at the same time? Because the market is uncertain!
Gold currently has a negative correlation with US-BOND-YIELDS as it is a no interest asset and a good alternative for a low-interest-market.
Watch these YIELDS when you do your analiysis for gold. ;-)
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me.
Any questions? PM me. :-)
Multi Timeframe Analysis - different supply/demand levelsHello all,
this lesson will be about my monthly/weekly, daily, 4h etc. supply/demands critical areas, so you can get a better idea why i use them. After you know the most basic thing about my analysis, we can start with the next baby steps in understanding price direction.
This also goes for all of the structures such as closed triangles, trendlines etc. on the higher timeframes.
I prefer using the term "supply and demands" since it is the correct one in economics. In other words supply and demand can be seen in every single product that is offered in a market.
Sorry for my mistakes, it took me more than 15 recording in order to get this one. Thank you!
Have a great trading week!
Forex Price Action AnalysisHere we have Really good Setup and price also holding Very well
1) we have very big Wick (shadow) Candle this is the alert time in any trade.
2) we have doji which is for reversal (not all the time) but Volume is good
3) we made bullish candle and bouncing from Support support is Solid.
so when we find the good Support we are ready to buy the retest as always so here we are buying the retest with stop loss below Support
so here we got really decent profit with very small stop loss. and good gain
THIS Is Why You Need Stop Losses!! - 06/17/20 RECAPHi traders,
Some days trading is harder than usual, most of the times because the SPY is indecisive or switching "sides" frequently. Wednesday was one of those days. Most of my trades went into some profit, but eventually failed. The last trade of the day in NCLH put me back into more reasonable loss for the day thanks to my 1:2 RRR I aim for.
Anyway in the video I talk about the importance of Stop-losses as I was kicked out with MORE THAN 40c SLIPPAGE in GRUB. Now imagine if I had no SL and it didn't retrace... scary stuff!
Trades:
1) GRUB - LONG @64.84, -1.31%
2) KSS - SHORT @23.68, -0.49%
3) BA - SHORT @192.3, -1.02%
4) PDD - SHORT @81.56, -0.65%
5) NCLH - SHORT @19.45, +2%
*In my ID trades, I risk 1% of the account per trade and go for 2% (2:1 RRR ). Sometimes I adapt a little bit as you can see in the trades' description.*
Total PnL for the day: -1.46%
Total PnL for the week: -1.52%
Good trades,
Tom | FINEIGHT
<Education> A PRIMITIVE Reason To Your ID Losses...Hi traders,
let's look at a fact so simple you probably never took it into consideration! Most of the traders with at least some experience will acknowledge the key to profit is psychology rather than a magical pattern. Time plays a big role in our thought process. Let's combine time with basic math:
Each stock has it's own "tempo" which of course varies, but we can eyeball it. Let's say it moves 1 dollar every hour. Your SL is 50c and you are using 2:1 RRR. See the point? If it hits your SL, it will be much quicker than if you are right but have to endure the hour-long journey to your Profit Target.
This is one of the reasons after a few losses you get the feeling "The market is after me!! Every time I enter it kicks me right out!".
Thank you for your attention and I hope this little piece helps you rationalize some of your fears.
Tom | FINEIGHT
Playing It SAFE Is a Double-Edged Sword! - 05/18/20 RECAPHi traders,
I am starting this week with breakeven after 3 trades. Funny enough I got the same result managing them as I'd get just setting the SL and PT and walking away. But watching closely the market, I was safer thorough the day with my adjustments (it's easier to judge in retrospect).
My Trades:
1) SYF - SHORT @17.74, originally a LONG idea turned to be a decent short, but got really lazy. -0.43%
2) MT - LONG @9.31, beautiful setup, didn't have enough strength to move over HOD. -0.15%
3) PENN - LONG @21.58, got out with first half at 1:1 and moved SL to BE seeing the market starting to fade. Turned out PENN was still strong enough. +0.53%
*In my ID trades, I risk 1% of the account per trade and go for 2% (2:1 RRR ). Sometimes I adapt a little bit as you can see in the trades' description.*
Total PnL for the day: -0.05%
Total PnL for the week: -0.05%
Good trades,
Tom | FINEIGHT
I Was Right...But At The Wrong TIME! - 05/14/20 RECAPHi traders,
What a day! I took a record of 7 trades (my average is about 3) and all of them were beautiful setups. But most of the time the market went immediately against me and pushed the stocks I traded the other way!
Key point here is not to give in and blame the market - it doesn't care at all and you can't sue it :D
Reduce the size so you don't exceed your maximal daily loss but stay in the game if you are mentally in a good state (for beginners I'd suggest switching to DEMO after 2 consecutive losses, though!).
Yes, being down for the week again sucks, but thanks to good risk management it's just over 1 percent - a single winning trade away from turning green. This is why RM is your priority. It's much harder, if not almost impossible digging yourself up from 10, 20 or 30% Drawdown
My Trades:
1) CODX - LONG @28.39, -0.95%
2) Z - LONG @46.53, +1.18%
3) MRNA - SHORT @61.95, -0.75%
4) AMD - LONG @53.03, -0.93%
5) UNFI - SHORT @18.89, -0.04%
6) DDOG - SHORT @62.78, -1.08%
7) SYF - LONG @17.02, -0.65%
*In my ID trades, I risk 1% of the account per trade and go for 2% (2:1 RRR ). Sometimes I adapt a little bit as you can see in the trades' description.*
Total PnL for the day: -3.22%
Total PnL for the week: -1.37%
Good trades,
Tom | FINEIGHT
Gold: The best trade to make right now| Emerging currency TrendThe markets are driven by 3 key indicators:
1. Sentiment
2. Fundamentals
3. Technicals
The sentiment on gold is that it's a safe haven. Gold always retains value. Gold moves in cycles that're far apart because it measures the value of things in society in relation to it's natural scarcity.
The last gold move was after the 2008 recession.
Before that there was a signaficant move around the dot com bubble.
In this "Great Lockdown " there's bound to be a cyclical move in Au and all other commodities in sequence due to the fundamental inflation/deflation that's devalued in relative terms.
The dollar is still the reserve currency - until the yuan gains that disrupts international trade flows.
The demand for the USD is apparent. But I have 'strong opinions weakly held '. Flexibility is the name of the game and being firm and nimble is not a paradox but a requisite trait of professional traders who operate in the currency markets.
Technicals are indispensable tools that enhance precision and are mastered by skillful professionals.
All skills can be learned but trading remains the hardest way to make easy money.
The major vice is risk management.
Setting the golden ratio in the the trades will rationally lead to gold. Each trade is a ration of gold facilitated by the golden ratio in terms of returns garnered from risk-adjusted returns.
Week Slightly in RED But Many Teaching Points! - 05/08/20 RECAPHi traders,
Welcome to a week sup-up together with Friday RECAP.
As I explained in Thursday video it's sometimes hard to judge whether you should hold onto the trade and it really comes down to your backtesting and psychological comfort.
I am, however, pretty happy about the reverse I did in SPWR because I've been studying this behavior for the last couple of weeks and it did (sort of) work out!
My Trades:
1) CNP - LONG @18.32, jumped the ship before my original SL and then the market finally turned and went without me. -0.86%
2) SPWR - LONG @8, unfortunately, didn't go as far as my target. Moved my SL to at least don't lose on it. -0.1%
3) SPWR - SHORT @7.74, seeing a typical extended behavior with a volume drop, I found a nice technical formation to go again, this time SHORT. It didn't really move much after, so I exited before the end of the day for a +0.2%
*In my ID trades, I risk 1% of the account per trade and go for 2% (2:1 RRR ). Sometimes I adapt a little bit as you can see in the trades' description.*
Total PnL for the day: -0.76%
Total PnL for the week: -1.12%
Good trades,
Tom | FINEIGHT
<COMPARISON> When Should You Jump The Trade? - 05/07/20 RECAPHi traders,
Today is a holiday in my country so I laid back and didn't rush with Thursday's Recap. That allowed me to do an improvised comparison of two trades - one from Thu and one from Fri, both of which I exited earlier and possibly cost myself some money.
We'll look at all the variables that go into deciding whether you should "jump the trade".
My Trades:
1) VIAC - LONG @17.04, a breakout long that proved weak, exited early. -0.46%
2) ZM - LONG @158.10, a nice breakout in a crazy spready and fast market. To be honest this was a test for me that I took with half the usual position and failed to hold for more profit. I got a "taste" of what this type of stock feels like when in trade to be able to slowly get used to it. +0.98%
3) CNP - SHORT @17.88, in retrospect I should've settled with the +1% it offered before close. +0.05%
4) SAVE - SHORT @9.79, a nice breakdown setup for a scalp, sadly didn't work this time. -1.05
5) SNAP - LONG @18.05, a breakout late in the day over a major resistance. It went only a couple of cents before pulling down again - should've closed earlier as per this video's topic. -0.85%
*In my ID trades, I risk 1% of the account per trade and go for 2% (2:1 RRR ). Sometimes I adapt a little bit as you can see in the trades' description.*
Total PnL for the day: -1.33%
Total PnL for the week: -0.36%
Good trades,
Tom | FINEIGHT
Should You Be Angry At Your LOSSES? - 04/28/20 RECAPHi traders,
Tuesday meant 2 losing trades for me. Should I be upset? Well, there's no reason as both of them were according to the plan! If I broke it and won I should be at least a little angry with myself. Had I broken it AND lost at the same time, I should have been really furious.
The trading plan gives you psychical support even if you're losing.
Today's trades:
1) NYSE:CNK - LONG @14.47, SL 14.07. Good setup that gave in to the SPY falling off the open. -1%
2) NYSE:CCL - LONG @14.46, SL 14.06. Basically the same but later - it was holding strong DESPITE SPY dropping, an eventual turn in market direction would cause CCL to be a great winner. -0.93%
*In my ID trades, I risk 1% of the account per trade and go for 2% (2:1 RRR ). Sometimes I adapt a little bit as you can see in the trades' description.*
Total PnL for the day: -1.93%
Total PnL for the week: +0.89%
Good trades,
Tom | FINEIGHT
How I Knew SPY Is Gonna Drop Today (VIX Magic!)Hi traders,
yes yes, the title is a little bit click-baity, but to be honest, SPY down was about an 80% probability for me today.
Now to be fair, I've been expecting this move lower for over a week now, so plenty of factors surely played their roles, but as soon as I saw VIX close out in a 1-2-3 Low formation yesterday (Monday), I had that final confirmation today is the day.
For beginners, VIX is what traders call a "Fear Index". Put plainly it takes into consideration markets' volatility, options volume ratios (whether there are more than usual people hedging) and gauges a "level of panic" traders are currently showing with their actions.
Its history is shown in the chart and therefore we can look for our standard patterns! Being inverted (High VIX values mean more fear and likelihood of markets crashing), a bottoming pattern such as 1-2-3 Low which appeared yesterday signalizes possible SPY reversal down.
And that's it!
Hope you learned something and be safe.
Tom | FINEIGHT
Pattern Triangle - How to find? how to use in a right way?Triangle is one of the most populat pattern. A lot of traders are trying to use, but mostly thay can not find it, or are drowing it in a wrong way. In this video I am searching patterns with you and also will give you most important principals for trading with it.