XRPUSD BEARISH TRENDLINE BREAKOUT!!Bearish Trend Line Breakout.
-19.3% possible retracement.
I'll short XRPUSD. Join my channel if you want to access my trades!
Leverage
EURUSD Long at 1.0986 RRR 1.85DXY is on the resistance level and ı expect to see a reversal from here.
I think corporates are buying before the line. We can see a good reversal from here..
Market makers looking to trap more bears?If we look back at past PA, we can see how MMs break trend to increase shorting to spike in their face.. low volume this weekend could be a nice fakeout setup for monday. targets around 43
mms=market makers
see my indicator pvsra volume suite for more definition
(TQQQ) breakout or bustThe chances of a daily bull pennant increases with every daily higher low we make. Holding 4500 spx es1! Emini s&p futures withstanding and moving toward the week high would the odds of getting to $64 TQQQ skyrocket. Staying over vwma and bottom anchored vwap having no qqe short entry would be very bullish. Channel break strategies say buy over rising support, sell if we break Thursdays low.
Bullish $btc into aprilWe either reverse the bear cycle and get into local highs or melt back into the 30s and possibly discover new relative lows. Next couple weeks will be huge for btc.. Im betting BULL.
The bullish targets on this chart are conservative, and for scalpers.
spx getting to oversold (SPXL)we are in technical conditions of a selloff and risk averse activity is driving the market. defensive sectors are even doing poorly. there is no reason to think price action will turn around here, vut the price doesnt go anywhere in a straight line. at least one last trip up to mid or upper 95s is a valid target.
you guessed it: overbought vix (UVXY)this thing has pumped all day and is getting tired. UVXY is overbought on the 15 minute timeframe and is taking on the appearence of a pullback on the one minute where qqe is trying to punch in a short entry. could there be more to go bullishly? of course. why bother trying to squeeze more out of it long when you know lower prices soon are all but guaranteed?
high to mid 19s are a target.
broader market health indicated (UVXY)vix is showing that weve successfully tested some level in the s&p that could hold. momentum in uvxy is downward. the hourly should play out in bears favor, bullish for the s&p.
probable tightening range (SPXL)given the amount of retracement if we stay over 97 and attract volume setting and confirmin this as a higher low around the .5 its likely we enter a tightening range going for a touch of vwma and then setting a lower high. id like to close that day around the highs for a bull daily case. horizontals are valid targets.
overbought vix (UVXY)this thing has taken on a terminal thrust/ island top appearance and i wouldnt be surprised to see vix and its derivative products pull back from this extreme.
two paths for nasdaq futures (TQQQ)in reality the tech boom is to blame for this correction. if we werent in such business with the market weight we are currently there wouldnt be a need for the drawdown in buying that we are. this could obviously co tinue, but my bias is still long after the current contraction and retracement. divergence from vwma, rsi and qqe signals strategies are long, and i have to say that the weekend looks promising as long as we stay away from negative headlines. the conflict is mostly priced in and xlv, xle, xli, utsl having a good day in relation to the rest of the market moving down shows healthy rotation, and does not spell a crash. defensive sector stock will accumulate and prices in tech will move up.
two paths for volatility (UVXY)theres a really bullish sentiment playing out on the daily, but technical indications are that we sell off a little in vix. ive circled the type of cross i want to see, and highlighted what could gappen if we dont complete the bearish pattern.
over $23 or under 16 in 1 week
What are the Leveraged Longs doing in Bitcoin?One of the most interesting things to develop in Bitcoin last year during the summer dip to 30k was that leveraged long positions inexplicably rose as price consolidated.
Under normal conditions traders tend to chase returns and increase leverage as the price rises. This was typical of the first half of 2021 as Bitcoin pushed to higher highs. It would follow that on the May 2021 dip leveraged longs would be liquidated, sentiment would become less risk on, and leveraged longs would decrease. The opposite happened. Leverage increased and continued increasing through the dip and further into the consolidation. At the end of the consolidation when price rallied the leverage began to evaporate away suggesting it was being closed out.
At the time this was happening last summer I saw a major structural weakness in the price of Bitcoin if price broke 30k as it would jeopardize the leveraged longs being liquidated into a major crash. I gave a talk at a local Bitcoin meetup titled "Do they get to win?" insinuating that this was a risky move that could end badly. Turns out, they did get to win. In hindsight I have a new take on the event. The leverage was coming into the market to support the price and keep it from falling further.
Now, when I revisit this indicator I see that leverage is once again increasing rapidly into a falling price. It is not just "buying the dip" but in my mind "supporting the dip not going further."
Do they get to win again?
Guaranteed money (UVXY)If we break to new highs it's almost a guarantee that, provided we are hitting new lows in multiple important sectors like tickers xlf, qqq, spy, we take this over 19. The only real guarantee is that whatever high we hit in UVXY we are seeing lower prices soon. low 14s is where I'm drawing these hypothetical puts expiring a me to.e early March. This is based on the simple fact that indices didn't hold their lows, and there are really two scenarios that can play out: we set some lower low as support and bounce, or we continue lower. If we go lower there's really no support. If we bounce there's really very little resistance. Low availability of shares means we're not headed sideways.
This is the bullish picture for uvxy:
This is the bearish picture:
The forecasts show my limits of how far I would long or short based on a bull/bear move from current levels. The ghost feed is just one solution to how they could both hit. If you get the right signals UVXY is guaranteed money.
Bearish momentum should stay (TQQQ)Rsi needs to bullishly diverge further, so the drop in price should be larger. There's really little room to judge this as a lower low that could hold. Around 40 is an area that might induce bullish activity. I wouldn't look for a long entry right now, but there will be one eventually. This is damage that will last up to the monthly.
Vwma has turned down, and qqe is still short.
this is big (TQQQ)i see a full recovery if broader market bulls can continue this turn around. should we find ourselves in a position where melt up is taking place, i think we have no choice but to go with that. the daily picture is shaping up in bulls favor, but the smart thing to do is wait for confirmation of the trend change.
Message To Leveraged Longs of BitcoinThe "Fear Index" of Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD is rising both statistically and on my social media. I'm fielding a lot of questions today from people that thought THIS was the bounce (from the 36k support) and leveraged up to the ta-ta's. The question they should NOT be asking is, "when will it reverse?" The question they need to be asking is... "how much is this lesson in leverage going to cost?"
BTC/USDTHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
long 22x short 22x 😉
ENTRY PRICE : 38160
SHORT :
T1 : 36360 %103
T2 : 35970 %126
LONG :
T1 : 39980 %105
T2 : 40381 %128
overbought vix (UVXY)i wouldnt want to be holding this thing long right now. were at 84 rsi hourly and a pullback from these levels seems like its in the works.
mid to high 15s is the target. even if we gap up and blast to the upside, i dont think were really in hot water unless spx breaks to new lows, and it doesnt seem like thats going to happen.
seems a lot like volatility has returned as the norm (SPXL)theres a chance that getting back to all time highs may take a lonh time, and when we get there we may be heading into another drop. if volatility has returned as the new norm there is a lot of evidence to suggest that we wont see a stronger market than 2021 until at least 2023. should we make a second break to the downside whether it is sooner or later a touch of vwma monthly is not unthinkable.
vix churning lower, should spring back then decline (UVXY)this is a rapid consecutive forecast going into the end of the week
i dont foresee vix ending above week highs, but there could be bounce if we dont immediately continue lower on the daily
the forecast cluster represents output from the ghost feed
this is based on qqe, rsi, vwma
14.74, 14.24, 13.81 are key levels
oil could resume the boom (GUSH)wti is still in a weekly uptrend, and that could mean bulll
ish business for GUSH.
i think every time we hit a bottom in monthly oil futures we experience a period of upside with extreme volatility until that pattern of lower weekly highs during reversal breaks on the daily.
we are just near treating VWMA as support.
BTC/USDTHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
SHORTTERM
45x 😉
ORDER PRICE : 41574
SHORT :
T1 : 40500 %116
LONG :
T1 : 42584 %109
