The 14 Stages of Investor Emotions"Master your emotions and you'll master the market"
Hello traders, after receiving a lot of positive feedback from my TradingView educational posts I thought today I would break down a subject on trading psychology with the 14 stages of investor emotions.
Learning how market cycles operate can be extremely beneficial to your trading, understanding the true influence of fear and greed.
But... Controlling your emotions within the market is your main 'personal' objective, becoming an emotionless trader. It's what we're all told from day one right?
90% of trading is purely psychology. It is the main reason why so many traders fail as they let their trading become over-ruled by their emotions, thus making irrational decisions.
Many traders will never overcome their inherent emotional biases, therefor you should seek to understand the range of emotions we may experience as investors and how it affects our interactions within the market.
1. Optimism: A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy assets.
2. Excitement: Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
3. Thrill: At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
4. Euphoria: This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
5. Anxiety: For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealised losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
6. Denial: When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying that we made poor choices. Our "long-term" view now shortens to a near-term hope of an improvement.
7. Fear: The market realities become confusing. We believe our positions in the market will never move in our favour.
8. Desperation: Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
9. Panic: Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
10. Capitulation: Deciding our assets will never increase again, we close all of our positions to avoid any future losses.
11. Despondency: After exiting the markets we do not want to trade ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
12. Depression: Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
13. Hope: Eventually we return to the realisation that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
14. Relief: Having bought an asset that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
To round off this post I truly hope this provided a more in-depth insight to the emotions which can occur during trading.
I am available via private message for any questions you may have.
Lewisglasgow
XAG/USD - Daily Chart Indicates Further DeclinesHere we have XAG/USD on the daily chart with a potential shorting opportunity, as you can see price has dropped heavily since spiking up to the 21 level around mid 2016... I'm expecting further declines short-term.
Keep an eye on this structure over the next month, if you have any additional analysis feel free to leave it below.
NZD/JPY - Bearish 5-0 & Bearish Deep CrabI hope everyone had a great weekend! The markets are looking as good as ever!
Today, to start off the week, we have NZD/JPY on the 1W chart. This is looking great for the long term!
In the up turn of the market, we have been hitting some resistance the past couple weeks. At this point, we are seeing the completion of a BULLISH 5-0 and a BULLISH DEEP CRAB pattern.
With the two harmonic patterns completing at this point, along with the market hitting the resistance of this current trend line, we can expect a HUGE price reversal VERY SOON.
This will be a good one to hold onto for the weeks to come!
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
The measurements for a valid deep crab pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.886
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 2.0 - 3.618
Final X to D: 1.618
NZD/CHF - Bearish 5-0Hello traders, here we have another 5-0 pattern but this time on the 4h timeframe with NZD/CHF.
Once the market opens I will be looking for extra confirmation to enter this trade, I'm expecting price to sell-off right down to the daily trendline near the C point. This is an excellent shorting opportunity with over a 1:2 risk to reward.
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
I hope your week is full of profit, safe trading everyone!
NZD/JPY - Bearish BatThere are some amazing setups forming on the charts, here we have NZD/JPY on the 1h chart with a potential bearish bat. Excellent opportunity we will be trading with over 1:2 or 1:4 risk to reward depending on your take profit level.
The measurements for a valid bat pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.50
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 1.618 - 2.618
Final X to D: 0.886
I'll be looking for extra confirmation once we approach our D point, I'm watching this pair heavily going into a new week.
XCU/USD - Bullish 5-0I'm getting ready for the weeks ahead, make sure to keep this one on your watch list! Here we have XCU/USD on the daily chart with an excellent buying opportunity.
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
I expect price to drop to 2.33000 to complete the 5-0 pattern before making another attempt on breaking the crucial level of resistance at the C point.
EUR/GBP - Bearish Bat (300+ Pips)We're looking at EUR/GBP on a 4h chart with a potential bearish bat pattern within a head and shoulders formation, this is an excellent shorting opportunity with a 1:3 risk to reward... Don't miss out on this one!
The measurements for a valid bat pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.50
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 1.618 - 2.618
Final X to D: 0.886
I'll be looking for additional analysis in the near future :)
XAU/USD - $1249 to $1088Following up from Donald Trump's speech yesterday I'm expecting the U.S Dollar to continue weakening short term, thus providing excellent opportunities across the board.
Here we have XAU/USD on the daily chart with a bearish 5-0 pattern, I have been closely watching this structure since mid December 2016.
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
I'm expecting price to reach the D point at $1249 just above the trendline and create a lower high in the market. I'll be going short from this area all the way down to the support level at $1088.
In addition to the bearish 5-0, price is now approaching the 200 EMA (as shown below) near my projected reversal zone at $1249.
Keep this one on your watch list!
AUD/USD - BEARISH 5-0 ----TITLE CORRECTIONLots of opportunity on the charts to start off they year!
Here at Six Figure Capital, we are all taking advantage of all the opportunities!!!
Today, we are looking at AUD/USD on the 4h chart. Price seems to be trending down, and within the down trend a BEARISH 5-0 seems to have completed in the 0.7360 zone.
Throughout my studies of this pattern, it seems to be very common for price to hit the 0.5 mark and then flirt between the 0.5 and 0.618 before the price reversal actually hits.
When price breaks below the 0.5 mark, then we can look to enter a position.
Referring to @Lewglasgow analysis of this pattern, price is also hitting a trend line in the down trend of this pair.
Now, we just play the waiting game...
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
AUD/USD - Bullish 5-0Lots of opportunity on the charts to start off they year!
Here at Six Figure Capital, we are all taking advantage of all the opportunities!!!
Today, we are looking at AUD/USD on the 4h chart. Price seems to be trending down, and within the down trend a bullish 5-0 seems to have completed in the 0.7360 zone.
Throughout my studies of this pattern, it seems to be very common for price to hit the 0.5 mark and then flirt between the 0.5 and 0.618 before the price reversal actually hits.
Referring to @Lewglasgow analysis of this pattern, price is also hitting a trend line in the down trend of this pair.
Now, we just play the waiting game...
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
NZD/USD - Bullish Bat + Descending Channel **ANOTHER ONE**WE GOT ANOTHER ONE!
Today, we have the NZD/USD -1.02% on the 1W chart. It looks like we have potential for ANOTHER bullish bat!
LOTS of confirmation on this analysis!
The pattern is forming within the ascending and descending channel .
For all you fundamentals out there, the U.S. will be raising rates 3 more times this year. That means price will be going down, which explains the descending channel
The measurements for a valid bat pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.50
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 1.618 - 2.618
Final X to D: 0.886
NZD/USD - Bullish Bat + Descending ChannelHello, everyone! Happy New Year!!!
Coming into the new year is looking good! So much potential in the markets!!!
Today, we have the NZD/USD on the 1D chart. Here in the months to come, it looks like we have a bullish bat pattern forming.
LOTS of confirmation on this analysis!
The pattern is hitting critical points on trend lines within the ascending and descending channel.
For all you fundamentals out there, the U.S. will be raising rates 3 more times this year. That means price will be going down, which explains the descending channel
The measurements for a valid bat pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.50
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 1.618 - 2.618
Final X to D: 0.886
GBP/USD - Bearish 5-0One of the three opportunities I'm watching going into 2017, let's kick start it in profit!
I'm looking to sell once price completes the pattern at the D point around 1.24200.
Stop loss: 1.25400
Take profit: 1.20700
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
You can view the full breakdown of this currency pair during my latest YouTube video.
AUD/JPY - Bearish BatInteresting setup on the Daily chart for AUD/JPY with a potential bearish bat, as you can see price has recently broke out of a descending channel and heading towards our D point at 88.500.
The measurements for a valid bat pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.50
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 1.618 - 2.618
Final X to D: 0.886
I'll be looking for additional analysis in the near future :)
AUD/USD - Bearish 5-0Wow this is huge, today we have AUD/USD on a 4 hour chart with yet another bearish 5-0 pattern. I'm absolutely loving the look of this setup already!
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
Once price reaches the D point I'll be looking for extra validation before placing the trade.
CAD/CHF Bullish 5-0 400+ pips!!!Here we have the CAD/CHF on the 1D chart. We are looking for price to hit and reverse at either C point, then touch at the respective D point to complete the bullish 5-0 pattern.
It should be noted that price has the potential to bounce in between either C point. In that case, we can adjust our D point accordingly.
This one is looking good for the weeks ahead! Definitely one to keep an eye on!
The measurements for a valid 5-0 pattern are detailed below.
B: 1.13 - 1.618
C: 1.618 - 2.24
D: 0.50
I would really appreciate any feedback on this trade.
Other ideas are more than welcome as well!
Comment below! vv
USD/CAD - Bullish Crab 200+ move!!!Hope everyone has a great weekend! Weekends are always a good time to analyze the markets, along with preparing a game plan for the week to come!
Today, we have USD/CAD on the 4H chart. Price has just broken the ascending channel and we have the potential for a bullish crab pattern. If price does reverse at D point, this could end up being a 200+ trade!!
The measurements for a valid crab pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.618
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 2.618 - 3.618
Final X to D: 1.618
I would really appreciate any feedback on this trade.
Other ideas are more than welcome as well!
Comment below! vv
Crude Oil - Market DirectionWith being sure Oil was going to continue its way down on price, OPEC hit us with a curve and decided to change things up...
Announcing the decrease in production by 1.3 million barrels a day, we have seen the price for Crude and Brent Oil skyrocket.
Now, we have price hitting a heavy resistance level...
Will this recent chance in oil production be enough to break this price level this week? Only time will tell...
Please feel free to comment your ideas below. vv