It's official, I'm up +50% on my #Zalando position... $ZAL $ZLNDEuropean retail is bouncing back with vigor...
Trading at 80.8% below our estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 28.45% per year
Earnings grew by 394% over the past year
My target is still around $30 30 euros...
However, after this 50% rise, I'm afraid the squeeze will run out of steam and shorts will take over again...
Lifestyle
ACHR a penny personal air transport startup LONGACHR is a speculative penny stock with big momentum this past week for a continuation trade.
The chart is a basic 2 hour chart upside 20% to all time high no revenue burning cash but
improving on putting out the fire. No competition in its intended market. $5.00 strike calls for
March monthly for $75 look good. Once upon a time, I had a fellow ER doc who commuted to
work all the time by helicopter. Cost him some money but it added 10 hours a week onto his
life. He tells me this will be huge in time when the costs and economy of scale kick in. He
believe him 1000%. Buy, buy and then buy some more ( so long as you have your risk
management figured out. ).
Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR), an urban air mobility company, engages in designs, develops, manufactures, and operates electric vertical takeoff and landing aircrafts to carry passengers. The company was formerly known as Atlas Crest Investment Corp. and changed its name to Archer Aviation Inc. Archer Aviation Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Archer’s goal is to transform urban travel, replacing 60-90 minute commutes by car, with estimated 10-20 minute electric air taxi flights that are safe, sustainable, low noise and cost competitive with ground transportation. With a range of up to 100 miles, Archer’s Midnight is a piloted, four passenger aircraft designed to perform rapid back-to-back flights with minimal charge time in between flights.
"Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) Company Shareholder Snapshot"
Shareholders can expect long term growth and appreciation that is expected from the enormous cash position, experienced management team, and dual revenue streams.
The Company
Raised $1 Bln. of Capital
Went public in 2021 on NYSE
Key Investors: United Airlines, Jeep, Peugeot, Fiat, Maserati, Jet.com, and Moelis group
Key Company Highlights
Industry leading engineering team
COO and Chief Engineer have each previously built 7 eVTOL aircraft
VP of Tesla 100 person powertrain team
Targeting commencement of operations in 2025
"Archer Aviation Aircraft 2 Unique Revenue Streams for Explosive Growth"
The company has two explosive revenue growth strategies that have the potential for long term shareholder growth year after year.
Archer Air - Aerial Ride Sharing
Archers core business
Initially targeting 50% of revenue mix
Grow 70% to 80% of revenue mix over long term
Targeting 40%+ GM
Archer Direct - Aircraft OEM
Can provide meaningful upfront cashflows & revenue diversity
Targeting 50% of revenue mix
Transitioning to 30% over the long term
Targeting 50%+ GM
"Archer Aviation Aircraft Overview Electric Vertical Take-Off And Landing"
Performance
Range: Up to 100 miles, optimized for 20 to 50 mile rapid back-to-back trips with minimal charge time.
Speed: Up to 150MPH
Payload: Industry leading 1,000lbs, pilot + 4 passengers
Advantages
Safety: Will be certified at levels similar to todays commercial airliners
Noise: 100X quieter than a helicopter
Cost: Approximately 1/3 the cost to manufactured and to operate than a traditional helicopter
"Urban Congestion Is Not Sustainable - Archer (ACHR) Solves Issue"
In 2018, 55% of the world's population lived in urban areas according to the United Nations, a proportion that they project to increase to 68% by 2050
Traffic congestion cost the US economy nearly $87Bln. in 2018.
Vast majority of trips in urban areas are less than 50 miles long, but take more than an hour.
Major cities across the world have a similar dynamic, especially trips from airport to city center.
Understanding Trading PsychologyMastering the Mindset: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Psychology
Trading in the financial markets is not just about analyses and strategies; it’s equally about mastering one’s mind. The importance of trading psychology is often underestimated, yet it plays a pivotal role in shaping trading decisions and outcomes.
This comprehensive guide delves into how to master trading psychology, offering insights and solutions for traders at all levels.
Understanding Trading Psychology
At its core, trading psychology revolves around understanding the influence of emotional and mental states on trading. Emotions like fear, greed, and overconfidence can cloud judgment, leading to impulsive decisions and potentially detrimental outcomes.
1. Greed: The Double-Edged Sword
🔍What is it? Greed in trading is the excessive desire for more profit, often leading to risky decisions. Imagine a child in a candy store. Given the chance, they might try to grab as much candy as possible, even if it’s too much to eat. In trading, greed works similarly. It’s the trader’s urge to make more money, ignoring the risks.
📖In 2000, during the dot-com bubble, many investors kept buying overvalued tech stocks, driven by greed and the hope that prices would keep soaring. When the bubble burst, many faced substantial losses.
2. Fear: The Paralyzing Emotion
🔍What is it? Fear in trading is the apprehension of loss, which can prevent traders from taking necessary risks.
🤔Think of a person so afraid of water they never learn to swim. In trading, fear can stop traders from making decisions that could be beneficial, worried they might lose.
📖During the 2008 financial crisis, many traders and investors sold their stocks in a panic due to fear, resulting in significant losses. Those who overcame their fear and held onto or bought quality stocks at lower prices eventually saw substantial gains as markets recovered.
3. Overtrading: The Trap of Too Much
🔍What is it? Overtrading is trading too frequently or excessively, often driven by emotion rather than strategy.
🧐It’s like eating too much junk food just because it’s there. In trading, overtrading happens when traders make more trades than necessary, often due to excitement or the urge to recover losses quickly.
🤑A day trader, excited by initial successes, starts making numerous trades daily without proper analysis. This leads to a series of small losses that accumulate over time, eroding their capital.
🧑💻 How to Master Trading Psychology
Mastering trading psychology is a crucial step in becoming a successful trader. It’s about understanding and managing your emotions, biases, and behaviours to make sound decisions and avoid costly mistakes. Here are some key steps to help you achieve that:
⭐ Emotional Awareness and Regulation:
1️⃣ Identify Emotional Triggers: Recognize what drives impulsive trading decisions, such as the fear of missing out (FOMO) or the urge to engage in revenge trading after a loss.
2️⃣ Understand Cognitive Biases: Be aware of mental shortcuts that can lead to judgment errors, like overconfidence or being influenced too heavily by recent trades.
3️⃣ Separate Emotions from Trading: Focus on the mechanics of your trading strategy rather than the emotional highs and lows associated with the outcomes of individual trades.
👨💻 Developing Disciplined Trading Habits:
1️⃣ Implement a Robust Trading Plan: Clearly define your strategies for entry, exit, and risk management. Adherence to this plan should be paramount, irrespective of current market trends or emotional states.
2️⃣ Cultivate Patience: Avoid the temptation of chasing immediate profits or overtrading. Wait for the right opportunities that align with your strategy.
3️⃣ Normalize Losses: Understand that losses are an integral part of trading. Analyze them, learn from them, and refine your approach accordingly.
👨🔬 Strengthening Mental Resilience:
1️⃣ Engage in Mindfulness Practices: Techniques like meditation can enhance focus and emotional regulation, aiding in stress management and decision-making under pressure.
2️⃣ Maintain a Trading Journal: Documenting your trading journey helps in reflecting on both successes and setbacks, fostering continuous learning and self-improvement.
3️⃣ Leverage Mentorship and Community Support: Connect with seasoned traders for insights and advice. A supportive trading community can be invaluable.
👨🏫 Additional Strategies for Optimal Performance:
1️⃣ Regulate Screen Time: Limit exposure to constant market updates and commentary that might encourage emotional trading.
2️⃣ Prioritize Physical and Mental Health: A healthy lifestyle directly contributes to improved focus and decision-making in trading.
3️⃣ Utilize Simulation Tools: Practice with demo accounts to test strategies without financial risk, building confidence and skill in a controlled environment.
4 Tips To Mastering Trading Psychology
Improving trading psychology is a crucial component of becoming a proficient trader. The psychological aspect of trading often determines the difference between success and failure.
1️⃣ Back Test Your Trading Strategy:
▪️ Relevance of Historical Testing: Backtesting your strategy against historical data is essential. It helps in understanding how your strategy would have performed in different market conditions.
▪️ Confidence in Strategy: Consistently backtesting and refining your strategy builds confidence, allowing you to trust your system and reduce emotional decision-making.
▪️ Identification of Weaknesses: This process helps identify potential flaws or areas for improvement in your strategy, making it more robust and effective.
2️⃣ Limit to Trade One or Two Currency Pairs:
▪️ Focus and Expertise: Specializing in one or two currency pairs allows you to gain in-depth knowledge and understanding of those markets, including their unique volatilities and correlations.
▪️ Reduced Overwhelm: Trading fewer pairs reduces the cognitive load and decision fatigue, enabling more focused and rational decision-making.
▪️ Consistency in Approach: Specialization fosters a consistent approach, essential for developing and maintaining a stable psychological state.
3️⃣ Trade in a Specific Time:
▪️ Consistent Routine: Trading at specific times can create a routine, which is beneficial for mental preparation and consistency.
▪️ Market Behavior Understanding: Different market sessions have unique characteristics. Trading in a specific window allows you to become familiar with and adapt to these patterns.
▪️ Life Balance: Setting specific trading times helps maintain a healthy balance between trading and personal life, reducing stress and burnout.
4️⃣ Adopt Your Trading Style According to Your Personality:
▪️ Self-Assessment: Understand your personality traits, risk tolerance, and emotional responses. This self-awareness is critical in choosing a trading style that suits you.
▪️ Alignment with Lifestyle: Your trading style should align with your daily routine and commitments. For instance, day trading requires more time and attention compared to swing trading.
▪️ Comfort and Sustainability: Ensure your chosen style feels comfortable. Trading in a style that aligns with your personality and life circumstances is more sustainable and less psychologically taxing.
Catching the SHORT TradeFrom our 4 hour analysis of this pair, it is clear that this pair is building up to continue it bearish dip. On the 3o minutes, we have begun to see clear signs of Bearish setup.
We are now looking to catch a trade on this pair.
As shown on the chart, I have created a trade setup. Entry will be at the break of the current low at 1.22431 and our profit target will be the 4 hour liquidity target at 1.20376.
EURUSD LOSS EXPLANATIONSo yesterday i took a trade on EURUSD,and as every trader took a loss,so lets try to explain why did a loss happen,as said i took a sell because i saw 0.5 fib being respected and rejected,and my entry was good,but as u see i didnt draw a blue line that hold my price from going down
I should wait for a better confirmation and BOS-Break of structure or some kind of a lower hi,lower low being formed
USDCAD SHORTThis pair is currently trading nicely in a horizontal channel, testing support and resistance multiple times.
Indicators have confirmed that we are currently sitting in a position of being overbought, but also at the pivot point of the channel with a strong bear candle. Looking for this to drop further.
Follow for more.
How To Go Long On GBPCADHi Traders,
Happy Monday, New week new Goals and New Opportunities,
Today I have my eye on GBP/CAD, My approach to this instrument is slightly different as I am using demand to spot a potential setup. Price has been making higher highs and higher lows since the 16th of May, We can see that price is currently pulling back to create a potentially new higher low.
I am specifically interested in 1.60 where there are a few confluences coming into play, It’s a psychological support area and we have a demand zone that is also untested, We could add a Fibonacci and a trendline which will add more confluences but I like to keep my chart clean.
I will be looking for price to pull back into my order block where I can then start looking at potential buying opportunities, Targets are around 1.680 which is also a previous high.
I will be waiting for price to come to me and then start applying my strategy for an entry.
Have a fantastic and profitable week ahead.
Renaldo Philander.
CADJPY SHORT (JPY SAVE HAVEN)hi
as you all have known the war in the western countries that has been causing big panic in the stock markets. i know that gold is a save haven and for the financeel instrument CHF AND JPY are the save havens. this is my technical analyse for CADJPY.
trade with youre own risk and manage youre trade. goodluck!
Setting Alarms For Fun and ProfitOne of the most attractive things about being a trader is that once you become proficient with your trading system you don't have to spend all day in front of your computer like an extra in the Walking Dead. There's a lot more to life than trading. The goal is that once we have developed that skill, we can “trade to live” and not “live to trade.”
I like to teach that trading is like fishing - Your job is to go into the water, cast a few lines, and wait for the fish to come and snag a hook. The keyword there is wait . Once you set your lines, you don't have to babysit them: go do something else. (We trade to live, after all!)
Likewise, with trading, once you have developed a certain level of skill in "setting your lines", you should only need to spend about 30-60 minutes in front of your computer "working". Then you simply need to wait until the trade, that is price, gets snagged onto your hook. In the meantime, go do whatever it is in life that you enjoy doing.
How do fishermen then know when a fish has taken the bait? Some fishermen attach a small bell on the end of their pole, a “fishing buddy”, and as the fish jerks the line the bell alerts the fisherman that “he’s got a live one!”
How is is that Alarms can instantly become your "fishing buddy?" Let us count the ways:
First: Management of Buying Power
Let's say you have a $10,000 trading account. You wake up, do your morning routine, head to your home office (or the kitchen table) and “go fishing” in the Futures markets. You find three great opportunities for Soybeans, Oil, and Copper. The margin requirements for each of them (per contract) is $4,500, $5,800, and $7,300, respectively.
Futures trading requires that you have a certain amount of capital in your account per trade setup, known as the margin, or buying power, at the time you setup your trade. This "margin" is set aside in your account and can't be used, even if the trade hasn't been triggered or entered. If you wanted to setup all three of those trades before you headed to work you would need $17,600 in your account. But you only have $10,000. What do you do?
In the past, when I ran into this situation, I would have to guess (or hope) I would choose the correct trade to place before I left for work, and send just that one trade to my broker. Inevitably, I would choose the one losing trade, or the one that didn't get hit , and it ended up that one or more of the other trades turned out to be winners - the trades I did not take - all because I couldn't put on all three at the same time. Aaargh!!! Every day I felt like the trading gods were against me!
Here's where alarms can become your best friend.
Let's say at any given moment if you received an alarm, you would be able to respond to that alarm within an hour. You could setup an alert line 1/24th the daily ATR away from your entry price. For example, at the time I am writing this, the Daily ATR for Crude Oil is 1.7708 - the average distance or range that Oil trades in a day. Divide that by 24 and on average, oil moves about .0738 per hour.
If you are looking to go long oil at $73, you would draw a horizontal line at 73.0738, and set an alert on the line, giving you about an hour to check that the trade is still valid. When price activates your alert, you can log into your trading platform, verify that you still want to take the trade, right-click the long-short tool (which you had setup beforehand) and send the trade to your broker, whereby then and only then will the $5,800 be allocated from your Buying Power.
It is unlikely that all three trades will hit at the same time so this gives you the "buffer time" needed to efficiently manage the available capital in your account to take as many trades as possible.
Using alerts in this manner can help you minimize the number of missed opportunities you might experience because of the limited amount of buying power you may have.
Second: Trade Opportunity Alerts
In the futures market, I have what I call my "31 Flavors" - the 31 Futures contracts that I actively trade. On any given morning I might find 5 assets where I’m looking for a long opportunity, another 5 assets that I’m looking for a short, and the rest aren’t in any trend or environment where I’m looking to trade.
Many indicators let you set an alarm when a certain condition occurs. For instance, I can set an alarm on the ten high-probability assets I have flagged to let me know “Hey, Captain: a Sabre Long opportunity just formed on the S&P;”, or “Hey Captain, a short opportunity with the pattern you are looking for just popped up on Crude Oil.”
Likewise, if you are following a Moving Average strategy, you can setup an alarm saying “Hey, Trader: XYZ just crossed the 89 Moving Average” or "ABC just crossed the 40 day Moving Average.
At the time of this writing TradingView will let you setup up to 400 of these alerts. (P.S. - If you need more than 400 alerts, you're probably overtrading... just sayin') :-)
When the alert is triggered you can just take a few minutes out of your day outside of your normal trading hours to check in and see if that mid-day opportunity is worth setting up. After a couple minutes, you can get back to what it was you were doing.
The myth of the day trader who is glued to his or her computer all day in fear of missing an opportunity is just that - a myth, because alerts free you up to do what is important. Remember, we are trading to live - we aren't living to trade.
Finally: Trade Management
Let's say you are a swing trader. Trades you enter may take anywhere from 3 to 30 days to hit their target. Say, however, you have a hard and fast rule to take 3R profit from all of your trades because you would rather take 3R any day rather than see price go to 5R, or 7R, just to have it come on back and stop you out for a loss due to emotions or lack of paying attention, because, yes, you trade to live - you're not tethered to your computer or smartphone all day. You've got better things to do. (At least I hope you do!)
You can setup an alarm to let you know that a trade you have running achieves 3R of profit, whereby you can then move your stop, then check in on it each morning and/or evening to see how you may want to lock in more profit or call it a day and cash in on your winning trade.
Conclusion:
In short: Use alarms to make your trading more efficient, more effective, and ultimately, more profitable.
Are there any other ways that you use alarms to maximize your trading game? Let us know in the comments... I'm sure we are all, myself included, dramatically under-utilize this very powerful trading tool.
Trade well, everybody!
FOMO still hold around 50 k Do not fall in the trap they want to believe in the legend this is the best way for large holder to sell discretely easy instead of big bag who would crash the game faster and create panic sell , all the fake trader entertain the legend and fake mantra here and on social network . That is is a shame that you know how to deal with Fibonacci and you do not take a minute to understand the world you live in . Lazyness of the mind and greed are you worst enemy's in this life , so let greedy people buying air at 50k , block chain is a revolutions' for banking system and network security that is all , most developed country use digital payment this is called visa , put you feet on the ground sometime people, tulips are great to make profit for a better life hope you understand me , without crystal guidance in this world you ll be eaten predators are everywhere . Take my words as the TA of your life .
NLS short term price targetIf NLS can confirm the demand used to move into the current resistance as support, it could break the current supply level and remain in the upper channel until earnings.
Where are you at?Hey guys! Let's have a look on GU of 4H timeframe. Now we are sitting on the main level of resistance (4H and Daily as well). Gonna wait for new impulse to the upside according to our trend. But on a Daily timeframe we can notice ascending nature (channel) and we know this is reversal pattern. So the new impulse to the upside should appear and then wait for a retrace candle on 4H timeframe to get a short position. There are a lot of space on Daily timeframe to get to our main level of support 1.3400. Let's go!
What is next?Quick update on GU. Let's have a look on Daily timeframe. We have a clear Doji candle close on Friday with bearish body, which tells me that this area is controlled by bears. Anyway we have 2 wicks rejections from that area which I previously mentioned to everybody here.
So what will be next? According to the nature of the market - we always have 2 phases - impulse and correction (pullback). So after a huge impulse on Daily timeframe which starts from 1.2672 ( 850 pips move) the correction should start to form. I found 3 psychological levels - 1.3300, 1.3200 and 1.3100. So for now those 3 levels will be support area for me for the upcoming week.
Long positions is not taking to the account for now. BUT if we will brake the resistance region - 1.3470-1.3515 I will check the chart one more time lol. Do not forget about false breakout as well. Cheers to everybody!
Our first support region was hit!The Pound didn't get our main target of resistance, so i didn't short it. But instead of this we got a huge impulse to the downside and hit our first support level at 1.3290
Once we break the support level and retest the resistance - will look for short to the 1.3100 as I mentioned earlier