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EURUSD 6 May 2024 W19 - Intraday Analysis - EU PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 6 May 2024 W19 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Nothing changed from Friday, the EUR/USD surged to reach a new high for the week, surpassing recent congestion levels. This uptick followed a significant shortfall in the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data regarding labor and wages. The disappointing figures revived expectations across the market for a quicker pace of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate reductions. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Reached Swing EQ INT Structure Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. INT Structure turned Bullish signaling a complex pullback phase with deep pullback that reached the Swing EQ and tapped into the Daily Supply. Currently with INT Structure is Bullish we don't have a solid confirmation that the Swing PB is over and we will continue Bearish. Instead, INT structure could continue Bullish. More Price development required from LTF in order to play the INT Structure PB or the INT structure Bullish continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Long : Phase A2 Short : Phase D 2. Swing failed to continue Bearish and with NFP we created a Bullish BOS which reached the Daily Supply Zone. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. INT structure is Bullish which means we still in Bullish continuation. With the 4H created a Bullish iBOS and requesting a Pullback, i prefer to look for Shorts after a Bearish iBOS. Longs will be ideal for me when we reach the 4H demand zone within the 15m Swing. 3. 15m/4H Demand zones for possible longs one reached.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 6-10 May 2024 W19 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 6-10 May 2024 W19 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment On Friday, the EUR/USD surged to reach a new high for the week, surpassing recent congestion levels. This uptick followed a significant shortfall in the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data regarding labor and wages. The disappointing figures revived expectations across the market for a quicker pace of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate reductions. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. 4. Price tapped into a Weekly demand zone that is currently providing Pullback for the continuation down to the Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Price in a clear corrective move to the upside after tapping the Weekly Demand Zone which initiated the Bearish iBOS Pullback Phase. As expected last week with the probability of a deep pullback, price reached the Daily Supply. With that deep Pullback, there is a HP that we can continue the Bearish INT Structure with expectation to target the Weak INT Low and possibly the Weak Swing Low. More development required on LTF to show signs of Bearish Structure to validate the expectations. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Reached Swing EQ INT Structure Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. INT Structure turned Bullish signaling a complex pullback phase with deep pullback that reached the Swing EQ and tapped into the Daily Supply. Currently with INT Structure is Bullish we don't have a solid confirmation that the Swing PB is over and we will continue Bearish. Instead, INT structure could continue Bullish. More Price development required from LTF in order to play the INT Structure PB or the INT structure Bullish continuation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 2 May 2024 W18 - Intraday Analysis - EU CPI / US Jobless This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 2 May 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Market sentiment is mixed following the Federal Reserve meeting and Powell's speech. The US dollar initially strengthened after the Fed, but then weakened as investors focused on the central bank's dovish comments. This could be positive for EURUSD, which climbed after the Fed meeting. However, caution is still warranted as Non-Farm Payroll data, a key US jobs report, is due on Friday, which could impact the dollar and EURUSD again. The following news today will have some volatility before NFP tomorrow: German Mfg PMI Final Eurozone Mfg PMI Final US Trade Balance US Initial Jobless Claims 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. As the INT Structure turned Bearish, it signals that the Swig PB maybe over and we are currently Pro Swing. After the Bearish iBOS we are expecting a PB which already reached the Refined 4H FLIP Zone. Currently the Liquidity above the 4H Supply which makes it not a HP Zone for Shorts unless we have clear Bearish Structure formation on the 15m. I Prefer the Sweep of Liq above the 4H Supply (CHoCH) before Shorts. Also be mindful that the Strong INT High could be run in the situation of a complex Deeper Pullback Phase for the 4H Swing. With FOMC Yesterday and NFP tomorrow, this is the behavior of price due to Investors positioning. Note: Daily is ranging and 4H too 🤷‍♂️ 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Shorts Phase B (HP) Longs Phase C (LP) 2. With the volatility of yesterday news, price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme. No clear direction as we are back again to the same range we are in since Apr 23. Shorts make sense, but no potential POI / Clear INT Structure to follow. Also with the 4H Liquidity above the 15m Swing High, there is a HP that the 15m Swing will get run. 3. After the Bearish BOS we expected a Pullback, which was initiated after the Bullish iBOS.
by Amr-Sadek
1
Liquidity Hunt PatternLiquidity Hunt Pattern Uncover Hidden Opportunities in the Market Introduction: The Liquidity Hunt Pattern is a powerful technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential turning points in the market. By understanding how this pattern forms and its implications, traders can gain an edge in uncovering hidden opportunities and making informed trading decisions. What is the Liquidity Hunt Pattern? The Liquidity Hunt Pattern is characterized by a series of price movements that create a distinct "W" or "M" shape on the chart. This pattern forms when large institutional players, known as "liquidity providers" enter the market to buy or sell large quantities of assets. Their actions create temporary imbalances in supply and demand, leading to price swings that can be exploited by astute traders. Identifying the Pattern: The Liquidity Hunt Pattern consists of three key elements: The "W" or "M" shape: This is the most recognizable feature of the pattern and is formed by a series of price swings that create the distinctive letter shape. Volume spikes: The pattern is often accompanied by significant volume spikes, indicating the presence of large institutional activity. Breakout or breakdown: The pattern typically resolves with a breakout or breakdown, signaling a potential change in the market direction. Trading the Liquidity Hunt Pattern: Traders can use the Liquidity Hunt Pattern to identify potential entry and exit points for their trades. By understanding the dynamics of the pattern, traders can: Anticipate potential turning points: The pattern can signal potential reversals or continuations in the market trend. Identify high-probability trading setups: The pattern can be used to identify areas where the risk-reward ratio is favorable. Manage risk effectively: The pattern can help traders set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage their risk exposure. Conclusion: The Liquidity Hunt Pattern is a valuable tool for traders of all levels. By understanding its formation and implications, traders can gain an edge in the market and uncover hidden opportunities for profitable trades.
BINANCE:ETHUSDEducation
by TheGreatR00T
1
EURUSD 1 May 2024 W18 - Intraday Analysis - US FOMC/Powell Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 1 May 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment A day the markets awaits loaded with high impact news events. Starting with US ADP, Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings and ending with Rate Decision and Powell speech. Today's FOMC Statement and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech are eagerly anticipated by the market, as both have the potential to significantly influence the EUR/USD pair. The Dollar Index has advanced as investor focus shifts to these pivotal events. Should the FOMC statement or Powell's comments lean towards a more hawkish stance, indicating a preference for higher interest rates, it could bolster the US dollar and exert downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Conversely, if the statement or remarks lean towards a more dovish stance, suggesting a inclination towards lower interest rates, it could weaken the US dollar and generate some upward movement for the EUR/USD pair. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. No clear Demand zone available to initiate the INT Structure Pullback. Price could continue bearish without Pullback as we are in the Swing Continuation Phase. Expectation is set to continue bearish targeting the Weak Swing Low. 4. With the recent INT Structure turning Bearish confirming the Swing Pullback Phase may had ended, the Swing Bearish Continuation Phase started targeting the Weak Swing Low. Current 4H Supply (FLIP Zone) could provide an opportunity for Shorts after the Bearish iBOS inline with the Bearish Swing and Continuation Phase. Also be mindful that today is loaded with high impact news which will have a high volatility. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish OF Bearish 2. Swing continuing Bearish with Bearish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback. There is no HTF Zone that can be potential for the Swing Pullback Phase. Will wait for INT Structure to turn Bullish to look for Longs. Otherwise i prefer Shorts from the 4H Supply as it aligns with the HTF Bearish Phase and targets. 3. No Clear Demand to initiate the Swing Pullback. Waiting for INT Structure formation.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 30 Apr 2024 W18 - Intraday Analysis - EU CPI GDP / US CFThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 30 April 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Sentiment from Monday (April 29th) could carry over to Tuesday, depending on the outcome of Eurozone data releases (CPI, GDP) and US ( Consumer Confidence). A strong Euro today due to positive data might see some continuation. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Sub-Internal Bullish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). A break of the Sub-INT Low, this will confirm that the Pullback Phase maybe is over and we will continue down targeting the INT Low. On the other side if the Sub-INT Structure will stay Bullish, there is a HP we are targeting the mitigation of the Daily Supply. More Price development needed. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Sell: Phase B (HP) Long: Phase C (LP) 2. Swing turned Bearish signaling the probability that the 4H Pullback is maybe over and we may resume the 4H Bearish continuation move. No much change from yesterday, we still ranging within a Bullish INT Structure within a Bearish Swing. Possible Longs from the the current fresh 15m demand but be mindful that we swept the Liquidity below it and the 15m Bearish Swing could continue and run the INT Low. Shorts are currently not my interest till we have another Bearish Swing. 3. 15m Demand within the INT Structure as it could provide a Low Probability Long Phase C trade.
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 29 Apr 2024 W18 - Intraday Analysis - GER CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 29 April 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment No major economic data releases are scheduled for Monday, limiting significant movement in the pair. However, the intervention in JPY leading to a USD weakness which will provide support for EURUSD some Bullish stand. Also note that the current week includes EU CPI and US FOMC / NFP which most probably result in a volatility and investors are positioning for that upcoming news events. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Sub-Internal Bullish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). A break of the Sub-INT Low, this will confirm that the Pullback Phase maybe is over and we will continue down targeting the INT Low. On the other side if the Sub-INT Structure will stay Bullish, there is a HP we are targeting the mitigation of the Daily Supply. More Price development from Intraday analysis to confirm a scenario. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Sell: Phase B (HP) Long: Phase C (LP) 2. Swing turned Bearish signaling the probability that the 4H Pullback is maybe over and we may resume the 4H Bearish continuation move. Currently price at a 15m/4H Supply zones that could initiate the Swing continuation phase. Possible Phase B Shorts but be mindful that the 4H INT Structure still Bullish and we may see another deep Swing pullback which will reflect on a Bullish 15m Swing BOS. 3. 15m Demand within the INT Structure as it could provide a Low Probability Long Phase C trade.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 29-3 May 2024 W18 Weekly Analysis - FOMC / NFP Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 29-3 May 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Potential EUR Upside: Weaker Dollar: The recent US economic data, particularly the lower than expected GDP growth, has weakened the US dollar. This trend could continue if upcoming data disappoints. Eurozone Data: Key Eurozone data releases (flash GDP and CPI) could show signs of improving economic health, boosting the Euro. Potential EUR Downside: Strong US Jobs Report: The highly anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday could show strong job growth, strengthening the dollar. Hawkish Fed: The Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday is a key event. If the Fed signals a more aggressive rate hike path to combat inflation, the dollar will likely strengthen. Overall: The EUR/USD sentiment is currently uncertain. The direction will depend on the outcome of key data releases and the Fed meeting. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. 4. Price currently within a Weekly demand zone that can initiate a minor Pullback for the continuation down to the Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price in a clear corrective move to the upside after tapping the Weekly Demand Zone. We didn't mitigate any HP Supply to initiate the INT Structure continuation phase so the scenario will be that price still could continue to mitigate the Daily Supply Zone. Other scenario that with the corrective more currently we are in price will continue down without the mitigation of a Supply zone. More price development required / LTF confirmations for the 2 scenarios. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Sub-Internal Bullish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). A break of the Sub-INT Low, this will confirm that the Pullback Phase maybe is over and we will continue down targeting the INT Low. On the other side if the Sub-INT Structure will stay Bullish, there is a HP we are targeting the mitigation of the Daily Supply. More Price development from Intraday analysis to confirm a scenario. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
AKRO At Least 1500% Move Is On The Table! New ATH Is ComingAKRO Has One Of The Most Clear And Perfect Charts Among The Market. In Classic View, It Formed So Sweet Patterns And All Of Them Did Exactly Well, Now We're Going To Look At It's Chart From Super-Big Picture And Find The Very Ultimate Pattern . Let's Go. 1- The First And The Most Important Thing Is The Monthly Change of Character ( CHoCH ) That Happened In Aug 2023 In Form Of a Powerful Big-Ass Candle. Monthly Chart Is One Of The Most Important Time-Frames Among The Others, Isn't It? As You Can See On The Chart Below, It Broke The Last High Caused the Bottom, So We Identify It As The CHoCH. From That Date, We Were Looking For The Best Entry Opportunity Until Now, Maybe The Best Time To Enter. Because The Break-Of-Structure (BOS) Is Going To happen In Coming Weeks. Price Reached The Monthly Support Zone Which Formed As a Red Hammer Candle. Do You See It? The First Step Was Detecting The Support Zone, The Second Step Is To recognize Reversal Elements Forming On That Support. So Let's Dive Into It! 2- There Is No Reversal Pattern Seen On The support Yet But : Very Strong RSI Bullish Divergence Seen On The Daily Chart Exactly On Monthly Support That I Mentioned Before. Price Is Making Lower Lows While RSI Is Making Higher Lows On Daily. The First Sign ... 3- Trend-Line Just Broke On weekly To Gather Liquidity, So a Heavy Come-Back To The Upside Is coming, Which Will Lead To Shatter All Of The highs And Perhaps Reach a New All-Time-High. There Are Two Weekly FVGs That Should Get Filled In The Future Highlighted On The chart. Take It So Serious ... 4- There Was a Head And Shoulders Pattern, Done In The Weekly, The PullBack Phase Almost done On The Weekly! Are You Ready To Rebound? 5- Now, Take More Distance From The Screen, Watch The Chart From Bigger Picture. The Ultimate Pattern That Akro Is Making On The Monthly chart, Is a Huge Cup And Handle. After Breaking The Top Side Of The Handle, It Will Throw Into The Sky, Probably In Search Of a New All-Time-High ... 6- Just See The Other Side Of The Box! Price Action Is Making a Three-Drive Pattern In Weekly Towards Major Liquidity Pool. The Only Concern ... But Don't Be Worry, After That We Can See Jump In Price In form Of a QM Pattern. Follow, Like, Share And Comment Below If You Enjoyed This Idea. See You On Top!
Long
by Trading-Mechanics
2
EURUSD 26 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - US PCE Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15 Chart Analysis Market Sentiment PCE as the next hurdle: The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data is the key event today. This data is a crucial inflation indicator for the US Federal Reserve. Potential scenarios based on PCE: Higher than expected PCE: This suggests stronger US inflation, which could bolster the USD. Investors might anticipate a more hawkish stance from the Fed (raising interest rates), making the USD a more attractive investment. This scenario could weaken the Euro. Lower than expected PCE: This suggests cooling inflation, potentially weakening the USD. If inflation is under control, the Fed might be less aggressive with rate hikes, making the USD less appealing. This scenario could strengthen the Euro. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). Current Sub-INT structure doesn't have any clear Demand and we are currently within the Supply Zone formed during the news yesterday and with PCE today, i'd expect high volatility similar to yesterday. Today for me is a day to analyze and not to trade 😃 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. With the Swing containing Bullish and Swing Low did hold the volatility yesterday, I couldn't find a clear POI within the Swing to continue Bullish except the Demand down. Expectations with the current PA is that the Weak Swing High will get run. But be mindful that today US PCE news will have the market ranging till the news. As indicated in the 4H analysis, Today is the day where you analyze and don't trade as more clear setups will be available next week. 3. 15m Demand for possible longs if we are continuing Bullish.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 25 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - US GDP / JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Euro's recent strength: The Euro has gained some ground against the USD lately, fueled by weaker US data and supporting the Pullback Phase after the YTD lows. US data as a game changer: The upcoming US GDP and Jobless Claims reports are the main event. Strong numbers could significantly strengthen the USD, reversing the Euro's recent gains. Cautious market: Investors are holding back until the data is released, creating a wait-and-see sentiment that could limit the Euro's upside potential specially with US PCE Inflation Report tomorrow. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. As price reached the 4H Supply with Bullish OF, price showed a bearish reaction as expected to facilitate a Pullback to recent Demand. Price tapped into the 4H Demand and currently in the momentum to create a new high. As indicated previously, the Liquidity on the left above the 4H Supply and possibly the Swing EQ are the targets. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Long: Phase A Short: Phase C (Require Bearish iBOS) 2. Price mitigation to the 4H Demand. 3. Price turned bullish after mitigating the 4H Demand turning INT structure to Bullish. With INT structure is Bullish, expectations are set that we are going to target the Weak Swing High. But be mindful that we are still within the 4H Supply Zone that is partially mitigated yesterday so Phase A2 after the BOS will be tough. But Phase C will be applicable if we have a Bearish iBOS.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 24 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - US Durable GoodsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment EURUSD is slightly bullish: The Euro is currently showing some strength, having gained yesterday strong Euro data and on weaker US data. Market is cautious: Upcoming US inflation data is keeping investors cautious, potentially limiting gains for the Euro. US Durable Goods will be the watch today for volatility. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. As expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign fora bearish reaction from the 4H Supply. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Long: Phase A2 Short: Phase C (Require Bearish iBOS) 2. Price had created another Bullish Swing BOS aligning with the HTF requirements for a Pullback. Price had reached 4H Supply zone which could initiate the Swing Pullback Phase. For a PB phase to start we need a Bearish iBOS. 3. Current INT Low is the 4H Fractal CHoCH
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 23 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - EU/US PMI Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Today's EUR/USD Forex market is going to be influenced by big economic news. This includes updates on the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for both the Eurozone and the USA. Right now, the EUR/USD pair is ranging as we get ready for today PMI updates. Both the US and Europe will be releasing their PMI numbers today. These PMI numbers tell us a lot about how well the economy is doing and can really impact the EUR/USD. If the numbers come in higher than expected, it's likely good news for the currency, but if they're lower than expected, it could mean trouble for the currency. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH, Price is ranging within the Fractal High/Low. No clear direction and price is ranging between Weak Supply / Demand but expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Continuation Phase 2. Price is ranging within the Bullish 15m Swing with INT structure is shifting between Bullish/Bearish. This is clear that we have a complex INT Structure which shows uncertainty of clear direction. 3. With the current INT Structure is Bullish, Expectations is set to continue Bullish and run the Weak INT High to target the Weak Swing High as long the INT Strong Low holds.
by Amr-Sadek
1
EURUSD 22 Apr 2024 W17 - Intraday Analysis - EU ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment The sentiment for the EUR/USD pair today is largely influenced by macroeconomic factors. On one hand, the Eurozone economy has been sluggish, which is holding back the Euro. On the other hand, the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance is keeping the US dollar underpinned. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish Swing Continuation Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bearish after mitigating the 4H Supply zone. Sub internal is currently Bullish and there is a HP that the Strong INT High will get run based on the Bullish Swing Objective and the current Swing Continuation Phase. 3. 15m Demand Zones nested within a partially mitigated 4H Demand. Wouldn't be much confident to look for long entries from here if we didn't have a Bullish BOS as when price is here it will mean that INT is so bearish that the current 15m Swing Low / 4H Low will be run.
by Amr-Sadek
4
EURUSD 22-26 Apr 2024 W17 Weekly Analysis – EU PMI / US PCEThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 22-26 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment In light of the recent passage of an aid bill for Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan by the U.S. House of Representatives, it is anticipated that this could escalate geopolitical tensions. This, in turn, may prompt investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets, thereby bolstering the strength of the U.S. dollar. This trend is likely to be further reinforced by the divergent monetary policies of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. The market will also be looking at the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand. CHoCH is currently away from current price so maybe we can create a new low before we initiate the INT PB Phase. More price development required. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2