Types of liquidityLiquidity:
LQ High/Low
LQ Strong High/Low => Swing High/Low
LQ trendline
LQ Equal High/Low
Liquidity => Strong High/Low => Break => Swing High/Low
Liquidity
EURUSD 18 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
As expected the PB started after the Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand Zone and confirming the Bearish INT Structure Low.
Expectations is set for continuing Bullish till a HP POI.
4.
4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
As expected, price created a Bullish BOS based on the 4H/Daily need for a Pullback.
After a BOS we expect a PB. As INT structure is Bullish, a Bearish iBOS will be the confirmation that the 15m Swing PB is starting. But be mindful that price in a Bullish momentum and a deep Swing PB is not often happen on the start of the move.
Following the Bullish Phase we are in, looking for longs is the best option till the mitigation of the close 4H Supply zone.
3.
Extreme Demand zone within the 15m Swing for possible Longs if reached.
But be mindful if we reached this Demand, PA is not looking in Bullish momentum and there will be a HP that the Swing low will be run.
#AUDJPY bullish possible continuation movePrice has correctively reached an important medium-term support zone , which is further reinforced by the presence of the 200EMA.
Additionally, we observe that the price has taken out liquidity from the low and formed what appears to be a double bottom pattern.
These indications suggest the possibility of a bullish continuation move, potentially driving the price back to previous highs and beyond.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
EURUSD 17 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
Possibly that PB Phase could start at anytime with at least a Bullish CHoCH but preferably mitigating a HP POI.
Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After BOS we expected a pullback. INT Structure turned Bullish to initiate the 15m Swing Pullback.
3.
As price reached the 15m Swing Premium and mitigated the 1H/15m Supply, Price initiated the Swing Bearish continuation and INT Structure Pullback.
Price reached the Swing Low and failed to break. So current PA is ranging.
I'll wait for Bullish BOS to confirm that the 4H Swing PB started instead of following the Shorts which could end at anytime.
EURUSD 16 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - EU ZEW / US PowellThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
Possibly that PB Phase could start at anytime with at least a Bullish CHoCH but preferably mitigating a HP POI.
Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
After BOS we expect a pullback. Bullish iBOS will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting.
But as we didn't mitigate any HTF POI any PB could be limited.
Also the 4H Swing requires a Pullback so there is a HP that the 15m will be run at least as a 4H CHoCH.
EURUSD 15 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone.
Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH.
Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish - Pullback Phase
2.
After the Bearish iBOS, price continued bearish till the 4H Demand.
With the mitigation of the 4H Demand we formed a Bullish iBOS which confirmed the Swing Low and the initiation of the 15m Swing Pullback Phase.
Expectations is set for price to continue bullish to facilitate the PB till a HP 4H Supply Zone.
3.
4H Supply zone for possible Shorts.
Be mindful that the 4H supply is having Liq above it so there is a HP that this supply will fail to sweep the Liq above.
EURUSD 15-19 Apr 2024 W16 Weekly Analysis - Middle East Tension!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 5-19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation.
Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing.
3.
After the Bearish iBOS we expect a pullback.
Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left.
Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand.
More price development required.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill a Pullback Phase.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Pullback Phase
2.
Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone.
Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH.
Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones.
Economic Events for the Week
Bitcoin: Liquidity CycleTypical liquidity cycle is 5-6 years long (65m). Buy bitcoin before an upswing (or end of QT) and sell when liquidity tightens. Macro is the best way to analyze markets?
Adjust your stakes based on position of the cycle.
Markets can have risk-on, risk-off episodes. Where Bitcoin is a risk-on asset.
Use 10Y-02Y for guidance.
Bearish Movement expected. Dont be the Liquidity! pt4Look to all this Negative Delta. We are on Daily TF. BTC will fall and I strongly suggest that you protect your capital.
When media is fully bullish, and everybody is talking about BTC going to the moon and the bullish effect of Halving.. thats the moment when MMakers will rekt almost everybody.
Remember this wise phrase: buy with the rumor and sell with the new.
Even if we see a bullish manipulation to the upside, everything is pointing to lower prices.
Below actual price there is a lot of available Liquidity and it needs to be recapitalized.
Bearish signs are present since days ago. This is my 4th Update trying to warn people.
Be careful.
EURUSD 12 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish
2.
Expectations are met for the INT Structure with the Bearish iBOS.
Currently price targeting the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited.
Price now in a bearish momentum targeting the Weak Swing Low.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
2.
Considered this as Swing due to the Bullish iBOS.
With the Swing bearish, expectations is set for bearish continuation.
This 15m Supply is the only clear supply for Shorts.
3.
Following the 4H Swing, expectation is set to continue bearish and the 15m Swing will hold bearish to fulfill the 4H Swing targets.
EURUSD 11 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish
2.
As price formed a Bearish CHoCH before the CPI news, it was a nice signal for INT Structure to continue bearish.
Expectations is set to target the Weak INT / Swing Lows.
3.
Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
CPI news had a solid push causing a bearish BOS.
No HP POI except the 4H Supply with a 15m nested within it.
IMO i've doubts that price will pullback to this supply.
Expectations is set to continue bearish to fulfill the 4H INT/Swing continuation phase.
3.
After a BOS, we expect a pullback.
Price is currently within the 4H Demand but no momentum.
CHoCH will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting but be mindful that we are not well positioned within the HTF structure.
Following the bearish move would be the optimum decision.
DXY update before PMI price is near the resistance 0f 104.750 >> 104.800 >> 105
now the question whether the price sweep or run through this liquidity ???
as price has made higher high and higher lows with recent bos we are looking to buy instead of going short
during the impulsive momentum candle price has left behind some bullish fvg which are pending below at the level of 103.700 level before this we have higher low (this higher low could be the liquidity
before 103,700 i dont see any major fvg or ob as of 4h time frame
price currently going all time high which need to take a pullback to fuel the upside move again
the candle formed since 27th march are mostly sideways following a trending which is another area of liquidity laying below it
ETHUSDT.PTF (Time Frame): 4H. Price closed above inducement liquidity and OB (Order Block). In this scenario, I expect price to push higher, at least to the level of 3938.15 and maybe higher. After reaching this level, the analysis must be updated.
EURUSD 10 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI/FOMC DAY!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS.
After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI.
Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply or Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting.
3.
15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
EURUSD 9 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS.
After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI.
Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting.
3.
15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
BTC/USD analysis in 4h timeframeAs we expected bitcoin made a new all time high $73000 area and collect the liquidity over the last ATH $69000.
price is in a trading range between $60000 / $74000.
New flag limits are marked on the chart.
Bitcoin is forming a wyckoff structure and if it ingulf $58000 / $61000 demnad zone it will confirm the structure.
If the WYCKOFF structure is confirmed, price my fall down to $52000 Demand zone.
Otherwise if it gives us a bullish signal on $61000 Demand zone it will be a good investment too buy some #BITCOIN .
XAUUSD SCENARIOHi guys, I'm back with fresh analysis on gold.
if you haven't check my last analysis please do, price moved up from 2281 level for more than 700 pips. which was amazing.
Major institutions are still long on gold(based on COT data) and is still making new highs, so buying on demand levels is sensible.
First level is 2330 which is a broken resistance now acting as support also around level 2328 there is a tiny demand level, beneath that 2318 and last but not least 2308- 2302.
once price reaches these levels you could take long trades with confirmation on lower time frame.
And for those who want to take short trades 2346-2350 would be our supply zone but be really careful with shorts since fundamentals are bullish.
* As always add your intuition and logic into this and do consider risk management.
*Be honorable
EURUSD 8 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation Phase
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
INT Structure failed to continue bearish and turned bullish after reaching the 15m Swing EQ and tapping into a daily demand zone.
Expectations is set to continue Bullish following the 15m Bullish Swing Continuation Phase with target of the Weak Swing High.
EURUSD, APRIL 8, 2024 - LONGThis is a 15min internal structure where liquidity has to be taken to fulfill the 4hour pullback. Price has just taken out inducement at 1.08233 and this has created a liquidity below the 1.08403 zone where I am looking to sell for a short term, clearing liquidity and expecting price to to drop to the 1.08147 or 1.08054 zone and create a confirmation entry. Whichever holds out of these two zones, my major target will be the 4hour 1.08673 zone where I will also be looking for a confirmation entry to go short in clearing the 15min external liquidity.
AUDUSD - APRIL 8, 2024 - LONGHere, after a strong high and a strong low range has been created we look to go long from the 0.65669 zone targeting the internal 15min range liquidity having a bigger picture in mind of the 4hour range in where we can either short from the 0.66000 zone or 0.66150 zone.
EURUSD 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 Weekly Analysis - EU Rate / US CPI PPIThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation.
Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
Swing Continuation / INT Continuation
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low.
Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which was initiated after the Bullish CHoCH which formed a demand that is currently showing reaction from causing a Bullish CHoCH.
3.
Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left.
With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Economic Events for the Week
DASHUSDT.Pas price closed above 15m inducement OB, i expect price push higher atleast to LQD level and in case of sweeping previous high, price would move in down trend.
and on the other hand, if price closed above LQD, wait for a structure of blue path and after confirmation take short position
EURUSD 5 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - NFP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
As expected yesterday, 15m Swing Pullback confirmed after the Bearish iBOS.
Price continued bearish and reached the 15m Swing EQ but didn't mitigate any HTF POI.
Following the Bullish Swing, We need a bullish iBOS to target the Weak Swing High.
Still INT Structure Bearish so expectations is set to continue bearish to mitigate at least the 4H POIs within the 15m Swing Discount.
