Gold Idea - 09/12/2024This plan is for Monday, but as we know, Mondays tend to have more volatile market movements. This plan might not work well in such scenarios.
This plan is specifically designed for Mondays with a sideways market only.
Liquidity
EURUSD 8/12/24This week, with Euros to the U.S. dollar, we’ve seen price pull back to the highest area highlighted in last week’s markup. It took out the liquidity high we placed below it while also mitigating some of our longer-term points of liquidity.
We’ve now identified several points of liquidity lower down, one being at the base of the last upward move. This move originated from the area we highlighted as a potential zone for bullish price action. Despite the significant upward movement, our higher time frame bias maintains a bearish narrative, indicating that money is still flowing out of this market, pushing prices lower.
As shown on the chart with the indicator applied, we are now on the 4-hour timeframe. A "money-out" area has been formed, and we are watching for price action to follow this trend, targeting the liquid lows we have marked. This setup points to a sell opportunity at the start of this market session, with the expectation that price will continue to move bearish throughout the week.
Stick to your risk and follow your trading plan.
LQTYUSDT (Liquity) Updated till 07-12-24LQTYUSDT (Liquity) Daily timeframe range. its pushing non stop for a while. performing really well and close to price discovery. which is a massive W. now all it needs to clear out 3.101 to reach its high. recent support at 2.057.
Ethereum (ETHUSD) : Time to Position for Profits!Ethereum (ETH/USD) is currently positioned for a bullish breakout, and I am excited to share my analysis with fellow traders.
Bullish Sentiment and Technical Setup
The current price action shows ETH testing the $4,000 resistance level, which, if broken, could trigger a wave of FOMO buying, propelling prices towards $4,500 and beyond. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reflecting strong buying momentum, now is an opportune time to consider long positions.
I will be utilizing probabilities to strategically enter into long trades, focusing on support levels around $3,600 to $3,700 as potential entry points during any pullbacks.
Several fundamental factors are contributing to this bullish outlook:
Institutional Interest: Recent reports indicate that BlackRock has made a significant investment in Ethereum, purchasing over $230 million worth. This institutional backing is a strong signal of confidence in Ethereum’s future.
Market Dynamics: The overall cryptocurrency market is experiencing renewed interest as Bitcoin has surpassed the psychological barrier of $100,000. Historically, Ethereum tends to follow Bitcoin's lead, and this correlation suggests that ETH could also see substantial upward movement.
Technological Advancements: Ethereum's ongoing developments in DeFi and NFT sectors continue to attract users and investors alike. The upcoming upgrades and increased adoption are likely to bolster its price further.
In summary, the combination of technical indicators pointing towards a bullish trend and supportive fundamentals creates a compelling case for trading ETH/USD long.
As we navigate this exciting market landscape, I encourage fellow traders to stay vigilant and consider positioning themselves for potential gains in the coming weeks.
P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out.
Let's capitalize on this momentum together!
2W:
Hourly Timeframe Entry:
EURUSD Start?Based on the data, it seems that the Euro will regain its strength and rise in the coming days. There is only one scenario, which is an upward movement. As for the upward move, it will either drop to the yearly low to draw liquidity and then rise, or it has already sufficed with the current level and will continue its ascent without needing additional liquidity.
AUD/JPY TeaCup BUY ENTRYWe are currently in a daily fib position where the price likes to react. As well we have hourly liquidity at the downside which could be taken. our entry is at the 77/88 hourly fib level which could potentially be a good sniper trade.
EUR/GBP Teacup sell entryWe have a 4H fib Level where the price could react, we have as well a nice Teacup Setup. Liq will be grabbed to our entry and then we are reacting bearish in the best case scenario
XAUUSD OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame for GOLD. Here we are using SMC concept combine with price action. We have two sell areas and levels where I expect the price to drop further down. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us. Wait for price when it enter into our zone and after confirmation we will execute our sell trade.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
XAUUSD need to be careful Liquidity is extremely strong in this area, creating a high probability for price to move both up and down to trigger all stop-losses before continuing the downward trend.
What we expect:
The price breaks this box to the upside, grabs liquidity from the minor high, and then resumes the downward movement, aligning with the overall bearish trend for gold.
This scenario highlights the importance of staying cautious and planning trades carefully around these key levels.
XAGUSD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some time of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure.
We can notice the break of market structure (sign of weakness) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price lower at least on opposite level (marked lower).
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
EURAUD BUY SETUP1️⃣ Demand Zone Reaction
The price is currently in a clearly defined demand zone, where we’ve seen strong buying interest in the past. This zone has already shown signs of holding support, making it an ideal area to look for a long position.
2️⃣ Volume Profile Confirmation
The volume profile shows increased activity near the demand zone, indicating significant interest from buyers in this area.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Confluence
The demand zone aligns with the golden pocket area (61.8%–78.6%) of a Fibonacci retracement, adding strength to this level.
4️⃣ Bullish Momentum Potential
There are signs of rejection from lower levels, with wicks and candles showing hesitation in breaking lower, suggesting bullish momentum may build from here.
5️⃣ Liquidity Grab
The price recently swept the lows, grabbing liquidity from weak hands before a potential move to the upside.
Trade Plan:
Entry: 1.61900 (current demand zone).
Stop Loss: 1.61600 (below the demand zone and liquidity sweep).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.62500 (local resistance).
TP2: 1.63000 (higher timeframe resistance zone).
Bias:
The overall market structure remains bullish, with price expected to continue upward after this retracement.
Reminder:
Always manage your risk. Use proper position sizing and wait for confirmations if needed.
$MRK Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:MRK :
Inside a HTF fair value gap (12M timeframe)
Testing a HTF uptrend line (3M timeframe)
Larkuidity (Liquidity) Sweep
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently sweeping liquidity
Healthcare Sector (XLV) Long-Term BuyI believe healthcare will be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on AMEX:XLV :
Took out an untested low
Price touching 21EMA while the 9EMA > 21EMA
Retested a level that was broken to create a break of structure (BOS & Retest)
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
GBPJPY daily/montly liqOn the chart with monthly candles, a liquidity grab can be seen at the last higher low (HL). On the daily timeframe, you can observe that there has already been a break of structure and a test of a fair value gap (FVG). Therefore, the expectation is for further decline. For this, I will conduct an analysis on a smaller timeframe.
S&P potential long when new york market opensas the bullish daily bias show us, we can see some liq to the downside that could be taken . after that we could react at the 70-80 % fib level , which is as well at the 1h Order Block . that would give us nice confirmation and we could take a trade if we get a good setup to that, the main thing is that we are bullish and that we want to get higher. but unfortunately everything can happen and we are not forcing trades. Risk 1-3 %
AUD/CAD 30m Trade Setup Looking at the 30-minute chart, we see a clear IMB (Imbalance) that price seems to be targeting, coupled with liquidity resting above ($$$).
Game plan:
If the price continues its upward move, it may tap into the liquidity zone, filling the imbalance before a potential retracement.
Watching closely for reactions at the 0.91500–0.91666 zone, where confluence is strongest.
Bias:
Bearish pullback expected after liquidity is grabbed. Waiting for confirmations before entering short.
What’s your take on this setup? Are you looking to trade the bounce or the breakout? Let me know your strategy below!👇
SHORT signal PNUTUSDT by Max Profit
1h TF. On the BINANCE:PNUTUSDT chart, a cascade of liquidity levels has formed below the current price, where participants' stop-losses are likely placed. These levels can act as fuel for a downward impulse. At the extremes, there is a noticeable increase in seller volume, which further confirms the weakness of buyers.
A local false breakout above the range was observed, signaling insufficient buyer strength to sustain a breakout of key levels. The ongoing seller pressure increases the likelihood of a downward price move.
🔑 Technical Context
A liquidity cascade below the current price forms the foundation for a potential downward impulse.
Increased selling volume at price extremes reinforces the bearish scenario.
A false breakout of the upper range boundary highlights buyer weakness and confirms the bearish market sentiment.
🚩 Execution Strategy
Wait for the price to compress towards the nearest liquidity level.
On the 5-minute timeframe, look for the formation of a local consolidation zone.
Enter the trade at the moment of the support level breakout.
Place the stop-loss above the local consolidation zone to minimize risks.
📈 Recommendations
Entry Timing: Use the 5-minute timeframe to accurately identify the breakout moment.
Risk Management: Set stop-losses based on the local consolidation zone to minimize potential losses.
Volume Analysis: Monitor further increases in selling volume at key levels to confirm the downward impulse.
Conclusion
At this stage, BINANCE:PNUTUSDT shows strong potential for downward movement. Implementing a strategy based on liquidity cascade breakouts and intensifying seller pressure allows for effective use of the current market conditions.
GBP/JPY OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on daily time frame for GBPJPY. I'm looking potential buy trade opportunity. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my prediction.
#GBPJPY 1D Technical Analyze Expected Move.
PARALLEL CHANNEL MODULEIn this analysis we are focusing on daily time frame for Gold. Here we are using parallel channel and order block combine with price action. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analyze or prediction.
#XAUUSD 1D Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Understanding Liquidity in Financial Markets: A Beginner's GuideWhen you first start trading, you’ll often hear the term liquidity thrown around. But what does it really mean? Let’s break it down.
⚪ What is Liquidity?
Liquidity refers to how quickly and easily an asset can be bought or sold without causing a big change in its price. Think of it as the "smoothness" of trading. In liquid markets, there are plenty of buyers and sellers, so trades happen fast and at fair prices.
⚪ Why Does Liquidity Matter?
Fast Execution: High liquidity means you can enter and exit trades quickly, which is crucial for day traders and scalpers.
Fair Pricing: Liquid markets tend to have smaller gaps between the buying price (bid) and selling price (ask), so you’re less likely to overpay or undersell.
Market Stability: Liquidity reduces wild price swings, making markets more predictable and less risky for everyone.
⚪ How to Spot Liquidity
To gauge liquidity, watch for these signs:
High Trading Volume: The more people trading an asset, the more liquid it is.
Tight Bid-Ask Spread: If the difference between the buying and selling price is small, the market is likely liquid.
Quick Order Matching: In liquid markets, your orders are filled almost instantly.
⚪ Types of Liquidity
Market Liquidity: This is what we just discussed—how easily assets trade in the market.
Funding Liquidity: This refers to the ability of institutions or traders to raise cash quickly to meet obligations, like covering margin calls or seizing new opportunities.
⚪ The Role of Liquidity in Trading Strategies
For new traders, understanding liquidity can shape your strategy:
Day Traders and Scalpers: Focus on highly liquid markets. This ensures quick trade execution.
Swing Traders: Liquidity helps ensure that your trades aren't impacted by sudden price jumps, especially when entering or exiting larger positions.
Investors: Even for long-term traders, liquidity matters. If you hold an asset in a low-liquidity market, selling it later might be challenging without taking a loss.
⚪ How Low Liquidity Can Impact You
Imagine trying to sell a rare collectible car. If no one’s buying, you may have to lower your price significantly to find a buyer. The same happens in financial markets. In low-liquidity conditions:
Prices can become volatile.
Orders take longer to fill.
You may not get the price you expected.
⚪ Hidden Dimensions of Liquidity
Liquidity and Market Efficiency
Efficient markets are typically more liquid. High liquidity ensures that prices reflect all available information, reducing opportunities for arbitrage. For traders, this means less "free lunch" but also fewer surprises.
The Illusion of Liquidity
Not all liquidity is equal. In quiet markets, liquidity may appear sufficient, but during high volatility (like after news releases), the illusion fades. Flash crashes often occur when liquidity evaporates unexpectedly, leaving traders trapped.
Liquidity and Risk Management
Stop-Loss Orders: In illiquid markets, stop-loss orders might not execute at the intended price, leading to "gapping" losses.
Position Sizing: Traders must adjust their position size in less liquid markets to avoid disproportionate impact on price.
⚪ Liquidity in the Bigger Picture
Liquidity isn't just a trading term; it's the backbone of the entire financial system. Without liquidity:
Markets can seize up during crises (like in 2008).
Institutions might fail to meet obligations.
Overall confidence in the financial system can waver.
For traders, this emphasizes the importance of staying aware of market conditions and choosing the right assets to trade.
⚪ Key Takeaway
As a new trader, always prioritize liquidity when choosing what to trade. It’s like choosing a highway with less traffic—you’ll reach your destination faster and with fewer surprises. Over time, understanding liquidity will become second nature, helping you navigate the markets more effectively.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
XRPUSD: The Next Bull Run is NearXRPUSD is currently positioned for a bullish breakout, and I'm excited to share my analysis with fellow traders.
Market Context and Probabilities
In this environment, I will leverage probabilities to strategically position myself for long entries. The key support level at $0.54 has held strong, and breaking through the resistance at $0.68 could pave the way for a rally towards $0.93 and beyond. With the altcoin market gaining traction, XRP is poised to attract more buyers, especially if we see increased trading volume that confirms this bullish trend.
Global Fundamentals Aligning with Bullish Sentiment
On a broader scale, several fundamental factors are supporting this bullish bias. The recent US elections have injected optimism into the crypto market, contributing to XRP's impressive 134% increase since November 6. Additionally, ongoing developments in regulatory clarity around cryptocurrencies are fostering a more favorable environment for digital assets like XRP.
The combination of technical indicators and supportive fundamentals creates a compelling case for a bullish outlook.
Let's capitalize on these opportunities together!
P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out.
12M:
2W:
4H:
GOLD FORECASTIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame for XAUUSD. Today I'm looking a potential sell.
Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analyze or prediction.
#Gold 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
MY APPROACH TO MAKING MONEYMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels by forming structure on the way.
Liquidity and Structure is a key for my trading system.
