GBP/JPY TODAY EXPECTED MOVERight now, we are analyzing the GBPJPY 1-hour time frame chart. My bias for today is towards the sell side, and I will be looking to sell the market today. As you can see on the chart, these are our key levels. Once the market price reaches our key levels and POI, we will wait for confirmation whether the price shows a bearish confirmation or forms a reversal candlestick pattern, so we can find the ideal entry point for our trade and execute it with precision. The most important thing to remember is to always wait for confirmation.
Make sure to always use a stop loss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis. Let's see what happens.
#GBPJPY 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Liquidity
GBPCAD Price ActionHello Traders,
As you can see, I've marked the Demand Zone, based on the 2-hour timeframe. Additionally, I've highlighted Liquidity Levels, clearly distinguishing between those already swept and the valid ones remaining.
On the 15M timeframe, you'll notice I've marked the Breakout Block, also identified as the Supply Zone. If the price breaks this Supply Zone, you should set a pending order. There are two effective ways to enter this market: either through an FVG (Fair Value Gap) or a Breaker Block entry.
Your trade can be held for up to one day, with the stop-loss positioned at the recent swing low. Remember, it's crucial to manage your risk responsibly and avoid greed. This structure repeats itself consistently.
Wishing you the best and happy trading!
Thank you.
AUDUSD swing sellI identified a break in the uptrend structure on the 1-minute timeframe at the 0.6321 level, indicating a possible shift in market direction. Upon confirmation, I entered a sell position at this level, anticipating a further decline. My target profit is set at 0.6169, aligning with a key support level. To manage risk, I placed a stop-loss above the recent swing high to limit potential losses if the price moves against my position. This trade is based on a structural shift in market momentum, aiming to capitalize on a bearish move following the breakdown of the uptrend.
Is iRobot's Bankruptcy the End or a New Start?iRobot, the renowned maker of the Roomba robotic vacuum cleaners, now finds itself in a precarious financial situation marked by significant debt and dwindling liquidity. Once a symbol of innovation, the company has been battling mounting losses and a challenging cash crunch, raising serious concerns about its ability to continue as a going concern.
The collapse of a high-profile acquisition deal with Amazon—derailed by European antitrust authorities—has compounded iRobot’s woes. The termination of this deal led to a dramatic plunge in share value and market capitalization and intensified investor skepticism, leaving the company with a heavier debt load and forcing it to consider strategic alternatives such as refinancing or selling assets.
Facing regulatory pressures, shifting market dynamics, and the human cost of necessary layoffs, iRobot’s future now hangs in the balance. This unfolding crisis invites investors and industry observers to reflect deeply on broader questions: Could a strategic overhaul pave the way for recovery, or does this signal the end of an era for the iconic brand?
Learn To Invest: Global Liquidity Index & BitcoinGlobal Liquidity Index & BitCoin:
🚀 Positive Vibes for Your Financial Journey! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Look at this chart! It's the Global Liquidity Index , a measure of how much extra money is flowing through the world's financial systems.
Why is this important? Because when this index is high, it often means good things for investments like #Bitcoin! 📈
Think of it like this: when there's more money flowing, people are often more willing to take risks and invest in things like Bitcoin.
See those "BullRun" boxes? That means things are looking bright! It's showing that money is flowing, and that's often a good sign for potential Bitcoin growth. 🌟
Even if you're not a pro, it's easy to see the good news here. Understanding these trends can help you make smarter decisions.
Let's all aim for growth and success! 💪
GOLD UPCOMING TRADE SETUP To predict the changes and movement in the price of gold, I am currently analyzing the 30M time frame of gold. When the New York session opens, I will look for selling opportunities at my key selling levels. I won’t take any sell trades until the market hunts its buy-side liquidity. Let’s work together to conquer this trade and turn our dreams into reality.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper R:R ratio.
This is my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analyze Expected Move.
XCN + 333%? X4 IS WAITING FOR IT IF THIS CONFIRMS.Last time Onyxcoin (XCN) had a Bullish divergence on RSI and make a Golden cross. it made a +383% in 5 waves making the 1st wave on the bigger cycle. (152 ds).
Wave 2 a correction ( 152 ds), corrects as Elliot says to the 4th of a minor degree.
And now that the Wave 3 seems to start, we break the descending channel and made a Golden Cross. We have the bull impulse until Feb/Mar 2025.
To confirm this we need the break out on the RSI.
And remember that Wave 3 usually is the strogest of all, we will find out on OCTOBER ;)
Cheers!
DOGE 4HR Analysis Here is the current 4 Hour range within the 1st zone I was looking for.
Personally, I still see more downside as bears are still in control. There is potential for a breakout on the 4HR but confirming congruence on the Daily has me hesitant as the Daily Timeframe would still hold a downward trend.
——————————————————————
Diving further into the structure of the candles I noticed there are more wicks from the bottom side of the candles than the top; a confirmation bears and the downward trend are still in control.
Bulls are starting to defend this level, but to me it’s a sign that buy side liquidity it being created.
If I’m a seller, this is a great place to manage risk for further downside.
If I’m a buyer, I’m being patient as the retracement back to supply seems to be almost over.
2025 ICT Mentorship: Premium & Discount Price Delivery Intro2025 ICT Mentorship: Lecture 4_Premium & Discount Price Delivery Intro
Greetings Traders!
In this video, we dive into the fundamental concept of Premium and Discount Price Delivery—a crucial aspect of smart money trading that helps us understand how institutions approach the market with precision and efficiency.
Understanding Currency Pairs
Before we explore premium and discount dynamics, it's essential to grasp the basics of currency pairs. A currency pair, like EUR/USD or GBP/USD, represents the value of one currency against another. For example, EUR/USD shows how many U.S. dollars (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one euro (the base currency). Just like any other tradable asset, currency pairs fluctuate in value due to various economic and market factors.
Trading Is Part of Everyday Life
Believe it or not, everyone in the world is a trader. Whether you're buying groceries at a store or negotiating for goods and services, you're participating in trading activities daily. Some people aim to purchase items at a discount, while others can afford to pay a premium—it’s simply part of life.
However, banks and financial institutions take trading to another level. They don’t just trade haphazardly—they operate with extreme precision, aiming to make high-quality investments by executing trades at premium prices and targeting discount levels. This strategic approach allows them to capitalize on market inefficiencies and ensure profitable outcomes.
Why Premium and Discount Matter?
The concept of premium and discount price delivery is foundational for understanding how the market moves. By recognizing where the market is trading at a premium (overvalued) versus a discount (undervalued), traders can make more informed decisions and align their strategies with institutional order flow.
Stay tuned as we break down how to identify these zones on a chart and how to incorporate them into your trading strategy. Make sure to like, subscribe, and turn on notifications so you never miss an update!
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
USD/CHF Short Setup – Institutional Flow & Liquidity TargetsUSD/CHF is setting up for a bearish move, with confluence from technical structure, order flow, and fundamental events. Here’s a complete breakdown of the setup, execution plan, and institutional positioning.
📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown
🔹 Entry Zone: Price rejected from the 0.8786 - 0.8794 supply zone, aligning with 0.62 - 0.79 Fibonacci retracement levels.
🔹 Confluences:
✅ Bearish trend continuation – Lower highs forming.
✅ Liquidity grab above minor resistance, suggesting smart money distribution.
✅ Break & retest structure confirms potential downside.
🔹 Target Zones:
📉 First target: 0.8767 (previous low & liquidity area).
📉 Final target: 0.8750 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension).
📌 Market Structure:
Higher timeframe bearish bias remains intact.
Supertrend (4H) signals continued downside.
EMA alignment (1D) confirms selling pressure.
🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Sentiment
📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights:
📈 USD: Institutional long positions declining, indicating potential USD weakness.
📉 CHF: Increased net short positioning, suggesting institutional flow favoring CHF strength.
📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Data:
Market depth shows heavy short positioning near resistance.
Volume profile indicates a lack of demand above 0.8780, confirming weak bullish momentum.
⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News Events
📊 Macroeconomic Data Impacting USD/CHF:
📌 Employment Trends Index (108.35) – USD strength limited.
📌 T-Bill Auction & Treasury Buyback – Potential liquidity shifts affecting risk sentiment.
📌 Fed’s Beige Book & Policy Outlook – Key for USD direction.
🛑 Impact on Trade:
✔️ USD uncertainty fuels risk-off flows into CHF.
✔️ Short-term retracement provides an ideal short entry before further downside.
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
📌 Prime Market Terminal Data:
ATR shows increased volatility, supporting large price swings.
Institutional short positioning rising, indicating strong bearish control.
DMX data suggests liquidity buildup below 0.8760.
🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Short Setup
✅ Bearish trend structure aligns with institutional positioning.
✅ Liquidity grab above resistance confirms distribution phase.
✅ Confluence of technicals, fundamentals, and order flow supports downside movement.
📌 Short Bias: Targeting 0.8767 → 0.8750.
📌 Key Invalidations: A break above 0.8800 could shift sentiment.
💬 What’s your take on USD/CHF? Let me know in the comments! 🚀📉
GOLD UPDATE ROUTE MAPI am currently analyzing the 4-hour timeframe of gold. As we know, there has been strong bearish pressure in the gold market over the past few days. Therefore, my focus will remain on bearish opportunities. On the higher timeframe, gold has broken its bullish trendline, and my selling area will be around this level, as seen on the chart. I will wait for the price to reach my key levels and either show bearish confirmation or any reversal signal so that I can plan my sell entry at my ideal level. Confirmation is very important. Let's see what happens.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction. Let's analyze more deeply in smaller time frame.
#XAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Global liquidity breakoutA weighted sum of global liquidity has just broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a clear cash injection into the financial system. This breakout suggests an imminent shift in market conditions, as liquidity expansion typically fuels risk-on sentiment across equities, crypto, and commodities. Since this is a lagging indicator, markets are expected to react soon, with asset prices likely to follow the upward momentum driven by increased liquidity.
The formula aggregates the total assets of major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, People’s Bank of China, and European Central Bank, while adjusting for currency exchange rates to reflect their true impact in USD terms. Liquidity-draining factors such as the Reverse Repo (RRP) and the Treasury General Account (TGA) are subtracted to provide a clearer picture of the actual liquidity available in the system.
Gold Buy Setup – Smart Money Flow & Institutional Order PositionGold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish potential, aligning technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors for a high-probability setup. Let’s break down the market structure, trade execution, and institutional flows that support this move.
📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown
🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190).
🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum.
✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks.
✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation.
🔹 Target Zones:
📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high).
📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension).
📌 Market Structure:
The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern.
Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure.
Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment.
🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth
📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights:
📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend.
📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze.
📌 Liquidity Data:
Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest.
Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range.
⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events
📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD:
📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD.
📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback.
📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing.
🛑 Impact on Trade:
✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold.
✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones.
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis:
ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility.
High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area.
Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning.
🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup
✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias.
✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement.
✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950.
📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
AUDUSD LONG TRADE IDEA📈 AUDUSD Buy Setup – Model 2 in Action! 🚀
I'm anticipating a BUY on AUDUSD based on my Model 2 strategy: SH + BOS + IDM + PDA. The market structure is aligning perfectly, and this setup is looking 🔥!
Will you be taking this trade? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 💬👇
📌 Like, share, and drop your opinions below – let’s analyze together! 🚀📊
#ForexTrading #AUDUSD #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis
SOLUSDT Long by TeamPWRTradesHi Traders,
SOL Long Idea
Based on recently volume and liquidity zones our team has entered a long positions SOL. Targets are 160-175. Stoploss below daily low.
Recommended risk 1-1.5% of portfolio.
Entry 1: 136.50
Entry 2: 133
TP 1: 160
TP 2: 175
SL: 132
Happy Trading,
TeamPWR
EURUSD Short Idea. Last week there were 3 strong bearish days on OANDA:EURUSD , leaving an imbalance behind and a Weekly bearish candle. Today, as I find it with a strong bullish movement from the open and London, I keep my eyes on shorts. This move might just end up being the weekly top wick, as nothing goes up or down in a straight line.
I found an imbalance with, what I perceive as, liquidity nearby. With a red folder news coming up at 10:00am NY time, it might reach it. Let's wait and see. This is my thought and move for today. For now.
XRP strategic reserve announcment! UPDATED FORECASTAs indicated in prior post (see: ) we have now reached the near term liquidity target at 2.8-2.9 zone; this news of a strategic reserve is highly likely to be sold off to trap both bulls & bears who are over-leveraged.
They rarely waste a good PR for such price action.
Expecting one more liquidity sweep below 1.70 for a final discount buy opportunity!! Looking to enter with LIMIIT buy orders at 1.65 area; its possible that we extend as low as 1.35 but my mentality is its best not to be idealistic, perfectionistic, or entitled at those levels! The market does not owe you the best or lowest price on anything! For that reason, consider anything below 1.70 to be a huge gift with a big big bow wrapped around it!
EURUSD 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 - Weekly Analysis- EU Rate - US NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
The EUR/USD pair faces a slightly bearish bias this week, driven by key economic events, geopolitical risks, and trade uncertainties.
Key Events to Watch:
🔹 ECB Interest Rate Decision (March 6) – Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut to 2.50%. A dovish ECB could pressure the euro, while any hints of a pause may provide support.
🔹 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (March 7) – Forecast at +133K jobs, with unemployment steady at 4.0%. Weak data could weigh on the USD, while stronger payrolls and wage growth may boost it.
🔹 Trump’s Tariffs & Trade War Risks – New U.S. tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect March 4, with potential auto tariffs on Europe looming. These policies favor the dollar by driving risk-off sentiment.
🔹 Geopolitical Tensions – U.S.-Ukraine relations deteriorated after a public Oval Office clash between Trump and Zelenskiy. Further instability could impact investor confidence and increase safe-haven demand for the USD.
Trading Strategy:
✅ Bearish Scenario: A dovish ECB, strong U.S. NFP, and escalating trade risks could push EUR/USD down.
✅ Bullish Scenario: If the ECB signals a rate-cut pause and U.S. jobs data disappoint, EUR/USD may test 1.055–1.06 .
Overall, the fundamental backdrop leans in favor of the USD, but volatility is expected, especially around the ECB and NFP releases. Traders should stay alert to geopolitical developments and tariff announcements that may shift sentiment.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase)
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week.
🔹With the previous week Bearish close, weekly is consolidating between 1.05xx and 1.02xx
🔹Still the recent Bullish Fractal and Demand holding but failed to break the high (1.0533) so there is a probability to target the low 1.0285/10 and could extend to continue the Bearish INT Structure with iBOS.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH.
🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase.
🔹With the Weekly is consolidating the Daily consolidation range showing that we are failing to continue Bullish and with the recent Bearish CHoCH we are back to the Bearish INT Structure continuation and we may target the Weak INT Low (At least 1.0285).
🔹Price could pullback to the recent Daily Supply before continuing down.
🔹Expectation is set to Bearish with cautious of the Liq. built above 1.05333 and the range we are in.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Adjusted my INT structure to align with the previous Bullish move)
🔹Complex Swing INT Structure
2️⃣
🔹As the Swing is Bullish, expectations were set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High and create a Bullish BOS after the Deep Pullback to the Swing Demand.
🔹During the Swing Bullish Continuation after the Deep Pullback, INT Structure kept holding Bullish to fulfill the Bullish continuation phase.
🔹With price reaching the Swing Extreme Premium zone and the expectation of breaking the Weak Swing High, price failed 2 times and with the 3rd attempt it created a Bearish iBOS. This indicated that the Swing INT structure is Complex and the Daily/Weekly TFs are still in play.
3️⃣
🔹After the Bearish iBOS, we expect PB, there is no clear POI for price to initiate PB except the Liq. at 1.03730 which was swept on Friday and 1.03173 before mitigating the last clear 4H Demand.
🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, the PB could start at anytime. The Liq. swept from 1.0373 could provide that PB otherwise we will continue Bearish till the clear 4H Demand (Which I doubt that it could provide the continuation) but with LTF shifting Bullish, we can follow that.
Economic Events for the Week
Sell gold after 2950-65 sweepAfter a lot of bullish week, we may assist to an huge retracement.
I will take care about last week hight and assume there will be a bullish momentum to around 2960-65.
If this level is sustained it will probably go to the 3000.
If the 2960-65 level mark an huge sell off, this could lead us to the weekly retracement
Sell idea
Entry : ~2950-65
SL : 3% Risk
TP1 : 2920
TP2 : 2900
TP3 : 2880
TP4 : 2832
Is it still a bull market? Or are we already in a bear market?If it's still a bull market, what phase are we in?
Of course, President Trump has complicated all this, as he is taking political and economic steps to stabilize the American economy. For example, the tariffs that he uses as a tool to achieve his goals faster. In other words, in trading terms, leverage. With those tariffs, he turned on the x100 lever and achieved in 2 days what could have taken several years to negotiate. And maybe another president wouldn't have succeeded at all.
Of course, this has a negative impact on the market, as investors don't know what to expect from the market. That's why they are withdrawing their money from the market in general. The same applies to the stock market.
Since America is the strongest economy in the world at the moment, this is also reflected in the world markets in general.
Of course, crypto is taking the most of this, as it is a relatively young market and is still perceived as very risky.
We are in a bull market phase, where we should be growing. But we are not growing because of such a strong fundamental. On the contrary, the market is bleeding. That's why everyone is arguing about whether we are still in a bull market.
When I look at the Bitcoin chart, it seems to me that we are probably not in a bull market anymore.
GOLD 2H OUTLOOK FOR TODAYThe expected move in the price of gold can be analyzed on a 2-hour time frame. As we know, the overall trend of gold remains bullish. However, recently, gold has broken it's trendline support and has also confirmed a Market Structure Shift (MSS). Therefore, today, I will be looking at the market from a sell-side perspective. I will wait for the price to reach my given key levels and form some bearish or reversal patterns, so I can get an ideal entry point. Confirmation is crucial in this process. Let's dive deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper R:R ratio.
This is my analysis for today.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.