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EURUSD 26 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - US PCEThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High. 3. Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones. As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase. If it failed, there is a high probability that we will target the 4H Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish INT INT Bearish At Swing Extreme 2. Swing turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H/Daily Demand zones as expected yesterday. After the BOS we expect a 15m Swing pullback which we are already in this phase after the Bearish CHoCH. INT Structure turned bearish to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback. 3. Price currently at the Extreme Swing low and there is a high probability that we are going to take the 15m Strong Swing Low according to the Bearish PA.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 25 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US GDPThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High. 3. Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones. As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase. If it failed, there is a high probability that we will target the 4H Swing Low. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish INT INT Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H/Daily Demand zones as expected yesterday. After the BOS we expect a 15m Swing pullback which we are already in this phase after the Bearish CHoCH. Currently price reached the EQ and 15m/4H demand zones for potential continuation of the Bullish Swing and targeting the Weak Swing High. The 4H Demand is big so be cautious of a deeper pullback within the Swing. My expectations that we will continue Bullish as long we don't close below the 15m Swing Low. 3. Extreme 15m Swing Demand.
by Amr-Sadek
RUNE - Huge Downtrend Breakout ! THORChain (RUNE) has been entrenched in a substantial downtrend since May 2021, consistently forming lower lows. Recent price action, including a retest of the downtrend line, suggests a potential shift in market dynamics. The expectation is for a retracement to the support zone, coinciding with the 0.5 Fibonacci level, before a potential upward move. 🔄 Prolonged Downtrend Analysis: The extended duration of the downtrend indicates persistent bearish sentiment in the RUNE market. Lower lows have been a consistent feature, reflecting the dominance of sellers. Each attempt to rally has been met with resistance, leaving a trail of lower highs. 📉 Retesting the Downtrend Line: The recent retest of the downtrend line signifies an important technical event. The fact that the downtrend line held as resistance suggests its continued relevance. This event highlights the importance of the downtrend line in influencing price movements. 🔍 Anticipating a Reversal: The expectation of a retracement to the support zone aligns with the broader technical analysis. A move towards the 0.5 Fibonacci level, coinciding with a key support area, could serve as a crucial juncture. The convergence of these factors increases the likelihood of a potential reversal. 📈 Potential Scenarios: Retracement to Support: A retracement to the support zone, especially the 0.5 Fibonacci level, would align with historical patterns and provide a potential springboard for a bullish reversal. Confirmation of Support: Traders should closely monitor the price action in the support zone for signs of confirmation. Increased buying interest, reduced selling pressure, and the establishment of higher lows would be positive indicators. Upside Momentum: A successful bounce off the support zone could signal the beginning of an upward move. Confirmation of a break above the downtrend line and higher highs would strengthen the bullish case. 💡 Trading Strategy: Traders considering RUNE should exercise caution and await confirmation of a potential reversal. Entering a position at or near the support zone, with a clear risk management strategy in place, can help mitigate potential losses. Stop-loss orders below key support levels are advisable. 🔮 Future Outlook: While the technical analysis suggests the possibility of a reversal, traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies based on real-time market data. The cryptocurrency market is known for its dynamic nature, and unexpected developments can influence price movements. A successful reversal would require sustained buying interest and a break above key resistance levels to validate a new bullish trend in THORChain.
by AlexWhale
EURUSD 24 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU PMI / US PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H demand zones and ranged. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range. Still the OF is bearish and if the 4H Bullish swing is going to continue Bullish we need to see bullish reaction at least a bullish CHoCH. On the flip side, if these demand zones failed to hold, there is a high probability that the Bearish Daily/Weekly structures are in play and we are in a HTF Bearish move. Let's see the LTF development to have a clear guide. 3. Price reached the Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. As OF is bearish we need to see the formation of demand at least with a Bullish CHoCH and that demand to hold. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continued Bearish with the recent BOS. After the Swing BOS we expect a Pullback to start, which is currently reacting from the 4H/Daily Demand zones. As per the structure, expectations that the Swing will continue bearish and there is a potential short plays from the 15m/4H Supply within the Swing. (This will solidify the point that the 4H Swing low is the target) But be mindful that we had mitigated a HTF POIs (4H/Daily Demands) in a Bullish 4H Swing so there is also high expectations that the current 15m Swing High could be taken out and turn bullish to confirm the 4H Swing Pullback is over and we are in the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation. Following the structure is the optimum way and we have now 2 scenarios with HTF narratives. Lets wait for price to guide us. 3. Price had tapped into 4H/Daily demand zones and initiated the 15m Swing Pullback. After the ChoCH we will have a confirmed Swing Low.
by Amr-Sadek
GBPNZD Presents Ideal Selling ConditionsIn the GBPNZD market, the price has retraced to an area of significant supply on the 4-hour chart, coinciding with an internal daily resistance level. An anticipation of a selling market is prevalent in this region. It's worth noting that the overall sentiment remains bullish on lower timeframes. A prudent approach involves closely monitoring the structure on lower timeframes. It is advisable to exercise patience and await a discernible shift in market character from bullish to bearish before considering shorting opportunities. Wishing you success in your trading endeavors.
Short
by Koolermactrez
EURUSD 23 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday Analysis - EU Cons. ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Note: Nothing changed much since yesterday and yesterday analysis still the same. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase. 3. INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure. Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low. 4. Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
GOLD: Prime Selling Opportunity Unveiled by Harmonic Symmetry!GOLD has recently breached its downside structure. Currently, the price is undergoing a corrective phase on the 1-hour timeframe, characterized by the presence of a Gartley symmetry. This harmonic pattern is poised to conclude at a highly probable supply level. In the event of the successful completion of this harmonic pattern, a robust selling opportunity is anticipated, as visually depicted on the accompanying chart.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Koolermactrez
EURUSD 22 Jan 2024 W4 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any HTF POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase. 3. INT structure continuing Bullish again with Bullish iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. No HP demand zones except the one presented which is also not positioned well within the new INT Structure. Waiting for more price development with expectations for price to continue bullish respecting the INT Low. 4. Weak Swing low is still holding which means that the Swing pullback still active and we will have a deeper swing pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 Weekly Analysis - EUR Rate DecisionThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ INT Extreme 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Price managed to get out of the range and approaching a Daily demand zone. We didn't mitigate it yet but price is bouncing up from the Swing EQ. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
BTC - HUGE LIQUIDITY POOL ! MANIPULATION TO GROW FASTERBitcoin's (BTC) recent month-long consolidation within a range has presented traders and investors with a unique set of challenges and opportunities. The repeated removal of liquidity from the upper levels of the range has been a notable strategy, but a shift in approach—removing liquidity from below—could be a catalyst for sustained upward momentum, aiming for the $55,000 level. 📉 Range-Bound Trading Analysis: The month-long consolidation in a range suggests a period of indecision in the market. During this time, liquidity has been consistently extracted from the upper levels, indicating a reluctance for a sustained breakout. To break out of this range and pursue higher price targets, a change in liquidity dynamics may be necessary. 🔄 Shifting Liquidity Strategies: While removing liquidity from the upper levels has been effective in maintaining the current range, a shift in strategy to extracting liquidity from below could serve as a game-changer. Creating a substantial liquidity pool at lower levels can potentially act as a strong support, making it less likely for the price to revisit those levels and allowing for a more sustainable upward move. 🚀 Targeting $55,000: To propel Bitcoin toward the $55,000 level, a strategic placement of liquidity pools at lower levels becomes crucial. This approach aims to discourage significant downward moves and provides a solid foundation for sustained upward momentum. The market's ability to hold above key support levels created by these liquidity pools is essential for achieving the targeted price. 💡 Trading and Risk Management: Traders and investors should carefully monitor the effectiveness of this shift in liquidity strategy. Confirmation of increased buying interest, rising trading volumes, and a successful defense of lower support levels can provide the necessary signals to justify the approach. Risk management remains paramount, with stop-loss orders and exit strategies in place to mitigate potential losses. 🔍 Key Considerations: Liquidity Shift: Evaluate the impact of transitioning from extracting liquidity at the top of the range to creating substantial liquidity pools at lower levels. Support Formation: Assess the effectiveness of the new liquidity strategy in forming robust support levels, especially in the context of preventing significant downward moves. Confirmation Signals: Look for confirmation signals such as increased buying interest, rising volumes, and sustained price action above critical support levels. Risk Mitigation: Implement effective risk management measures to safeguard against unexpected market developments. 🔮 Future Outlook: The success of this liquidity strategy shift will likely play a crucial role in Bitcoin's ability to break out of the range and target higher price levels. Traders and investors should remain vigilant, adapt their strategies to evolving market conditions, and be prepared to adjust course based on real-time data and developments in the cryptocurrency landscape.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by AlexWhale
EURUSD 19 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - EU Con ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase. 3. Currently the new INT structure is Bullish and we had reached the extreme and price respected the INT Low and continued up. Expectation that we are going to target the INT High as long we respect the Swing Low. Also there is a high probability that we may break the Swing low as we didn't mitigate any HP POI to initiate a pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 18 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - ECB MinutesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase signaling that we still looking for deeper pullback to the next Daily/4H Demand zones. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Pullback Phase 2. Finally we are out of the range where the 15m Swing turned bearish signaling the expectation that if the Swing turned bearish then the 4H is having a deep pullback phase within the 4H Bullish Swing. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase to initiate and we will be looking for Bullish iBOS to confirm Swing Low and the initiation of the Swing pullback. I'll be cautious that after range we were in the momentum will be aggressive and pullback may not happen directly and following the current INT structure will be the safe option. 3. INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase. Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone. Just to note that we didn't mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 17 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail/ EU CPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bearish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase signaling that we still looking for deeper pullback to the next Daily/4H Demand zones. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish 2. Finally we are out of the range where the Swing turned bearish signaling the expectation that if the Swing turned bearish then the 4H is having a deep pullback phase within the 4H Bullish Swing. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase to initiate and we will be looking for Bullish iBOS to confirm Swing Low and the initiation of the Swing pullback. I'll be cautious that after range we were in the momentum will be aggressive and pullback may not happen directly and following the current INT structure will be the safe option. 3. INT structure is continuing bearish and i would expect the continuation bearish till we reach the Daily/4H Demand zone as current targets. No HP supply zone within the current INT structure as all are mitigated. I'll be waiting for the next INT structure for Shorts if we didn't reach the Daily/4H Demand zones first.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 16 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - German CPI/ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Still price is ranging and i'm waiting for a break out of that range. Order flow on 4H is currently bearish within the INT Structure so my expectation is to stay bearish and may target the 15m Swing Low. A formation of Bearish Structure will indicate that the 4H Swing pullback is not yet done and we may have a deep pullback within the 4H Swing. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. 3. It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range. For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low) I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
by Amr-Sadek
Choch Entry & Liquidity Model | Trading StrategyIntroduction: The trading strategy "Choch Entry & Liquidity Model" has emerged as an innovative model in the financial domain, focusing on market entry and liquidity. This approach is built upon key principles aimed at maximizing returns and effectively managing risk. Fundamental Principles: The strategy relies on an entry approach known as "Choch Entry," which is presumed to provide precise trading signals based on specific indicators. This method aims to capture significant price movements through a detailed analysis of market data. Liquidity Management: Another distinctive element of this strategy is its focus on liquidity. The "Liquidity Model" seeks to optimize order execution, ensuring that the strategy can enter and exit the market efficiently, minimizing slippage and price impact. Practical Implementation: The practical implementation of this strategy requires a thorough understanding of financial instruments and indicators used in the model. Traders must be able to adapt the strategy to changing market conditions and constantly monitor key variables to make informed decisions. Risks and Challenges: As with any trading strategy, it is crucial to understand the potential risks and challenges associated with the "Choch Entry & Liquidity Model" strategy. Market volatility, sudden changes in economic conditions, and other factors can influence outcomes. Conclusions: The "Choch Entry & Liquidity Model" trading strategy represents an intriguing approach that combines targeted entry with careful liquidity management. Its effectiveness depends on the trader's proficiency in consistently and flexibly applying key principles, adapting them to the changing dynamics of the market.
Education
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
EURUSD 15 Jan 2024 W3 - Intraday Analysis - US HolidayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : No much development in price since NFP (2 Weeks). Can't see suitable option within that range knowing that it's a big range. But best is always wait for the setups that you are trained on and not to force a setup in current market behavior. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. 3. It's clear now that after NFP and CPI the market is in indecision phase and needs a catalyst to get out of the range. For me price still Bullish until we have a Bearish Swing (Solid close below Swing Low) I'll be waiting for more price development outside the range we are currently in.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Previous week PA was ranging within the INT Structure EQ. Crossroads now for price. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 12 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US PPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed much also yesterday even with CPI news. a whole ranging week and i wish we get out of that range today so we can have better opportunities next week. Wishing everyone a good weekend. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now we are currently ranging. For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news today which will will provide us a clear view for next week. 3. After CPI news yesterday, we pushed above range high (NFP High) which enabled me after to mark INT Structure high as we did a CHoCH. Currently we still ranging inside the INT Structure. My Bias still Bullish till we see bearish Structures.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 11 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday too, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI Today. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is mitigated now and we are currently ranging. For me it's clear now that market is waiting for CPI news today which will will provide us a clear view for next week.
by Amr-Sadek