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EURUSD 9 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - US Trade BalanceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 9 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE : Nothing changed since yesterday, price still ranging since last Friday NFP and market waiting US CPI on Thursday 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. After the recent Bullish BOS price started a series of Bearish INT Structures to facilitate the Swing Pull Back. 3. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a fresh 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is the last demand zone in order for the 15m Swing to stay bullish. If failed, then we will have a deeper push down and the 4H will have the second view for deep Swing Pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8 Jan 2024 W2 - Intraday Analysis - EUR Retail Sales This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish At Swing Extreme Low 2. After the recent Bullish BOS price started a series of Bearish INT Structures to facilitate the Swing Pull Back. 3. INT structure turned Bullish after mitigating the 4H demand zones and reaching the 15m Swing extreme. The recent break (Fail to close below Swing Low) resulted with another iBOS and formed a fresh 15m/4H Demand zone. This demand is the last demand zone in order for the 15m Swing to stay bullish. If failed, then we will have a deeper push down and the 4H will have the second view for deep Swing Pullback. 4. Potential demand zone within the Swing extreme.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8-12 Jan 2024 W2 Weekly Analysis - US CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 8-12 Jan 2024 W2 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If it demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. 3. Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
Trading on Holidays: Liquidity and Spreads When trading forex, it's essential to check spreads, especially during holidays. Trading forex during holidays can be a bit more challenging due to reduced liquidity in the market. Liquidity refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without causing a significant change in price. During holidays, liquidity can be lower as many traders and financial institutions take time off, leading to fewer participants in the market. Lower liquidity can directly impact the spread, which is the difference between the bid and ask price of a currency pair. In times of reduced liquidity, spreads tend to widen, meaning the difference between the buying and selling price of a currency pair increases. This can lead to higher trading costs for traders, as wider spreads require a larger price movement in the underlying asset before a trade becomes profitable. It's essential for traders to be aware of these potential spread increases during holidays to avoid unexpected trading costs. Additionally, wider spreads can also lead to slippage , where a trade is executed at a different price than expected. This can further impact trading results, especially during fast-moving markets with low liquidity. Therefore, checking spreads during holidays is crucial for forex traders to anticipate potential increases in trading costs and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. On TradingView, you can check the spreads in the top left corner. There you can find bid, ask prices and the spread between them. It's important to factor in the impact of wider spreads on profitability and risk management when trading during these periods. By staying informed about spread changes during holidays, traders can make more informed decisions and better navigate the challenges of lower liquidity in the forex market. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
4
XAUUSD BUY & SELLHello Friends, In this analysis as always i have multiple areas of sell and buy. To begin with currently price is at area 31 which is a buy side level, just below it exist level 26 which is also a potential winner. should price go up level 39 -42 is a supply zone and just above it there is a QM level which price reacted to yesterday and it would be second reaction(risky). * As always make sure you pay attention to the news which is going to be published later this afternoon. * Be honorable
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AliHassanzadeh
2
EURUSD 22 Dec 2023 Intraday Analysis - US PCE / Last Post 2023This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ/Extreme 2. INT structure turned bullish as expected and we are currently in 4H Swing continuation targeting the Weak Swing High and maybe more above. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback but be mindful with the current solid bullish momentum and that we are currently Pro Swing and Pro Internal, pullbacks will not be deep so be patient and cautious and utilize LTF to guide you. 3. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 4. Price had mitigated the Daily/4H Supply zones and currently close to the Weak Swing High. Price reacted as expected from the 4H demand zone and we are currently in the same momentum to target the 4H Weak Swing High. In my POV the current reaction from the 4H/Daily Supply zones is not yet reflecting as a rejection as the reaction didn't achieve anything significant even no Fractal CHoCH. So as long we stay bullish and demand holding we are still solidly bullish. Also as we are approaching the end of the year, moves will not be in momentum so i recommend to better observe the market and prepare yourself to the next year runs. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. We created a BOS as expected and we are in the Swing continuation to target the 4H Weak Swing High. After a BOS we expect a pullback and first sign will be a Bearish CHoCH to confirm the INT High. But be mindful that we are in 4H Swing Continuation to i don't expect much pullback before we take out the 4H Weak Swing High. A note from yesterday that the Internal to Internal Structure (Was mapped in Green) became now the Internal Structure.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 21 Dec 2023 Intraday Analysis - US GDPThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE Nothing changed much. Price still ranging without any clear momentum. It's the end of the year and with thin liquidity we will have such behaviors. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ/Extreme 2. INT structure turned bullish as expected and we are currently in 4H Swing continuation targeting the Weak Swing High and maybe more above. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback but be mindful with the current solid bullish momentum and that we are currently Pro Swing and Pro Internal, pullbacks will not be deep so be patient and cautious and utilize LTF to guide you. 3. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 4. Price had mitigated the Daily/4H Supply zones and currently close to the Weak Swing High. Price reacted as expected from the 4H demand zone and we are currently in the same momentum to target the 4H Weak Swing High. In my POV the current reaction from the 4H/Daily Supply zones is not yet reflecting as a rejection as the reaction didn't achieve anything significant even no Fractal CHoCH. So as long we stay bullish and demand holding we are still solidly bullish. Also as we are approaching the end of the year, moves will not be in momentum so i recommend to better observe the market and prepare yourself to the next year runs. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish INT INT Bullish 2. After the Swing BOS price is currently in a Pullback Phase. INT structure turned bearish to facilitate the Swing Pullback. Price currently is ranging due to the Pullback Phase and the Bullish Continuation. Still our expectations is that price going to target the 15m / 4H Weak Swing High. This view will be invalidated temporarily if we created a bearish iBOS (Break of INT Low) which will lead to a deep pullback. As i'm expecting price will not be clear as we are close to year end and liquidity becoming thin. Observation and working on personal improvements is the best practice currently.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 20 Dec 2023 Intraday Analysis - EU/US Consumer ConfidenceThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ/Extreme 2. INT structure turned bullish as expected and we are currently in 4H Swing continuation targeting the Weak Swing High and maybe more above. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback but be mindful with the current solid bullish momentum and that we are currently Pro Swing and Pro Internal, pullbacks will not be deep so be patient and cautious and utilize LTF to guide you. 3. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 4. Price had mitigated the Daily/4H Supply zones and currently close to the Weak Swing High. Price reacted as expected from the 4H demand zone and we are currently in the same momentum to target the 4H Weak Swing High. In my POV the current reaction from the 4H/Daily Supply zones is not yet reflecting as a rejection as the reaction didn't achieve anything significant even no Fractal CHoCH. So as long we stay bullish and demand holding we are still solidly bullish. Also as we are approaching the end of the year, moves will not be in momentum so i recommend to better observe the market and prepare yourself to the next year runs. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish INT INT Bullish 2. Price created a bearish iBOS which confirms a Swing High. We are currently in the Swing pullback phase which means we are in a short term bearish momentum to facilitate the Swing pullback. We have some potential supply zones for Shorts to play the Swing Pullback as long we didn't reach the Swing EQ/Discount. We had mitigated the extreme supply withing the INT structure but the INT INT Structure is Still Solid Bullish. We need an iiBOS to confirm that the INT pullback is over and we can look for Shorts to play the 15m Swing Pullback. But be mindful that we are in the 4H Bullish Continuation Phase and we are targeting the Weak Swing High on 4H and also on 15m, so Shorts are risky that's why we need a solid structure breaks to confirm the bearish move.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 19 Dec 2023 Intraday Analysis - EUR CPI This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m NOTE: Nothing changed since yesterday, price is ranging within a tide range and maybe with CPI today we can see some movement. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ/Extreme 2. INT structure turned bullish as expected and we are currently in 4H Swing continuation targeting the Weak Swing High and maybe more above. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback but be mindful with the current solid bullish momentum and that we are currently Pro Swing and Pro Internal, pullbacks will not be deep so be patient and cautious and utilize LTF to guide you. 3. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 4. Price is currently at the Daily/4H Supply zones and Weak Swing High. Price had mitigated the Daily/4H Supply zones formed when we started the Swing Pullback. Currently price at a 4H Demand zone and the Zone low is the current Liq which price could sweep and continue up again targeting the Weak Swing High. As we are approaching the end of the year, better to observe the market and prepare yourself to the next year runs. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. Price created a bearish iBOS which confirms a Swing High. We are currently in the Swing pullback phase which means we are in a short term bearish momentum to facilitate the Swing pullback. We have some potential supply zones for Shorts to play the Swing Pullback as long we didn't reach the Swing EQ/Discount. I prefer the upper 2 zones as they are positioned in the Premium and they can potentially categorized as FLIP zones. For Swing bullish continuation, I'm looking on the 4H/15m Demand zone to look for reaction from for Longs as long the Strong Swing Low will Hold.
by Amr-Sadek
High and Low Liquidity Pivots. Which ones do I choose?Welcome to the coffee shop everybody this is your host and Baristo Eric, and I'm here today to let you guys know about the difference between high liquidity and low liquidity pivots and when I say pivots I mean price levels in the market. I want you to keep in mind that this trick works on all time frames it doesn't matter what time frame you're looking at but it certainly works best if you're comparing the high time frame to the low time frame that you're trading on. This is a price action trick and strategy that you do not need an indicator for. Which means you can never get this wrong as you long as you follow these rules but the minute you try using an indicator for this you're going to miss out on some important details. Now obviously there's a few rules that you need to follow when you're looking for high liquidity or low liquidity pivots and in the image above you should be able to see it but in the text below I'll give you my breakdown of the 123 rule that you can really follow to understand what you're looking for. Here's a few rules to follow: 1. Bullish candles make high pivots 2. Bearish candles make low pivots 3.the length of the Wick of the candle is the trigger to tell you what you're looking for. You cannot find low or high liquidity in a market during the trend. You can only see it after the trend has finished and you are either currently ranging or you are in the alternate trend meaning you were in a downtrend and now you're in an uptrend or a sideways market. You want to look for these liquidity types in the previous trend but using the strategy in this video you can also find high and low liquidity in arranging markets simply by looking at the ranging market that previously took place. The trick to finding liquidity in the market goes like this: Finding Sell Liquidity (Resistance) in previous market moves. If you were in a downtrend and now it has completed you can look backwards at that downtrend and find all the bullish candles that will reflect the rules you were looking for. Look at the downtrend and find the bullish candles. You want the bullish candles that had swing highs and their upper Wick is longer than their lower Wick. If the previous market was an uptrend you simply wanna do the opposite: and previously up trending market you wanna find all the bearish candles and those bearish candles need to have a swing low Wick plus the Wick on the bottom must be longer than the Wick on top. These will reflect your SUPPORT levels (Buy Liquidity) One of the questions often asked is what do you do with these levels once you find them. Once you find low liquidity levels you wanna mark them this way you can treat them as plausible breakout areas meaning that with low liquidity in these areas price will reach those areas later on and price will continue to move through them because there are very few participants trying to buy or sell in a low liquidity area. High liquidity area however simply means there is a lot of volume lot of activity and when price reaches back to these levels that price will either stall or reverse at these levels. High liquidity areas also mean that these are banks and institutions trading at these levels so price can pull away from it retest and then come back to it for a very large move initiated by that same level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CoffeeshopCrypto
EURUSD 18 Dec 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ/Extreme 2. INT structure turned bullish as expected and we are currently in 4H Swing continuation targeting the Weak Swing High and maybe more above. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback but be mindful with the current solid bullish momentum and that we are currently Pro Swing and Pro Internal, pullbacks will not be deep so be patient and cautious and utilize LTF to guide you. 3. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 4. Price is currently at the Daily/4H Supply zones and Weak Swing High. Price had mitigated the Daily/4H Supply zones formed when we started the Swing Pullback. Currently price at a 4H Demand zone and the Zone low is the current Liq which price could sweep and continue up again targeting the Weak Swing High. As we are approaching the end of the year, better to observe the market and prepare yourself to the next year runs. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. Price created a bearish iBOS which confirms a Swing High. We are currently in the Swing pullback phase which means we are in a short term bearish momentum to facilitate the Swing pullback. We have some potential supply zones for Shorts to play the Swing Pullback as long we didn't reach the Swing EQ/Discount. I prefer the upper 2 zones as they are positioned in the Premium and they can potentially categorized as FLIP zones. For Swing bullish continuation, I'm looking on the 4H/15m Demand zone to look for reaction from for Longs as long the Strong Swing Low will Hold. 3. Potential Demand Zone within the current internal and in the Swing Discount. 4. Extreme Demand zone to hold if the 15m Swing will continue Bullish.
by Amr-Sadek