EURUSD 4 Dec 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 4 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Swing low and last demand for potential buys.
3.
After the Bullish iBOS we expected a pullback. We created a CHOCH and price continued the pullback for the INT Bullish Structure.
The pullback pushed down and swept the Liq. below the Stron INT Low and reached the Swing EQ.
It's a tough call now! We have the 2 options valid (Buy / Sell) but we need to see more price development and confirmation to trigger.
Option 1 Buy: I'll be waiting to see if price will confirm the failure to close below the INT Low and it was a sweep of Liq. below strong low from the LTF Structure changing to bullish.
Option 2 Sell: I'll be waiting for the INT Structure to shift bearish which will confirm the Swing High and we can look now for shorts after the INT pullback. But be cautious that we already reached the Swing EQ and buyers will step in now.
Let's see what the LTFs will tell us and we can adopt accordingly while keeping our HTF analysis always in play.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
2.
Swing structure turned bearish creating a BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback.
INT structure is bearish which means we still in the bearish continuation until we have a Bullish iBOS.
Price taped into the 15m and 4H Supply that caused the bearish BOS and till now holding.
I'll be waiting for Bullish iBOS to play the 15m Swing pullback or wait for the 4H Bearish iBOS to confirm the 4H Swing Pullback started to play Shorts.
Liquidity
EURUSD 4 - 8 Dec 2023 Weekly Analysis - NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 4 - 8 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
2.
After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low.
3.
Price had fully mitigated the weekly supply (FLIP Zone and swept the Liq above the zone by not fully closing the candle above. Still it could be a sweep of liq if we started to see pushes to the down side and structure changes on TF lower than the Weekly TF.
Price could be targeting the Supply zone at the INT Structure High to continue bearish as long TFs lower supports that.
4.
Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish
OF Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
After BOS we expect a pullback
OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and we formed bullish iBOS to confirm the Swing Low and the pullback.
With that pullback we formed Weekly and Daily demand zones which are potential for longs after confirmation on LTFs.
3.
After the Bullish iBOS we are expecting a pullback. First sign of the pullback maybe starting is a CHoCH which price did and confirmed INT High.
With that pullback we had formed a Supply zone that can act as a potential zone to play the pullback phase.
The bearish CHoCH on the Daily appearing to be a Liq. Sweep as we didn't close below it. So, be mindful that OF is in Strong bullish move and playing against it without confirmation will be rough.
Let's watch LTF to guide us.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
Swing low and last demand for potential buys.
3.
After the Bullish iBOS we expected a pullback. We created a CHOCH and price continued the pullback for the INT Bullish Structure.
The pullback pushed down and swept the Liq. below the Stron INT Low and reached the Swing EQ.
It's a tough call now! We have the 2 options valid (Buy / Sell) but we need to see more price development and confirmation to trigger.
Option 1 Buy: I'll be waiting to see if price will confirm the failure to close below the INT Low and it was a sweep of Liq. below strong low from the LTF Structure changing to bullish.
Option 2 Sell: I'll be waiting for the INT Structure to shift bearish which will confirm the Swing High and we can look now for shorts after the INT pullback. But be cautious that we already reached the Swing EQ and buyers will step in now.
Let's see what the LTFs will tell us and we can adopt accordingly while keeping our HTF analysis always in play.
Economic Events for the Week
Gold (XAUUSD) weekly update 04-08.12Gold has reached an all-time high. I expect it to break and then fall, forming the second swing.
Macroeconomics
Last week's PCE reading showed lower inflation and instead of gold rising, it fell.
The FED is about to pause, or at least that is the expectation at the moment.
Unemployment rate is rising, which is bullish for gold.
It seems that the banks are only buying gold because they are looking at the big picture - risk of recession, global risk (last two wars), instability in the USA caused by high debt and high interest rates.
Top-Down Analysis
I see no point in analysing this section, as we get automatic updates for 9 time frames every day.
Benchmark
The commodity index is falling, but we see that gold is super bullish everywhere.
COT Reports
It seems that everyone is buying gold at the moment - banks, professional traders and, of course, us.
Gold vs Silver
Silver is bullish like gold, confirming the direction for now.
Volume Spread Analysis - Wyckoff patterns
The current rally is being confirmed by volume.
For now, the accumulation pattern is being respected.
Momentum
The price should fall soon. Momentum indicators show that the current price is overbought.
EURUSD 1 Dec 2023 Intraday Analysis - US PMI / Powell SpeaksThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 1 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
Before the analysis, i want to share update on my current short trade on EURUSD. The trade is currently active and secured by moving SL to BE.
My current target is the 15m Swing Low/4H INT Low/Daily CHoCH. My current understanding that we are bullish in structures (15m Swing/ 4H INT / Daily INT) and i should either close my current short or look to long. But as i planned the trade from the start targeting the Liquidity on the Daily i wouldn't change my plan within the trade unless something significant occur (15m INT Structure turns Bullish). By sticking to the plan, i can evaluate my trading analysis and planning to find out where i can improve my trades. In other words what you planed is what you'll get.
Currently there is a chance that price can reverse from here as we are at 15m / 4H Bullish structures extreme.
Trade 15m Chart:
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
Swing low and last demand for potential buys.
3.
After the Bullish iBOS we expected a pullback. We created a CHOCH and price continued the pullback for the INT Bullish Structure.
Currently we are at the INT Discount/Extreme but there is high probability demand area to contain price from my point of view. Yes, Price could continue the bullish momentum and 4H INT Bullish continuation move. But i prefer to have a well defined Demand Zone to look for trades from.
There is also a pullback required from the 4H Swing which we didn't have it till now and the Daily Liquidity (INT Low on the 4H) could be the target for the daily to get Liquidity for more up side. That's why i don't prefer to trade from an area without seeing Liquidity taken.
Let's see what the LTFs will tell us and we can adopt accordingly while keeping our HTF analysis always in play.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
In Discount / Extreme
2.
As internal Structure turned bearish yesterday. Price continuing bearish and reached the 15m Swing Extreme.
Our expectations that after this deep pullback and if we are going to stay bullish on the 15m Swing, Price could start the bullish 15m Swing continuation.
But the INT structure still bearish so no confirmation yet. there is a risky option that i can see is that the INT to INT Structure turned bullish which could be the first sign for bullish momentum coming after this deep swing pullback.
It's Friday and December starting which is not a preferred trading month. So i'll be cautious with the current price structure and wait for solid options.
3.
INT Structure is in bearish momentum after starting the pullback.
Yesterday EU CPI news was a catalyst for that deep pullback.
Market Maker buy model for the week ETHMarket maker buy model for ETH for the remainder of the week.
I would expect that with the volatility injection at 8:30 AM, the price reaches the first target and possibly the liquidity above the original consolidation. The final target would be the daily EQH at 2140.
The price is within a 3-month timeframe SIBI and in NWOG from past week and current week.
I'm attaching a reference image on 4h from CME futures to understand the context:
VET's Manipulative Chart: Spotting Liquidity Sweeps for Profit!Today, let's unravel the intriguing dance of VeChain (VET), a coin that consistently orchestrates a substantial pump following a liquidity sweep. It's time to decode the manipulative ballet and learn how to use these maneuvers to our advantage! 🩰📈
VET's Manipulative Symphony:
Observing the Pattern:
Ritual: VET engages in a dance of liquidity sweeps, luring unsuspecting traders into its intricate moves.
Purpose: Each sweep creates a spectacle, shaking up the market and setting the stage for the next act.
Mastering the Sweep and Return:
Tactic: VET's modus operandi involves a sweep, swiftly grabbing liquidity, followed by an equally swift return to the prevailing trend.
Opportunity: Savvy traders can capitalize on this pattern by strategically entering the market after the liquidity has been snagged and the price retraces.
Navigating the VET Dance Floor:
Identification of Liquidity Clusters:
Key Skill: The ability to spot clusters of liquidity is paramount. These areas often become the focal points for VET's dance.
Timing the Entry:
Strategic Move: Enter the market after the liquidity sweep and subsequent retracement, aligning with the prevailing trend.
Caution: Beware of false signals; confirm the upward momentum post-sweep for a more secure entry.
The VET Advantage:
Consistent Performance:
VET's ability to consistently execute this manipulative ballet provides traders with recurring opportunities for profitable engagements.
Educational Reminder:
VET serves as a reminder that not all market moves are organic; understanding and adapting to manipulative strategies can be a valuable skill.
Conclusion:
VET's manipulative ballet is a spectacle worth studying for traders seeking an edge in the crypto market. By identifying liquidity sweeps and entering strategically, you can dance along with VET and turn its orchestrated moves into profitable performances.
May your trades be as graceful as VET's dance on the crypto stage!
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
EURUSD 30 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - EU CPI / End of Month!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 30 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
Before the analysis, i want to share my trade taken yesterday based on the analysis shared with the idea of looking for Shorts to play the pullback for the 15m Swing and the 4H INT Structure.
As per the plan yesterday, i was waiting for Bearish INT Structure to signal that the pullback had started and i can look for Shorts after. We did that yesterday and formed a Bearish CHoCH on the 4H where i took my shorts in anticipation that the INT Bearish Structure will hold bearish to facilitate the pullback.
I know it will not be a smooth trade because we are trading against the trend, but as per the plan i can trade these options with cautious.
This is the current trade for reference on 15m Chart:
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
Swing low and last demand for potential buys.
3.
After the Bullish iBOS we expect a pullback. We created a CHOCH yesterday which confirmed the INT High and the pullback of the INT Structure started.
Most probably we will be targeting the Demand zone in the 4H Swing Discount before looking for longs.
Be mindful that the Bullish momentum is so strong and shorts wouldn't be a smooth ride, So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
2.
INT Structure turned Bearish to signal the 15m Swing Pullback and we are in short term bearish momentum.
Most probably price will be targeting the unmitigated 4H / 15m Demand zones and the Swing EQ for this pullback. Could extend to the Swing Extreme but our expectations is to look for longs from the extreme after confirmation.
Be Mindful that the Bullish momentum is strong and shorts will not be a smooth ride.
3.
Price had mitigated the 4H Supply and created a CHoCH on the 4H which created a new Supply that was mitigated within the current Bearish INT Structure.
EURUSD 29 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - EU CPI/US GDP, BaileyThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 29 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
Swing low and last demand for potential buys.
3.
After the Swing BOS, we expected a pullback but price still in Bullish momentum and still creating Bullish INT Structures. We didn't have Swing pullback till now which will be identified by a Bearish iBOS.
Price did another Bullish iBOS and reached a 4H Supply and mitigating a Daily Supply. We are expecting a pullback for the INT Structure and the first sign will be a bearish fractal CHoCH which will be the 15m Bearish iBOS.
Be mindful that the Bullish momentum is so strong and shorts wouldn't be a smooth ride, So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
2.
As expected, price created another Bullish BOS following the Bullish momentum. After a BOS we expect a Swing Pullback.
The first sign that the pullback maybe starting is a Bearish Fractal CHoCH. But as we formed INT Structures after the BOS, then we will wait for INT Structure to turn bearish first to:
1- Confirm a Swing High
2- Confirm that the pullback is starting
Be Mindful that the Bullish momentum is strong and shorts will not be a smooth ride.
3.
Price is currently mitigating a 4H and Daily Supply Zones.
Pullback could start from here, but as we identified in the previous point that we need a confirmation with a Bearish iBOS.
Longs are currently the only play from the INT Demand areas after confirmation till INT Lows fails and we get the bearish iBOS.
BNB: Identifying Sniper Entry Points 🎯Unlocking the art of sniper entries in the crypto market involves the strategic identification of substantial liquidity clusters on one side, serving as potential catalysts for trend reversals. Let's explore this concept using a recent example from Binance Coin (BNB) to understand the power of precision entries. 🎯📊
Sniper Entries Decoded:
Definition: Sniper entries refer to pinpointing optimal entry points in the market, often by identifying significant concentrations of liquidity on one side of the order book.
Case Study - BNB Snapshot:
Scenario: BNB exhibited a range-bound movement, and a crucial moment unfolded as liquidity dynamics shifted.
Key Observations:
Liquidity Accumulation: A considerable accumulation of liquidity on one side (e.g., sell-side liquidity) can act as a precursor to a trend reversal.
Range Breakdown: The removal of the range high (upper boundary) and subsequent testing of the imbalance level signaled a shift in market dynamics.
Key Takeaways:
Identifying Liquidity Clusters:
Look for instances where liquidity is noticeably concentrated on either the buy or sell side.
Significant liquidity clusters can act as potential turning points in the market.
Range Dynamics:
Pay attention to price movements around key range levels.
Breakdowns and subsequent tests of range boundaries can provide valuable insights into market sentiment.
Implementing Sniper Entry Strategy:
Wait for Confirmation: Exercise patience and wait for confirmation, such as a range breakdown or imbalance testing, before considering entry.
Precision Timing: Optimal entries often occur just above/below key range levels, maximizing the potential for favorable price movements.
Conclusion:
Mastering sniper entries involves a keen understanding of liquidity dynamics and recognizing when significant concentrations may trigger trend reversals. The BNB example showcases how identifying liquidity accumulation and strategic entry points can enhance your trading precision.
Wishing you sniper-like accuracy in your entries!
Happy trading,
🌐
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE! Link below🔑
Market Maker Sell model target Intraday liquidityMarket maker sell model, aligned with the idea posted last week.
Anticipating that the price will target sell stops at 228.2 - 227.25 - 224.3.
My ultimate target is at 222.5 on the SIBI 1W chart.
I recommend taking a look at the original idea to understand the context
NQ what are you doing lol daily time frame shows NQ is in a bullish trading range at a premium and price action has been pretty much sideways for past 6 days meaning consolidation and anything lower than the daily can result in buy side and sell side liquidity being taken
4h bullish trading range at a premium and price action has been sweeping liquidity both ways with no clear displacement, I favor price falling to sell side but without the displacement that will not happen, I have marked the liquidity that has been taken and what has not
I will continue observing but for now im playing the sidelines
🚀 ZRX Breakthrough: Double Bottom Pump to $1.1 !In the realm of decentralized exchanges, 0x (ZRX) has been a pioneer, and its recent chart dynamics are capturing attention. After an extended period of forming liquidity above a stubborn downtrend line, ZRX has staged a remarkable comeback. The charts now reveal the successful completion of a substantial double bottom pattern, accompanied by a breakthrough of a key resistance level that has now transformed into a support. Let's delve into this transformative journey.
Chart Analysis: ZRX's Persistent Liquidity and Double Bottom Formation
For a considerable duration, 0x (ZRX) exhibited a distinctive characteristic—forming liquidity persistently above a downtrend line. This showcased resilience and laid the groundwork for the subsequent chart development. The real turning point, however, came with the emergence of a substantial double bottom pattern, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment.
Breakthrough Moment: Overcoming Resistance, Establishing Support
The significance of ZRX's recent breakthrough cannot be overstated. The cryptocurrency successfully breached a key resistance level, and what was once a barrier has now evolved into a crucial support zone. This transformation is indicative of a shift in the balance of power, potentially setting the stage for a sustained upward move.
Price Target: Setting Sights on $1.10
With the completion of the double bottom pattern and the establishment of a newfound support level, chart analysts are eyeing an initial price target of $1.10. This level is derived from the technical implications of the double bottom pattern and represents a milestone in ZRX's journey to reclaim higher valuations.
Trading Strategy: Navigating the ZRX Chart Renaissance
Traders and investors closely tracking ZRX's chart dynamics might find strategic opportunities in the wake of this transformative pattern. The establishment of a new support level opens avenues for tactical entry points, with an eye on potential upside movements.
Conclusion: ZRX's Resurgence
0x (ZRX) has undergone a significant chart transformation, transitioning from persistent liquidity formation to a triumphant double bottom pattern. As it breaks through resistance, now turned support, the cryptocurrency signals a potential resurgence.
🚀 ZRX Analysis | 💪 Double Bottom Triumph | 🎯 Target: $1.10
❗See related ideas below❗
What are your thoughts on ZRX's chart evolution? Share your insights, strategies, and price predictions in the comments! As ZRX sets its sights on higher targets, the crypto community anticipates an exciting journey ahead. 🌐🚀💚
ALT Cap & BTC Cap | Happy Together Liquidity is Kinglooks like BTC has a banker of it's own to get liquidity and maintain Fear Greed
as well as ALTs uncompromised from BTCs funding
LONG story short... Alts have body guards to support fresh investors not to panic and reward towards Q4 and Q1 next year
EURUSD 28 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 28 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
Swing low and last demand for potential buys.
3.
After the Swing BOS, we expected a pullback but price still in Bullish momentum and still creating Bullish INT Structures. We didn't have Swing pullback till now which will be identified by a Bearish iBOS.
Price reached the extreme of the Bullish INT Structure and we may react only from there as our expectations is to reach (And maybe extend above) the Weak INT HIgh. So the current supply there may provide some bearish reaction, but our expectations on the 4H TF is to continue up.
But keep in mind that the bearish scenario we have from the Weekly and Daily could be starting from this area or a bit higher. In all ways, bearish scenario will be confirmed with bearish structure formation which we don't have till now.
So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
2.
INT Structure continuing bullish following the 15m Swing bullish structure and our expectations is to reach the Swing high and most probably we will take it out.
3.
Price still moving to the upside but i can see there is no momentum.
So my expectations that we can see a break of the INT/Swing High, mitigate the 4H/Daily Supply and then we can start a pullback.
There is no confirmation yet for the shorts, So most probably will wait for at least a bearish iBOS.
11/28/23 NAS Daily Outlook11/28/23 NAS Daily Outlook
#NAS #DailyOutlook
We took the PDL and traded into the 4H+FVG then bounced off of it as projected. We traded into and off of the W-FVG(L) again. I personally didn't catch this one from focusing on SPX's choppiness. We set the high PDH inside of the W-FVG and the low PDL inside of the 4H+FVG and left SSL inside of the NY open session.
This will be our biggest news release, however, we do have a few #FOMC speakers but not Powell. We also have Richmond Manufacturing Index numbers #RMI and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y at 9:00am.
10:00am
USD
CB #ConsumerConfidence
101.0 102.6
#BullishCase: The bullish case is how we respond to this 1H+FVG we made during London session yesterday as we are simultaneously holding near the high of the 4H+FVG(H) near 15954.4. We should be looking for price to reach back into the W-FVG(L) and the for the PDH/PWHs.
#BearishCase: The bearish case will be how we manage the fresh liquidity left behind within the NY open session SSL($). Below that we still have the 4H+FVG that is holding us up but we'll still be aiming for the PDL lows from Tuesday and Wednesday.1H chart
4h chart
D chart:
11/28/23 US30 Daily Outlook11/28/23 US30 Daily Outlook
#US30 #DailyOutlook
No trade today! Too choppy for my liking and the price is just ranging to with entries that don't meet my requirements. We took out a PDL and tapped a PWH and made a PDH. We took liquidity from both the long (BSL) and the short side (SSL). Our closest HTF POI is the W-RB/D-OB and we're in the wicks but we haven't tapped into the body yet so, still think that this will be our POI to consider. The over night sessions were probably the cleanest but the entire NY session was choppy.
This will be our biggest news release, however, we do have a few #FOMC speakers but not Powell. We also have Richmond Manufacturing Index numbers #RMI and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y at 9:00am.
10:00am
USD
CB #ConsumerConfidence
101.0 102.6
#BullishCase: The bullish case is the LTF BSL($) that is above us and a move into the following: WOP, price completely through the PWH, the PDH from 11/26, and into the W-RB/D-OB.
#BearishCase: The bearish case is PDH and back into the 1H+OB from 11/22 (Do you see it?). If we trade through this swing low with impulse, then I will aim for the PDLs from Thursday and Friday and then into the D-OB(L).
1H chart
4H chart
D chart
11/28/23 SPX Daily Outlook11/28/23 SPX Daily Outlook
#SPX #DailyOutlook:
We made the low of the day during the over night sessions. There was a NWOG that was left on Sunday and this is where price has been reacting during the NY open session. The PM sessions fell down into the 4H+FVG(H), TDO and D+OB(H) then pushed into the NWOG. There was also a bounce in the London/ Pre Market Session off of the D+OB(H) again. On the open the price rejected the PG but then held the D+OB(H) again and ranging through the NY open until the close.
This will be our biggest news release, however, we do have a few #FOMC speakers but not Powell. We also have Richmond Manufacturing Index numbers #RMI and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y at 9:00am.
10:00am
USD
CB #ConsumerConfidence
101.0 102.6
#BullishCase: The bullish case will be our response to the NWOG (New Week Open Gap) which we have reacted off of and sold off from but, at the current price we are sitting near the low again. We could use the PG to push through and buy from and the aim will be the PDH/PWHs. Look for an impulse through and a return to it.
#BearishCase: The PDL from Monday is our POI for the sell setup. We need to watch the LTFs for an impulse through the low and on the LTFs once we trade through the low wait for a fresh -POI for a LTF setup.
1H chart
4H chart
D Chart
EURUSD 27 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 27 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
Swing low and last demand for potential buys.
3.
After the Swing BOS, we expected a pullback but price still in Bullish momentum and still creating Bullish INT Structures. We didn't have Swing pullback till now which will be identified by a Bearish iBOS.
Price reached the extreme of the Bullish INT Structure and we may react only from there as our expectations is to reach (And maybe extend above) the Weak INT HIgh. So the current supply there may provide some bearish reaction, but our expectations on the 4H TF is to continue up.
But keep in mind that the bearish scenario we have from the Weekly and Daily could be starting from this area or a bit higher. In all ways, bearish scenario will be confirmed with bearish structure formation which we don't have till now.
So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
2.
INT Structure continuing bullish following the 15m Swing bullish structure and our expectations is to reach the Swing high and most probably we will take it out.
3.
My expectations is if price managed to break the 15m Swing High and confirm a BOS, Most probably we will initiate a Pullback from mitigating the 4H/Daily Supply zones.
Shorts are not confirmed as the momentum is bullish. but planning before is important.
Nq Price Action Watch I'm anticipating price selling off into any one of the w-bisi pd arrays since price is in a premium according to the daily range to reach for sell side liquidity. I will look for potential shorts in Ny session at area of interest before first sell side target is reached if the opportunity presents itself
high news is coming out this week between Wednesday and Friday so we will see how that impacts price action
EURUSD 27 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 Weekly Analysis - Inflation US & EURThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 127 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
2.
After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low.
3.
Price had fully mitigated the weekly supply (FLIP Zone and swept the Liq above the zone by not fully closing the candle above. Still it could be a sweep of liq if we started to see pushes to the down side and structure changes on TF lower than the Weekly TF.
Price could be targeting the Supply zone at the INT Structure High to continue bearish as long TFs lower supports that.
4.
Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
OF Bullish
Reached EQ
2.
After BOS we expect a pullback
OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and we reached the INT bearish Structure Extreme.
3.
Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure where price swept the Liq above and created a Bullish CHoCH on the Weekly TF.
As price currently didn't close above the INT High, there is a probability that this could be a Sweep of LIq to continue down.
To Confirm that Sweep concept we want to see at least a Bearish CHoCH which will be a Break of Structure on 4H which will support the concept and with that we can play Shorts.
But also be mindful that OF is in Strong bullish move and playing against it without confirmation will be rough.
Let's watch LTF to guide us.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
INT Bullish
2.
Swing low and last demand for potential buys.
3.
After the Swing BOS, we expected a pullback but price still in Bullish momentum and still creating Bullish INT Structures. We didn't have Swing pullback till now which will be identified by a Bearish iBOS.
Price reached the extreme of the Bullish INT Structure and we may react only from there as our expectations is to reach (And maybe extend above) the Weak INT HIgh. So the current supply there may provide some bearish reaction, but our expectations on the 4H TF is to continue up.
But keep in mind that the bearish scenario we have from the Weekly and Daily could be starting from this area or a bit higher. In all ways, bearish scenario will be confirmed with bearish structure formation which we don't have till now.
So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation.
Economic Events for the Week
11/26/23 NAS Weekly Outlook11/26/23 NAS Weekly Outlook
#NAS #WeeklyOutlook
Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for
#BullishCase: The bullish case will be how we respond to the FDL from Friday. We have price tapping the low at the moment and we will need to watch out for how price responds to the 4H+FVG range we are in. On the LTF, we should see a new +POI form and we can use this to aim for the +LP($), Friday’s PDH and back in the W-FVG.
#BearishCase: The bearish care will also revoke around the PDL from Friday. Since we are in the 4H+FVG range, we will need to see an impulse through the low on the LTF and aim for the PDL lows from Wednesday and Thursday.
1H chart
4h chart
D chart:
W chart
11/26/23 SPX Weekly Outlook11/26/23 SPX Weekly Outlook
#SPX #WeeklyOutlook:
Last week did as expected by continuing to take out highs. We were busy Sunday to Wednesday and stalled out on early market closure because of the holiday. Next week should be busy with a lot of news and we may also get some early reports on Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. We have news to watch out for everyday up until Friday at 11am when Powell speaks. However, we don’t have #NFP until next Friday. So #powell, #UnemploymentClaims, #PCE, #gdp, #Consumerconfidence, will be the big news releases to watch out for
#BullishCase: Currently taking the PDL, however, below this low are the following +POIs, a D+B and two 4H+FVGs. On the LTFs, we need to see how price reacts below this PDL and on the LTF if we get new +POIs with these ranges.
#BearishCase: The PDL from Friday is also our POI for the sell setup as well. We need to watch the LTFs for an impulse through the low and on the LTFs once we trade through the low wait for a fresh -POI for a LTF setup.
1H chart
4H chart
D Chart
W Chart