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Liquidity

USDJPYAs a student of SMC, I've just shorted USDJPY earlier in the day on the 1H timeframe. There is a 1H OB where price showed a strong rejection (it may or may not respect it). Further more there is a divergence happening on the Daily Timeframe. Add on to more confirmation, there is a strong resistance where price shows there is a strong sellers happening at that 1H OB area. If you do have any suggestions or Idea's or even traders from SMC, drop down a comment down below. let's discuss more about USDJPY market structure. NOTE: I'm not a professional advisor nor a signal provider, trade at your own risk and MM.
Short
by Student_of_Forex
USOIL/XTIUSD SHORT/SELL🔰 Pair Name : XTIUSD 🔰 Time Frame : 4hrs/ Daily 🔰 Scale Type : Long Scale 🔰 Direction : Short/ Sell 📈🛢️ Comprehensive USOIL Analysis Update: 📊📉 📉 Downtrend Break and Retest: USOIL has successfully breached its weekly downtrend line, signaling a notable shift in momentum. As we undergo the retest phase, remember that the market remains within a promising new uptrend, particularly from a fundamental perspective. 📈🛢️🔄 💡 Fundamental Considerations: Last week's release of Chinese inflation data casts a shadow on the pace of China's post-pandemic recovery. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY saw a decline of 0.3% in July, indicating deflation within China. Given that China is a pivotal oil consumer globally, this scenario applies downward pressure on WTI prices. 📉🇨🇳 ⛓ Supply Dynamics: Counterbalancing this, we observe supply constraints that could further elevate WTI prices. Saudi Arabia's decision to extend its voluntary oil output cut of one million barrels per day (bpd) through September, coupled with Russia's planned reduction of oil exports by 300,000 bpd for September, contributes to the supply-side equation. ⛽📉 🌐 OPEC and EIA Insights: Both the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA) are optimistic about the global energy market in H2 2023. This sentiment is rooted in several drivers, including heightened summer air travel, increased oil demand for power generation, and rising petrochemical activity in China. The IEA anticipates a robust 2.2 million bpd demand growth in 2023, while OPEC forecasts a significant 2.44 million bpd production increase. 📊🌍 📊 Economic Growth and Revised Projections: A positive undercurrent also emerges in the global economic landscape, with OPEC revising its global economic growth forecast to 2.7% (from 2.6%). This adjustment is driven by impressive growth in the United States, Brazil, and Russia during the first half of 2023, exceeding initial estimates. OPEC's outlook for the following year stands at 2.6%. 📈💼📉 As you navigate these dynamic market dynamics, remember to implement robust risk management strategies and align your decisions with a well-structured trading plan. The interplay of factors makes for an intriguing landscape, and informed execution remains paramount.
TVC:USOILShort
by Moon_SmartMoney
3
US30 - Weekly reviewHello Traders! Hope this week was a profitable one. US30 had a rather bearish week - we can see that after last weeks low was broken. Market gave us clear direction for sellside to be taken out. Yellow lines are showing us previous areas of where sellside liquidity could be. I expect the bearish momentum to continue however we must also anticipate corrections before the real move happens. Today is Friday naturally we notice reversals to the current trend for the week. Traps and sweeps will be on the agenda ;) i will be watching price from 34765 to 34745 for entry zone REMEMBER this is not confirmation but merely anticipation. Follow your rules ;)
CAPITALCOM:US30
by KingDee57
$ES New All Time High ExpectedOur projected path for CME_MINI:ES1! to take out the January 2022 High which also happens to be the All Time High. We are using a range from a Weekly Volume Imbalance and a Weekly Bullish Order Block combined to give us a price range between $4190-$4288 to find long positions. This price range is also in a discount for the current weekly price leg; giving us more reason to look for buying opportunities here. Look for price to reach this are late August or early September. We will post a smaller time frame once we get into this area and we see a favorable trade. We will take a small swing position but we are more excited to ride the price legs to the new high through intraday trading. We have used Fibonacci Projections to give us $4854 as our first target. Just for fun we want to call $5092 as the 2023 High of The Year. Leave your best guesses for the 2023 High below :) Happy Trading, BlackOakCapital
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by blackoakcapital
1
Daily swing demand1D -> Even tough price has been bearish for the last couple of weeks and today had an impulsive move down, to me this is still just a pb and I'm expecting price to react to the current daily demand. H4 -> Price is also coming very close to H4 demand, it's not my favourite zone but it's still valid, considering it was responsible for an impulsive reaction. M15 -> There's a demand zone at the bottom of the H4. I'll either take a position from there without confirmation, or I'll wait for a reaction at the top of the zone.
Long
by CirculoForex
1
TSLA fifth wave and bullish FVG 4h timeframeI've been keeping a close watch on TSLA's recent movements, and there's something worth sharing. It seems we're in the midst of the fifth wave, if we follow Elliott Wave Theory. What's even more intriguing is that on the 4-hour chart, a bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) could be in the works, indicationing the end of the bearish (fourth) wave. Adding to the excitement, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is giving us some interesting signals. It's right on the edge of slipping into oversold territory, a potential sign of a turnaround. Plus, keep an eye out for the impending cross between the RSI and its RSI-based Moving Average (MA), as that could indicate a significant move coming up. This setup has definitely caught my attention, and I'm thinking there's a trading opportunity brewing. If taking the trade I would suggest a safe stoploss below the fourth wave or a more risky one below the next bullish liquidity void on the chart. I would target the end of the fifth wave as a TP area because after that I believe we will see the first correction wave of the ABC pattern. Of course, as traders, we know the drill – careful analysis and risk management are key before making any moves.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RuneDD
Bitcoin BullishMarket Structure: Bitcoin is in an uptrend making higher highs and higher lows and approaching a key level (support, uptrend line, swing low) and there is likely an accumulation of sell orders which are made up of breakout traders and stop losses of long positions. This accumulation of orders creates enough liquidity for the market to match orders at this low point before positioning to go higher. Trade: Wait for price to close below the swing low point and enter long on a buy stop @ 28,477
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Mankz
Oil BearishMarket Structure: Oil is in a downtrend making lower highs and lower lows and approaching a key level (resistance, downtrend line, swing high) and there is likely an accumulation of buy orders which are made up of breakout traders and stop losses of short positions. This accumulation of orders creates enough liquidity for the market to match orders at this high point before positioning to go lower. Trade: Wait for price to close above the swing high point and enter short on a sell stop @ 84.518
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by Mankz
Gold LongMarket Structure: Gold is in an uptrend making higher highs and higher lows and approaching a key level (support, uptrend line, swing low) and there is likely an accumulation of sell orders which are made up of breakout traders and stop losses of long positions. This accumulation of orders creates enough liquidity for the market to match orders at this low point before positioning to go higher. Trade: Wait for price to close below the swing low point and enter long on a buy stop @ 1885.79
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mankz
SP500 BULLISHMarket Structure: SP500 is in an uptrend making higher highs and higher lows and approaching a key level (support, uptrend line, swing low) and there is likely an accumulation of sell orders which are made up of breakout traders and stop losses of long positions. This accumulation of orders creates enough liquidity for the market to match orders at this low point before positioning to go higher. Trade: Wait for price to close below the swing low point and enter long on a buy stop @ 4378.60
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by Mankz
DXY BearishMarket Structure: DXY is in a downtrend making lower highs and lower lows and approaching a key level (resistance, downtrend line, swing high) and there is likely an accumulation of buy orders which are made up of breakout traders and stop losses of short positions. This accumulation of orders creates enough liquidity for the market to match orders at this high point before positioning to go lower. Trade: Wait for price to close above the swing high point and enter short on a sell stop @ 130.572
TVC:DXYShort
by Mankz
Mastering Liquidity in Trading: Unraveling the Power of SMC 🔥Liquidity is what moves the market. Liquidity and liquidity pools are created and targeted by the markets and a lack of understanding on this topic is the main reason why the trading mind fails even if the analyst mind is correct. Traders who have been victim to their stop losses being taken by a wick before price running in their favour are the perfect example of having the correct analytical mind but a weak trading one. Liquidity is unlike an order block or price inefficiency or anything else that can be physically identified on a chart. It is invisible, however, it is still possible to identify without the need of indicators or anything other than price action alone. Simply put, liquidity is money in the market. Typically, this money comes in the form of retail orders and stop losses. Knowing this allows us to understand that if the market targets liquidity, and liquidity comes in the form of retail stop losses, the market must be hunting and going against retail strategies. 🟢The first and most prominent of these retail strategies is the idea of support and resistance. On the chart we can see an example of what retail traders would refer to as a level of resistance. In doing this they would short price from this level expecting a move down. This creates a liquidity pool just above this ‘resistance level’ where the average retail trader would place their stop losses. This liquidity pool is now a target for the market. So instead of trading this move down, we wait for the liquidity grab and use the rest of this strategy to capitalise on the bearish move that we can expect. On the Chart is a demonstration of the market hunting liquidity before making its next move. Again this is where traders would be correct in terms of bias but incorrect in terms of trading. This is an example of what an informed chart looks like. Instead of highlighting support and resistance levels, we highlight equal lows and equal highs respectively. Equals are usually in the form of otherwise referred to double tops or double bottoms but can also be more than that. The key difference, however, is that we would anticipate the market hunting the liquidity above the equal highs and below the equal lows. Due to this, we avoid being a victim to the market stopping us out by a wick and falling in our direction. The second most prominent retail strategy or idea is the trend-line. Every time a trend-line formation is present within the market, we can now understand the amount of stop losses and, therefore, liquidity that would be sitting under this ‘trend-line’. Above is an example of the importance of recognising trend-line liquidity. Once the liquidity above the equal highs has been hunted, we need to establish the next liquidity pool in the market. Seeing a break above the ‘resistance level’ would be seen as a ‘bullish breakout’ by the average trader. However, we can identify that as a liquidity purge and higher high, in which case we can expect a higher low to be made - which would mean a bearish retracement. On top of this, we can see a build up of trend-line liquidity just above the discount end of the parent price range. This gives us an added confluence and confidence in the fact that we can expect lower prices with the liquidity underneath the trend-line as our first target. Above is an example of liquidity being grabbed on the bullish side (above the equal highs) sending the uninformed trader long based off of a ‘bullish breakout’, then hunting the liquidity on the bearish side (below the trend-line) and sending the uninformed trader short based off of the break of the trend-line. This is typical of the market - it shakes out impatient and uninformed traders on both sides of the market before making the actual move. Here is another examples of how trendline liquidity gets purged by the market. On the chart we can see a trend-line where many traders would be longing the market, unaware that they will be victims of a liquidity purge. Below we can see that liquidity purge below the trend-line which would send the average trader short. Using the rest of the strategy, we are able to understand that price will react from specific levels to go long Below we can see the completion of this market cycle with our levels being respected and the real bullish leg being made. 🔥🟠🔥🔥🟠🔥 BONUS CHEATSHEETS👇👇👇👇
Education
by algoat
2
EURUSD LONG/ BUY🔰 Pair Name : EUR/USD 🔰 Time Frame : 1H/4H 🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale 🔰 Direction : LONG/BUY 📈💼 FUNDAMENTAL POINT OF VIEW: 📉💵 A mixed bag of US jobs data released on Friday 📊🇺🇸 points to limited upside in the US dollar ahead of key US inflation data due on Wednesday. 😐💹 The greenback fell sharply, almost erasing all of the week's gains after a not-so-bearish jobs report. Non-farm payrolls increased less than expected 👎📉, but the unemployment rate fell, and average hourly earnings came in higher than expected 👍📈. The demand for jobs is slowing, but the labor market remains tight for now. ⏳🛠️ The market's response to this mixed data has been similar to recent trends. Below-expected data has had an outsized impact on USD 📉📉, while upbeat data has failed to leave a lasting impression. 🤔💡 Despite the US Economic Surprise Index being at its highest since early 2021, the DXY Index (US dollar index) is around its year-to-date lows. 📊💱 EUR/USD is still within the uptrend change, and the broader bias remains upward due to higher-highs-higher-lows pattern since late 2022. 📈🔄 Lately, the pair has been hovering in an upward-sloping channel since March. However, the consolidation could extend a bit further in the near term. ⏳🔄 📊💹 Technical point of view: 📉💹 EURUSD PRICE HAS REACHED FIB LEVEL 50% 📈📊. We expect the price to retest fib level 23.6% and the consolidation range box below, and then head up again to refill the market imbalance and collect the buying liquidity above. 📈📊💹
Long
by Moon_SmartMoney
GOLD/ XAUUSD🔰 Pair Name: GOLD/XAUUSD 🔰 Time Frame: 1H/4H 🔰 Scale Type: SMALL Scale 🔰 Direction: LONG/BUY Gold has effectively reached the nadir of its preceding downtrend, marking the culmination of the fifth wave. Projected analyses suggest a forthcoming bullish surge, marked by a potential reassessment of the 4-hour supply threshold situated in the approximate range of $1929. It is prudent to exercise circumspection, opting to await the imminent release of CPI data before formulating any prospective market strategies. 📈📉📊🪙 #GoldAnalysis #MarketTrends
TVC:GOLDLong
by Moon_SmartMoney
GOLD/ XAUUSD LONG/ BUY🔰 Pair Name: GOLD/XAUUSD 🔰 Time Frame: 1H/4H 🔰 Scale Type: SMALL Scale 🔰 Direction: LONG/BUY 📈 Analysis Update - Gold Forecast 📉 🔍 Current Status: Gold has successfully reached the critical daily Fibonacci level of 61.8%. From a technical perspective, we are anticipating an imminent retest scenario. 🔮 Projection: The forecast suggests that a retracement is in the cards, with a potential target zone spanning between 1944 and 1951. This retracement is primarily driven by the need to absorb the liquidity that was generated in the market yesterday, thereby realigning the market balance. 📊 Strategy: Traders are advised to closely monitor the price action within the projected range and assess the strength of the retracement. This period could offer an opportunity to capitalize on short-term moves. As always, remember to manage risk effectively and stay attuned to the evolving market dynamics. Happy trading! 📈📊📉
TVC:GOLDLong
by Moon_SmartMoney
DXY SHORT/ SELL🔰 Pair Name : DXY 🔰 Time Frame : 4H 🔰 Scale Type : SMALL/ MID Scale 🔰 Direction : SELL 📉📊 Last Friday, the DXY (US Dollar Index) experienced a sharp decline after the release of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data. The price had reached the Fibonacci level of 78.6% at 102.722, which led to a significant drop. 💹🔍 Today, on Monday, the DXY seems to be in selling liquidity collection mode. Currently, the price has reached the local Fibonacci level of 61.8%. Traders are anticipating a potential retracement to the Fibonacci level of 50% before a potential upward movement to fill the existing imbalance. ⬆️🔜 After the upward move, there's an expectation that the price might head down again towards the Fibonacci level of 50% at 101.574. Trade with caution and keep an eye on the key Fibonacci levels for potential reversals. 🚦🧐 Happy trading!
TVC:DXYShort
by Moon_SmartMoney
🥇GOLD - The market is preparing for a recoveryGold is forming a false breakdown of a strong support line. The support and liquidity area formed forms a bullish rally. TA on the high timeframe: 1) False breakout. Price closes above the 1938 support line, gold may rise to 1950-1960 at the beginning of the trading week 2) Price is testing the liquidity area of 1942.8, the market may open with a gap or continue its growth if this resistance is broken. TA on the low timeframe: 1) A candle with a large shadow is forming on H4, the price closes close to the 1942 level after a false breakdown 2) The market is forming a potential to continue rising 3) Waiting for the trend resistance to be reached before considering any further setups. Key support📉: 1933 Key resistance📈: 1942
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
10