Navigating the USDCAD 23 Sep 2019Last week's range was approx 100 pips whilst the 20-week AWR was 151 pips. It was a "miss" hence I am anticipating a price expansion (weekly) probably hitting 10% more than next week's 20-week AWR, which probably be around 160-170 pips give or take.
My bias for USDCAD is bullish hence I am looking at "support" levels to go Long. If price enters in the liquidity pool at 1.31950-1.3200 and 1.32170-1.32380, that will activate my bullish mode and will LONG if there is a trigger for me to do so. My potential targets are illustrated in the chart: the liquidity pool on the upside at 1.33050-1.33200, Boomerang Level** and the 20-week ADR upside projection
**you can read here to understand the Boomerang concept :
There is no risk event for the U.S and Canada
Liquiditypool
Navigating the Market : USDCHF (EURUSD cousin)Last week's range was 118 pips whilst the 20-week Average Weekly Range (20-day AWR ) was 124 pips. I would consider it as a range hit
This upcoming week's 20-week Average Weekly Range is 124pips. My bias for this pair is bullish (I am bullish on USD across the board) hence I will be looking to LONG at dips and/or at a completion of a stop hunts/liquidity run at a potential low of the week. My guesstimate of this upcoming week's low between 0.98800 and 0.99000.
If price enters this liquidity pool that will activate my bullish bias and I will wait for the bullish trigger. There is a reported Option Expiry at 0.97800, that would probably become my first take profit target. It coincides with a liquidity pool to the upside as well and 13-18 pips aways from the 20-week Average Weekly upside projection.
No risk event for U.S and Switzerland
Reading the Right Side of the Chart : EURAUD 19 September 2019Yesterday's trading range was 63 pips whilst the 20-day ADR was 114 pips. I am expecting a price expansion today and I am hoping the high of the week will be formed for this pair and goes on a downward move towards the weekly downside projection (the 20-week weekly range is 230 pips).
I am looking at the liquidity pool around 1.616 -1.620 and when price enters and/or breaks through it, then it will activate my bearish mode and will wait for a bearish technical signal to go short EURAUD. Moreover, price closing at these area coincides breaking the Tue-Wed high price (Phase ONe activation or "P1").
You can find the linked post to understand this concept
There is a risk event for Australia today, the Job Number in less than an hour of this writing
Reading the right side of the BEAST : GBPJPY 17 Sept 2019Yesterday the daily range was 122 pips whilst the 20-day ADR was 142 pips. There was a miss in daily range even though 20 pips for this beast could be considered a hit. (Discretionary analysis red flag!), I am NOT anticipating a price expansion today (price exceeding the daily ADR range).
Having said though, I am looking at the liquidity pool around 134.00 - 134.20 and 133.30 and 133.50. If price enters in the zone, that is a bullish activation and I will wait for a bullish trigger before I could enter Long the beast.
There are no risk events for the U.K and Japan
Reading the Right Side of the Chart : EURUSD 17 Sept 2019Yesterday the price went on a 90 pips price expansion. I anticipated a 65-75 pips yesterday (Read it here : ) and this was not good for me personally. Yes, I was Bearish bias for EURUSD but I would only short the pair if the price taps into the liquidity pool that I have pre-determined. Well, new day, let's move on.
As I already mentioned above, yesterday the price expanded more than the 20-Day ADR projection hence I am anticipating a wee bit amount of price correction or accumulation today. What that means is, which I also hope for, price to tap into the liquidity pool that I have identified based on yesterday's price action.
By the way, the price area that I marked with a yellow box, is a trading concept that I haven't introduced but I am sure every price action trader know what that is. Liquidity pool can also be identified via areas where you see a decent amount of price accumulation/small correction.
The 20-day ADR for today is 60 pips. Since yesterday had a price expansion day, I would not be surprised if the daily range today is between 35-45 pips, few pips short of 20-day ADR, which means I potentially have to wait until Wednesday to get any possibility the price would tap into the liquidity pools that I have identified.
If price gets into one of these pools, that is a bearish activation for me and I will wait for a bearish trigger signal to short the EURUSD.
No Risk Events today for the U.S and the Euro
Reading the right side of the chart : GBPCHF 17 Sept 2019Yesterday the daily range was 63 pips whilst the 20-day ADR was 91 pips. There was a miss in daily range hence I am anticipating a price expansion today, and hopefully to the downside tapping into the liquidity pool.
I am looking at the liquidity pool around 1.12270-1.12300 and once price enters in the zone, that is a bullish activation and I will wait for a bullish trigger to long GBPCHF. If the price goes lower, all I could do is wait and see if the price reacts at the liquidity pool at 1.12180 - 1.1220.
There are no risk events for the U.K and Switzerland
Reading the right side of the chart : EURCAD 17 Sept 2019Yesterday the daily range was 156 pips whilst the 20-day ADR was 110 pips. There was a price expansion yesterday so I am anticipating either a small correction (towards the liquidity pool at the upside) or a continuation downwards but in a small range.
I am bearish bias for EURCAD hence I am looking to short this pair. I am looking at the liquidity pool around 1.46000-1.46300 and 1.46600-1.46800. If price enters in these zones, that is a bearish activation and I will wait for a bearish trigger to short EURCAD. If the price goes lower, without touching these zones, I will wait and see if the market gives me a fresh market structure that I could work on
There are no risk events for the Euro and Canada today
Reading the Right Side of the Chart : AUDUSD 16 September 2019On Friday the daily range was 31 pips whilst the 20-day ADR was 35 pips. I would consider it a hit. The 20-day average daily range (20-day ADR) for today is 34 pips. I am anticipating 55-65 pips run between today until Tuesday's London open at 3 pm (Singapore/Malaysia time).
AUDUSD is in a bit of a run now to the upside. I am a trend follower believe it or not and my charts, technically suggesting I should be looking to Long this pair. My intraday plan is all dependent on which liquidity pool would get tapped. If I had to set a bias, then I would be biased LONG for this pair (but I am still open to short AUDUSD if Friday high is broken, just saying), then I am looking at the liquidity pool around 0.68500 - 0.68600 prices level, if price closes inside or below it, I will be looking to long AUDUSD.
No Risk Events today for the U.S and Australia
Looking at the Right Side of the Chart : EURGBP 13 SeptemberThanks to liquidity run before the ECB rate decision towards .88900 - .89000, it activated P1 (Price broke and close below Tuesday-Wednesday low) and I am intraday bullish bias for EURGBP. There are two potential targets for my bullish intentions for this pair which are the 20-week average range (upside projection) and the Boomerang target. If you do not know what is Boomerang target, please find the linked post below or click here :