BTCUSDT time to retracement?Recently, the market has created equal highs in the 25k area, where there is also a daily supply level. This indicates that there is strong resistance in this area, and that buyers have struggled to push the price higher.
However, there is potential for the market to grab new liquidity from the 22-23k area, where there is a 0.786 Fibonacci level. This level is often seen as a strong level of support, and if buyers are able to push the price higher from this level, it could signal a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
It's important to note that this scenario would only be invalidated if the price were to create a breakout from the 25k area with confirmations. A breakout above this level could indicate that buyers are able to overcome the resistance in this area and push the price higher.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
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Liquiditysweep
GBPJPY 4 Hr Analysis: Mid-Week UpdateHey guys :)
So, after seeing some bullish movement this week, we are now waiting for price to retrace a bit deeper to that fib below and then show us what it wants to do from there.
As per my analysis, I would like to see price retrace anywhere between 159.500 and 158.500 within the fib drawn above. It may not even retrace much further at all and just continue bullish from there. But I would like to see it pull back further into the fib if I am going to consider taking a trade.
There are obviously many pathway options that price may take but these are just the main 2 that I would personally like to see at the moment. If price does not give me either of these I will Of course readjust and plan accordingly. :)
Option 1:
If price pushes higher into the fib and removes liquidity from the previous highs, then it is likely that price is just enticing and accumulating buyers before it drops and continues bearish. I would like to price push higher to about 162.500 or 163.500 before reversing as that will also satisfy and fill the imbalance to our left - But Of course it doesn't have to.
Buyers will see it break the previous highs and think that price has broken Market Structure and is continuing bullish causing them to place buys left, right and center.
Little do they know; price is only retracing further into the Higher Timeframe Bearish Fib, removing liquidity, and in fact, NOT breaking Market Structure. Basically, just performing the good old 'strike and reverse'.
Option 2:
Price will just retrace around the same area (162.500 or 163.500) instead of reversing and continue bullish for the time being.
Again, these are not verbatim. As price changes and moves as it wants, I will react accordingly and make the corrections needed for my analysis and projections. :)
Remember, it is not about being right or wrong. I know I always say this - but there is absolutely nothing wrong with being inaccurate in your analysis.
The problem lies with those who can't ACCEPT being wrong and they try to hold on to their analysis regardless knowing that price is going against them.
People think it's embarrassing to be 'wrong'. What's embarrassing is watching your stop loss being hit all in the name of your family, friends and Neighbours thinking you are right.
Ego will get you absolutely nowhere in these markets and you WILL be humbled and fast!
I can guarantee that there is nobody out there who is 100% right 100% of the time - And if there is, it's from YEARS of wins, losses, trials and error.
Adaptation is the key to survival if you want success in this job.
SPY Trading Recap 2/7/23Nice wins today. Pretty volatile times I won't lie. But you can still find the right moments to strike that aren't during the heat of the battle. I would like to get perfect setups, but patience, and the indecision on whether price will allow for it stops me from waiting. Therefore, I did suffer some losses today but at least we had a nice day trading.
SPY ICT Trading Recap 2/6/23It's been a while. Today wasn't the cleanest day in terms of the market but I still managed to wiggle some profits. Hopefully I can get some cleaner, more profitable setups to erase the forced trades. Although, I may not talk about my losses I do lose, and not everyday is green. But, when it comes down dollar to dollar wins vs losses that's when it counts. So far in that, per week, I am yet to lose
SPY ICT Trading Recap 1/31/23Well Last day of the first month and I honestly have been so thrilled on how this has gone. Just last month of last year I was struggling and didn't have a strategy. Now I have my rules for entry, how I enter, and the take profits. I have become such a better trader in a month and I know much more is going to come. I'm wishing the best to everyone reading this as well!
GBPJPY - 4 HR Projection and Analysis Just a couple of options i have drawn out for GJ. There are obviously many more ways price can move here. But these are just the main couple i am anticipating.
Also note that the depths and amounts of retracements may vary - making it seem that there are way more options for price to travel but they are all pretty much the same - As long as the direction continues in the same manner and the pullbacks react at significant areas, i am not too worried.
As long as my anticipated direction and behavior reflects the actual behavior on the charts, I am not fixated on price hitting the exact numbers like 158.500 etc. I just have those as a rough guide or area.
When price hits those areas i will then readjust and re-assess my perspective and analysis. 😊
SPY ICT Trading Recap 1/24/23I might honestly stop posting these and start making my own journal and record them in there, I'm not sure. I love this but I don't want to bombard TradingView with all these videos everyday. So, starting tomorrow I will probably be done, not confirmed though. It was nice while it lasted though!
ICT Trading AMZN 1/13/23Had some huge trades today for AMZN, and closed out the week really strong. Finding that true OTE, with good risk and good reward is huge. Able to catch a really nice play today, and overall ended the week on a positive note. Can't ask for anything better than that. Have a great weekend everyone!
LULU Daily Time Frame Short Position via Supply Zone Confluence - Price enters a change of character, then proceeds to break structure, forming a fresh level of supply.
- Price retraces down to form liquidity zones, breaks liquidity sweeps and retraces back into fresh discounted supply.
- This is exactly when I enter in on atm weekly puts.