ETHEREUM at Major Support: Bullish Rally Incoming?COINBASE:ETHUSD is on the verge of a major move. The price has reached a key support level that has historically triggered strong buying interest. This zone has acted as a demand area multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in once again.
The market structure suggests that a confirmed bounce from this level could ignite a significant recovery. If bulls hold the support, the first upside target is $2,400, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, a sustained breakout beyond $2,400 could mark the beginning of a stronger rally, fueled by renewed buying momentum and increasing volume.
Given the prolonged bearish move leading into this setup, a retracement here could turn into a larger trend shift. However, a clean breakdown below support would invalidate this bullish bias and open the door for further downside.
🚀 If this rally takes off, we could see COINBASE:ETHUSD reclaiming higher levels in the coming weeks. What are your thoughts? Drop them in the comments! 🚀
Community ideas
Ultimate Guide to Mastering Chart PatternsChart patterns are essential tools for traders looking to identify high-probability setups based on price action. Among the most reliable continuation and reversal patterns are triangles, wedges, and flags. These formations help traders anticipate market direction and make informed decisions based on breakout potential, trend strength, and volume confirmation.
In this guide, we’ll explore the key characteristics, trading strategies, and confirmation techniques for each of these patterns to improve trade execution and risk management.
Triangle Patterns
Types of Triangle Patterns
Triangles are consolidation patterns that indicate a period of indecision before price continues in the direction of the breakout. There are three main types of triangle patterns:
Ascending Triangle – A bullish continuation pattern where the price forms higher lows while resistance remains flat.
Descending Triangle – A bearish continuation pattern where the price forms lower highs while support remains flat.
Symmetrical Triangle – A neutral pattern where price forms lower highs and higher lows, squeezing into an apex before breaking out.
How to Trade Triangles
Identify the Triangle Formation: Look for at least two touchpoints on each trendline (support and resistance) to confirm the pattern.
Wait for Breakout Confirmation: The price should break above resistance (bullish) or below support (bearish) with strong volume.
Set Entry & Stop-Loss Levels: Enter the trade after a candle closes beyond the breakout point. Set a stop-loss below the most recent swing low (for bullish trades) or above the swing high (for bearish trades).
Measure Target Price: The expected move is typically equal to the height of the triangle measured from the widest part of the pattern.
Wedge Patterns
Types of Wedge Patterns
Wedges are similar to triangles but are characterized by sloping trendlines that converge in the same direction. They indicate a potential trend reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Rising Wedge – A bearish reversal pattern that forms during uptrends. The price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the slope narrows, signaling weakening momentum before a breakdown.
Falling Wedge – A bullish reversal pattern that forms during downtrends. The price makes lower highs and lower lows within a narrowing channel before a breakout to the upside.
How to Trade Wedges
Identify the Wedge Pattern: Look for a contracting price range within two sloping trendlines.
Watch for a Breakout: The price should break either above (for falling wedges) or below (for rising wedges) with increasing volume.
Confirm the Breakout: Use additional indicators such as RSI divergence or moving average crossovers to validate the move.
Set Entry, Stop-Loss, and Target: Enter after the breakout candle closes beyond the trendline, with a stop-loss outside the opposite side of the wedge. Target the height of the wedge projected from the breakout point.
Flag Patterns
Characteristics of Flag Patterns
Flag patterns are continuation patterns that occur after a strong impulsive move (flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation (flag) before price resumes the trend. Flags can be classified as:
Bullish Flag – Forms after a strong upward move, followed by a downward-sloping consolidation.
Bearish Flag – Forms after a strong downward move, followed by an upward-sloping consolidation.
How to Trade Flag Patterns
Identify the Flagpole: Look for a sharp price move in one direction, which forms the base of the flag.
Confirm the Flag Formation: Price consolidates within parallel trendlines that slightly slope against the prior trend.
Wait for the Breakout: Enter when price breaks out of the flag pattern in the direction of the previous trend with strong volume.
Measure Target Price: The price target is typically equal to the length of the flagpole projected from the breakout point.
Set Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below the lower boundary of the flag (for bullish flags) or above the upper boundary (for bearish flags).
Common Mistakes & How to Avoid Them
Trading Before Confirmation: Many traders enter too early without waiting for a breakout confirmation, leading to false signals.
Ignoring Volume: Breakouts should be accompanied by a volume surge for validation; weak volume can indicate a fake breakout.
Setting Tight Stop-Losses: Giving the trade enough room to breathe by placing stops outside key support/resistance levels prevents getting stopped out prematurely.
Forgetting to Manage Risk: Always follow proper risk-reward ratios (at least 1:2) to ensure profitable long-term trading.
Final Thoughts
Triangle, wedge, and flag patterns are powerful tools for traders who understand their structure and breakout behavior. By combining these patterns with volume analysis, trend confirmation indicators, and proper risk management, traders can increase their chances of success. Whether you're trading stocks, forex, or crypto, mastering these patterns will enhance your ability to navigate the markets efficiently.
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If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
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Bitcoin - Bulls Take Control: Short term rally to $86K?Bitcoin has once again reacted to the $81,000 support level, bouncing from this key demand zone and showing signs of bullish momentum. The price is currently moving upwards, and the next logical target appears to be the $85,500 – $86,000 zone, where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and the Fibonacci golden pocket align. This area is expected to act as a significant resistance level, meaning we could see a rejection from there, leading to another move back toward support.
The plan is to monitor the price as it approaches $86,000, watching for signs of a reversal or continued strength. If a rejection occurs, Bitcoin could make its way back toward $81,000 or lower, providing another potential buying opportunity.
Bitcoin’s Reaction to $81,000 – A Strong Demand Zone
Bitcoin has consistently found support at $81,000, and this level once again played a crucial role in preventing further downside. This area has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its importance in the current price action. Each time the price has dropped to this level, buyers have stepped in aggressively, causing strong rejections to the upside.
The latest bounce from this support level suggests that there is still demand in the market, at least for now. The presence of long wicks at this level indicates that sellers attempted to push the price lower, but buyers quickly absorbed the selling pressure, resulting in a reversal. This move aligns with the broader market structure, which suggests that Bitcoin is still ranging between support at $81,000 and resistance near $86,000.
Short-Term Target: Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Golden Pocket at $86,000
Now that Bitcoin has rebounded from support, the next major area of interest is the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and the golden pocket retracement zone around $85,500 – $86,000. This level is important for several reasons.
First, the golden pocket (0.618 – 0.65 Fibonacci retracement) is a common area where price reversals occur, especially after a significant move. It acts as a magnet for price action, drawing the market toward it before a potential rejection.
Second, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) represents an imbalance in price, meaning Bitcoin could aim to "fill" this gap before making its next major move. Gaps like these often get revisited before the market decides on a new trend direction.
Finally, liquidity is likely concentrated above $85,000, meaning stop losses from short positions could be triggered in this zone, leading to increased volatility. If Bitcoin reaches this level, traders should closely monitor how price reacts. A strong rejection could signal a move back down, while a clean breakthrough could indicate further upside potential.
Potential Rejection and Move Back to Support
Despite the short-term bullish outlook, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will face resistance near $86,000, leading to a pullback. If this rejection occurs, the price could once again retest the $81,000 support level. This would keep Bitcoin within a broader trading range and present another opportunity for buyers to step in.
A failure to hold $81,000 on the next test could open the door for a deeper correction toward $78,000 – $76,000, where more buyers might be waiting. However, as long as Bitcoin remains above the $81,000 mark, the market structure remains relatively stable.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is currently in a short-term bullish phase, with price targeting the $86,000 resistance zone. However, traders should be cautious as this level aligns with key technical factors such as the golden pocket, Fair Value Gap, and potential liquidity grab. A rejection from this area could lead to another move back down to support.
For now, the key levels to watch are $86,000 for a potential rejection and $81,000 for a potential retest. If Bitcoin breaks through resistance convincingly, we could see a more extended rally, but until then, the market remains within a defined range.
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GOLD → The rally is intensifying. Growth after false breakdownFX:XAUUSD is breaking upwards and is trying to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of a correction. This would be an ideal support for the bulls. The rally, on the background of political and geopolitical problems only intensifies
Tariff escalation pushes up gold demand. Trump rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary named a list of 15 countries that fall under the new measures. This has caused the dollar to weaken and fears of stagflation to rise, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset.
Central banks and investors continue to build positions in gold, but corrections are possible before the tariffs announcement on April 2 and the release of U.S. economic data
Technically, we have a strong bullish trend, it is risky to sell, we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if the price consolidates above 3127, or after a false breakdown of 3119 / 3111
Resistance levels: 3147, 3155, 3166
Support levels: 3127, 3119, 3111
Before the continuation of the growth there may be a correction to the key support areas to normalize the imbalance in the market as well as to capture the liquidity. Consolidation above the level after a false breakdown will be a good signal for growth.
But! News ahead and high volatility is possible!
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - 17% drop to 69,000! (must see)Bitcoin has clearly been in a downtrend since the first Trump day in office. The downtrend started on 20th January, and there are no signs of recovery. Currently the price prints a falling wedge pattern, so there is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at the bottom of the wedge, but we need to wait for the price to come to this level first! This level is around 69,000 USD.
69k is also a strong support because of the previous descending channel. This is a classic technical analysis of chart patterns. After a breakout of a pattern, we want to wait for a retest and buy it. In Bitcoin's case, we are still waiting for a retest of this descending channel. What we want to see is a retest of the previous breakout point.
What we cannot miss is the 200 moving average on the daily chart. Indeed, this is a strong MA on the stock market and gold, so we can expect to be strong on Bitcoin as well. 200MA is known for its accuracy because a lot of hedge funds and banks use this specific MA period on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. I recommend avoiding buying Bitcoin and waiting for lower prices!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD Technical Analysis - Correction Incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action now testing the upper boundary. This level could act as dynamic resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward the 3,035 support zone.
If buyers defend this support, the bullish structure remains intact, with a potential move back toward higher levels. However, if price breaks below this zone, a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel could come into play.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Solana’s Critical Support at $120 - Will It Hold or Break?Solana has been respecting its $120 support level for over a year, consistently bouncing back every time it tested this zone. However, the price is now once again hovering around this crucial level after a small bounce a couple of weeks ago. The key question remains: will Solana hold this support and rally again, or is a major breakdown coming?
Weakening Support: A Bearish Signal?
When a price level is tested repeatedly, it often weakens as buyers at that level get exhausted. The most recent bounce from $120 was notably weak, indicating that buying pressure might be fading. This could be an early warning sign that sellers are gaining control, increasing the probability of a breakdown.
The $75 Scenario: What If Support Fails?
If Solana fails to hold $120, the next major support level sits around $75—a price zone where significant demand previously emerged. A breakdown could trigger a sharp move lower as stop-losses get triggered and bearish momentum accelerates.
Key Factors to Watch:
• Volume & Strength of the Current Test – Is buying volume picking up, or are sellers in control?
• Market Sentiment & Macro Trends – Broader crypto market trends, Bitcoin’s movement, and macroeconomic factors could influence Solana’s direction.
• False Breakouts & Traps – Sometimes, a brief break below support is a shakeout before a strong reversal. A reclaim of $120 after a breakdown could signal a bullish trap for shorts.
Final Thoughts
While $120 has been a strong floor for Solana, repeated tests make it more fragile. If buyers fail to step in with conviction, a drop toward $75 becomes a real possibility. However, if bulls defend this level strongly, we could see another bounce, potentially setting up a reversal.
Thanks for your support.
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Bitcoin: 120 In April, Part 2The market already bottomed.
The stage is set for the biggest bull-market in the history of Cryptocurrency.
The year is 2025. The bull-market starts in 2025 and can easily go beyond this year into early 2026.
Good things are about to happen.
Prepare for profits (change).
How are you feeling today my friend in this wonderful day?
Bitcoin bottomed and this is great.
Consolidation is something good that we can all appreciate. A time to rest, study, work and prepare for all the positive that we are about to experience. The market is good.
The market never moves in one single direction for too long. The market alternates and after a very strong wave, it gives us rest to prepare for what comes next. The rest period is reaching its end.
Bitcoin bottomed 28-February 2025.
A lower low and technical double-bottom happened 11-March 2025.
This is as good as it get.
Current market conditions allow for buying focused on the long-term.
This situation we are seeing now is amazing.
Traders, investors and the like can decide to buy spot and hold strong.
Leveraged traders can easily buy and hold up to 10X. Less than 8X is an easy entry with relatively low risk. Anything higher can be considered gambling.
At this point, loans can be taken out and the money goes into Crypto.
When a loan pays 6% yearly, or 20% if you live in a country like mine, Crypto will pay 600% in the same amount of time.
Getting a loan to buy Cryptocurrencies is not the best idea ever but it can be approached and benefit from by sound thinking and smart people. There are other ways to grow.
The market will go wild and will grow really strong.
While leverage can be used on the big projects, like Bitcoin, XRP and Cardano, Ethereum as well, smaller projects can offer the same growth potential but without the risk of a leveraged trade. That is, Bitcoin can grow 100% within 3-4 months. An Altcoin can grow 1,000% within 5 months and so on. Just some ideas.
Getting into the market can also happen gradually. Buy-in, buy into, accumulate with each check. Use the extra money to buy, buy and hold.
Fiat savings go into Crypto. The only way you are not into Crypto with fiat is if you are as old as Warren Buffet, that's the only reason not to buy Crypto, being too old. If you are less than 100 years of age, dive into Crypto because Crypto is the future of money and is here to stay.
We are gearing up for something great.
It is hard to put into words and it is impossible to transmit the actual feeling and experience through an article; everything will grow.
Remember late 2024?
What was the experience like?
Let's recap:
The market bottomed in August 2024 and went sideways for three months.
Then, in a matter of weeks, everything started to grow. Not everything but still, enough for us to profit and enjoy. The growth phase lasted as little as 1 full month. The consolidation period lasted on average 3 months. This time it will be different.
Consolidation (waiting time and the opportunity to buy low) has less than 1 month left.
The growth phase will last between 3-6 months. With a strong shakeout in-between but this is 3 to 6 times more than late 2024. So this is great.
If you knew in advance what was going to happen in late 2024, you know you could have made great profits and did great.
You know now what is about to happen, so why not take action now and do the same.
Now you can profit big time. No need to hold after the end of the bullish wave.
When prices are low it is the time to buy.
When prices are high it is the time to sell.
There are no missed opportunities. There is no need to hold for too long.
Yes, you can hold and will hold but only a portion, you have to sell when prices are up.
This time I will get it right.
I am buying NOW.
I am going LONG now.
I will sell when everything is up.
But what if it keeps on growing?
Be grateful for the profits when they come.
If everything keeps on growing, buy the pairs that are lower and enjoy those.
You need some targets and you need to take action. You are trading to take money home.
First you put money in and then you take it out.
What you take out will be many times more than what you initially bought.
Long long-term.
Buy weekly, monthly for 3-5 years and that's it.
You can use your portfolio as a savings account and withdraw when you feel like it or have a need.
You can go even longer, 10 years with no action other than to invest.
Once you feel ready, buy your mansion and enjoy the rich life.
Cryptocurrency is here to stay.
Cryptocurrency was developed to change the world. From a few entities controlling the money supply of the world, to everybody having access to wealth, success and growth.
You can make your own money now.
The 2025 bull-market is about to start.
Bitcoin is going up!
PS. We will consider a minimum of ~180,000 as the next All-Time High, with 200,000 and 220,000 being possible and ok. Anything lower or predicted earlier is now nullified. The sideways period has been long and strong. Bitcoin is definitely going to blow up. From November 2024 until now we have almost 5 months. That's enough to more than double prices-up, but the consolidation is not yet over. We have some time left. The Altcoins will move first. In the sense that they can produce stronger swings when they breakout.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
If you enjoy the article and would like to see more, leave a comment.
EURGBP Discretionary Analysis: Dive Time, No Life Jacket NeededIt’s dive time, no life jacket needed, just that instinct telling me it’s going down.
You know that feeling when you’re about to jump in, but you’ve got no backup? That’s the vibe here.
I’m calling for a deep dive, and I’m riding it all the way. If I’m right, I’ll be making a splash with some profits. If not, I’ll just float back up and try again.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
Lingrid | GOLD anticipating Potential MARKET RetracementThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target zone. Overall, OANDA:XAUUSD market is in the process of forming an ABC move, with the C point nearing completion around the 3175 resistance zone. The market has made a corrective move of about 1.9% from the peak of the consolidation zone before. I think that the price might create a similar pullback from the all-time high zone. Given the high-impact news scheduled for today, it’s possible that the price could retest the area below yesterday's low. However, considering the current momentum, I expect the market is likely to bounce off the support level and the upward trendline, ultimately moving forward to complete the ABC pattern. My goal is resistance zone around 3170.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished.
We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000.
I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
GOLD → Consolidation. News. False breakdown. Growth?FX:XAUUSD and TVC:DXY in consolidation ahead of important news and Trump's speech. Economic risks are rising and the future outlook depends on fundamental data...
Trade tensions support gold demand. Trump may impose global tariffs of up to 20% which will increase risks to the economy. Investors are piling into gold in anticipation, pushing its price to a record $3,150
A key factor is the details of the tariffs. If tariffs are softer than expected, gold could fall to intermediate support zones. If the trade war escalates, the rise could continue beyond 3150
Economic risks are rising and gold may test 3107 - 3100 support before rising further. Technically, 3100 - 3107 is a zone of interest and liquidity. If bulls hold the support, gold will continue to rise. Otherwise, gold may form a correction towards 3075 - 3065
Resistance levels: 3126, 3135, 3147
Support levels: 3107, 3100, 3091
The price is correcting to consolidation support in the moment. A strong and sharp fall is fraught with the risk of a liquidity grab and a false breakdown. In this case, gold may strengthen to one of the key resistances. But the further and medium-term development of events depends on the evening news....
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the Markets today, with our analysis playing out perfectly completing our 1h chart idea.
After completing 3090, 3103 and 3117, we stated that the lock above opened 3128 and just fell short and we were looking to buy dips to complete this target. This played out perfectly hitting this target and completing the chart idea.
We will update a new 1h chart idea later this week and in the mean time, please refer to our multi time frame chart ideas (weekly), that we shared Sunday, which are still in play.
BULLISH TARGET
3090 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3090 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3103 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3103 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3117 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3117 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3128 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XRP - Decision Point at Fair Value Gap (FVG)This 1-hour XRP/USDT chart shows price consolidating inside a descending channel, approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone.
Key Observations:
🔹 FVG Support: Price is testing an area of inefficiency, which could act as a turning point.
🔹 Two Possible Scenarios:
- Bullish Case: If price holds the FVG and breaks upward, a push toward channel resistance is likely.
- Bearish Case: Failure to hold the FVG could result in a drop toward the lower channel boundary.
Which way will XRP move next? 🚀📉 Let’s discuss!
XAU/USD: First Long,Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $3122, and I expect the price to soon reach higher levels such as $3128, $3133, $3135, and $3143, and after reaching each of these important levels, we will probably see an initial negative reaction!
Ultimately, I expect a strong rejection from the price once gold reaches $3144!
The level of this analysis is very high, so make sure to study it carefully!
Don’t forget to support this analysis!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking for a while now. If you have only started following us, please read the updates below at the bottom from previous weeks to see how effectively we have been tracking this.
Once again another great day on the markets with our daily chart idea playing out to completion. Yesterday we updated the completion of our 1H chart route map and today we have finally completed this daily chart idea. Our last update we stated that we had the candle body close above 3052 opening 3103 axis target. This was hit perfectly this week completing this chart idea.
We will continue to update our new multi time frame route maps, as usual, with renewed chart ideas on our usual weekly updates.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
OLD UPDATES ON THIS CHART IDEA
MARCH 23RD WEEK UPDAT E
The half line of our unique channel gave the perfect bounce into the next axis target at 2904, inline with our plans to buy dips just like we stated. We now have a body close once again with ema5 cross and lock above 2904 leaving the range above open. We will continue to look for support at the ascending half-line of the channel, as we climb into the range.
PREVIOUS WEEKS UPDATE
After completing our Bullish targets we stated that the channel top will act as resistance confirmed with ema5 rejection. A break of the channel top with ema5 would confirm a continuation and failure would confirm rejection. This allowed us to identify true breakouts against fake outs.
We also stated that we need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range, should we continue to track further up. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom. The safest way to track this movement is by buying dips.
- Once again this played out perfectly as we got the rejection on the channel top followed with the channel half line test, which gave the perfect bounce like we stated. We will now either look for a continuation from this bounce or a cross and lock below the half line for a break into the lower channel floor.
Stock Market Dives into Correction? It Happens—Here's What to DoYou wake up, check your portfolio, and see a sea of red. The market’s down, your stocks are taking a nosedive, and CNBC is running apocalyptic headlines about an impending crash. Sounds familiar?
It’s maybe because we’re in (or super close to) a correction right now — the S&P 500 SP:SPX was down 10% from its record high two weeks ago and a lot of people are unsure what to do.
The truth of the matter is, stock market corrections are routine—not as often as the meeting that should’ve been an email, but also not as rare as a winning trade in the Japanese yen ( widow maker is real, yo ).
And, most importantly, they’re usually not as catastrophic as they feel in the moment.
So, before you hit the panic button (or worse, start revenge trading to “win it all back”), let’s talk about what’s shaking the market right now and how to navigate corrections like a pro.
🤔 First Things First: What’s a Correction?
A stock market correction is a drop of 10% or more from a recent high. It’s not a crash, it’s not the end of capitalism, and it’s definitely not a sign that you should liquidate your entire portfolio and move to a remote cabin in the woods.
Corrections happen regularly, typically once every year or two. They’re a natural part of market cycles, shaking out excessive speculation and resetting valuations to more reasonable levels.
For the record, a drop of 20% is considered a bear market.
🤝 Why the Market’s Getting Jittery
Markets don’t move in straight lines, and sometimes they hit turbulence. Lately, two big themes have been dominating headlines:
Trump’s Hard-Line Tariffs Hit Hard (And Markets Are Nervous About It)
If there’s anything Trump knows how to do is say things online or on-site and move markets. And his hostile and straight up combatant approach to handling international relations has sent traders scrambling to offload risk.
With hiked tariffs on China, Europe, and Mexico and Canada, businesses are bracing for severe supply chain disruptions, higher costs, and tighter margins. When tariffs go up, corporate earnings tend to go down—and the market doesn’t like that math.
Inflation Just Won’t Quit
The Federal Reserve spent most of the last two years trying to tame inflation, and just when it seemed like things were cooling off, it’s creeping back up. The latest readout of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report showed prices ticked up more than expected at 2.8% in February.
Higher inflation means the Fed might keep interest rates elevated for longer than expected, making borrowing more expensive and slowing down growth. Every new inflation release has investors guessing: Will the Fed cut rates, hold steady, or—worst case—hike again?
Between trade wars and stubborn inflation, uncertainty is running high, and that dynamics breeds volatility. But a correction doesn’t mean the market is broken—it just means sentiment has shifted.
⚠️ How NOT to React (aka: Rookie Mistakes to Avoid)
When corrections hit, bad decision-making is at an all-time high. Here’s what not to do:
Panic selling – Selling at the bottom is a classic rookie move. If you weren’t planning to sell at the highs, why dump everything when it’s down?
Trying to time the exact bottom – Good luck. Nobody, not even Warren Buffett, can catch the bottom (not that he’s trying). If you’re waiting for the “perfect” dip, you’ll likely miss the rebound.
Going all-in on one asset – Thinking of putting everything into one stock or crypto because it’s “cheap” now? Please don’t. Diversification exists for a reason .
Getting glued to financial news – Watching every market update during a correction is like doom-scrolling Google after a mild headache—you’ll only freak yourself out more.
Now that we’ve covered what not to do, let’s focus on the smart plays.
💪 So, What Should You Do?
If you want to come out of a correction with your sanity (and portfolio) intact, here’s your game plan:
1️⃣ Zoom Out—Corrections Are Temporary
The market moves in cycles, and corrections are just part of the game. Historically, corrections last a few months, while bull markets last years. If you’re investing for the long term, a correction is a blip on the chart, not an extinction event.
2️⃣ Review Your Portfolio Like a Hedge Fund Manager
Corrections are a great excuse to audit your holdings. Ask yourself:
Is this stock/ETF/index still worth holding?
Has anything fundamentally changed, or is this just temporary market noise?
Do I have too much exposure to one sector?
Think of it as spring cleaning for your investments. It's also an opportunity to make some good use of the handy Stock Screener or Stock Heatmap to spot the best (and worst) performers. If something was a FOMO buy and doesn’t belong in your portfolio, consider trimming it.
3️⃣ Buy Selectively, Not Blindly
Corrections create opportunities, but that doesn’t mean you should just throw money at every stock that’s down. Some companies deserve their declines ( looking at you, Nikola )—others are just collateral damage in a broader selloff.
Look for quality companies with strong earnings, manageable debt, and real growth potential. If they were solid before the correction, they’ll likely recover faster than the overhyped names.
Example: Remember when Amazon stock NASDAQ:AMZN tanked 90% in 2000, the dot-com bubble? No, because you were too busy being 2 years old instead of loading up on Jeff Bezos’s dream. And look where the guy’s now.
4️⃣ Do Some Good Old DCA
Instead of dumping all your cash into the market at once, use dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Buying in small increments at regular intervals helps you avoid the stress of trying to time the bottom. If prices drop further, you can buy more at an even better price.
5️⃣ Keep Emotions in Check
Corrections test your patience and discipline. The best investors don’t let fear dictate their strategy. If you’re getting emotional about your trades, step away from the screen and take a breath. The market will be there when you come back.
👍 The Market Always Bounces Back—Eventually
Every correction feels like the worst one while it’s happening. But let’s look at history:
The S&P 500 has faced 30+ corrections since 1950. It survived them all.
The average correction lasts four months before a recovery begins.
After a correction, markets typically rally higher within a year.
Unless you believe the global economy is permanently broken (hint: not yet, at least), every major downturn has eventually turned into a new bull run.
🦸♂ Final Thought: Be the Hero, Not the Victim
Market corrections separate the professionals from the wannabes. The people who panic and sell at the bottom? They usually regret it. The ones who keep a level head, stick to their strategy, and take advantage of good opportunities? They come out stronger.
And finally, if you need to take away one thing it’s this: Corrections aren’t the enemy. They’re the price of admission for long-term gains.
👉 Let’s hear it from you!
How do you handle corrections, what’s your strategy when the market is in a downturn and what’s in your portfolio then? Share your experience in the comment section!
Alibaba - Don't Forget Chinese Stocks Now!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) still remains super interesting:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the very expected parabolic rally on Alibaba about four months ago, Alibaba is now perfectly retesting major previous structure. Yes, we could see a short term pullback in the near future but this just offers a perfect break and retest after the rounding bottom pattern.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Incoming $3 trillion dollar market explosion for crypto...** Forecast to occur inside the next 5 months **
Is the market bottom in? More correction to come?
The next move in the market is going to fill many recent sellers with regret and for the few that don't use emotions..
According to social media, Youtube influencers etc.. the bear market is just beginning. In addition there is no shortage of messages with topics from tariffs to political instability informing me why the bull market is now over. Fair enough, understandable.
Investors and traders are capitulating at the worst possible moment. Sell it all before it goes to zero.
Well what if I told you market makers are about about to rug-pull all?
In December Without Worries published:
“Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people…” (see below.. )
The reason for publishing that idea are now mirrored by the reasons for publishing this idea.
On the above daily chart price action has corrected $1.1 trillion dollars or 30% since the bearish divergence. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. Use linear chart to see price action breakout.
2) Support on past resistance.
3) Higher low follows regular bullish divergence.
4) ** Death cross ** !!! That is when the 50 day SMA crosses down the 200 day SMA with price action under the 200 day SMA. Every rookie trader knows moving averages don’t lie. Unfortunately almost all of them can’t look left. A death cross is very bullish for this market.
5) Why $3 trillion move to $6 trillion market capital? See the bull flag below. There’s more reasons on this forecast area and especially on the timing, which is discussed on my website.
Is it possible speculators keep selling? Sure.
Is it probable price action keeps correcting? No.
Ww
$6 trillion flag forecast
Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people…
Gold's trend has too many friendsThere’s a well-known saying in trading: “The trend is your friend.”
I firmly believe in this principle. However, when price movements become too extreme—too fast and too far—it’s wise to exercise caution, even if you’re not ready to take the opposite side of the trade.
And right now, I believe that’s exactly the case with Gold.
________________________________________
Why a Major Gold Correction is Likely
As I’ve been repeating like a broken record since Monday, Gold’s price is severely deviated from the mean, signaling that a brutal correction is on the horizon.
After reaching a new all-time high of 3,150, Gold retraced yesterday, dropping to 3,100—a support level formed earlier in the week. A rebound followed, but as I’ve explained in an educational article, this price action looks more like a stepwise distribution rather than true buying strength.
The key point?
➡️ Support isn’t holding because buyers are stepping in—it’s holding because big sellers have paused selling.
________________________________________
Still Bullish, But a Drop is Coming
There’s no doubt that Gold is in a strong uptrend. But even if it drops 1,000 pips, the overall bullish trend would still be intact.
Key Technical Signs of Weakness
📉 Trendline Break – Yesterday, Gold broke below the rising trendline, marking the first sign of weakness.
📉 Failed Rebound – Despite a short-term bounce, the price is now more likely confirming the break rather than invalidating it.
📉 Lower High in Progress? – The next minor support sits at 3,120. If Gold breaks below this level, we’ll have confirmation of a lower high, which strengthens the bearish case.
________________________________________
Targeting the Correction
If Gold breaks below 3,120, I expect a move below 3,100, targeting:
🎯 Soft target: 3,080
🎯 Likely target: 3,030 – 3,040
I believe it’s only a matter of time before this brutal correction plays out.
Let’s see how it unfolds! 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPAUD at Major Resistance Level - Time to Sell?GBPAUD has reached a weekly resistance level, marked by prior price rejections and significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this weekly resistance, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 2.03620 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
BITCOIN This is where the most aggressive part begins.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has turned sideways amidst the tariffs implementation today and on the longer picture (1W time-frame) it remains supported just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). On this chart we display our Parabolic Growth Channel (PGC), which is the long-term Zone where BTC is a buy opportunity.
Throughout the market's historic Cycles, the time when BTC was supported above the 1W MA50 but still within its PGC was known as an Accumulation Phase (blue ellipse) before the final parabolic rally of the Cycle and its eventual Top (green Arc).
Based on this model, so far we haven't seen any such rally, despite the undoubtedly strong rallies of October 2023 - March 2024 and October 2024 - December 2024. Only the March 2024 and then the recent Tops can be counted as marginal breaches above the PGC and it's been no surprise that the market corrected back inside the Buy Zone but remained supported by the 1W MA50.
As long as it does, the probabilities of that final, most aggressive Cycle rally get stronger. On the last Cycle the peak was priced just above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That is currently a little below $170k and that is why our final Target is just below at $160000. Also right now we are marginally below the 0.618 Cycle top-to-top Fib, which is in line to where all previous final Cycle parabolic rallies started.
So do you think the 1W MA50 will now push BTC to its final Cycle rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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UPDATE: Level hold perfectly; you sold fear. New ATH is coming!Tesla is ready for a new ATH and potentially 20X even more.
It's not only an EV cars company, as many wrongly see it.
This is an update of my previous analysis, which received so much hate, but it doesn't change my view. I have added a massive amount at 22O, and it will be an amazing ride until the end of this decade. Here are the facts.
They make more revenue in multiple sources than many people see
I'm adding a graphical presentation from CernBasher (Tesla specialist) of how the Robotaxi and Optimus can be big. Yes, they might not reach the targets, but even if it's just half. It will be huge.
Their Robotaxi business will rapidly outweigh the EV cars business in the near future. Now he has Trump and he will allow him all necessary licenses.
and Tesla Optimus will even outperform the Robotaxi. Seems unreal, but the complexity of making a bot is easier than a car.
They plan to run robot production faster than anything that has been ramped. The complexity of creating a bot is much less than a car.
Also, once they start producing the bots, their factory will become more efficient. One bot can replace three people.
The liquidity cycle is coming
🤔I think Optimus and Robotaxi will rapidly exceed their EV car revenue. Elon Musk is predicting over 1000% growth in 5 years. Which would be way above $2900 without stock splits.
David Perk