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BITCOIN → Stopping after the rally? What next? 125K or 110K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT rose and updated its historical maximum to a new record of 118K with “kopecks” (different prices on different exchanges). Now the price has supposedly stopped and entered a consolidation phase, but it is too early to draw any conclusions based on this alone... Fundamentally, Bitcoin rose following the SP500 and NQ100 indices. The reasons are clearly geopolitical. The correlation level is not high, but the flagship is following the stock indices, which are also updating their historical highs. Technically, Bitcoin has emerged from a two-month consolidation and entered a realization phase. So what's next? Continuation of the phase or correction? Let's take a look. On the daily chart, I would highlight two zones. The risk and sell zone is below 117,500. If the price closes below this zone today/tomorrow, we will most likely be able to look for signals for a possible correction. As part of the correction, we can expect a decline to 115,500, 114,300, or even to the old ATH of 112K. The second zone is the buying zone. A closing price above 118,400–118,900 and consolidation with the gradual formation of a breakout of structure may hint at a possible continuation of growth toward psychological targets. Resistance levels: 118,400, 118900 Support levels: 117100, 116700, 115500 In the chart above, I have highlighted the situations, levels, and zones that interest me more precisely. Now I am waiting for Bitcoin to retest resistance or support and confirm certain levels, based on which decisions can be made. I think that in the near future, Bitcoin will show us where it is headed. Updates will be published as something interesting emerges... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
45
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on XAUUSD? Gold has successfully broken above its descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure and growing bullish momentum. A pullback toward the broken trendline is now likely, as price may retest the breakout zone. Once the pullback is completed, we anticipate a bullish continuation and a move toward higher levels. As long as price holds above the identified support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid. Will gold resume its rally after the pullback? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
19
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3381 and a gap below at 3353. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3381 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3416 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 BEARISH TARGETS 3353 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3353 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3328 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3305 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3288 3259 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
How "Whales" Manipulate Markets: A Trader's Guide to SucceedEvery chart tells a story of institutional footprints. For most, it's chaotic noise. But when you understand the market's true engine — the constant need of "Smart Money" to capture vast amounts of liquidity to fill their orders — that noise turns into a clear map. This guide will teach you to read that map. We will break down the main types of manipulation and show you how to use them to identify high-probability zones for potential entries. So, why exactly is liquidity the fuel for these "Smart Money" players, which for simplicity, we'll call "Whales"? It's because a Whale holds the largest volume of funds in a specific asset and, unlike retail traders like us, it cannot open its huge position at any given moment simply because there aren't enough buy or sell offers on the market. To fill its orders, the Whale constantly carries out manipulations to capture additional liquidity. This isn't about deception or anything negative—it's how the market constantly forms its movements, how whales achieve their goals by moving from one liquidity pool to another, much like whales in the ocean hunt for plankton to get vital energy for long journeys from one feeding ground to another. Why will these principles of price movement through manipulation, which worked decades ago, continue to work forever? Because human nature doesn't change over time. The crowd is always driven by greed and fear, making it easy to manipulate. Therefore, manipulation is often the motive for the birth of a future move and is a key element in market mechanics. If you understand these mechanics, you will be able to see the footprints of whales on any chart and not only minimize your chances of becoming their food but also join their next move to get your share of the profit in the boundless ocean of market opportunities. Let's take a closer look at how whales carry out their manipulations and classify their types. The Whale is constantly in hedged positions. To fill its large-sum orders without impacting the price, it uses the principles of Sell to Buy (STB) and Buy to Sell (BTS) . The STB manipulation is used to accumulate long positions. To do this, the Whale opens an opposing short position, activating stop orders and liquidations of buyers, purchasing their positions at a favorable price. It also encourages other retail participants, especially breakout traders, to open short positions. Continuing to accumulate long positions, the Whale sharply moves the price up, liquidating short participants and absorbing their positions. After the price has moved up, the Whale is left with an open losing position from its short manipulation. To close it at breakeven or a small loss, the Whale needs to return the price back to the zone of its manipulation. This return is called mitigation . In the opposite case, when the Whale needs to drive an asset's price down, it uses the BTS manipulation . To fill its short positions, the Whale opens a long position, activating stop-losses and forced liquidations of sellers, and encouraging retail breakout traders to also open long positions. Continuing to accumulate short positions, the Whale aggressively moves the price down, absorbing and liquidating the positions of impatient longs. After the downward impulse is complete, the Whale is left with an open losing long position. Just as in the first case, to close it at zero or a small loss, the Whale needs to return the price to the manipulation zone, after which another markdown of the asset occurs, and the cycle can be repeated as many times as necessary. Thus, through manipulation, the Whale achieves two goals at once: It gets the most favorable price. It eliminates most of its competitors by liquidating their positions with an opposing move. Most of the time, the price movement between manipulations is unpredictable. Entering during this movement, for example, in the middle or end of an impulse or within a range, increases the chances that you will become a victim of the next manipulation and liquidity for the Whale. However, if you wait for the price to arrive at the manipulation zone, also known as a Point of Interest (POI) , and ensure that the Whale acknowledges this area (i.e., it has stopped there and is beginning a reversal), the probability of choosing the correct direction for a trade will be on your side. To help you recognize manipulation zones, let's look at their different types. 🔹 Order Block (OB) - A down candle (sometimes 2, rarely 3 candles) before an impulsive move up (in the case of a bullish OB), or an up candle (sometimes 2, rarely 3 candles) before an impulsive move down (in the case of a bearish OB). In most cases, this short, sharp move should sweep some form of significant liquidity. An additional confirmation of an Order Block is the immediate imbalance or Fair Value Gap (FVG) that follows it, because the Whale's intensive position accumulation and the associated impulse move don't allow enough time for all market participants' orders to be filled. 🔹 Demand/Supply Zones are similar in principle to Order Blocks but differ in that they have a more prolonged action, which can consist of many up or down candles, making these zones often significantly wider than OBs. Demand Zone - The last downward move before an intensive rally. Supply Zone - The last upward move before an intensive drop. Often, an Order Block can be found inside a Demand/Supply zone. 🔹 Range - Also a manipulation zone and essentially an Order Block, but unlike an OB, this manipulation can last for a very long time when the Whale lacks sufficient liquidity from a quick manipulation and accumulates its large position by collecting internal and external liquidity through the range. Ranges, just like Order Blocks and Demand/Supply zones, are points of interest for the Whale to close its losing hedged positions and continue moving towards its goals. Conditions for Applying and Validity of Manipulation Zones An important condition for applying manipulation zones is that they can only be used once . That is, if the price has come to a zone and reacted to it, upon a second arrival, that zone is no longer valid. For convenience in marking used zones, I shorten them to the point of the first touch so as not to consider them anymore, but to understand which way the order flow is directed—a very important concept that, unlike structure, shows the true direction of the Whale's movement. Order flow is manifested by the price reacting to manipulation zones from below in an uptrend and from above in a downtrend. It is also very important to understand that it makes sense to identify and use manipulation zones as one of a trade's entry conditions only from below for an uptrend and from above for a downtrend . Any counter-trend zones formed in the path of a trend are highly likely to be broken and serve as liquidity. In ranges, manipulations formed after deviations can be used for entries from both sides. Only manipulations that were formed at the beginning of an impulsive price move can be considered valid for entry. That is, they must be the manipulations that directly triggered the start of the move; in Smart Money terminology, they are often called the "origin" . Any manipulation in the middle or end of a move will most likely serve as liquidity on the way back to mitigate the origin zone. How long does a manipulation zone remain relevant? It remains relevant until a new structural element (a higher high or a lower low) is formed , especially if the price has already come close to the manipulation zone, for example, into the FVG before the zone. This most likely means the Whale has already finished its business there and closed one of its losing hedged positions at a small loss. When the trend changes, such a zone will act as liquidity, not a POI. So, a manipulation zone will not always be mitigated; often, a reversal occurs from the FVG before it. However, entering from an FVG is much less reliable than from an Order Block, Demand/Supply zone, or Range. I personally skip such entries and wait for a new manipulation zone to form and be mitigated; they happen on the market constantly. A good bonus that further strengthens the probability of a setup working out during the mitigation of manipulation zones is a liquidity sweep upon reaching them. Consider the context and supplementary conditions. Although manipulation zones are the strongest areas for price reversals, they should always be used in conjunction with other supplementary conditions and tools, for example, with Fibonacci retracement levels or liquidity sweeps. "Context" implies any other conditions that can either confirm or contradict the likely direction of price movement. For example: in which phase of correction is the price? For a long, safe entries can only be considered from the discount zone (below the 50% Fib level); for shorts, only from the premium zone (above the 50% Fib level). Is there significant, un-swept liquidity nearby, such as previous daily, weekly, or monthly highs/lows, or an untouched Asian session high/low? What upcoming news could affect the asset and hit the stop before the setup plays out? At what time of day did the price mitigate the manipulation? Taking context into account is a crucial and integral part of analysis in the search for entry points. Due to the fractal nature of market charts, manipulations can be seen on any timeframe. On weekly and daily timeframes, manipulation zones can be used for swing trading or investment purchases. 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes will show potential entries from manipulations for intraday trading or holding positions for several days. 5-minute and 1-minute timeframes will show manipulations in the form of order flow for final entry confirmation. Whatever type of analysis you use for your trading, understanding the nature of market manipulations and practicing their recognition will allow you to be one step ahead of most market participants and open your trades with an understanding of which way institutional capital is most likely to move next. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this guide helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or a "lightbulb moment" from this article? Share it in the comments! I read every single one. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView for more educational content like this and to not miss my next detailed trade idea . ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TheWhaleSM
38
Bitcoin - Liquidity sweep before the next move!Weekend Consolidation During weekends, Bitcoin often moves sideways as institutional players step back and retail traders prepare for the next move. During this consolidation phase between $117.000 and $119.000, liquidity builds up on both sides—sell-side liquidity below the range and buy-side liquidity above it. After these weekend consolidations, Bitcoin typically sweeps one side of liquidity before continuing in the opposite direction. Manipulation Above the Buy-Side Liquidity A significant amount of liquidity has formed just above the all-time high, right below the $120,000 level. Retail traders are positioning for a potential downward move, making this area a prime target for a liquidity sweep. This aligns perfectly with the psychological barrier of $120,000, a level where many traders are likely to take profits. Manipulation Below the Sell-Side Liquidity Over the weekend, traders are entering both long and short positions while placing stop-loss orders just below recent lows. This behavior creates a buildup of liquidity underneath the range. Bitcoin could dip below these lows to stop out retail traders before reversing to higher levels. 4-Hour Unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) If Bitcoin sweeps the all-time high and enters a distribution phase, there’s a strong chance it will retrace to fill the unfilled Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart at $113.000 - $111.000. This imbalance was created during a sharp move up, leaving behind unfilled orders. Such levels often get revisited as price action seeks to rebalance. How to Execute This Trade Wait for Bitcoin to sweep either the low or the high of the weekend range. Avoid entering the market immediately after the sweep. Instead, wait for confirmation that price is returning back inside the range, signaling a clean sweep. On lower timeframes, such as the 5-minute chart, you can look for entry models like an inverse Fair Value Gap to refine your entry. Final Thoughts At this point, it’s unclear which direction Bitcoin will take next. The best approach is to wait for a clear liquidity sweep and signs of a reversal before entering any trades. That said, there’s a possibility we may first move up to test and claim the $120,000 psychological level before revisiting and filling the lower 4-hour imbalance zones. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
33
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? Bitcoin has recently broken above its all-time high and printed a new record high, signaling strong bullish momentum. Currently, the market has entered a consolidation phase, which is typical after such a major breakout. A pullback toward the previous breakout level (the old all-time high) is expected, which now acts as new support. After this consolidation and pullback, the price could resume its bullish trajectory and move toward higher targets, including the upper boundary of the current bullish channel. As long as the price remains above the key support zone, the overall trend remains bullish and any dip could be seen as a buying opportunity within the broader uptrend. Will this consolidation lead to the next leg up, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
24
Bitcoin - Blue Skies, Retest Before $125k?Bitcoin has pushed into blue skies after breaking through a major resistance zone around 110,000 USD. The breakout was sharp and impulsive, pushing price well into uncharted territory above 117,000. At these levels, traditional resistance becomes harder to pinpoint, and the market often behaves irrationally, so caution is warranted. With all-time highs being challenged, any small retracement must be handled with precision. Support and Retest Zones The previous resistance zone between 109,000 and 111,000 has now turned into a potential support area. This level acted as a ceiling for weeks and was finally broken with strong momentum. Price already had a minor retest on the breakout candle, which offers a bullish sign of acceptance. However, a deeper retest of this same zone remains a valid possibility, especially if short-term profit-taking intensifies. Trendline Confluence Alongside the horizontal support, we have an ascending trendline that has guided price from the June lows. This trendline now intersects with the 111,000–113,000 area, offering a secondary potential bounce level. If Bitcoin holds the trendline, a shallower correction could be enough to reset before another rally. But if we break below it, the horizontal support remains the final stronghold before deeper downside risks emerge. Short-Term Scenarios There are two likely short-term paths here. Either Bitcoin continues higher without a deep pullback, targeting 120,000–125,000 directly, or we see one more sweep into the 111,000 area before the trend resumes. The first scenario would trap sidelined traders, forcing late entries at higher levels. The second would provide a clean retest of structure, fueling a healthier, more sustainable breakout. Price Target and Expectations Assuming the retest scenario plays out cleanly and price confirms support at either the trendline or the former resistance zone, upside targets sit around 120,000 as the next psychological barrier, with 125,000 as a likely extension. These are natural magnet levels in a trending environment, especially with momentum still intact from the previous breakout. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently in price discovery, which means the structure must guide our expectations. A retest of either the trendline or former resistance could provide the next best entry. As long as we hold above the green support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and higher targets remain in sight. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by TehThomas
72
Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick · Bitcoin Hits New All-Time HighBitcoin is once again trading at a new all-time high and as this happens the altcoins go boom. The first instance circled around the fact that Bitcoin was strong and range trading between $100,000 and $110,000. When Bitcoin goes sideways within a bull market, the altcoins tend to blow up, and blow up they need. Now, when Bitcoin moves to hit a new all-time high and keeps growing; the 2025 Cryptocurrency bull market is fully confirmed. » Which one is your favorite altcoin trading pair? » Which project you think will grow the most in 2025 & 2026? » What is your TOP ALTCOIN CHOICE? Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick Leave a comment with some of your favorite altcoins pairs, the ones you like most and I will do a full analysis for you. I will publish in my profile and also answer directly in the comments section. I will pick and choose. If you see other commentators that have a pair that you like, make sure to boost their comment and reply. The more boosts a comments gets, higher priority will be given to the project and trading pair. Boost this publication and leave a comment, let's get started with your TOP ALTCOINS CHOICE! Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
39
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Daily Chart Follow Up – Structure Still in Full Control Just a quick update on our daily structure roadmap. Price continues to respect our Goldturn levels with surgical precision. After the previous bounce off 3272, we’ve now seen over 800 pips of upside follow through. That level once again proved its weight, holding beautifully as support and launching price firmly back toward the upper boundary. We now have a clear gap overhead at 3433, which sits right near the channel top a familiar rejection zone. With that in play, we’re expecting a range bound dynamic to develop between 3272 and 3433 in the short term. Here’s what we’re focusing on next: Range scenario active: Until price breaks out cleanly, we anticipate swings between 3433 resistance and 3272 support to play out. This is the working range for now. EMA5 cross and lock: Watch for a clean EMA5 break and lock, this will be our technical confirmation for whether we’re breaking out of this range or just ping ponging inside it. Structure remains intact: No EMA5 breakdown off 3272 during the recent test means buyers remain in control. Until that changes, dips into 3272 continue to offer structured long setups. Key Levels This Week Support 3272 Proven bounce zone. As long as this holds, the structure favours upside. Resistance 3433 Open gap + channel top confluence; expect reaction and potential fade unless we break cleanly with EMA5 confirmation. As always, we continue to let structure guide the way, measured, deliberate, and data-driven. Thanks again for all the continued support, every like, comment, and follow is truly appreciated. Wishing you all a focused and profitable week ahead! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3364 and a gap below at 3297. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3364 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3429 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 BEARISH TARGETS 3297 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3242 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 3001 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Please see update on our weekly chart idea. Price delivered the rejection at the channel top, so our longer range gap at 3482 remains open overhead. The pullback rejection from channel top extended to 3281 axis precisely where buying interest stepped in, just before the rising channel mid-line, which is edging higher in tandem with price and keeping the broader structure intact. Key take aways from the latest swing: Support confirmed: 3281 held on a weekly closing basis, giving us the springboard we needed. Bounce in motion: We’ve already reclaimed the prior pivot zone and are now working on the 3387 gap fill; this is the near-term magnet before any attempt at the larger 3482 imbalance. Structure unchanged: The channel is still orderly, the EMA5 has curled but hasn’t locked bearishly, and the mid-line continues to ascend beneath price, favouring a measured, step wise climb. Updated Levels to Watch: Immediate Support 3281 Proven axis support Resistance 1 3387 Gap fill target in progress; expect reaction. Resistance 2 3482 Long standing weekly gap remains the bigger picture objective. Plan: While 3281 holds, bias remains for a grind higher toward 3387 and ultimately 3482. Should 3281 fail, we reassess at the mid-line for the next structured long setup. We remain patient and continue reacting to clean structure backed opportunities. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
BTC Breakout is Real Flag Playing Out with Wave 3 MomentumBitcoin is looking really clean here. After weeks of sideways grind inside what looked like a consolidation trap, the structure has finally matured into something meaningful, a classic bullish flag breakout layered inside a broader Elliott Wave count. What really stands out is how the flag structure (B → C) formed a smooth pullback after the strong A → B impulse. That was the pole. Now we’ve broken out of the flag, and momentum is picking up again, likely heading into wave (3) of the new leg pointing towards D. This isn’t just about a flag the entire move is developing inside a wide ascending channel, and price is following it almost perfectly. The bullish momentum coming off the breakout zone is clean, no choppiness just strong candles and impulsive drive. We might get a short-term breather (sub-wave 4 of current wave 3), but structure suggests more upside is likely as long as price holds above that $113K–$115K zone. What I'm Watching Right now: Support zone: $113K – $115K Short-term target: $123-$127K Final projection (if channel holds): $140K–$145K Measured move from the flag and wave count both point up there, so I’ll be watching for minor pullbacks as entry opportunities. Personal Take I like when patterns align naturally not forced. This one’s got that nice blend of momentum, structure, and price behavior. I’m not rushing entries here, but will scale into dips if price holds support and volume confirms. Have you spotted this setup on your end too? Drop your view in the comments always keen to see how others are reading this. Follow for clean, no hype market breakdowns.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by weslad
15
Full Breakdown of My Trading Strategy Dow Futures DaytradingI will be detailing my strategy to both help others and to help myself fine tune my strategy. My strategy is one of market maker cycles. The end goal: to trade off of the Daily chart by drilling down to the 15 minutes for entries. Everything revolves around the Daily chart. The only indicator I use is ATR, other than that, pure price action. I use opening prices a lot in my trading. Starting with the MONTHLY chart: Every month has the following- An opening price A first trading day A last trading day These are things that ALL traders see and can't misinterpret. I will use June as the basis for my examples. I try to figure out what kind of monthly candle is likely to form. Bullish, Bearish or Doji. I use ATR to try to figure out the likely size also. For Dow Futures, a typical Monthly candle is around 3000 ticks +/- Going to the Daily chart, I mark the beginning of the month and the end of the month. The meat of the strategy, and the one quite frankly is the most difficult and the most discretionary, is reading price action on the Daily chart to determine what the next daily candle is likely to do and where it opens at. No strategy is 100% accurate and I do take losses from being wrong. With proper risk management ( I will detail my personal risk management later ) you can still make tons of money being 50% right. Not everyday is meant to be traded and quite frankly, most days are pure trash. Over 55% of all Daily candles are small, resting Doji days. You are looking for the expansion daily candles. Starting with the first trading of June: 1. May 29th, Large Doji day and and formed a mother bar 2. May 30th, another doji day and still inside the previous bar 3. June 2nd, opened up in middle of inside bar, Bias for day is Long. Buy near the bottom of the inside bar and a break of Yesterday's Low. This is an actual trade I took. Once I saw the Doji candle on the 15 minute break below yesterday's low I entered in Long. I will go over stops and targets later. For now, I am explaining how I find my bias and locations. The next day: start the process over again. Look at the Daily and the context of the bars. Look for swing points, Daily highs and lows. Key Daily bars as signals. I usually like to do this 5 minutes after Asia opens just to see where price opens at. I then mark the daily open with a cyan blue line. If I am Long bias then I want to buy under the open at key levels. I use SP as swing point, a daily high or low that has not been broken yet. Tuesday, I would have a Long bias again. Because we opened still inside of the mother bar and I see highs not broken, I want to trade in that direction. What is a key level on this Tuesday? I see the monthly open right underneath. The big question I would ask myself on this Tuesday is where in that move can I get in on a pullback for the Long trade? The market gives you an entry here. I did not take that trade, I WILL show you the trade I did take on this day. After NY opened, I saw the spike into the monthly open and a doji right ON the open. I slammed Long. Especially, the three swing points to be used as the direction. Now on to trade management. Stops, Targets. I have the same bracket for every trade, so the only variable is my entry. Once I enter, I set my ATM strategy. I use the 15 minute ATR to determine my stop loss. This part is also up to the individual trader and is discretionary. I will show you MY strategy. Take a zoomed-out view of the 15-minute chart with the 14 period ATR, mark the clusters of the peak ATR readings from NY sessions. In this case it is between 70-90. I tend to go towards the upper limit, this case 90. I then use 1.25-1.5 times of this reading based on my account and position sizing. In June AND in July, I am using 120 tick stops. My targets are all strictly 2.5 risk to reward of what my stop is plus or minus a few ticks for commissions. Since I am using 120 tick stops, my targets are therefore, 300-310 ticks. Going back to my Tuesday trade, the trade management would be a set 2.5R all or nothing. Enter the trade and walk away. Go read a book or play PS5. Go to gym. It will either hit stop, target or close out at 4pm NY close. 2 Winning trades wipes away 5 losers. I have losers all the time with a 50% win rate. I can expect 8 losing trades in a row at any given time. Something I have experienced multiple times. Now on to my money management strategy. The holy grail of this entire system. Quite frankly, how you enter and your strategy at the end of the day doesn't amount to much. How you manage your money is where professionalism is achieved. Take your starting account balance, divide it in fours. I will use a 10,000 account as simple math. 10,000 2500 Level 1 14.5R 2500 Level 2 11.5R 2500 Level 3 9.5R 2500 Level 4 8.5R I risk 1.75% per trade and each level will stay fixed until the next level is reached. In this example, Level 1 will be using $175 risk per trade and a 2.5 risk to reward, $440 reward. You will keep risking $175 per trade until you hit your $2500 profit goal to advance to Level 2. In this case this will take you 14.5R Now you are on Level 2, you find your new account balance is now $12,500. Find 1.75% of this = $220. Keep using $220 risk until you hit another $2500 in profits. This will take you 11.5R. Keep repeating these steps until you have hit all 4 profit levels and your account has doubled. Your new account balance is now $20,000. You will start this process over again. To double your account you will need a total of 44-45R. At a conservative approach of 5-7% monthly gain, you can expect to double your account in 8 months +/- depending on how good you can get. The number one major key to ALL OF THIS IS One trade per Daily candle. You lose on that day, move on and come again tomorrow All profit targets need to be hit or close out at 4pm depending on price
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
7
Bitcoin Crash? No! The Bullish Wave Starts Now! $155,601 Next!Some people are still expecting for "Bitcoin to go down." Poor bastards, the advance is just starting. Bitcoin just broke out of a 210 days long consolidation phase. After this huge, long-term consolidation, expect a major advance. Next target is now set at $155,601. This week is the first week green after the consolidation finally ends. The market was sideways for seven months, with some fluctuations, and the result is a bullish breakout. Why a breakdown? Why expect a drop? If the market just broke up—think about it—why would it go down? If resistance is confirmed; you remember the range between $100,000 and $110,000. If resistance is confirmed then Bitcoin would start crashing down from $110,000. If the break of $110,000 does happen and Bitcoin moves to $112,000 as a bull-trap, then you would expect a major crash happening from $112,000 and no more. But, reality is saying, showing, something much different. We have a major advance. Resistance has been flipped into support. Now, the first that is needed is the weekly close. It is still very early into this move but Bitcoin is showing maximum strength. Remember the altcoins? These confirm that the advance is just new, early, because these are recovering from all-time lows or major lows. There is still plenty of room for growth. My people, wake up! Bitcoin is going up. The next target is $155,601 and it can go higher, this is only the mid-term target based on the long-term. When Bitcoin consolidates for 7 months, it tends to grow some 137% on average, it can be less but it can also be much more. And it tends to grow at least for 1-2 months, but this also is just the average, Bitcoin can grow straight up for 4 months. So, are you still bearish? Oh please no! The bulls already won. The 2025 bull market final phase starts now, soon you will experience a marketwide bull-run. We have not seen the euphoria phase, this is only the start. Prepare for additional growth. I am calling out all of the bears, never bet down on Bitcoin; Bitcoin is going up. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
26
(2-hour timeframe for WTI Crude Oil (USOIL).(2-hour timeframe for WTI Crude Oil (USOIL)), here’s the technical analysis and target zones: 🟦 Key Observations: Price is trading in an ascending channel. I'm using the Ichimoku Cloud for trend confirmation. There are two clear target zones marked with arrows. --- 🎯 Target Levels (as shown on chart): 1. First Target Zone: ~$74.50 This is the intermediate resistance level. Price is expected to break above ~$69, then head toward this zone. 2. Final Target Zone: ~$76.50–77.00 This is the major resistance area, possibly the upper end of a swing move. Could be reached if momentum remains strong and no major reversal occurs. --- 📌 Current Price: $68.66 (Sell) / $68.76 (Buy) — as of the screenshot. 📈 Suggested Strategy (based on the chart setup): Entry: On breakout above ~$69.00 with volume confirmation. First TP: ~$74.50 Second TP: ~$76.50–77.00 Stop-Loss: Below the lower channel support (~$66 or tighter, depending on your risk tolerance).
TVC:USOILLong
by RSI_Trading_point
7
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Market AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD markets are navigating through a technical consolidation phase following the recent rally, maintaining underlying bullish momentum despite current volatility. The precious metal is trading between critical levels that will determine the next major directional move. 4H chart reveals a complex structure with a retest of the resistance zone around $3,440, gold has initiated a corrective move along the descending channel. The current setup suggests a healthy pullback toward the support zone near $3,330. Breaking above the downward trendline will constitute an important technical signal for bullish continuation. The higher timeframe provides a broader perspective with an A-B pattern currently forming. Equal tests at resistance levels indicate significant institutional accumulation. The rising trendline (HL) continues to support prices, confirming the long-term bullish structure. The target zone above $3,600 remains viable if gold can successfully break through the current resistance cluster. Key levels to monitor include the $3,330 support and $3,440 resistance. A decisive break above previous week high could trigger the next leg toward $3,400-$3,450, while failure to hold support might see a deeper correction toward $3,250. The overall technical picture suggests this consolidation represents a continuation pattern within the broader uptrend. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
7
Bitcoin Roadmap=>End of RallyBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has gained nearly +10% in the recent weekly candle so far. The question is where this rally could end up. So to get to that zone, let’s go to the weekly timeframe . Before we start this analysis, let’s take a look at my last analysis on the weekly timeframe , which was well into the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . ( Analysis time: 9 JUN 2025 ) Bitcoin has now entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) , and these zones could be the zones where this Bitcoin rally will end. Do you agree with me? In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was an extended wave . The main wave 5 could end at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect Bitcoin to start a main correction from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and could continue to support lines and near the $105(at least) . What do you think about the end of the Bitcoin rally? Note: Sell ​​orders near $120,000 are very heavy. Note: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage attractive volume for liquidation. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $130,000, it can continue to rise to the Resistance lines (near $150,000). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
49
Gold Market Update and Recommended Strategy bulls/bears📉 Gold Holds Steady ~$3,354/oz Moderate USD strength and tariff-driven safe‑haven buying have kept gold anchored in the $3,330–$3,360 zone. 🤝 Trade & Tariff Influence Tariff headlines—from Canada’s 35% rate to broader threats—have supported gold by boosting safe‑haven demand heading into U.S. CPI. 📊 Technical Watch Testing resistance at $3,360; full breakout above $3,342–$3,360 opens path to $3,400–$3,500. Support sits at $3,330–$3,322 (20‑day EMA); breach risks pickup in short‑term bearish momentum. 💼 U.S. Macro & Fed Cues Inflation data (June CPI due July 15) and Fedspeak ahead of the July blackout window are set to define next directional moves. 🌍 Central Bank Insight World central banks are stockpiling gold at record rates, creating a bullish backdrop. ⚖ Range‑Bound Outlook Expect gold to drift between $3,330–$3,360 near‑term, with upside if tariff/CPI triggers materialize. 📉 Short‑Term Bias Neutral‑to‑bullish; momentum indicators are calm but could shift quickly on macro surprises. 📈 Med‑Term Outlook Bullish Ongoing central bank demand, trade dynamics, and macro fundamentals still favor a gradual move toward $3,500+. ⭐ Updated Strategy Recommendations Accumulate on dips near $3,330–$3,320. Watch resistance at $3,360–$3,400 for profit‑taking or breakout buying opportunities. Bears may focus on selling rallies near the upper range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
24
ETH Hits $3K — Next Stop: Moon or Pause?ETH just tagged the psychological $3 000 barrier after a sharp impulse, printing a fresh higher high inside its rising channel. 🧠 Game plan: 1️⃣Pullback zone: The orange structure area at $2 550 – $2 700 aligns with the channel’s lower trend-line — a prime spot for bulls to reload. 2️⃣Continuation trigger: A clean 4H close back above $3 000 turns the level into support, unlocking the path toward $3 100 (first target) and potentially higher into the summer. 3️⃣Invalidation: A decisive break below the channel would neutralise the setup and shift focus back to the macro support near $2 400. Until then, every dip toward the orange demand is a gift in this bullish structure. Trade the plan, not the noise. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
9
BTC Bullish Setup: Two Long Positions Aligned for ContinuationHello guys! Bitcoin is currently in a strong uptrend, consolidating after a sharp move up. The chart highlights a textbook bullish continuation pattern (pennant/triangle), suggesting momentum is building for another leg up. Attention: This is not an either-or setups. Both long entries are valid and could trigger one after the other, offering layered opportunities for bulls. 1- First Long: Breakout from Bullish Pennant Price is tightening inside a triangle after a strong impulse move. A breakout above the resistance around $118K would confirm continuation. Entry on the breakout targets the upper liquidity zone near $122K. 2- Second Long: Pullback to S&D Zone (around $115K) If the breakout happens and then retraces, watch for price to revisit the S&D zone at $115,200–$115,800. This area will act as support and provide a second long opportunity. target: around $122k
Long
by melikatrader94
8
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to spike down into potentially the extension level 3310 and then give us the tap and bounce we wanted to be able to capture the long trade in to the 3345-50 region initially. It was those higher resistance levels that we said we would stick with and the bias was bearish below. This move resulted in a decent long trade upside into the region we wanted, and then the decline we witnessed mid-week completing all of our bearish target levels which were shared with everyone. On top of that, we got the bounce we wanted for the long trade but only back up into the 3335 level which was an Excalibur active target. The rest, we just sat and watched on Friday as unless we were already in the move, the only thing we could have done is get in with the volume, which isn’t a great idea with the limited pull backs. All in all, a great week in Camelot not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade with the DAX swing trade being a point to point swing move executed with precision by the team. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We’ll keep it simple again this week but will say this, there seems we may see a curveball on the way this week. With tariff news over the weekend we may see price open across the markets with gaps, one thing we will say is if you see these gaps, don’t gap chase until you see a clean reversal! We have the higher level here of 3375-85 resistance and lower support here 3350-45. If support holds on open we may see that push upside into the red box which is the one that needs to be monitored. Failure to breach can result in a correction all the way back down into the 3335 level initially. Again, this lower support level is the key level for this week and needs to be monitored for a breach which should then result in a completed correction of the move. Our volume indicators are suggesting a higher high can take place here and if we do get a clean reversal we should see this pull back deeply. As usual we will follow the strategy that has been taught and let Excalibur guide the way. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360, 3373, 3375 and 3383 for now Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340, 3335, 3329, 3320 and 3310 for now RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3340, 3335, 3329, 3322 and 3310 in extension of the move It’s a HUGE RANGE this week so play caution, wait for the right set ups, don’t treat it like it’s your every day market condition. News from Tuesday so expect Monday to be choppy! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
5
BTC is Back in Price Discovery Mode — Targeting $140K!After a clean break above the previous all-time high, Bitcoin has officially entered a new impulse phase, trading within a steep rising channel. The green zone around the previous ATH is now acting as a strong support zone, confirming the shift in market structure. 🟠 The macro trend remains intact, and bulls are clearly in control. 🌀 Corrections continue to offer opportunities for trend-following entries, and if momentum holds, BTC could be on its way toward the $140,000 mark — the upper boundary of the macro channel. Until then, every dip is a gift in this bullish cycle. 🔥 🧠 Trade with the trend. Manage your risk. Stay ready. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
16
EURO - Price will rise a little and then drop to $1.1500 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Price earlier carved out a pennant pattern after a strong rally, with price oscillating between converging trendlines and indecision mounting near $1.1550 resistance. After several weeks in consolidation, sellers finally broke down below the pennant base, sending price back toward the support area and trapping late buyers. Buyers regrouped and launched a new advance, driving EUR into a well-defined rising channel. During this channel run, two notable breakouts above interim highs were quickly followed by exits at the upper trendline. Price now sits in a tight consolidation just under the rising channel’s ceiling near $1.1700, forming small corrective swings on lighter volume. I expect one more shallow rally toward $1.1750 before sellers overwhelm buyers again, pushing Euro down through $1.1550 and toward the $1.1500 points. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
9