Bitcoin - Drop to 98,922 then a big pump! (Buy here)Bitcoin is falling again mostly because of Trump's aggressive attack on Iran. But technical analysis in general is very strong, and we can find strong levels where smart money has their buy orders. You, as a fish, always want to trade with big whales. Bitcoin is approaching an extremely strong level, which is the bottom of the bullish flag and 1:1 Fibonacci extension. This level is exactly at 98,922 USDT and this is where you definitely want to put your buy orders. I am confident we will see a significant pump from this level.
From the Elliott Wave point of view, Bitcoin is finishing a major ABC ZigZag correction. A classic textbook ZigZag pattern has a 1:1 fib extension between its waves. At this point we don't know if this is going to be the bottom on Bitcoin or not, because ZigZag can transform into a complex WXYXZ Triple three corrective pattern. Of course there are no patterns with 100% probability of success, but this ABC seems to be very probable, at least for a short-term bounce.
Now the most important question - where to take profit? If we buy at 98,922 we definitely want to take profit at a strong resistance on the way up. In the next analysis I will share with you the best levels to sell and potentially short Bitcoin, so this will be very exciting, do not forget to hit the boost button and follow me! But I can already see a strong level around 104,500.
Trading tip at the end: Before entering a trade, you must know where your profit target is and where your stop loss is. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Community ideas
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Outlook: Corrective Phase Tests SupportOANDA:XAUUSD experienced a notable pullback this week, retreating from the $3,450 resistance zone as profit-taking emerged following the recent geopolitical rally. The market appears to be entering a healthy corrective phase after the strong upward momentum driven by Middle Eastern tensions and safe-haven demand.
The 4H chart reveals gold testing the critical $3,320 support level, which coincides with the lower boundary of the established upward channel. This corrective move was anticipated after the sharp rally to the resistance area marked as "TOP" on the chart. The current price action suggests a natural retracement within the broader bullish structure.
Technically, the downward trendline from the recent high is being respected, indicating the correction may continue toward the $3,240-$3,270 range before finding stronger support. The flag pattern that previously drove the rally now serves as a reference point for this pullback phase.
Key levels to monitor include the $3,320 immediate support and the more substantial $3,200 level below. A decisive break below these supports could extend the correction further, while a bounce from current levels would reinforce the underlying bullish bias. The market remains within the broader upward channel, suggesting this correction is likely temporary before the next leg higher toward the resistance zone above $3,450.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be ideally be looking for the market to open, give us a high into that red box region 3455-60 and then give the reaction we wanted for the short trade. We didn’t quite hit that level falling just shy, but the move did present itself and as you can see all the bearish below red box targets were completed as well as KOG’s bias of the week targets which was bearish below 3465.
We then posted the FOMC KOG Report in which we suggested looking for price to continue the move as long as the bias level stood, which it did and we got another move downside, but again, falling just shy of the level we wanted to then attempt that swing long.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
As we suggested on Friday, it would be a good idea for traders to be sitting neutral on the markets with minimum to zero exposure anticipating gaps and glitches across the markets on open. This news was expected so those who played discipline should be cash in account, which is also a position in the markets.
We have key levels now 3350-55 support with extension 3340 which will need to break downside for us to go lower, while support there should take us up towards the 3385-90 level initially, which is the level to look for a potential RIP for the scalp short. This will give us the flip, red box activation 3380-75 which if held should allow us to complete the move to break through the 3400 level with red box target 3445 and above that 3451. This is based on there being a completely aggressive move from the open upside.
On the flip, break below key level here 3335 and 3320 is the first level to consider which will continue the path we wanted from last week. Ideally, not for this news and potential for this to spike upside, we would have stuck with the plan from last week. Difference now, we need more buyers higher up and a potential test on that high again.
Key Levels:
Red box defence 3375-80, needs to be broken
Red box defence 3350, needs to be broken
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3375, 3390, 3395 and above that 3410
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320, 3310, 3306 and below that 3298
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3375 for 3378, 3390, 3395, 3406, 3410 and 3419 in extension of the move
Break below 3365 for 3355, 3350, 3340, 3336, 3330 and 3323 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Is Alt season dead? - June 2025Let me start by saying, Youtube influencers are lying to you. The collective narrative (from those links shared with me) talk almost exclusively about the same set of narratives for triggering “alt season”:
M2 money supply. The printer will be turned on any minute.
The FED is going to cut rates, the market will then explode.
Institutions are buying the dip! “Blackrock fills Ethereum long positions” etc
A dollar collapse.
The real season begins in 2026, stack now!
It is the same rubbish time and time again. Rarely will one of those influencers << Look left << to tell you the News as it is written on the chart.
Let me tell you the News…
The highly anticipated "alt season," where alternative cryptocurrencies (alt coins) significantly outperform Bitcoin, faces considerable challenges to deliver the much awaited “alt season” where everything blows up. However I’ve long argued those days are behind us, we’re not going to see an “alt season” again, at least not in the sense many understand the term "alt season".
Alt season refers mainly to those tokens that reside outside the top ten crypto tokens. The total market cap of this cohort outside the top 10 is referred to as INDEX:OTHERS total, as is shown in the main chart. Now I’ve long argued corrections for Ethereum to $700 and below, Litecoin to $20 and lower, generally legacy tokens should perform the worst during this bull market, that outlook does not change.
Why so pessimistic?
Headline 1 - Support and resistance
It is that simple. look left. Each alt season closed a monthly candle above the monthly 7 SMA and monthly 10 SMA (Green areas) before getting underway. Not only has this not happened during this bull market, support from the rising channel has failed and if the current monthly candle closes as it (in 7 days), then past support shall confirm as resistance. This would mean a collapse back to the 2017 market top of circa $50 billion.
Headline 2 - Bitcoin halving
The truth is “alt season” began in May 2024, that is if you’re a believer in the halving cycles. If you’re a believer then you must accept this bull market comes to an end in 90 days.
The orange vertical lines represent each Bitcoin halving, occurring in August 2016, June 2020, and lately May 2024. The so called “alt season” would follow the halving for a 518 day period. There is only 90 days left for alt tokens to do their stuff before this cycle comes to an end. However, influencers only seem to talk about how great 2026 is going to be and how now is the time to start stacking. Instead 2025 is really going to create a whole new number of bag holders of dead projects.
Headline 3 - The number of circulating tokens
In January 2017 there was 8885 tokens, the good ole days.
June 2020, still only 19,500 tokens
Fast forward to June 2025 and we have 17.45 million tokens. Utterly ridiculous.
The sheer proliferation of alt coins, now numbering in the millions, creates an overwhelming supply that far outstrips demand. This fragmentation of liquidity means that even when some tokens see brief pumps, it's often selective with only a handful of projects having strong narratives or specific utility that truly thrive.
The simple truth is the market must kill off millions of those dud projects to free liquidity to the few that matter. If you really must know where the money is going to come from that causes growth in the remaining winners, it is from the realisation that a number of those projects are dead. That includes projects such as Ethereum and Litecoin. Both those charts share an important distinction no one wants to talk or hear about.
There are projects out there that’ll buck the trend, do you know which ones they are?
Not everything will collapse to zero.
Ww
Bitcoin Weekly Ultra-BearishThe 100K support is still valid but the weekly timeframe chart isn't looking good.
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today?
Bitcoin peaked the week 19-May. Then we have bearish action only.
The week after 19-May was red, then two neutral weeks and a continuation this week. It looks pretty bad right now, terrible to be honest.
» The main support range sits between $82,500 and $88,888.
Thank you for reading.
This support zone will only become active is 100K breaks on the weekly timeframe.
Namaste.
Luxury, War, and Clarity – This Is the Golden Reset.🟨 The Real Gold Era: Clarity While the World Burns 🟨
"While some bleed in the streets, others sip cocktails in the Bahamas. This is not a coincidence. This is the new world."
Right now, we live in a time like no other.
People are dying in wars they never chose.
Currencies collapse. Nations threaten each other.
And yet — capital flows, gold climbs, and the rich get richer.
🕰️ A war started long ago — and most never saw it:
2020–2022: They printed trillions. COVID shut down the world. Fiat was silently devalued.
2022–2023: Russia was cut off from SWIFT. BRICS started buying gold. The dollar was no longer untouchable.
2023–2024: Gold broke $2100… then $2400… now $3400+. Even high interest rates can't stop it.
2025: U.S. and Israel strike Iran. BRICS discuss a gold-backed currency. Trust in fiat? Gone.
The Gold Era is no longer just metaphor. It’s the new battlefield.
💣 "War is loud. Wealth is silent."
While bombs fall in the East,
✨ capital quietly moves to safe havens.
While families flee,
✨ smart money finds gold, data, and sovereign positioning.
While headlines scream chaos,
✨ traders make decisions in silence.
🌍 But here's the paradox:
We also live in a world of unmatched abundance:
You can build a brand from a phone.
You can trade gold from a beach.
You can learn SMC, AI, geopolitics — and use it to build freedom.
You can escape the system, if you understand the structure.
In this gold era, the true asset isn't just metal.
It's mental clarity. Information. Sovereignty.
The gold is you.
📉 This isn’t just about trading.
It’s about knowing where we are in the timeline of collapse and rebirth.
The markets don’t lie — they expose what’s really coming.
And those who read them… can rise while others fall.
🧠 Final note:
Not everyone survives a reset.
But those who think in structure, who lead with clarity — they don’t just survive.
They reposition.
They build.
They lead.
🟡 Welcome to the Real Gold Era.
Where charts speak louder than news.
Where truth is a position.
Where you don’t wait for safety — you create it.
—
✍️ GoldFxMinds – where structure meets truth.
📢 Disclosure: This analysis was created using TradingView charts through my Trade Nation broker integration. As part of Trade Nation’s partner program, I may receive compensation for educational content shared using their tools.
|Symmetrical Triangle| Squeeze in Crude OilCrude oil is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, a classic squeeze formation with price compressed into a tight range. Symmetrical triangles typically act as continuation patterns, favoring the prevailing trend, and in this case, on the daily chart, the trend is well established: a bullish trend with high volume. As the dominant trend is clearly bullish, and volume has remained relatively high throughout the consolidation, it supports furthermore the potential for continuation to the upside.
On the Bollinger band the squeeze is more visible, and suggests diminishing volatility, which is often followed by expansion. Unlike earlier price action before consolidation, recent sessions are exhibiting larger candlestick bodies accompanied by pronounced wicks on both ends. Meaning adding confluence to our potential breakout. These conditions create a buildup of potential momentum in the market, exactly what fuels explosive breakouts when key levels are breached.
Though such pattern can also serve as a reversal signal when broader macro conditions shift.
But, and this is a big but, beyond the chart, the geopolitical context is intensifying. The Israel-Iran conflict continues to escalate, and with the most recent reports of direct US involvement, that is the strikes on Iranian nuclear infrastructure, the risk on crude oil is rising. The possibility of Iranian retaliation, introduces serious potential for supply disruption, as any military response or blockade would likely trigger a sharp spike in the price.
This confluence of technical breakout potential and geopolitical instability makes this setup particularly potent. If we get a confirmed breakout above the triangle and a clean close above the 77–79 zone, combined with global uncertainty and potential supply shocks, could put the $84-85 target well within reach in the near term. Beyond that, should geopolitical tension escalate, oil could accelerate toward $90 or even $100.
In short, this is a high-stakes moment. If price does break out, it won’t just be a technical move, it will ride a wave of volume, volatility, and geopolitical narrative.
With all this in mind, one should be watching closely for volume confirmation, breakout structure, and any major headlines from the Middle East as the situation develops.
GOLD → Risk zone 3340. Sell-off after rallyFX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of its accumulation phase, rallied towards the 3400 zone of interest, but failed to reach liquidity and reversed, selling off its gains due to economic uncertainty.
In my opinion, the market is unexpectedly subdued and has reacted very weakly to geopolitical problems in the Middle East. The market has digested the news of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and is awaiting PMI data from the US and the eurozone, Fed statements, US GDP and other macroeconomic data. The uncertainty factor has done its job... Participants fear further escalation of the conflict, but so far Iran has refrained from taking drastic steps, which has reduced demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Geopolitics and macro statistics remain in focus.
Technically, gold is trading above 3340 (in the buy zone). A retest of the liquidity zone is possible, and if buyers keep the market above 3340-3350, the price may continue to rise.
Support levels: 3347, 3342, 3320
Resistance levels: 3366, 3396
On D1, the key level is the 3340-3347 area. At the moment, we are seeing a sell-off and a move to retest support. Accordingly, a false breakdown and price holding above 3340, followed by a change in character and a breakdown of the bullish structure, will hint at growth. But if the reaction at 3340 is weak and the market continues to storm this support, then in this case, the metal could drop to 3300
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has once again failed to break above its previous high and entered a corrective phase. The price is now moving within a channel and is approaching the lower boundary of that channel.
The correction is expected to continue toward the support zone and the bottom of the channel, where we may see buying interest and a bullish reaction.
If Bitcoin breaks above the channel resistance and key supply zone, it could trigger a strong upward move and lead to new all-time highs.
Key Note:
Price action near the channel support and demand zone will be crucial. A successful rebound from this area may signal the start of the next bullish leg.
Will Bitcoin hold the channel and bounce higher, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3376 and a gap below at 3348. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3376
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3395 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3419
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3419 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3440
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3330
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3288
3271
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
EURJPY: A Big Move In Making, Please Share Your Views! Date: 22/06/2025
Hello everyone,
I hope you’re all having a good weekend. As we previously discussed, we expected a sharp decline in Europe/JPY, but unfortunately, it didn’t work out in our favour due to the extremely bullish US dollar. This led to the crossing and invalidation of our two selling zones.
Looking at next week’s price projection, we can confirm that the price is heading towards 170.50 and may be selling at this level. Therefore, we will be keeping a stop loss at 171.50.
Once the trade is activated, we can set our target at 166.0, 163.50, and the final target will be placed at 158.50.
If you like our work, please like our idea.
Good luck and trade safely next week.
Bitcoin can correct to support line of channel and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The price was moving inside a strong upward channel, where it managed to break through the support level and then the resistance level, eventually reaching the seller zone. After that, BTC started to turn around and declined, once again breaking through the 109000 resistance level, this time from above. That movement also marked an exit from the upward channel. Following that, the price made a correction move down to the support level — the same zone that previously acted as a breakout area. From there, BTC showed strength again with a bullish impulse upward, returning to the Seller Zone. However, that rally was short-lived. The market started to decline again, this time forming a downward channel. Now the price is approaching the support line of this channel, which coincides with the support level around 100500 and the buyer zone between 99500 and 100500. I think BTC can decline a bit further to test this support line, and then rebound from this area, starting a new upward move toward the channel resistance line. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 106000 points, just below the resistance line. Given the structure and past reactions from these zones, I remain bullish and expect further growth after this local pullback. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EUR/USDScenario 1: Bullish Reversal (If current FVG support holds)
Bias: Short-term bullish, looking for a continuation of the bounce.
Rationale: The price responded positively to an earlier low and is completing an FVG at this juncture. If this FVG is supported and the price breaks out above the latest bullish order block, then a reversal may be signaled.
Entry: Wait for a clear break and test back to the current high range or a demonstrated bullish candle pattern in the FVG area being filled. An entry might be at about 1.1520-1.1530 should confirmation be observed.
Target: The following big resistance level, which could be the liquidity pool ($S) at 1.1540, and thereafter, at 1.1580-1.1600, the
Stop-Loss: Below recent low or an important support level, i.e., below 1.1500 or current Bullish OB.
Scenario 2: Continuing Bearish Pressure (In case current FVG gets filled and it fails to hold)
Bias: Short-term bearish, expecting to see a continuation of the downtrend after the FVG is filled.
Rationale: If it extends this ongoing FVG and then shows signs towards rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, failure to break through resistances), it could be signaling continuation in the prior downtrend.
Entry: Look for bearish confirmation after the FVG fills, which would be a break down through the newest low or low side of the current range. Potential entry would be at 1.1500-1.1510 on a confirmed break down.
Target: The "Bullish OB" around 1.1440-1.1450, and potentially the lower FVG around 1.1400.
Stop-Loss: At or higher than the newest swing top or key level of resistance, e.g. 1.1530-1.1540
Relevant Factors:
Risk Management: You should always use appropriate position sizing and use a stop-loss to manage your risk.
Confirmation: Hold out for firm price action confirmation before entering any trade.
News Events: Be aware of any scheduled economic news releases or events that could impact EUR/USD, potentially creating huge volatility.
Bigger Timeframes: Always consider the bigger picture context (i.e., day, week) in order to obtain a general trend.
NZD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (23.06.2025)The NZD/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 86.35
2nd Support – 86.00
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Bitcoin Break: Watch 100K Revesal Or Test Of 95K.Bitcoin broke 100K support without any type of retrace attempt (YET). This move which is attributed to global events should not be entirely surprising. Most importantly do not OVERREACT, especially with all the nonsense hype this will generate. Here is a more effective way to process the current situation.
Avoid bias and pay attention to the bigger picture. In terms of wave count, Bitcoin can technically retest the 85K area and STILL be considered within a broader Wave 4. This implies the broader structure is still BULLISH (Wave 1 overlap). A swing trade or investing buying opportunity can develop in the 95K area or lower (see illustration).
The short term momentum is bearish as per break of 100K. This should guide shorter time frame strategies like day trades. A new bearish trend line is in play (see arrow). At this point without any meaningful reversal pattern in play (4H or above) look for bearish continuation patterns like consolidations (triangles) inside bars, etc. The 95K support would be a price objective to consider if you are open to aggressive short strategies. Keep in mind, shorting into such a low is HIGHLY risky and best suited for those who have adequate experience.
This situation proves once again, "expert" opinions mean nothing. A few short weeks ago, Bitcoin was poised to break out and everyone was going to be rich again (remember the Bitcoin conference?). So much for that. The market does NOT care what you, me or Michael Saylor thinks. It reflects the perception of the future, whether or not that future plays out.
This is precisely why CHARTS can offer value in terms of measuring potential and RISK. You don't even need to be that technical, just take a look at the weekly time frame. The previous week's bearish pin bar low was broken signaling weakness, NOT Bitcoin 100 million K.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, price tried to grow, but failed and dropped below $1.1220 support level, after which started to grow in channel.
In rising channel, price broke $1.1220 level one more time and then rose to resistance line and then corrected.
Next, Euro rose to $1.1455 level and some time traded inside this level, until it broke it and continued to move up.
Price exited from rising channel and later started to decline inside wedge pattern, where it declined to $1.1455 level.
Recently, price bounced from this level and in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge pattern.
In my mind, Euro can continue to decline to $1.1400 support line of wedge, breaking support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
HelenP. I Gold may continue to decline to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After dropping from the support zone, the price of Gold found temporary support near the trend line and started to rise again. The upward movement was sharp and even created a gap while breaking through the previous support level, which then acted as resistance. For some time, the price hovered around this resistance area but failed to gain enough strength to break higher. Eventually, Gold pulled back to the trend line and began consolidating within a triangle pattern. Inside this structure, it managed to break above the resistance zone again, but this breakout turned out to be false. The price quickly reversed and dropped, breaking through the resistance level and exiting the triangle to the downside. This breakdown also shows that the bullish momentum has weakened significantly. Now, Gold is trading near the trend line again, showing hesitation and a lack of strong bullish continuation. Given this technical behavior, I expect a small rise toward the trend line, followed by a continued drop toward the support level at 3320. That’s the area I’m watching as my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3375 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3375
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3375 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2995
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following up on our previous weekly update = last week we saw the expected correction play out with a move down for the EMA5 detachment touch, highlighted by the circle on the chart. This was a healthy pullback within the structure and aligns perfectly with the Goldturn methodology.
While we previously had the candle body close gap at 3482, that target still remains open and active. The move lower was not a breakdown but a technical retest, setting up the potential for continuation higher once momentum returns.
Support continues to hold at 3281, reinforcing our buy the dip strategy within the structure. The price remains guided by the channel and is still following the expected trajectory toward the long term gap target.
We'll be watching closely for renewed strength to drive back toward 3482, and any close above recent highs could reignite that move. Until then, structure remains bullish and contained.
Stay disciplined and let price do the talking.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
AUDUSD Analysis – Falling from the Rising WedgeAUDUSD pair broke below an ascending wedge, a bearish reversal pattern.
Clean rejection from 0.6518, with lower highs and new lower lows confirming bearish momentum.
Price is now sitting below former trendline support, retested and respected as resistance.
Bearish target points toward 0.6400–0.6380 zone, aligning with recent swing lows.
Risk invalidation sits above 0.6520, where structure fails.
Technical Bias: Bearish
Target: 0.6400
Stop-loss zone: Above 0.6520
📊 Current Bias: Bearish
🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving AUDUSD
AUD Fundamentals (Weakening):
Australian jobs data was mixed, and wage growth has plateaued.
RBA remains cautious, with expectations for rate cuts later in 2025.
AUD pressured by China growth risks and weak commodity demand.
Geopolitical drag: Australia-China tensions and weak Chinese retail data from 618 Festival dampen AUD outlook.
USD Fundamentals (Resilient):
USD remains bid on risk-off flows, especially after weak global data and ongoing Middle East tensions.
Fed remains reluctant to cut fast despite disinflation signs – supports the USD.
US data is mixed, but rate cut odds are declining (only one expected in 2025 now per dot plot).
⚠️ Risks to This Bearish View
If China announces new stimulus, AUD could rebound sharply.
A dovish surprise from the Fed (e.g. Powell softening in speeches).
Sharp rebound in risk appetite (e.g. tech-led equity rally).
🗓️ Important Events to Watch
🇨🇳 China industrial profits & PMIs
🇦🇺 RBA Meeting Minutes (July preview hints)
🇺🇸 US Core PCE (June 28)
Global risk tone: watch metals, equities, and geopolitical headlines.
🚀 Which Asset Leads?
AUDUSD is lagging other USD pairs, but will likely lead commodity FX downside if China or metals weaken further.
Watch AUDJPY and EURAUD for further confirmation of risk-off flows and Aussie weakness.