Lividitium
LIVIDITIUM Analysis (Next ATH Analysis)BTC still have more room to grow according to the Lividitium (LVDT) channel. Base on the prior bull-market cycle trend, BTC appears to may have now entered the final parabolic-phase of the cycle(?) -- if the historical trend is to rhyme with this cycle .
To note, in 2013 (see chart snapshot below), BTC had reached a first ATH (signaling an orange major-SELL! from by the LVDT script) after piercing the top of the LVDT-band, before resetting back down to the 200 SMA below the thick grey LVDT-line, before following up with a second parabolic run again in 2014. This may be likely to happen again, now with institutional interest coming in, waiting to load up on BTC at discounted prices after price has sufficiently fallen after an initial blow-of-top ATH, just to reach yet another new ATH.
Will start looking to sell 50% of my BTC temporary into Fiat when the next major SELL! signal flashes, and will start cost-averaging back into BTC when LVDT signals major-BUY! levels again; sticking to the long-term game-plan.
Bitcoin (BTC:USD) AB=CD eventual long-term targetShort-term minor retracement likely before continuation.
See my previous posting ( inverse head & shoulders target ):
Loads of bullish accumulation price behavior leading up..
PRISM Oscillators Analysis (see chart below):
Stochs(pRSI) in overbought state.
Snap osc in the negative (pink), which is pulling Acceleration/Jerk ribbon down, which will in turn pull momentum down in the short term.
Acceleration slowing down on the 4hrly
Another speculative long-term BTCUSD trend [Fractals]Previous long-term speculative prediction attempts.
Extrapolated LIVIDITIUM {parallel dynamic fib levels} analysis update
Fractals + some inexperienced attempt at time analysis
Trollish Prediction
Earliest prediction using (now renamed to) LIVIDITUM {parallel dynamic fib levels}
Crude Analysis: BTC to 8.6k USD to complete the bull-flag?BTC might come down to as low as the 61.8% level @ ~8.6k USD to complete the bull-flag -- continuing with the current downward parallel channel movement in the short (~2-3 weeks), before breaking up to continue with the bull market pump?
This level is a good confluence with my previous macro-view of the current BTC market cycle/phase using LIVIDITIUM dynamic fib-levels, see:
Where comparing with previous market cycle, price is expected to revisit the thick grey level (which may continue to shift higher/lower as the price action develops).
But right now, it is at ~8.6k USD.
See also my less speculative TA of BTCUSD here:
Speculative Long-term BTC:USD trajectory and ATHBTC:USD to reach 11k-12k USD, then gradual decline down to 8k USD again around 02Mar20 to inflict more pain on the bulls and eliminating more weak-hands, before going relatively sideways until 13Jul20, then a fakeout to, 11.8k USD around 11Jan21 before crashing below 9.9k USD before the next actual parabolic rise commences around Mar21 eventually hiting a new all-time-high at ~120kUSD.
Base on my earlier speculative post:
See also shorter term prediction:
BTCUSD: BTC may drop below 10kUSD again, before bouncing.Presently BTC remains within what I consider a no-trading zone.
In my view, BTC may drop below 10kUSD again, to around 9400USD, before bouncing back up to 10200 USD level.
If BTC does drop below 10k USD again, will look at the PRISM momentum oscillators again at lower time scales + IchiCloud, before deciding if I should cost-average in to accumulate more BTC at below 10kUSD, or if there's a chance it may finally drop even lower down to 8200-8400 USD.
See Aug30 Chart:
BTCUSD: Sell Signals triggered on the 1D chart.
PRISM (Red/Green) -- Just triggered
Cyber Ensemble (Purple/Blue) -- 2 days ago.
FG-Divergence (White/Gray)
LIVIDITIUM V4 -- Dynamic conjugated Golden Ratios Levels + MA-lines and built in pivot/reversal/bull/bear signals.
BTCUSD fails to hold above previous middle support at ~10.2kUSD, and now retesting it (as well as the 50 EMA) as resistance.
Price will likely come down to 9320USD or perhaps 9600USD (100 D EMA) -- where BTC found support on 2Apr19, before shooting right up from 4.1kUSD to ~4.9kUSD, kickstarting the bull market.
See:
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Note:
In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
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Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (multi-levels standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
PRISM (pSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators),
PDF (parabolic SAR /w HighLow Trends Indicator/Bar-color-marking + Dynamic Fib Retrace and Extension Level)
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
ADAUSD: Possible Trade Ahead..Entering trade if breakout above resistance level strongly, or show signs of finding resistance level as support (see details in the chart).
Price have already broken cleanly out of the descending channel.
The FG-Divergence "buy" signal triggered, hinting that we are entering a bullish phase.
Need to wait for the "buy" signal from PRISM Signals to trigger as well.
The 3 Buy/Sell suggestion indicators used,
Namely:
PRISM Signals
FG-DIVERGENCE
CYBER ENSEMBLE
are detailed here:
BTCUSD (4h): Multitude of Bullish signals triggered
Green "B": from PRISM Signals (my Buy/Sell strategy script based on pSAR-based oscillator set, with its own modified-RSI/StochRSI and Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk oscillator)
Large Green "BUY" signal: Generated from LIVIDITIUM V4 (bundled set-of-indicators script based on price interaction with dynamic levels constructed based on mathematical conjugation of the quadratic solutions of the golden ration equation, vs. historical trends for BTC; coupled with other tests).
Cyan "GX": 50/15 candles Golden Gross! -- from LIVIDITIUM V4
RED "GX": 200/50 candles Golden Gross! -- from LIVIDITIUM V4
Green "Bull Pivot Signal: -- from LIVIDITIUM V4 (Secret Sauce)
Green "Rev?" Signal: -- from LIVIDITIUM V4 (Secret Sauce)
(Waiting for confirmation on the 1D chart)
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Note:
In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
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Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (multi-levels standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
PRISM (pSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators),
PDF (parabolic SAR /w HighLow Trends Indicator/Bar-color-marking + Dynamic Fib Retrace and Extension Level)
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
BTC looks like it want to head to the 11470 USD level (1D Chart)To retest the upper resistance level.
Will it be able to break through and find support?
Longer term trend still looking somewhat bearish. However the longer BTC stays within the upper half of the descending triangle, the oscillators will gradually evolve towards looking more positive on the longer term as well.
Comparison of PRISM and FG-DIVERGENCE generated Buy/Sell SignalsPRISM Signals (Lime/Red)
Buy/Sell signals based on filtered pSAR-based Monemtum/Acceleration/Jerk oscillator.
[ p.Doji ] marks points of market-indecisiveness, and where typically, significant volatility and movement is about to occur ahead.
FG-DIVERGENCE V4 {50/15-Series} (Light-Blue/Orange)
Buy/Sell signals based on Momentum/Acceleration hybridized FUSIONGAPS oscillator.
Seems to have a high hit-rate for local tops and bottoms at different time-frames.
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The above are based on the following two respective Indicators
PRISM Signals
FG-DIVERGENCE V4 {50/15-Series}
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Related Indicators
PRISM {PSAR+RSI/STOCH/MAJ Oscillator Set}
FUSIONGAPS V4 {50/15-Series}
FG-DIVERGENCE V4 {50/15-Series}
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Note:
In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
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~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~
Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (multi-levels standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
PRISM (pSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators),
PDF (parabolic SAR /w HighLow Trends Indicator/Bar-color-marking + Dynamic Fib Retrace and Extension Level)
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
[Quick Guide] PRISM Signals & PDF indicators.
The PRISM Signals appears to work well especially at lower time-frames (even down to 5 min candles).
The key is to maximizing true-positives is to carefully optimize the input parameters and scoring weights and detection thresholds for a specific given chart and timeframe.
See also the 5 mins chart:
Also shown here is the PDF script, which provides: dynamic Fib levels, pSAR indicator, as well as 2 levels standard deviation bands (disabled here).
The thickest green/red limes are the local-top/bottom lines. Adjust the Fib Input Range accordingly to ensure that the local highs/lows are accurately captured.
The 61.8% levels are the thicker blue lines, and the purple lines are additional levels derived base on the mathematical conjugation between Fib levels.
Again, it is highly recommended to carefully check/optimize the input parameters for a given chart/timeframe against historical trends before proceeding to use it.
This script also provides consecutive higher/lower-highs/lows detection, which is disabled here.
Various features of these scripts can be manually Enabled/Disabled by the users to keep the chart neat.
Even though these scripts are constructed from a set of indicators, it is still highly advised to be used in conjunction with other analysis such as: trendlines, volume, and other indicators, etc., as well as analyzing and comparing with higher/lower timeframes, to help filter out or identify possible risk of false-positives to maximize your success rate.
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Indicators used:
PRISM Signals (Color and Stdev bands disabled here) -- Algorithm to generate scoring-based bullish/bearish signals derived from the PRISM oscillators set.
PDF {pSAR /w HiLo Trends + Fib Retrace/Extension Levels} -- Parabolic SAR /w HighLow Trends Indicator/Bar-color-marking + Dynamic Fib Retrace and Extension Level.
Ichimoku Cloud {Cybernetwork} -- Ichimoku Cloud with modified parameters.
Related Indicator:
PRISM Oscillator -- pSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators
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Note:
In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~
Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (multi-levels standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
Bull/Bear Scenarios and conditions.PRISM's pSAR-based RSI looks to be reset on the 3hr timescale, but not yet on the 1D timescale, hint that there is still a bit more downside to go.
BTC expected to fall to 9176 USD support in the short term.
If it finds strong support there, will expect it to bounce back to 10788 USD (61.8% on the PDF dynamic Fib-level, hidden here) and at also where the top resistance trendline is.
However, if it falls below support (expected to be ~8991 USD) and rebounds to retest support-turned-resistance at 9176 USD, then expect BTC to likely drop all the way down to 8220 USD.
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See earlier related BTCUSD analysis:
Combination of Bearish BTCUSD signals emerged. 9550USD next?
BTC to 8350 USD (200ema), if fail to hold @ 9400 USD (100ema)
www.tradingview.com