BTCUSD - What has been, will be againLooking at the past market cycles of BTCUSD, a striking similarity presents itself with the current market conditions: the top of the logarithmic growth curve has so far perfectly predicted cycle tops, while the lowest end of the curve has with less precision - but nonetheless - shown us the respective cycle bottom. If we apply the fibonacci extension to the respective market-cycle tops and bottoms we can see that the mid-cycle dip which we are in right now has so far ALWAYS found its bottom at the 1.618 fibonacci extension of the previous cycle's top - in this case at 30K.
These intracycle dips have so far always occured arround the 0.5 band of the logarithmic growth curve, which is also the case as of now. Due to the lengthening cycles of BTC, we may see the price touching the upper limit of the growth curve in 2022 at the earliest IMO. The current consolidation is therefore giving a very good long-term entry opportunity with a good R:R.
Vires in Numeris.
(Not financial advice)
Logarithmicgrowth
Bitcoin's Descending Triangle Target: $24K (Mind The Gap)Bitcoin's imperfect descending triangle currently targeting a measured move to $24K volume support zone. The $20K level of VPVR strong support also lines up with the logarithmic growth support trend-line. Short term looks bearish, long-term looks like a buy the dip opportunity before 6 figures.
Never underestimate the accuracy of Bitcoin's descending triangle measured move targets, if the breakdown is confirmed:
For alternative broadening wedge theory and bullish buy the dip scenario, see here:
BTCUSD: Over-extended beyond mid-level of logarithmic curveAfter passing the mid-level by February 2021 of the current cycle, with an anticipated top around December 2021, are we over-extended in the current bull market cycle? Notably each cycle from lower band of the logarithmic curve to the upper band has increased in velocity in each movement. I still believe in $100K+ by the end of 2021, but $50K already?
Logirthmic Curve & Network Growth : $100K in 2021?
BTCUSD: Monthly Log Chart A logarithmic look at the evolution of BTC price since its very early days
The following key takeaways:
BTC tends to extend only about 1/5 of its prior impulse move measured in terms of % increase;
BTC tends to react ≈38.20% on a logarithmic scale to form a correctional bear market;
The sub $80k area is a pivotal area to look for supply inflows.
This analysis suggests an earlier-than-expected onset of bull trend maturity stage in the upcoming few months, which might correct this lower to the $20k area.