TuSimple Releases 2021 Q3 Finanical ReportBank of America reiterated TuSimple at a 'buy' rating, with a target price of USD 60. The bank said TuSimple had plenty of liquidity despite still losing money in the third quarter.
According to TuSimple's financial announcement for the third quarter of 2021:
- The revenue was USD 1.80 million, increasing by 205.65% compared with the same period last year.
- The net loss was USD 115 million, increasing by 28.56% compared with the same period last year.
- The research and development expenditure increased by 40.75% to USD 84.51 million.
- The revenue cost was USD 3.49 million.
- The sales and marketing expenses were USD 910,000.
- The general and administrative expenses were USD 28.83 million.
- TuSimple holds USD 1,41 million in cash and cash equivalents as of September, 30.
- At the end of the reporting period, TuSimple's road mileage was 5.4 million miles (about 8.69 million kilometers), showing an upward trend of 17% compared with last month. Among them, the fully automated truck bookings totaled 6,875, 100 more than that in the second quarter; and map mapping miles totaled 9,900 miles, growing 16% from last quarter.
- TuSimple expects the full-year revenue would be USD 5 million to USD 7 million, with USD 200 million to USD 220 million investments in research and development.
Logistics
SF Holding’s Net Profit Drops by Nearly 70% in the 1st 3Q 2021The acquisition of Kerry Logistics assets reached CNY 200 billion.
SF Holding released its Q3 earnings report for the period ended September 30, 2021, on October 28.
· Operating income was CNY 47.5 billion, a 23.5% year-on-year increase.
· Net income was CNY 1.0 billion, a 43.5% year-on-year decrease.
· Gross margin decreased by 6.8%.
· Completed 51.5% shares of Kerry Logistics, followed by a 71.4% increase in SF holding’s total asset
The First three-quarter financial reports for the logistics firm are as below:
· Operating income was CNY 135.9 billion, a 23.97% year-on-year increase.
· Net income was CNY 1.8 billion, a 67.9% year-on-year decrease.
· Shipments reached 7.7 billion in the first three quarters, with 36.39% growth.
· The government subsidy included in the profit reached CNY 630 million.
Through the acquisition of Kerry Logistics, the improvement of SF holding’s international business layout will continue to accelerate its operating capabilities for the foreseeable future. Therefore, the recovery of SF Holdings' profitability is expected to rise in the future.
Imminent Drop For CHRW?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box for which we are due. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on October 19, 2021 with a closing price of 97.56.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 95.8 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 3.929% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 6.523% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 12.32% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 7 trading bars; half occur within 13 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 25 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Big Cup and handleThis is a bullish chart.
1600 % free.
Good project, let's be in it before the others. :)
VeChain (VET) Is Priming to Break Resistance At $0.14 Cents VeChain is a pumper. It was one of the altcoins to experience a very heavy loss in May officially going from $0.28 cents to bottoming out at $0.05 cents in July. An eye watering 80% loss from its all time high. As of right now VeChain has been trading sideways from $0.11 cents to $0.14 for the past 3-4 weeks.
Currently we're oversold on the daily stochastic RSI and still have some run-up on the original RSI. I believe we can hit over $0.14 cents this month and flip this huge resistance in to support with all the positive momentum coming into the market. Once we break above the Fibonacci Level 0.382 there will be a great chance to run-up to the 0.5 level at $0.16 cents.
Also the Bitcoin dominance has been dropping which is good for some positive altcoin price action. VeChain is still fundamentally a very powerful cryptocurrency with virtually no competitors. The amount of partnerships VeChain has is vast and will continue to expand it's use case into many different industries. VeChain will do well in this upcoming phase in the bull market. If the chance presents itself again to get in at $0.10 cents or below it would be a nice level to add to the bags.
Support: $0.11 Cents
Resistance: $0.14 Cents
We're overbought on the 4 hour time frames to keep that in mind. Cheers! Much peace, love, health, and wealth!
Our Globalized WorldNow that Q3 earnings season it is time to return to the fundamentals. In light of the current turmoil in the middle east, today we will talk about globalization. One of the most interesting things about global financial markets is that they are all connected in one way or another. I like to compartmentalize globalization into two general categories supply chains and political influences. In today’s episode, we will focus on supply chains.
When providing context into supply chains, I do not think there is a better example than Apple’s iPhone. Of course, the iPhone was designed back in Cupertino, CA, but the supply chain runs into multiple different countries. The complexity is mind-boggling, there are over 175 individual components. Additionally, the design and assembly of these components also happen in distinct parts of the world, in the US and China. The complexity is all done in an attempt to reduce costs by outsources cheap parts and labor but it also comes with associated risks. If one link in the chain breaks then the probability of success is essentially broken. A perfect example of this is the automotive industry. Following the reopening of countries around the world due to the COVID-19 induced shut down, assembly lines around the world were closed. As things ramp back up, a delay in a single component, no matter how minimal, can cause significant disruptions.
Another inlet to the supply chain is shipping channels. Back in March 2021, there was an incident with a cargo ship that became barged in the Suez Canal. If you are unfamiliar with the Suez Canal, it significantly reduces travel time from the Indian Ocean to the Atlantic. The bargain is not only delayed the individual ship but every ship behind it. This created delays throughout the global shipping community that results in months and millions in delays. This is example is not limited to boats but can be seen in any transportation medium, such as the hacking of the Colonial Pipeline which created petroleum shortages across the East coast. Supply chain disruptions could hit any industry at any time.
The most significant feature of this trend is that shipping rates have been rising for over 30 years and there is no end to the trend. Even in the COVID-induced recession shipping rates rose. As companies optimize costs through increased globalization, the risk of supply chain disruptions also increases a counterproductive tradeoff.
Personally, I like and own the company $GSL which will benefit from the crosswinds either way. The company owns and operates shipping vessels around the world. As volumes increase their pricing power expands. In the unlikely scenario where volumes begin to decrease they will still maintain market share and become cash flowing machine. Additionally, if the industry consolidates then decreasing shipping rates will incentivize companies to continue to invest abroad. The company had a couple of problematic years due to the increased political tension during Donald Trump’s tariff-friendly administration but has been on the rise ever since. If there is a continued globalization-friendly administration the stock could continue to outperform. In particular general performance to the DJT (Dow Transportation Index), it has been a laggard. Potential for mean-reversion?
CXO/CargoX First of July ACI Mandatory in Egypt Update 2Hello,
CargoX ( KUCOIN:CXOBTC / KUCOIN:CXOETH ) is still right on track for the mandatory launch of the Egypt ACI System.
The candles have finally deviated from the blue arrow predictions.
This is an update from my last post on the 2nd of June:
Hello,
Even with recent price movements of Bitcoin and Ethereum , CargoX ( (CXOBTC*BTCUSDT+CXOETH*ETHUSDT)/2 ) has been able to keep the price stable / rising.
After some analysis I figured the best way to look at its price was via USD as the coin will be bought by business for a set price in dollars.
Egyptian government announcement about CargoX and ACI system: www (dot) nafeza (dot) gov (dot) eg/en/site/aci-details
The upcoming event, Lets look at some numbers:
Egypt has an yearly average container port throughput of approximately 6.5M TEU
Lets take the conservative estimation that import/export is about 50/50; However, this source leans to more import than export:
3.25M TEU Yearly; About every 1.45 TEU requires a Bill of Lading document which costs 15$ worth of CXO:
So about 2.275M BoL yearly with a total cost of: 34.125M dollar.
Currently the whitepaper of CargoX states a 70% burn rate: Thus 23.9M dollar worth of CXO burned every year. Every year. From Egypt alone.
With these estimates CargoX is looking to have a very bright future, together with those who are holding the token.
Please let me know your thoughts about the estimation.
Sources:
Yearly TEU Egypt: www (dot) ceicdata (dot) com/en/indicator/egypt/container-port-throughput
Import/Export: unctadstat (dot) unctad (dot) org /countryprofile/maritimeprofile/en-gb/818/index (dot) html
Price BoL: help (dot) cargox (dot) digital/en/user-manual/documents-and-pricing/pricing-policy/#pricing-example
Burn rate / Bluepaper: (Burn rate: cargox (dot) info/files/CargoX-Business-Overview-Technology-Bluepaper (dot) pdf )
Vechain is a strong crab!crab harmonic pattern:
AB=0.38 XA
BC=0.38 AB
tp1=2.6 BC=$0.1 *reached*
tp2=3.6 BC=$0.25 *reached*
tp3=0.88 XA=$0.49
tp4=1.13 XA=$2.23
tp5=6.85 BC=$4.85
tp6=1.41 XA=$12.46
tp7=1.6 XA=$45
Vechain (VET) Retesting 14 Cents!Big weekend ahead for Vechain and the of the cryptocurrency market. We have very important resistances to break the first being $0.14 cents for Vechain. As of right now we're at the doorsteps of retesting it.
If we fail to break this we may have choppy waters ahead potentially going back down to below $0.10 cents in a worse case scenario but good if you want to load up heavy on more Vechain. We've been making higher lows that's always a nice sign. I hope nobody is sleeping on Vechain as this project is primed to be a $100 Billion dollar market in the near future. There is simply no other cryptocurrency addressing supply chain, data, and logistical issues on a global enterprise level.
We have have Bitcoin 2021 in Miami June 4th - 5th so we'll see how this conference affects the overall tone and sentiment of Bitcoin going forward. It is estimated that more than 50,000 people will be attending which is a record so we'll see if this will have a positive effect on the markets. I'll be there!
Much peace, love, health, and wealth. Stack crypto safe and hodl with grace =]
Vechain (VET) Symmetrical Triangle Forming to $30 cents.Since my last call on April 4th VeChain (VET) has been up over 150% in the past two weeks. I knew VeChain (VET) wouldn't be trading at $0.10 cents for too long considering what VeChain is, the current market sentiment, and the global supply chain & logistics problems they're revolutionizing. If we breakout of our symmetrical triangle to the upside I believe we will retest $0.28 cents. If not I expect us to hold steady above trading at $0.20 cents. For the past 2 weeks we've also been producing higher lows.
To put things in a quick perspective according to research and consulting firm Armstrong & Associates Inc. The global logistics market was $9.6 trillion in 2018 and is expected to surpass $12 trillion by 2023. If VeChain we're to even capture 1% of a $12 trillion global logistics market that would put Vechain at a $120 billion from it's current $15 billion market cap. That's not even counting the monumental capital coming into the cryptocurrency markets. VeChain is the first mover in when it comes to supplychain blockchain technology. So when big corporations are looking to utilize cryptocurrency technology to replace antiquated logistics systems VeChain will most likely be at the discussion table. Bitcoin and Ethereum aren't specifically solving logistics and supply chain problems when it comes to enterprise.
It seems like VeChain is making strides to capturing a significant portion of the global supply chain & logistics industry everyday. The Internet of Things (IOT) is upon us. I've been saying that VeChain to a $1 is a very real possibility this cycle. Much peace, love, health, and wealth!
Home Depot should be in your WatchListThere is a macro narrative underway that is wildly bullish for Home Depot.
The fuse being lit here under a MASSIVE bull run evident within the latest WSJ article. Get ready for a flood of improvements and investments in homes. Keep in mind how cash flush consumers are, and how pent up they have been in their homes. The WSJ certainly made the case when they said:
"The estimate represents a 52% rise in the nation’s home shortage compared with 2018, the first time Freddie Mac quantified the shortfall."
“We should have almost four million more housing units if we had kept up with demand the last few years,” Mr. Khater said. “This is what you get when you underbuild for 10 years.”
Housing my friends is about to get red red hot.
www.wsj.com
Let's also take a peek at flatbed capacity folks. Flatbeds provide capacity for the construction sector and massive commodities within the logistics sector. New truck sales are up ...gulp 424% in march!
www.ttnews.com
Demand is wild, but who are going to drive all of these trucks with a driver shortage underway at exactly the same time?
Load postings (loads shippers need transported) are up +129.9% Y/Y
Truck postings (trucks available to haul loads) -6.9% Y/Y
-Stats provided by DAT
Let's drill in a bit further folks! This upcoming ratio is a bit like saying... the average temperature in North America is 70.7 degrees Fahrenheit, or 21.5 degrees Celsius for our friends across the pond. Not very helpful if you are trying to zero in to the Florida market vs the Alaska market. But regardless this data is stunning as the current load-to-truck ratio for flatbed is over 80 loads per trucks. In some very hot markets it is well over 120 loads per truck. Think about what that means! The average driver has over 80 loads to select from before hauling his freight. This enables him to bid himself much higher. Obviously this cost to manufacturers and distributors or even those providing raw goods in lowlier verticals all can not just shoulder this costs - it must get passed on to consumers. Clearly this will result in further inflation pressure. It is stunning if you think of it that Dr Michael Burry predicted that the inflation pressures would be observed initially within supply chains...and yes he nailed it.
Citation of chart displaying Load-to-truck ratio:
www.facebook.com
There are many ways to monetize the current situation. And I recommend a plethora of strategies to diversify risk. And this includes exposure to transportation equity products, building materials, commodities, construction starts, and yes Home Depot.
The final comment I have - and please keep in mind I do not subscribe to political tribalism, I play it monk like focused on how we can be opportunistic in any environment-if Biden passes the infrastructure package again this would lead to a massive supply crunch in many of the areas outlined above. Especially flatbed capacity. Keep in mind flatbed seasonality typically does not kick up until May-June when housing and construction starts are heating up.
As always dear traders if you found this content helpful please be sure to like, share, and perhaps tell me what I may be missing in my content here.
Final content share that is a MUST READ. Manufacturing PMI is at 64.7% ... So for those unfamiliar with what that means if the PMI index is under 50 we are in a state of contraction, growth mode is evident with numbers above 50. A reading of 64.7% is frankly remarkable.
www.ismworld.org
Pivot Points
Bollingers/EMA/Volume
Can you see the trend friends?
Home Depot is great as well because keep in mind on days equities sold off in the broader market, they continued to march higher as well.
Let the roaring 20's commence! And please be sure to follow me on TradingView as I will let you know any helpful content I can find as we navigate through the rest of this decade.
Good fortunes to you dear traders!
Logistic curve - explain everythingIn trading cryptocurrency practice, the questions arise such as:
- how to predict how long the crisis or euphoria phase from the arrival of money will be?
- when to expect the next collapse?
- what to do between explicit margin calls?
- what information to rely on and how to weed out irrelevant?
Observing the market and its reaction to the news in the background, including the preparation of the collapse, you can notice that the news alternates: good - bad - good - bad - ... If the news does not carry the size of the apocalypse, they are usually grouped to enhance the impact. The spread of information in society or the growth of a population with certain information can be schematically represented by a logistic curve.
At first, few people are interested in a certain instrument. Investors are afraid of buying it, and its price fluctuates around the origin. At this time, the elite, single-handedly possessing important information, begin to buy it, the price rises slightly. In the next step, the information is shared with a small group of insiders. Individual purchases develop into active buying. The price of the instrument starts growing rapidly. The crowd is perplexed and cannot understand what is the reason. At the third stage, news comes out and investors, fearing don't catch the last train out of town, buy this instrument. At the same time, the “elite” and “confidants” happily sell to them at the maximum price (with joy, because at this time the “elite” has new information that the "elite" took into account, a new logistic curve begins in another instrument or the same, but in reverse, sales begin). The third stage ends when the whole society knows about what's happening. They discuss it on public transport, everyone who could have already made a decision and bought it. There is no one else to sell.
The most important thing is to determine at what stage the price of the asset is now, which you paid attention to, and about which you received some information. To buy some kind of cryptocurrency and remain a holder for the rest of your life is an unattractive prospect. If you buy a cryptocurrency, then either with the ability to receive superprofits, or with the possibility of project growth in the long term, or both. You should decide if there is a bet on the value growth. I will not show complex mathematical calculations, so as not to scare away the reader. Elliott waves can be recognized and applied.
The main thing is not to get into the crowd at stage 3. In fact, if from every possible angle(financial newspapers, news sites, on TV) there is a discussion of an idea, it is no longer news, this crowds of investors are being misled, and this idea should not be used as a defining one for your actions (unless with a different direction, just the opposite).
Best regards EXCAVO
VeChain (VET) Next Stop 10 Cents.VeChain has been itching to achieve an all time high of 10 cents. We've been trading between a low $0.08 cents - $0.095 cents since March 20th. It seems like the VeChain train is waiting a little longer for people to board before the next journey beyond $0.10 Cents. We have also been flirting with the 50 day moving average re-testing and bouncing off of it. It also seems like entries for positions at or below the 50 day moving average has yielded some positive gains.
As I've said before VeChain is the blockchain for enterprise, logistics, inventory management, and supply chain distribution for small and big business. VeChain virtually has no competitors, expansive partnerships from small businesses to governments, and is a first mover in blockchains when it comes to these industries of business.
Personally I believe VeChain will run way past 10 cents by to top of this bull cycle and has the potential to be a top 10 cryptocurrency. There is real world use case and applications being built on VeChain almost everyday. VeChain will continue to develop and revolutionize our antiquated logistics and supply chain systems we use today throughout the rest of 2021. Even at almost 10 cents VeChain has been undervalued in my opinion and still has room for a lot of upside. I still believe VeChain has a $1 potential this bull cycle in cryptocurrency.
Much peace, love, health, and wealth!
Vechain (VET) Most Undervalued Cryptocurrency $1 Potential.Everything from luxury goods, counterfeit prevention, wine, vehicles, NFTs, Covid19, healthcare, distribution, art, food, ect... The first 5-star-rated blockchain service provider in the world Vechain is the swiss army knife of blockchains. Vechain (VET) I believe is perhaps one of the most undervalued cryptocurrency in the space this year. Having a vast network of partnerships it is the most publicly and widely used blockchain network used by governments, small businesses, and enterprises worldwide solving a real global problems and more. In a nutshell Vechain is the blockchain for the supply chain and logistics industry.
As of right now Vechain has a long way to go before it even hits a new Bitcoin price discovery phase. We've been trading below the .236 Fibocannci level since September 2020 for less than 100 satoshis!!!! In a sense this can indicate that Vechain still has a massive amount of growth especially if Bitcoin drops in dominance. In the short term our price target is 105 Satoshi.
I'm not normally one to give big price predictions but based on fundamentals and tokenomics I believe Vechain has $1 potential this bull cycle. Especially if we consider that this may be a Bitcoin " Super Cycle" due to our current political and economic environment from the effects of COVID-19 on our global monetary system. There's a current circulation supply of 64,315,576,989 VET and Max Supply 86,712,634,466 so we're getting closer to no more Vechain coming into circulation.
As of right now dollar value of Vechain rounded out is roughly $0.05 cents with a current market cap of $3,000,000,000. Multiplied by a 20x and this gives us a $1.00 Vechain with a 60 Billion dollar market cap which in my opinion is not too far fetched considering a mutli-trillion dollar cryptocurrency market cap, what Vechain is, and the industry they're revolutionizing.
Remember Vechain is a first mover and has first mover advantage in its space. You know me I always keep a fat bag for the long term been accumulating since it was less than a penny. Keep Vechain on you radar this project has extremely strong fundamentals. Much peace, love, health, and wealth!
[50%] VET / USDTAnalysis :
- Hidden bullish divergence
- RSI EMA
- fib retracement : first target 0.07
VeChain (VET) is a blockchain-powered supply chain platform. Begun in 2015 and launched in June 2016, VeChain aims to use distributed governance and Internet of Things (IoT) technology to create an ecosystem which solves some of the major problems with supply chain management.
The platform uses two in-house tokens, VET and VTHO, to manage and create value based on its VeChainThor public blockchain.
The idea is to boost the efficiency, traceability and transparency of supply chains while reducing costs and placing more control in the hands of individual users.