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BTC - ALL POSSIBLE OUTCOMESAll possible outcomes for #btc this year. At the beginning of 2018, the year end prediction was around $40,000 USD by December. However, the correction lasted longer than expected and almost half the year has passed, turning the previous prediction quite unrealistic, as the price would have to appreciate some 400% in the next 7 months. The logarithmic chart drawn below shows us all possible movements for the next few months. The support line initiated in 2015, which was a result of the 2014 correction. The two other support lines begin at the beginning of the last major price appreciation at $5400. In the Long term, the perspective is that BTC's price action will continue to rise. But what is also apparent is that the correction has not yet finished. Our target price on the down side is between 5,500 and 4,000 USD. The resistances have being projected using the descending triangle formed by the intersection of the long term support and the angles of the most recent corrections.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by VictorWallerSadalla
CLOAK/BTC (CloakCoin) “Last Move Hit >17X! New Wedge Formed!”CLOAK/BTC, 5/23/18, analysis completed at 9:00 PM EST, by Michael Mansfield.  Hi trader friends, for this post I am using “3 day” price bars with Candlestick wicks removed. And, we are using Log Scale, which can make a huge difference in look and analysis results. Read why below. But first... BOTTOM LINE FOR CLOAKCOIN: CloakCoin is likely in the late stage of a cyclical correction down. Cyclical UP-move due next. Must first break above this wedge formation @ 0.000148 (or higher, to be safe). 1st measured move price target up from there = 0.60 to 0.0066. 2nd target up = 0.0133, the highest yellow dashed line. 3rd target up = 0.0175, the upper paralleled channel line (white) on or around December 21, 2018, if we get the breakout up. Cycle highs are due November 9th and December 21st, 2018, for these two cycles. Bullish view negated if a 4 hour close below 0.00076 (dashed pink breakdown line). If breakout down, target becomes a likely consolidation down to 0.0002950 to 0.0002350 area. CloakCoin has been around since 2014 and, like some successful cryptos, has experience a few huge moves to the upside. Watch this one. MEASURED MOVE TARGETS HAVE WORKED WELL ON CLOAKCOIN. TARGET FOR EARLIEST MOVE ON THIS CHART: I measure the first all-time high and the subsequent lowest low move (1st vertical green arrow, far left of the chart). Copied that arrow, and added that price move amount to the first wedge breakout point of 0.00023 in March, 2017 (second vertical green arrow). That price range amount added to the prior wedge breakout point forecasted and matched the next all-time high in June, 2017, of 0.0038 on a closing basis! Subsequent price move amounted to a 16.5X move from the breakout point! That was not even from the low of the price swing before the breakout up. That would have been a move of 34.5X! WOW! Big move and perfect symmetry again (we talked about symmetrical price moves on our last post). CURRENT PRICE TARGETS: I measured the price range from the all-time high of rounding it to 0.0038 (closing basis) to the Andrews Pitchfork lower support line (lowest solid red line moving upward) at 0.0001886. Then, add that price range to what is likely to be the next breakout at the cyan (light blue) wedge resistance line (moving down off the all-time high tapping the recent swing high on a closing basis, on April 16th, of roughly 0.0001480. That range measures to an initial price target of 0.0066 area, a roughly 44x potential move! This potential move does not look like a 44x move because of the log scaling, but it would be! WEDGE BREAKOUT UP NEEDED BY MID JULY: VOLUME FORCE OSCILLATOR SUPPORTS BULLISH CASE: Klinger Volume Force, in the lower window, is trending up within its oscillation. It is likely to hit its lower support line within a week or two, then move higher as price rallies toward a wedge breakout. Be ready to buy the breakout up! The dashed white line is the Volume Force oscillator’s support line, from two prior swing lows ago, is a risk point for a breakout down instead of up. This is the same theory as breakouts from a wedges 2nd swing high or low breakout point. The 2nd swing point offers a high probability of a sustained move, but less of a move had you acted sooner. CYCLES: Longer-term cycle is up until December 3-12th. Shorter-term cycle (cyan color) is moving down until July 9-12 then up until November 9-12, 2018. Since larger cycles almost always dominate, the downward movement of this smaller cyan cycle may bottom sooner than the smaller cycle suggests. DISCLOSURE:   This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!   Cheers!  Michael Mansfield CIO  
CLong
by UnknownUnicorn1613901
2
SIMPLE IS BETTER -> BTCUSD 1W LOG downtrends breakouts analysisBITSTAMP:BTCUSD SIMPLE IS BETTER, so I'll keep it short. Elements on the chart: - Teal line - THE uptrend - Two dotted lines - long-term resistances (and targets) - White lines - downtrends - Pink circles - the current situation reference to the past one - Green drawing - my (rather unreliable) projection of price Long-term charts tend to tell the truth more often, as they are less susceptible to manipulation. So far every downtrend (white line) breakout at this scale was legit (= no fakeouts). Of course patterns do repeat until they don't , but let's be reasonable - BTC does respect downtrend breakout pattern since always. Why the hell would I bet against it now? The facts end here, the rest is my speculation. So I think we are in the same spot as marked by the first pink circle. The pattern is even similar. If so, we should see a pullback to the second yellow (dotted) resistance (same as in the past) This would project BTC at around $50k at end of this year. Of course be prepared for anything . Watch if the pattern will hold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by scolilay
6
TRUST the whales, LOVE the whales, BE th.. no.Go with the whales. I want to start an open discussion on the psychological side that whales love to manipulate so nicely. (this goes for little whales on alts as well) We all know that whales eat tiny fish that are really tasty. And so if you don't want to be eaten do not stand in their way. It's as simple as that. But the natural question that occurs in one's minds is, How do I know when a whale wants to eat (me)? Bitcoin is at its crucial/crux point for the last few weeks and one could argue that the crux is always the present moment but let us leave that for another discussion maybe. We all seen the recent "anomaly" in crypto that occurred on 2018-04-12 where whales killed many standing fish and furthermore attracted a lot more from alts so that they can get in at lower prices. It was an amazing move and an isolated case concerning Bitcoin and ALTS/BTC pairs (the ALTS/USD prices went up along with BTC/USD). There was to be expected a big move from the whales after such a long stagnant period. The point that I am trying to get across is think like a whale: "If the market is going for some time on a more or less straight line how can I f*** up the market and make nice profit? OOo look FISH (mmmmm) :) that are still in FUD and FoMO and don't really know where to go... let's kill some." See, in this case, you just had to wait them make the first move and buy some cheap alts (ALTS/BTC pairs or ALTS/USD pairs as well) and probably swing trade them. Don't try to resist them and understand that they always want to squeeze the most out of the market and in the current state of the market even more so. That is one of the reasons why is still think we will get to see a lower BTC bottom. I won't get into prices on this educational idea, for that you can check/follow:
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by qqqpoilove
SUB/BTC Trading Opportunity SUB is looking very bullish . I have signaled entry at 0.00004715. Now it had reached the 50% gain. It is getting resisted by the previous high at 0.00007250. Looking for the break out. New entry can be made when the 0.00007250 level breaks and closes above. The final target will be at 0.00011801, which will gain about 65%. Good Luck! This is not a financial advice, and please trade at your own risk. If you like this analysis please hit like so I can publish more analysis in the future.
S
by blee300
NOT OUT OF THE WOODS YETRight now, it's make or break for Bitcoin. We are currently testing December's resistance line. On the Auto-Scale, we broke through that line already, but not on the logscale. The overall sentiment is bullish and I don't get why to be quite honest with you. Yes, we had a 30% increase in two weeks. Yes, we are forming higher highs and higher lows short term. However, that does NOT change the fact that we are far away from being in a bull market. People tend to forget what the longterm price action is telling us. Notice how each time the RSI reached 60 level while price touched the resistance line, BTC dropped big time . We've been forming lower highs since December . What's so bullish about that? Additionally, I see BTC forming a huge rising wedge on the daily chart, which, combined with the afore mentioned factors, is anything but "obviously bullish" . The 12.500$-11.200$ has proven to be a key zone multiple times. I'm going to turn bullish, once we get a sustained breakthrough at that zone. Right now, I see three potential scenarios for BTC. 1 . Price fails to break through the resistance and we get a nasty drop towards a new low (I'm anticipating 5.500$ - 5.000$) and see how things go from there. 2 . We get a low volume break through and form some sort of a double top at the blue zone ( 9.000$ - 9.300$ ) and fall below the rising wedge, forming a new low. 3 . We actually get a trend reversal (less likely in my oppinion) and retest the 11k$ level. Anyways, right now is not the time to take either long or short positions. Whales are doing their thing and the overall price behavior is anything but predictable right now. Price is increasing, while volume is decreasing. There are random pumps & dumps taking place. Before taking any positions, I highly recommend everybody to WAIT for a UPSIDE/DOWNSIDE CONFIRMATION. That's it from my side, I'm going to keep you guys updated! Regards Shaheen
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by ShaheenFahmy
10
BTC - Bull or Bust?It is an important moment for the long term trend of BTC. Looking at the simple log chart you can see that we are coming to the end of a wedge that was formed between a crucial upward support line in red and the downward resistance trend line in green. If BTC breaks above the green trend line and confirms the line as support, that would be an extremely bullish scenario and would likely be able to easily hit the 78.6% retrace. From there we would likely see heavy resistance at ~$9850. If it can break this, I will put one horn on. if it can conquer $11800 resistance, i'll put the other one on and the bear will be slain. If BTC confirms the green line as heavy resistance and breaks down below $7750, it will signal a short down to around the $6850 area, and it could potentially go lower. I believe this would heavily destroy the market sentiment and we could potentially break down below the red line and see a 100% retrace. If it goes down further, the next couple stops would be likely be ~$5350 and ~$4800 based on the volume profile and old supports from before the ATH. It is important to watch exactly what happens and WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION before making trades. *All of this is not financial advice, I am not a financial adviser. I am just merely sharing likely scenarios based on this crucial moment in time*
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by TheCryptobaught
2
[BTC] One Small Burst Up for Bitcoin Before Correction?Hey everyone! I've really been enjoying creating charts here, lately i've had lot of luck using trendlines, fibonacci levels, patterns, etc when it comes to crypto. Posting my charts helps me to be more accurate by explaining stuff out. So if you've got some alternate chart layouts or different TA methods, comment below! So BTC here.. In my BTC post from a week ago, I hypothesized an Adam & Eve Double Bottom is starting to form for a longer term reversal. Those lines are still here but their faded to keep the chart clean and I made the rounded "Eve" bottom dashed since it's still forming and not set in stone. It is NOT a line of resistance or support, only an educated guess on the general direction. Key Points : ~ I've changed the lower bright red line from dashed to solid. Starting from the November '17 lows, extending through Feb '18 lows, it provided a near perfect support for the recent lows on April 1st. That's three consecutive points of significant support which makes it strong. ~ The Thinner dark red line is also important here. it provided support then became resistance. Right now BTC is testing it as it intersects with the upper bright red downtrend line from all time highs, which has never been a support. ~ The 50-Day SMA in Blue is running down along the downtrend line which is creating a confluence of three resistance levels (Red Downtrend, Red Support, Blue 50 D SMA) ~ The price is starting whipsaw around the thin dark red line. It's already broken above it as it nears the 50 D SMA and Downtrend line. My Hypothesis : I'm still holding on to the A&E Reversal idea. Short term, I think we can see price move up one more short leg before getting squeezed between the downtrend line and rising dark red line. From there we should begin a correction. Not enough data to say what happens after that. We could see a retest of the strong red support line before heading back up. But we could have a small correction then continued bull run. In a very bullish scenario, on a long term chart, I could possibly see this triangle being a "Running Triangle" starting from Nov '17 lows. That would suggest that we are in Elliott Wave E now and are about to break out upwards. I might make a separate chart on that later.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by NYFinancials
BTC looks so ugly on the LOG SCALE.NO FUD here just facts ! Let's get right into this. Looking at the Linear scale ( ) BTC looks as if it has broke the down trend coming from ATH. but then the momentum is very slow,this is not how the market should response to a MAJOR break out like this. usually when such a break out like this happens, we see massive increase in volume as well as PRICE. but this just did not happen , why so ?? looking at the LOG scale here > ( which most of the time give a BETTER observation and understanding ) we see that BTC is approaching the MAIN DOWN TREND and have not broke above as in the Linear scale. therefore he are 2 scenarios which may happen from right NOW to 2-4 days AT MOST. 1- BTC will touch or nearly touch the trend line and bounce back down in a very ugly way ! 2- BTC breakes up , close above and then take off to 11K in no TIME. what do i think ?? I do not want to guess the market, am moving my long potions SL which most entered at down trend 64**$. just a few hundreds from current price. and i am going to wait for the action to happen , i prefer to jump in a bit late than TOO EARLY. btw this apply to alt coins too. once BTC starts moving everything will follow and vice versa. do not say i did'nt warn ya :D Good luck
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by MikeMoh
6