GBPUSD: Updated Chart, Price is Approaching Buying Zone! FX:GBPUSD
As we previously stated in our chart that we expect price to drop nearby to our entry zone however, price continued to rise and then started dropping please be minded that there Amy be early price mitigation due to this vary reason. In our opinion stick with the plan and do not take any early entry as there may be trap before the actual trade begins. good luck.
Londonstockexchange
FTSE 3rd straight green day after the bottom.FTSE 100 (UK100) is having perhaps the most convincing bottom formation out of all major global indices as despite the selling pressure evident on each day, it is (so far) today on the 3rd straight green 1D candle since Monday's Low.
That Low came just a few points from touching not only the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but also the Higher Lows Zone (started on October 27 2023). At the same time, the Bearish Megaphone since its All Time High (ATH), displays striking similarities with the April - August 2023 pattern.
In fact, this week's Low seems to be similar with the August 18 2023 Low. That initiated a rebound that almost touched the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, before another correction. Even the 1D RSI patterns are similar among the two fractals.
As a result, we turn bullish again on FTSE here, targeting 8300 (just below the 0.786 Fib).
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FTSE Close to a major bullish break-out. Be ready.It's been almost 2 months since we last looked into FTSE 100 (UK100) but the index didn't fail to deliver as it hit our 7535 target (see chart below) and got rejected inside the 6-month Resistance Zone:
Despite the inability so far to break above the 7690 - 7750 Resistance Zone, the index did succeed at making the first important bullish break-out above the Lower Highs trend-line of the All Time High (ATH). Breaking above the Resistance Zone would be the second and final bullish signal but the rejection so far has made it test the first Support on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) right below. In fact the two are close to forming a 1D Golden Cross, with the last registered occurrence being on December 28 2022.
In fact as you can see, the two sequences (current and October - December 2022) are so far quite similar. Once the Resistance Zone broke in January 2023, the rally extended almost as high as the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, any pull-back after the current Resistance Zone breaks, is technically a buy signal. Our long-term target is 8300 (slightly below the 1.382 Fibonacci level).
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The worst is over for Barclays Bank?One of the Uk's 'big four' banks, Barclays bank is looking to make a comeback after being in a corrective phase(or downtrend) for more than a year and a half.
The stock made an impulsive up move from the march 2020 bottom and the same went on till Jan 2022.Since then however the stock entered the 'wave 2' correction and has remained in it for more a year and a half.
At the most recent Oct 2023 low however, the corrective wave counts for the stock seem to have come an end and it should be expected to now start a fresh 'wave 3'.
The stock held its 61.8% retracement on three different occasions and managed to reverse from it almost immediately every time it visited it.
On the way up the stock faces its first hurdle from the falling trendline at 155 and then at previous 'x' wave top at 166.44 respectively.
On the downside the low of 128.12 is crucial for the stock.
The stock is expected to gain momentum upon closing above the falling trendline.
It should also be noted that Barclays is a significant component of the FTSE 100.
The 'wave 3' projection is expected to take the stock from current levels to around 250-260 mark.
Note*- This chart is for educational purpose only.
Value area trading shortfind the big value area on the 4hr or daily chart.
find the small value areas within the big value area on the 1hr or 15min chart.
when price moves to the outer edges of the big value area
wait for a break of the small value area there.
look for a rejection of that area for the entry.
stop loss the small value control ling.
target the big value control line.
AVACTA Update - Don't sell too earlyThis is a friendly note, just to say, don't sell too early. I don't want you sitting at the dinner table at christmas, with a frown on your face.
Purely from what this chart is saying; forget about all the positive fundamentals going on in the background.
(1) We had an impulse move from the lows down @ ~40p, up back inside the previous range and on to 130p. From which we have seen a healthy correction, and the lows of the previous range held well. Drawing a fibonacci retracement of that move we can see that 0.5 held well (will post image below).
Following this correction we have seen price now break out from previous diagonal resistance.
(2) And now we have the price action and the lagging strand nicely clear of one another and the cloud, across multiple time frames; a bullish scenario. This can be especially said for the last time it broke out on the 4 hour chart. (This is pointed out on the chart).
Now i dont think this break out, combined with the fact that we are above the cloud will be any different from the last break and impulse move.
(3) Now I'm no Elliott wave theory specialist, but having a rudimentary count, means that we are for wave through of the overall 5 wave move, which has a tendency to be the longer extended wave move.
Drawing a fibonacci expansion from the first move, the overhead targets for this 3rd wave are (0.618) ~ 159 ; (1.00) ~ 197 ; (1.6) ~ 260. Don't forget that these 3 waves tend to be constructed of a 5 wave move themselves.
Notice how these numbers line up quite nicely with some historical price action.
Please don't take this as financial advice. These are my own ideas, and putting them here for illustrative purposes.
I wish you all the best as always in your journey.
Train about to leave - Last CallSomething tells me this is your last chance to get on the AVACTA train.
Fundamentals
- We are awaiting the results of phase 1 trials, and all things are pointing for it to be very positive.
- A great pipeline of drug development
- Possible Take-over bids incoming
- With a little research, the list goes on and on to be honest for Avacta.
Charts
- Higher time frame, we have formed this bull flag from the previous impulse move.
- Price action has consolidated and we now have decent accumulation/consolidation under the upper resistance of the flag pattern.
- On to this, price action and lagging span is about to be trading above the ichimoku cloud on pretty much all important time frames. 15 minute through to 1 day. When you get this confluence across time frames it can be very exciting.
Price predictions for me are.
- 140p within 2 weeks
- 200p+ end of September.
GGP Deep DiveHere's a macro macro (1 week chart) deep dive on GGP:
- No fundamentals here, just looking at the chart zoomed way out.
- Price bounced from the 0.786 fibonacci retracement (1 week chart). A good place for an entry, but only in hindsight now.
- Looking for this level to hold ~ 9.44, and on the lower time frames it looks as though price action is trying to form a swing higher low ~10.00.
- One might want to take an entry here in the hope that this higher low plays out and we get a reversal. But we need to go to lower time frames though as to whether or not here would be good for an entry.
- There is an overhead diagonal resistance also, blue line, which is something to keep an eye on.
- Also there is clear resistance, dead centre on the RSI, which makes sense as that price action has been bearish and therefore RSI oscillating below ~50. It would be interesting to see that resistance broken down and for price action to break above the 50 line.
1 hour and 4 hour:
- The price action and ichimoku cloud indicator shows that price action is bearish. On the 1 hour there is even a bear flag forming.
If i was in a position here:
- I would feel that I might have weathered most of the down move, and a relief rally to the upside was on the cards.
If i was taking a position here, 2 options:
(1) take an entry here, and hope the higher low plays out. A stop-loss would sit below, 9.44 (and as such, your price target should reflect this in its risk/reward ratio.
(2) wait for confirmation of an entry on the lower time frames. This might look like a bullish divergence on the 4 hour, or price action unfolding long enough sideways, that you get price action and the lagging span (ichimoku) both above the cloud on the 1 hour (and for a better quality trade) the 4 hour.
Price targets
- On a quick glance, the most immediate price target for me would be 12.82, then 15.32 after that.
25% opportunity in focus - LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE price analysisHello all,
Today I'm going to take a look at the chart of the London Stock Exchange:
- The price is currently in a sharp correction
- The price is in an overriding upward trend
- The last correction was similarly dynamic, but it was stopped at the golden pocket and then the price was able to mark a new high.
- An upward trend channel seems to be established
The plan:
- I would like to enter long at the golden pocket of the last rally.
- The supposed trend channel serves as cross-support here
- Definition of two target zones
- If the weekly closing price falls below the trend channel and the golden pocket, the idea is off the table.
Buy zone: 80 - 83 points
Target zone 1: 103 - 105 points
Target zone 2: 138 points
With this in mind,
Good luck & Keep it simple
Max
#WIZZ ANALYSIS.. Sometimes only one line can tell us a lot more than we think about the technical scope.. There isn't much to say about #WIZZ, I think there is a new risk of a big drop at any moment, unless the stock price is permanently above the line.. Also, due to the pandemic disaster we are experiencing, the air transportation industry has been in a very difficult situation.. The cash flows of the airline companies are seriously disrupted and this situation seems to continue for a while, in this context, we can see much lower levels in the stock price..
Disclaimer: Please do your own due diligence when it comes to trading.. Invest at your own risk..
I wish you all the best..
#LLOY ANALYSIS.. After the big drop, we see a recovery in the price of the stock.. At the point we have reached, there are indications that the positive outlook in the stock will continue..
First of all, when we look at the daily chart, we see that the downtrend has broken upwards and the price is below ma20.. Also, the RSI is now above (42) reference values, which seems very positive.. Besides these, SAR indicates a positive trend and Gator is about to generate a buy signal.. In the framework of all these positive indicators, I think there will be an upward price movement in #LLOY, as I mentioned in the chart.. We will wait and see..
Disclaimer: When it comes to stock trading, please take necessary care. Invest in your own responsibility. What I write is technical analysis. It is not investment advice..
I wish you all the best..
USD bonds arbitrage opportunity: long RUSB short FXRULSE:RUSB is an ETF on 22 investment grade Russian USD denominated eurobonds. At current moment RUSB trades at significant discount to its own basket. This is a unique buying opportunity that can be captured either by long only investrors or by arbitrageurs. In case of long only - buy at 23.90 and hold enjoying the recovery of Russian eurobonds or put a sell order above fair value being 24.35 to earn about 2% absolute only on spread in approximately a month time plus appreciation of Russian eurobonds. For arbitrageurs - buy RUSB, short FXRU, to capture the spread.
TESCO SHARES TO ROCKET TOMORROW?Hi fellow traders! Tesco really has to potential to move either side tomorrow! Hopefully to the upside however, considering its sale growth, over past consecutive quarters.
Tomorrow, Tesco PLC are going to be releasing their full year results tomorrow (10th April 2019). This could give the potential for this stock to spike upwards. Investors will be keen to see if Tesco has held onto its constant quarterly sales growth amongst fierce, competitive market conditions.
Although Tesco (the UK's largest supermarket) has been losing its market share in the UK to German discount supermarkets, such as Lidl and Aldi where it has had its market share drop 0.2% to 27.4%, and Asda (2nd largest supermarket in the UK) plans on merging with Sainsbury's (3rd largest supermarket in the UK), Tesco has had its sales rise by 0.5% in the 3 months to March 24 2019. This paves the way for investors to potentially have confidence in the brand, as it has seen a rise in sales and the Asda and Sainsbury's merger has not been confirmed by the UK's Competition and Markets Authority. This means the potential future loss of market share by Tesco should not impact its share price tomorrow hopefully.
One of the other main issues Tesco faces however is the question of why management chose to cut up to 9000 jobs, closing fresh food counters, but this should not be as interesting as hearing nice rises in sales and profits!
Moreover, Tesco acquisition of Booker Group, a wholesaler in the UK has been going well and should have increased their purchasing power in the market, giving them the opportunity to raise their profit margins or reduce prices and have higher sales from this, as they are able to benefit from bulk-buying. It has also entered a buying agreement with Carrefour, a French supermarket group. This should look to help the group financially and increase its dominance of its brand worldwide if the transaction goes through, another potential positive outlook for investors.
From the results in October 2018 for quarterly results, Tesco's CEO claimed they were on track to deliver their medium-term ambitions set in October 2016 which were to:
- reduce costs by £1.5 billion
- generate £9 billion from operations from retail
- improve Tesco group's operating margins to 3.5%-4% by 2019-2020
Also, if tomorrow's talks with regards to Brexit is positive and there is a reduced chance for a No Deal Brexit as Theresa May obtains an extension, this should look to benefit the LSE, placing hope in investors for any potential financial turmoil for the UK. This should also let investors realise that Tesco and other supermarkets are not at risk of any major political/financial issues.
If these targets are closer to being fulfilled, this should easily let the share price rise.
Note: The red regions signify resistance regions, and the green, support regions.
I would look for this stock to rise in value. My targets are as follows:
TP1: AROUND 238.00
TP2: AROUND 240.00
TP3: AROUND 244.00
Additionally, looking at this stock from a technical perspective, an ascending triangle has been forming (as drawn on the chart), paving the way for a breakout and some positive price action!
Unfortunately, if the report tomorrow is not well for Tesco, it could look to drop to the following regions:
TP1: AROUND 228.00-229.00
TP2: AROUND 223.00
TP3: AROUND 216.00-218.00
Finger's crossed I am right tomorrow!
If you read it to all the way down here, thanks for showing some support to this article! Tell me where you think Tesco will be heading next! Comment below all your ideas about the future of Tesco! Buy or Sell and why? Additionally, drop me your charts/ideas for it, that'd be great so I can see where you are coming from. I'm a new guy to the FX, Stocks & Crypto market, and I'd appreciate any help people may offer!
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Royal Dutch Shell Sell opportunity after trendline breakPrice has pulled back to this daily resistance after breaking this trendline. I see a sell opportunity to 2020.00