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Long cycle projected lows and highs for the S&P 500The idea is to take a long perspective using RSI and On Balance Volume OBV to project a possible timeline for expected lows and highs in the near to medium term future. The starting point is point A (1st Nov, 1994). Point B (3rd June 1996), Point C (3Sept, 2002), Point D (2nd April 2007), Point E (2nd Feb 2009), Point F (2ns May 2011), Point G (3rd Oct 2011), Point H (1st Nov 2013), Point I (1st Feb 2016), Point J (2nd Jan 2018), Point K (2nd March 2020), and Point L (1st Sept 2021), leading to a projected point M. From here M = A and the process begins again. Using May - June 1996 as the high in RSI 12 years and 10 months from this date is the 2nd of Feb 2009 low. Projecting from this date 14 years and 9 months to 16 years and 3 months gives us the dates August 2023 to January 2025 as the range of time when the next cycle high in the market is expected to occur. I am using the period of 14 years and 3 months because that is the shortest long interval on record and 16 years and 3 months is the longest long interval on record. Therefore somewhere in-between these two dates is the highest probability of being correct. This is not to say that it is impossible for them to be wrong. On balance they are the most likely to happen. The plan is to use the OBV to make decisions about when to accumulate. This is when it gets close to the bottom part of the parallel channel. When RSI is to used when it gets close to the projected point M. Selling to purchase other assets should occur between August 2023 and Jan 2025.
SP:SPX
by kylesutherlandsmith45
Long term BTCFrom the high 69k to Covid crash using the Fibonacci Retracement tools we can see that we hit the 0.786 (~17.7K) and bounced. If we use the Fibonacci levels on the waves up and down we can see some nice confluence in levels. The first wave down from 69k to ~32.9k has a fib extension 1.618 that lines up with the 0.886 level. 10k-11k range, the strongest support we can get on BTC. The first corrective wave i-ii fib extension was in confluence with the 0.786 level mentioned at the beginning. Now we are in the iii-iv wave and I'm not expecting this to go above 32k-33k this should become resistance. And then the final wave down to ~11k should start. If we get there we should also see some bearish divergences on the MACD histogram. A full reset to the 0.886. Now technically we never closed below the previous cycle high weekly close. Maybe this is not a 12345 Wave and this was a ABC correction. Then uptrend has resumed as the ABC finished. Looking at the BLX at previous corrections we can clearly see some contraction. 93.7%, 86%, 84%, but are we stopping at 74% ? A closer look
by CryptoSlots777
$DOCU -76% DISCOUNT (52-WK) -81% (ATH)!DocuSign is good stock if you are thinking about adding an AI & Software stock to your watchlist/portfolio. It is currently showing a good buying pressure with the last 2 months being green, but I think it has a way to go down! The original Heavy buying positions from IPO '18 to Aug. '18 is the $52.30 area! The next set of buyers from Oct. '19 to now are @$62.50 area! Which is good entry to swing to the $315 ATH, but the $52 entry area is a SNIPER! anything in between those two are good entries for long-term.
NASDAQ:DOCULong
by twotimezinvestments
STONKS WILL GET HAMMERED HARDFundamental PoV: ----------------------------------------- - Fade away recession fear for Q3 - Shift to hawkish Fed - 75 bps rate hike is a done deal - Escalation in Taiwan - Possible another supply disruption Overbought while market buying less hawkish the Jay Powell speech and now all the members turn hawkish. The green street U.S. Friday data confirmed that recession still far ahead, at least this fear will ease for the Q3. Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) 5.2% 4.9% 5.2% Average Weekly Hours (Jul) 34.6 34.5 34.6 Government Payrolls (Jul) 57.0K -6.0K Manufacturing Payrolls (Jul) 30K 17K 27K Nonfarm Payrolls (Jul) 528K 250K 398K Participation Rate (Jul) 62.1% 62.2% Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Jul) 471K 230K 404K U6 Unemployment Rate (Jul) 6.7% 6.7% Unemployment Rate (Jul) 3.5% 3.6% 3.6%
SP:SPXLong
by TradingCocktail
3
FILUSDT 1D Our FIL Long-term trade from $5,16 to $42,50We are not implying anything, but it seems that the price of FILUSDT may repeat the white fractal movement. Where to enter the long of FILUSD and whether to enter the long is up to you, of course. We bought FIL at $5.16 on a deposit with a long-term trading strategy, that is why, we will keep long until at least $42.50 Currently, looking at the chart, there is still a chance that the Filecoin price will fall to the area of $7.25-7.50 and from here there is a continuous movement to $42.50 Well, of course, if the fractal does not deceive us, but that is a completely different story) _______________________________ Since 2016 , we have been analyzing and trading the cryptocurrency market. We transform our knowledge, trading moods and experience into ideas. Each "like under the idea" boosts the level of our happiness by 0.05%. If we help you to be calmer and richer — help us to be happier :)
Long
by P_S_trade
39