Scalping ETH thesis investment Ethereum (ETH) Trading Thesis – Summary
Objective:
Take Profit (TP): $3,500
Stop Loss (SL): $3,440
Overview: Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, remains a leading platform for decentralized applications and smart contracts. As of December 24, 2024, ETH shows strong growth potential driven by technological advancements and increased adoption.
Technical Analysis:
Take Profit at $3,500: Identified as a key resistance level based on historical data and Fibonacci retracement, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Stop Loss at $3,440: Placed just below recent support to minimize losses if the price declines.
Indicators:
Moving averages (50-day and 200-day) suggest upward momentum.
RSI nearing overbought levels signals strong buying interest.
Increasing trading volumes support the current trend towards the TP target.
Risk Management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1, balancing potential gains and losses.
Position Sizing: Limit risk to a small percentage of the portfolio (e.g., 2%) to manage exposure.
Diversification: Maintain a varied portfolio to mitigate overall risk.
Fundamental Catalysts:
Ethereum 2.0 Upgrades: Enhancements in scalability and efficiency bolster ETH’s value.
Growth in DeFi and NFTs: Increased demand from decentralized finance and non-fungible tokens sectors.
Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors supports price stability and growth.
Potential Risks:
Regulatory Changes: New regulations could negatively impact ETH’s price and adoption.
Market Volatility: High volatility may trigger stop losses or limit profit potential.
Technological Delays: Setbacks in Ethereum’s development could affect investor confidence.
Conclusion: Ethereum presents a promising trading opportunity with a clear strategy to take profit at $3,500 and limit losses at $3,440. Effective risk management and ongoing monitoring of market and technical indicators are essential for capitalizing on ETH’s potential upward movement.
Disclaimer: This summary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making investment decisions.
Longposition
Alikze »» GRT | Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C scenario in the ascending channel - the target of the previous major ceiling - 1W
- In the previously presented analysis , a bearish flag pattern was observed, after which the BINANCE:GRTUSDT currency entered a correction phase, which was completed by the size of the correction flag bar in the Buyer Zone box.
- As can be seen, the weekly and daily timeframe is moving in an upward channel.
- Currently, a descending channel has been formed inside the ascending channel, the descending flag pattern has been completed in the Buyer Zone.
- Now, according to the current momentum, it can touch the neck line area in the first step.
💎 In addition, an AB=CD pattern has been formed, and the above modification is a response to the mentioned pattern.
- So it can include a motivational wave in the form of wave 3 or bigger C, which can crown the previous major ceiling.
⚠️ Note: It should be noted that if the bottom area is touched before, the ascending scenario will be invalidated and must be updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
BABA shows a signal for the turn aroundYou can notice, that current ascending trend shows a steeper inclination angle for NYSE:BABA , than the previous one. This can indicate, that a growing line will present more intensive and powerful leaps in the nearest future.
I expect, that we will observe a rapid jumps direct to the level of 139 very soon.
More strategic goals for the future are located near the levels of 220 and 470 (this can become a final point of the current long moving up).
Not a recommendation.
TAL - first round of the long leaps seriesNYSE:TAL in my opinion a perfect company for investing for the next 7-10 years.
Final vision is to achieve 250 and 450 strategically, but as of now, within the borders of this certain idea, is to get profit between levels of 10 and 38 during the 2025 year.
Not a recommendation.
BTC thesis by Titan_KarmaBitcoin Investment Thesis
Market Analysis
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $96,938.18, showing potential for bullish momentum. The recommendation is to OPEN LONG positions, supported by technical and market indicators suggesting upside potential.
Key Technical Indicators
Stop-loss: Positioned at $95,000.00, providing a safety net against sudden price drops while allowing room for market fluctuations.
Take-profit: Targeted at $103,000.00, aligning with recent resistance levels for an optimal risk-reward ratio.
Exit Point: Set at $100,000.00, offering a balanced opportunity for securing partial profits before hitting the take-profit level.
Confidence Level
With a confidence level of 75%, this strategy reflects cautious optimism. While the data supports a bullish move, traders should remain vigilant due to the neutral correlation and market volatility.
Correlation with BTC
The neutral correlation (0.00) indicates BTC is moving independently, unaffected by broader market dynamics or external asset influences.
Position Analysis
Open Long Positions: None currently, presenting an opportunity to capitalize on the suggested strategy.
Open Short Positions: None, indicating no significant bearish sentiment in the market.
Risk Management Strategy
Entry should occur near the current price of $96,938.18, with a well-defined stop-loss at $95,000.00 to minimize downside risk.
The take-profit at $103,000.00 provides an attractive upside, and the exit point at $100,000.00 allows for partial profit-taking.
Maintain flexibility to adjust the stop-loss and take-profit levels based on evolving market conditions.
Recommendation
OPEN LONG positions near the current price, targeting the upper resistance level at $103,000.00. The neutral correlation and technical setup support this strategy, but traders should monitor the market closely for sudden shifts in sentiment or price action.
Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG)
Confluences on This Trade
- Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266
- Rejecting Demand zone
- @ 38.2 Fib Retracement
- Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI)
- Buy Side imbalance fill
- Daily Volume Support
Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal,
WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND
**RISK ACCORDINGLY
Intro to the next possible move:
After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down.
**This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF.
Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support.
with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
US Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame AnalysisUS Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame Analysis
Overview:
Today, let’s analyze the US Index (US30) on the daily time frame. Over the past several days, spanning more than a week, the trend has been distinctly bearish.
Key Observation:
The price is now nearing a significant key level in the range of 43,200–43,300. This area could act as a strong support zone, offering a potential opportunity for a long trade.
Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: 43,200–43,300
Monitor this range closely.
Look for bullish confirmation signals, such as wick rejections, bullish engulfing candles, or other reversal patterns before entering a trade.
Potential Target:
If the setup aligns, the trade could aim for the previous week’s high.
Keep in mind this move could take up to a week to materialize, but the potential gain from this trade could be significant.
Important Reminders:
Wait for Confirmation: Ensure a clear rejection or reaction at the key level before executing the trade.
Focus on Risk Management: Safeguarding your capital is crucial. Avoid impulsive or revenge trading.
Be Patient: Allow the trade to develop at its own pace; rushing can lead to mistakes.
Trading is Reactive, Not Predictive: Respond to price action as it unfolds rather than trying to forecast the future.
PEPSI to $182 - Up to 14% ROI PossibleNASDAQ:PEP stock is currently trading at a discount to its fair value. That's why traders and investors should have a look at this bluechip, especially given its low beta statistic. Of course, macroeconomic uncertainties, such as the University of Michigan's latest consumer sentiment survey (which projects inflation to rise to 2.90% from 2.60% next year), could have an impact on consumer spending, which could squeeze margins. Nevertheless, given the undervaluation, Pepsi has a safety net for things like that under current circumstances.
When looking at the technical analysis we can se a big support zone at $158, where we are currently residing. The stock bounced multiple times from this zone in the past and could certainly do so again. Given the double bottom we have a good opportunity to get in the trade right now. Target one would be the descending trend line at $172 and target two would be the resistance zone at $183. That would give us a ROI of up to 14.24% in total. Closing below $156 on the daily would invalidate the trading idea.
Target Zones
$172.00
$183.00
Support Zones
$156.00
HFTUSDT Long Setup / 2x-3x LeverageBINANCE:HFTUSDT
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.2912
0.3038
0.319
🔴SL:
0.2670
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Can You Smell It? / BTC 110K is Closer than you thinkBINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Consolidation in Key Resistance Zone: BTC price has repeatedly tested the dark-yellow resistance block (~102,000 USDT) without strong rejection, indicating seller exhaustion.
Higher Lows and Rising Trendline: The ascending trendline shows strong buying interest at higher levels, pushing BTC upward.
Volume Profile (VRVP): The visible range volume profile reveals a volume gap above the current resistance, meaning BTC could move swiftly once it clears the 102K region.
Breakout Signal: A potential breakout candle has formed near the resistance, with smaller consolidations (orange circles) and consistent higher lows acting as a springboard.
Measured Move to 110K: If BTC breaks cleanly above the resistance zone, the green path suggests a measured move toward the next psychological level at 110K USDT, backed by strong momentum.
This bullish structure aligns with accumulation and breakout patterns, indicating Bitcoin's next leg up may be imminent. Monitor for confirmation above 102K.
Follow for the Updates
Tron Futures Signal / 3x-5x LeverageBINANCE:TRXUSDT
CRYPTO:TRXUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 1x-2x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
Considering the price trend in its previous channel, by repeating the stabilization of the price at the bottom of the second parallel channel, it can be expected that the price will continue to move up to the top of the new channel.
The price breaking above the specified level can increase the certainty of the realization of the price target.
The price falling below the red level cancels the bullish scenario of Binance Coin.
Potential price targets for the levels will be $950 and $1,447.
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.2919
0.2968
0.3020
🔴SL:
0.2767
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Long Signal on MORPHOUSDT/Making profit Together /2X-3X LeverageOKX:MORPHOUSDT
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone: 2.44-2.57
⚡️TP:
2.70
2.84
3.03
🔴SL:
2.31
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
BNB Long Setup / Use at least 2x-3x leverageBINANCE:BNBUSDT
CRYPTO:BNBUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone 655-680
⚡️TP:
714
754
🔴SL:
617
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
XAU/USD H4The XAU/USD pair appears poised for a bullish trend in the near future. After a brief pullback to retest a key support zone and trendline, it is expected to resume its upward momentum, presenting an excellent opportunity for long positions. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation of the trend continuation.
How Short Sales Indicate Buying ActivityA Beginner-Friendly Guide to How Short Sales Indicate Buying Activity
█ What is a Short Sale?
A short sale is when someone sells a stock they don't actually own, usually because they believe the price will drop. They borrow the stock, sell it at the current price, and hope to buy it back later at a lower price to return to the lender.
However, not all short sales are for speculation! In fact, about half of all trades in the market are short sales, which seems strange unless we look deeper.
QUICK SUMMARY
🧐 What is a Short Sale?
A short sale is when someone sells a stock they don't own, hoping to buy it back later at a lower price.
Normally, people think short sales mean traders are betting that the stock will go down. But there's more to the story!
💡 Why Are Short Sales Important for Understanding Buying?
About half of all trades in the market are short sales! This means there's something deeper going on.
Market-makers (people who help match buyers and sellers) play a big role here.
👥 What Do Market-Makers Do?
They offer to sell a stock at a slightly higher price and buy at a slightly lower price.
When someone buys a stock from a market-maker, the market-maker short-sells the stock (because they don't own it yet).
✅ This means:
When you see a short sale, it's often because someone is buying from a market-maker. Therefore, short volume (total short sales) is a good indicator of buying activity!
█ Why Short Sales Reflect Buying Activity
Market-makers (MMs) play a crucial role in ensuring there are always buyers and sellers available in the market. Here's how they do it:
⚪ Market-Maker Role:
MMs quote both a buy price (bid) and a sell price (offer) for stocks. For example, they may offer to:
Buy at $19.95 (bid)
Sell at $20.00 (offer)
⚪ Short Sales in Practice:
When an MM offers to sell at $20.00, they often don't own the stock; they are "shorting" it to facilitate the sale. This means:
If an investor buys the stock at $20.00, the MM's sale is reported as a short sale.
If an investor sells the stock to the MM at $19.95, it is reported as a regular (long) sale.
Therefore:
Short sales = Investors buying the stock
Long sales = Investors selling the stock
█ Why This Matters
Since MMs are involved in most trades, short sales can be used as an indicator of buying activity. The more short sales there are, the more buying activity is happening in the market.
⚪ Dark Pools and Short Sales Data
Dark pools are private trading venues where large investors can trade without showing their orders publicly. These venues still have MMs who facilitate trades. Even though trades happen "in the dark," the MM behavior (shorting to sell) still applies.
FINRA collects and publishes data on short sales in dark pools. This data can help us see the relationship between short sales and stock price movements.
⚪ Testing the Idea
When researchers tested this idea, they found:
Higher Short Volume = Higher Stock Prices:
On days when short sales were above 50% of the total volume, the average stock price increased during the day.
When short sales were below 50%, the average stock price decreased.
The Trend is Clear:
When short sales make up a significant part of the market activity, it indicates strong buying interest.
█ The Findings
When short volume is high (above 35%), stocks tend to go up during the day.
When short volume is low (below 35%), stocks are more likely to go down.
Example:
If short volume = 50% → Expect higher buying activity and potential stock gains.
If short volume = 20% → Expect lower buying activity and potential stock declines.
🚀 Practical Tips for Traders
Investors can use short sale data from dark pools to:
Identify potential buying opportunities.
Understand market sentiment (whether people are more likely to buy or sell).
Anticipate short-term stock price movements based on the level of short sales.
Watch short volume data: High short volume can signal strong buying interest.
Use FINRA data: You can find free short sale data on FINRA's website to track these trends.
Be curious: This data isn't widely used yet, so understanding it can give you an edge!
█ Summary
⚪ Short sales are often a sign that investors are buying stocks.
⚪ Dark pool data offers valuable insights into market trends.
⚪ Monitoring short sale volume can help predict intraday stock gains and understand market behavior.
-----------------
Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Alikze »» Link | Scenario wave 1 of 3 rising - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario wave 1 of 3 rising - 1D
- It has been moving in a downward channel on the daily time frame.
- Currently, with the failure of the descending channel, in the case of a pullback to the ceiling of the channel or the range of 12.50, it can have the target of 16 to 17 dollars in the first step.
- This ascending wave is the previous wave. But in a longer-term perspective, wave 2 correction in the green box range has ended.
- Therefore, this recent motivational wave, micro-waves, wave 1 out of 3 is rising.
💎 In addition, this increasing wave can continue to climb up to Fibo 1.272 and 1.618 if the supply zone is broken.
⚠️ Note: If the candlestick closes below the 12.50 zone, the bullish scenario is invalidated and can retest the green box zone. ⚠️
💎 Currently, according to the momentum, the first scenario or the bullish scenario is more likely.
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BINANCE:LINKUSDT
Binance Coin Long Setup Setting / Next Alt-Season BasketBINANCE:BNBUSDT
OKX:BNBUSDT
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
Considering the price trend in its previous channel, by repeating the stabilization of the price at the bottom of the second parallel channel, it can be expected that the price will continue to move up to the top of the new channel.
The price breaking above the specified level can increase the certainty of the realization of the price target.
The price falling below the red level cancels the bullish scenario of Binance Coin.
Potential price targets for the levels will be $950 and $1,447.
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
950
1447
2340
3515
🔴SL:
252
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.