GBP/USD Trade Recap – A Perfect Long Setup 1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position
Today’s GBP/USD trade was a textbook example of combining Fibonacci retracements, smart money positioning, and seasonality trends to catch a high-probability long setup.
💡 Entry Details:
✅ Entry: 1.2600 (Fibonacci golden zone)
✅ Stop Loss: 1.2587 (Below structure)
✅ Take Profit: 1.2635 (Key resistance zone)
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1
🎯 Result: Hit TP at 1.2635 for a solid profit! ✅
2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences
📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Perfect Pullback & Reversal
Price retraced to the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (1.2600 - 1.2593) before reversing.
The bullish move was expected after a strong impulse leg, following smart money positioning.
📈 Smart Money & Retail Sentiment – Trading Against the Herd
🔹 62% of retail traders were SHORT on GBP/USD (as per DMX data).
🔹 Since I trade against retail sentiment, this provided a strong bullish confirmation.
🔹 Institutional COT data showed big players increasing long positions, further supporting a bullish bias.
🕵️♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long
📊 15-year seasonality data indicated GBP/USD typically rallies in late February and early March.
📅 The next 3-5 day forecast showed a bullish probability, adding further conviction.
📉 Technical Confirmation – Momentum Indicators & Structure
✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart
✅ Price was trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288)
✅ Broke above short-term trendline resistance, confirming upward momentum
3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade
🔹 Trading with smart money & against retail sentiment = High probability setups
🔹 Seasonality provided extra confidence in taking the long trade
🔹 Using Fibonacci and EMAs for confluence led to a precise entry
🔹 Patience and risk management were key to securing profits
📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for GBP/USD?
🚀 With this bullish breakout, I will look for further longs on dips, targeting the next key resistance at 1.2680 - 1.2700.
👀 Are you bullish or bearish on GBP/USD? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Longposition
DEVIATON INJIt looks like we have a deviation below the demand zone and the $13.8 support, which could present a buying opportunity.
I’m waiting to see if the price finds support around $14.4.
If the price drops below $14 and stays there for an extended period, I’ll reassess the trade, as we could see another leg down toward the $8-$11 zone, where stronger support is likely.
For now, the weekly oscillators look decent—Stoch RSI is close to a bullish cross, and RSI has found support at 40.
Long on Nikkei 225For now, I am long on Nikkei 225. We have a bottom, currently looking for a retest of broken support and a higher low. Once confirmed this is an easy long to the golden zone between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels.
Target 1 - 39,400
Target 2 - 40,300
For mid term I will be looking for a significant pullback from the nikkei 225. However, there is still potential for bullish price action in the short term.
#TRBUSDT remains bullish📈 LONG BYBIT:TRBUSDT.P from $38.35
🛡 Stop Loss: $38.00
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:TRBUSDT.P is in a strong uptrend, breaking the key $38.35 resistance level.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $34.47 indicates the highest liquidity zone far below the current price, confirming strong buyer support.
➡️ The price has broken through the $38.30 area and is consolidating above, opening potential upside toward $39.30.
➡️ If the price holds above $38.35, bulls may continue pushing towards target levels.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter long after confirmation above $38.35, signaling a bullish continuation.
➡️ Risk management via Stop-Loss at $38.00, placed below the support zone.
➡️ Primary upside targets:
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $38.90
🔥 TP2: $39.30
🚀 BYBIT:TRBUSDT.P remains bullish—expecting further upside!
📢 BYBIT:TRBUSDT.P shows strong buying momentum, breaking key resistance levels.
📢 If $38.35 holds as support, the probability of reaching $39.30 increases.
📢 However, if the price drops below $38.00, a pullback to lower levels may occur.
#SWELLUSDT longsignal📉 LONG BYBIT:SWELLUSDT.P from $0.01928
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.01890
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:SWELLUSDT.P is showing a strong upward movement after breaking out of consolidation. The price has broken key resistance levels and is now forming a retest zone, confirming bullish strength.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) is located at $0.01175, far below the current price, indicating a shift to a new accumulation phase.
➡️ Trading volumes have increased significantly, which could further strengthen the upward impulse.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter LONG at $0.01928 after confirming the breakout level.
➡️ Stop-Loss set at $0.01890 to protect against false breakouts.
➡️ Primary targets – $0.01967, $0.02013, and $0.02065, where partial profit-taking is possible.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.01967
🔥 TP2: $0.02013
⚡ TP3: $0.02065
🚀 Expectation: If the current trend holds, BYBIT:SWELLUSDT.P may continue its upward movement towards $0.02065 and beyond.
#BNXUSDT further bullish movement📈 LONG BYBIT:BNXUSDT.P from $0.6836
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.6436
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BNXUSDT.P broke through a key resistance at $0.6791, confirming buyer strength and signaling further bullish continuation.
➡️ Volume is increasing, indicating strong market interest in the uptrend.
➡️ POC at $0.4528 suggests that major liquidity was accumulated significantly lower, reinforcing the bullish trend.
➡️ The next upside target is $0.7396 , followed by $0.7873 if momentum continues.
⚡ Plan:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
➡️ Enter LONG from $0.6836 if the price maintains support above this level.
➡️ Manage risk with Stop-Loss at $0.6436 to protect against downside moves.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.7396 — first resistance level, potential profit-taking zone.
🔥 TP2: $0.7873 — strong level where buyers may exit.
🚀 BYBIT:BNXUSDT.P Expecting further bullish movement!
📢 If the price BYBIT:BNXUSDT.P holds above $0.6836, further upside toward $0.7396 and $0.7873 is likely.
📢 However, if it drops below $0.6436, the bullish setup may be invalidated.
GSAT - Split and Move to NASDAQ Monday at CloseI closed all my options except some short dated cheap OTM calls and puts in lots of 15 to hold as standard options post split, more as a lotto and protection for shares. I exercised all the 0.5c calls, the profit wasn't that high and it brought my average price down quite a bit.
I have no idea how its going to move post split. Sized for sideways or down. If it does drop farther I'll add after it stabilizes. Long play for me.
Bullish Opportunity on CADCHFCADCHF has been moving sideways for some time now and it seems ready for a breakout, the overall look is an upward breakout movement, it might have a short retest in key support zones as marked on the chart above or just breakout upward instantly without retesting the support zones
let's watch the market these coming weeks
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#BNBUSDT forecast for a long move📉 LONG BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P $589.70
🛡 Stop Loss: $588.50
⏱ 1H Timeframe
📍 Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P continues to move within an ascending channel, gradually recovering after a local correction.
➡️ P OC (Point of Control) at $588.10 indicates a high-interest zone, from which price has rebounded multiple times.
➡️ The key resistance zone is around $592.45 , where the first profit target is set.
➡️ Holding above the current level could trigger further upside movement towards $596.00, strengthening the bullish momentum.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Considering a LONG entry at $589.70, with a Stop Loss at $588.50 .
➡️ A breakout above $592.45 will confirm buyer strength and pave the way for $596.00.
➡️ Increased volume at the current level suggests institutional interest, increasing the probability of scenario execution.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $592.45
💎 TP 2: $596.00
📢 BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P maintains a bullish structure despite temporary pullbacks.
📢 Key focus should be on price action at $592.45 – a breakout here will solidify the bullish case.
📢 Monitoring volume dynamics is crucial – increased buying activity will reinforce the uptrend.
🚀 BYBIT:BNBUSDT.P remains strong – expecting a move towards $596.00 upon breakout of key levels!
ENA/USDT LONG TERM🚀 Position: Long ENA/USDT
🎯 Strategy: Buy the Dip, Sell the Peak!
📈 Entry Targets:
Buy at 0.52 USDT (Initial Entry)
Accumulate at 0.39 USDT (Support Level)
💰 Take Profit Targets (Based on Fibonacci Levels):
TP1: 2.5 USDT
TP2: 3.88 USDT
TP3: 7.1 USDT Very risky... consider it as a top peak bonus.
🎢 Market Overview:
We aim to catch the retracement dip at strong support and ride the recovery towards Fibonacci extension levels.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Place your stop below 0.35 USDT for capital protection.
Adjust your take profit levels to secure gains as the price climbs.
📌 Reminder: "Buy the dip, sell the peak!" Stay disciplined and avoid chasing the pump.
XAU/USD H4The XAU/USD pair appears poised for a bullish trend in the near future. After a brief pullback to retest a key support zone and trendline, it is expected to resume its upward momentum, presenting an excellent opportunity for long positions. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation of the trend continuation.
$SFM outperforms the Consumer Stables ETF $XLPNASDAQ:SFM outperformed the Consumer Discretionary select sector SPDR fund $XLP. Sprout Farmers ( NASDAQ:SFM ) has been a great momentum stock within the consumer staples. It has outperformed all the stocks with the of the AMEX:XLP in the last 5 Year period. It has also outperformed other momentum ETFS like Technology sector ETF $XLK. In this Chart we plot SFM against XLP and we clearly see that when consumer staples ETF AMEX:XLP is struggling NASDAQ:SFM is making new highs. NASDAQ:SFM chart shows a bullish golden cross when 20-Day SMA is above 50-Day, 100-Day and 200-Day SMA.
XAU/USD 4H Analysis: Bullish Momentum Towards $2,780?📊 XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Momentum 🚀💰
📌 Key Observations:
🔹 Current Price: $2,754.16 (+0.19%)
🔹 Support Zone: $2,740 - $2,750 (Previous resistance turned support ✅)
🔹 Resistance Zone: $2,780 (Next potential target 🎯)
🔹 200 EMA: $2,687.43 (Price is above = Bullish signal 📈)
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken past a key level and might retest before moving higher 🔄📊
📉 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case: If price holds above $2,750, we could see a rally towards $2,780+ 🚀
❌ Bearish Case: If price drops below $2,740, we might see a correction back to $2,720 ⚠️
🔥 Conclusion:
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum and may continue its uptrend towards $2,780+ if it sustains above the breakout level! Keep an eye on support at $2,750 for confirmation. 👀💎
Would you like further indicators or a different timeframe analysis? ⏳📊
Enjin Coin (ENJ) Analysis & Long-Term Investment Outlook!Current Market Overview
Current Price: ~$0.15
24H Range: $0.1389 - $0.1515
Volume: 16.37M
All-Time High (ATH): $4.5 (achieved in 2021)
Recent Trend: Bearish correction but approaching a key accumulation zone
Technical Analysis
1. Discount Zone & Accumulation Opportunity
The chart shows that ENJ is trading near its discount zone, an area where institutional and long-term investors look to accumulate before a potential reversal. This zone is typically considered undervalued, offering a strategic entry point.
2. Price Structure & Smart Money Concepts
Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple BOS signals indicate a strong bearish trend, but price is nearing a potential support level.
Change of Character (ChOCH): Some ChOCH signals suggest that the downtrend may be weakening, hinting at possible accumulation.
Equilibrium & Premium Zones: The price is far below the equilibrium and premium zones, reinforcing that it is at a historical discount for accumulation.
3. Moving Averages & Watson Envelope
The Watson Envelope (blue and red bands) suggests that price is near the lower bound, indicating a mean reversion could soon occur, leading to a potential bounce.
Fundamental Analysis & Catalysts
1. Enjin’s Utility & Real-World Adoption
Enjin Coin powers a blockchain gaming and NFT ecosystem, allowing developers to integrate digital assets into games, metaverse platforms, and virtual economies. Its real-world use case makes it attractive for long-term adoption.
2. Binance Supporting Network Upgrade (Positive News)
Binance has backed an Enjin Coin network upgrade (September 2024), signaling continuous development and network improvements.
This upgrade improves Enjin’s scalability, security, and NFT ecosystem, strengthening its long-term utility.
Binance’s support ensures liquidity and investor confidence.
3. Coinbase Delisting (Negative Impact in 2024)
In June 2024, Coinbase delisted ENJ, causing a short-term decline in liquidity and investor sentiment.
However, delisting from a single exchange does not impact the coin’s fundamental value.
Investment Potential & Price Prediction
Short-Term: Possible consolidation in the $0.12 - $0.18 range before a breakout.
Medium-Term (6-12 months): If accumulation holds, ENJ could target $0.30 - $0.50, testing previous resistance levels.
Long-Term (2+ years): If Enjin’s adoption continues and the crypto market recovers, a return to $1 - $2 is feasible, with ATH of $4.5 as a long-term target.
Investor Takeaway
✅ Bullish Factors
✔️ Trading at a discount near historical accumulation zones
✔️ Binance supporting network upgrade (strong ecosystem development)
✔️ Real-world use case in gaming & NFT sector
✔️ Market sentiment could shift as crypto recovers
❌ Bearish Risks
⚠️ Still in a downtrend, needs confirmation of trend reversal
⚠️ Coinbase delisting may impact liquidity & exposure
Final Thoughts
Enjin Coin is currently at a key accumulation level that offers an attractive opportunity for long-term investors. With strong fundamentals, upcoming network improvements, and historical price performance, ENJ has the potential to reclaim higher levels, possibly targeting $1+ in the next cycle.
If you’re looking for a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, this could be a great entry point. However, investors should watch for trend confirmation before going all in. 🚀
JUP for a LONG to $1.19I like a LONG position in JUP. It has had a big rise in volume, OBV is increasing, and Open Interest is increasing. Its aVWAP price sits at about $1.03, and today, it has been testing the one std dev away from the mean (also the 0.236 Fib level). A break above this would be bullish.
Hypothesis rejected: If we do not break above this level, we could see another retest of the FVG at $0.681, although it has been retested many times. The rising OBV, OI, and aVWAP would suggest a move to the 0.618 FIB level, which has the confluence of the aVWAP 1 STD DEV, which is a strong possibility, putting JUP in the region of $1.19.
XEM may be a late bloomer, and is one to keep an eye on!XEM made a decent move during the 'Trump Pump' after the November elections, but this move was nothing compared to the gains it has made in the past. For the past 8 months, it has been cheaper than it has been since 2017. I think this could be a late bloomer in terms of the pump we've seen in the altcoin market so far, but it will likely catch up and ride the wave of alt season to the top of the defined area, potentially offering around a 12X gain.
But, like most things in life, nothing is guaranteed.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!