Strong Cup & Handle pattern on the weekly $IXIC chartToday witnessed a robust bullish surge in the Nasdaq with a cup and handle pattern (Very similar on the S&P500 too).
Introduced in 1988 by analyst William O’Neill, the cup and handle pattern signifies a bullish continuation pattern activated by consolidation following a robust upward trend. While the pattern requires time to evolve, its recognition and subsequent trading become relatively straightforward once it materializes. As with all chart patterns, trading volume and supplementary indicators should be employed to validate a breakout and the sustained bullish trajectory.
To validate the pattern, adherence to several rules is imperative:
- The cup with handle pattern must follow a significant bullish movement (Checked: +130% in 87 weeks).
- The lowest trough of the cup must be below 50% of the preceding bullish movement (Checked: -37%).
- The lowest trough of the handle must be below 50% of the cup’s height (checked: -13%).
Key statistics on cup with handle patterns, courtesy of CentralCharts, include:
In 79% of cases, the exit from a cup with handle pattern is bullish.
In 73% of cases, the cup with handle pattern’s price objective is reached (half the cup’s height), after breaking the neck line.
In 74% of cases, after exit, the price makes a pullback in support on the neck line.
In summary, the cup and handle pattern signifies a bullish continuation pattern, initiated by consolidation after a robust upward trend. While its development requires time, once formed, recognition and trading are relatively straightforward. Employing trading volume and additional indicators is crucial for confirming a breakout and sustaining the original bullish price movement.
PS: I think that a perfect cup and handle pattern would be form on the breakout of the 14300 neckline
Longposition
IoTeXUSDT - Trendline Breakout Idea ! Hey guys! It's been over 100 days that IoTeX has been in a downtrend. This could be yet the bottom to be confirmed. We need a good breakout of the trendline to the upside with nice strong volume otherwise this could go back into ranging more for a long time or even continue falling despite the bullish bounce off this key monthly level.
TRADING PLAN AS FOLLOWS:
First we need to see a solid trendline breakout.
First TP would be 0.020 a psychological level. However, it could get pierced through so we need to monitor price action once it gets there.
My desired level is the weekly mean reversion area where price has struggled in the past and it's also a key flip zone but in the weekly timeframe. This area has been a magnet for price so it could get there again. TP here would be around 0.02470 - 0.02680
If the trendline breakout fails, close position at breakeven IF price goes sideways and no direction whatsoever or it hits stop loss.
I suggest to SPOT rather than futures as this is a counter trend trade set up. Risk is higher unless you follow rules strictly per your plan.
Hope you find analysis useful!
Kina 🙏
TON ANALYSIS🔮 #TON Analysis - Breakout Trading
🌟🚀 #TON was trading in a "Cup and Handle Pattern" and here we can see that #TON gave a great breakout. Long-term bullish consolidation above the neckline is projected to result in faster growth.📈📈
🔖 Current Price: $2.6618
⏳️ Target Price: $3.2840
⁉️ What to do?
- #TON is aiming around $3.5 in its next price target. We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#TON #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
DCR LONG POSITION
#Dcrusdt
#Dcr
#Longposition
#Profit
#Profitable
#Btc
#Usdt
Based On Market Structure We Conduct A Long Position From This Liquidity Levels
Entry: 13.11 - 12.92
Take Profit: 16.09
Stop Loss: 12.67
Advisor Legal:
Recommend Capital Allocation:
Open P&L: 1.39
Risk/ Ratio: 6.48
#Decred #DCR #DCRUSDT #cryptotrading #longposition
Decred (DCR) Technical Analysis - Long Position Update
Based on the current market structure, I have decided to hold my existing long position on DCRUSDT. This trade was entered between $13.11 - $12.92 as described in my previous analyses.
The trade now has an open profit/loss of 1.39% and a highly favorable risk/reward ratio of 6.48. This means the potential upside is over 6 times greater than the risk on the trade.
My take profit target remains at $16.09, just below a key resistance level. I will look to book partial profits at $15.50 and trail the rest.
The stop loss is still in place at $12.67 which allows room for normal price fluctuations while limiting downside risk.
I will continue holding this low-risk, high-reward long position as long as the bullish structure remains intact. Signs of a trend reversal would be a break back below $13.
As always, proper capital allocation is key. I have limited my position size to 5% of capital to align with my risk management strategy. Strict risk control is vital for long-term trading success and profitability.
Overall, I remain bullish on DCRUSDT and expect further upside from this profitable long position. I will post updates as the trade progresses. Let's see how high Decred can run!
$GWRE - fast profitNYSE:GWRE - head and shoulders reversed was formed and we can take a bit profit in 2 months 82->95 (approx 16%)
Does not constitute a recommendation.
#furoreggs #investing #stocks #shares #idea #forecast #trading #analysis
If you want to discuss, please subscribe and challenge this point of view )
C3 AI's strong support level holding My thoughts on C3 AI is that we are in for a correction soon to the upside. We have been in a sideways market for a few weeks and I strongly believe the break further to the downside would have happen already. But due to interest rates staying the same and next year being the ultimate interest rate cut year there is a lot of upside for the whole stock market not just C3 AI. I am long on this stock because it has a lot of value in this kind of market condition. But let's be real AI is the new kid on the block and one thing we know about new kids on the block is they get pumped by retail investors causing large corporations to cover shorts lol. Let's also be more real you can already see that the shorts have been covering since the last pump this stock did they are scared. But do your own homework and when this stock hits $150 let's grab a drink cheers.
PayPal: Turbulent Journey, Promising FutureI am a big supporter of PayPal but I believe its share value will get worse before it gets better. According to its Q2 2023 results, the online payment company experienced a deterioration in its liquidity with a cash ratio difference (cash/total current liabilities) of -0.04 when compared to its Q2 2022 results. The Q3 2023 Earnings Call taking place on Wednesday (1 November 2023) should set the tone for what to expect in the coming months, a steeper drop in share price or a much desired recovery.
PayPal has had a rocky year with the retirement of its veteran CEO, Dan Schulman, who was officially succeeded by Alex Chriss last month. Because Schulman's departure was planned and not sudden, the change in leadership is not a concern for me. The online payment giant also recently launched its own stablecoin showing its willingness and capability to evolve with the times. All-in-all, I believe PayPal's shares have been mostly rocked by factors outside of its direct control (rising treasury yields, pandemic lockdowns lifting, recession fears, etc) so I am anticipating the Q4 2023 to be a pivotal moment as I believe that's where we will see how Chriss has managed the company.
Despite the expected turbulence I am going to load up on LEAPS calls as I believe this company is extremely undervalued and is due for a strong recovery once the current macroeconomic disturbances subside. If the price continues to slip, I can see us hitting a support around $40 which will be the lowest the stock has been since February 2017. While this would be difficult to stomach, it offers an exceptional purchasing opportunity. A potential near-future recovery to the $58.50 level is also possible; $65 would be the next stop if the $58.50 ceiling is surpassed.
Speculative foresight: noting Elon Musk's prior history with PayPal and his long-term desires for operating an online bank (a desire he has expressed exercising with the newly acquired Twitter, now X, platform), I believe we can expect an attempted merger or acquisition from Musk once he has extinguished the current fires at Tesla and X. In my opinion, an attempt to takeover PayPal would attract high volatility which could launch PayPal's shares to prior highs. This is all speculation of course and probably will not occur for several years, if at all.
NASDAQ:PYPL
Amazon Stock Pops More Than 5%The e-commerce giant's Q4 revenue guidance also beat Wall Street's expectation.
Shares of Amazon (AMZN 7.49%) jumped 5.4% in Thursday's volatile after-hours trading session, following the e-commerce and cloud computing leader's release of its third-quarter 2023 report.
The gain is attributable to the quarter's revenue and earnings both sprinting by Wall Street's estimates, with the bottom-line beat a particularly big one. Investors were also likely pleased that revenue guidance for the fourth quarter -- the particularly important holiday quarter -- exceeded the analyst expectation.
1. Revenue grew 13%
Amazon's net quarterly sales grew 13% year over year to $143.1 billion, easily surpassing the $133.4 billion Wall Street had expected. That result also edged by the company's guidance range of $138 billion to $143 billion. Excluding the favorable effect from foreign-currency exchange, revenue increased 11% from the year-ago period.
Year-over-year revenue growth at AWS continued to slow on a sequential-quarter basis. In the prior three quarters, the cloud computing unit's year-over-year revenue grew 12% (Q2 2023), 16% (Q1 2023), and 20% (Q4 2022). This slowdown is industrywide, as many businesses are being cautious with their spending due to the uncertain macro environment. On the earnings call, management expressed optimism that the surging adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) will be a big tailwind for its AWS business.
That said, AWS's profitability increased significantly (as discussed in the next section) more than its revenue, and profitability growth, arguably, is more important than revenue growth.
Moreover, Amazon's e-commerce business's revenue growth outperformed Wall Street's expectations, which more than compensated for AWS's revenue falling just a tad short of the Street's estimate ($23.06 billion vs $23.13 billion). This dynamic underscores the benefit of diversification.
2. Operating income soared 348%
The quarter's operating income more than quadrupled from the year-ago period to $11.2 billion. This result walloped Amazon's guidance range for operating income between $5.5 billion and $8.5 billion.
AWS's operating income growth was robust on both a year-over-year and a sequential basis. As noted in the chart, it jumped 30% year over year, and it also increased 30% from the prior quarter (Q2 2023).
In the prior quarter, AWS's operating income edged down 5% year over year to $5.4 billion.
3. Earnings per share surged 236%
In Q3, net income was $9.9 billion, or $0.94 per share, up 236% year over year. This result crushed the earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28 that Wall Street had expected.
The quarter's net income includes a pre-tax valuation gain of $1.2 billion included in nonoperating expense from Amazon's common stock investment in electric vehicle maker Rivian Automotive, which went public in November 2021. The year-ago quarter's net income had included a pre-tax valuation gain of $1.1 billion from the Rivian stock.
4. Operating cash flow rose 81% for the trailing year
Operating cash flow jumped 81% to $71.7 billion for the trailing-12-month period. Free cash flow (FCF) was $21.4 billion for this period, compared with negative $19.7 billion in the year-ago period.
The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $50.1 billion, and long-term debt of $61.1 billion.
Investors should mainly focus on Amazon's operating cash flow, rather than its FCF. FCF can jump around a lot quarter to quarter based on how much money the company is investing in growth initiatives.
5. Revenue is expected to grow 7% to 12% in the fourth quarter
For Q4, management guided for net sales in the range of $160 billion to $167 billion, which would amount to growth of 7% to 12% year over year. This guidance includes an expected favorable impact of 40 basis points (0.4 percentage points) from foreign exchange rates.
Going into the Q3 report, Wall Street had been modeling for Q4 revenue of $157.2 billion, so Amazon's top-line guidance was higher than what analysts had been expecting.
Amazon, which doesn't provide earnings guidance, also said that it expects Q4 operating income will be between $7.0 billion and $11.0 billion, compared with $2.7 billion in the prior-year period.
A good overall quarter
Amazon turned in a strong quarter, especially considering the uncertain macro environment.
With its leading positions in two massive growth markets -- e-commerce and cloud computing -- Amazon still has a long runway for growth.
[NASDAQ] Cup & Handle - Long setupNASDAQ is forming a nice Cup & Handle pattern on the daily aiming to find support around the 200d EMA and enough buyers to push the price to ATH.
A similar pattern was seen in the 2009 bottoming process, successfully defending the 200d EMA and resuming the secular bull market.
The same goes for the 2008 failure to hold the 200d EMA giving us a clear invalidation point for our setup
If NASDAQ looses the 200d EMA most likely the bear market will resume
💡XAUUSD: Ability to recover after a slight decline💡At the end of yesterday's trading session, the price of gold experienced a slight decrease, putting an end to the impressive surge that took it close to $2,000 per ounce in the previous week, while the ongoing tensions in the Middle East show no signs of abating.
💡According to David Meger, the Director of Metal Trading at High Ridge Futures, the demand for safe-haven assets may continue to push gold prices higher after a brief period of decline. He expressed the belief that political instability and unrest in the Middle East will likely keep driving gold prices upwards.
💡 Meger also added, "If inflation data exceeds expectations, it could raise concerns about interest rate hikes, which may subsequently lead to an increase in the demand for safe-haven assets."
Bitcoin in sensitive location!!!!Any break under 24800 with 12 days correction will lead BTC to 18000 and maybe to new lows! while any break over 26450 with 2-3 days correction will lead BTC to break 32000 and to 48000. I will keep you updated regarding any change in analysis shape of the wave !
follow for more and stay tuned
HAL looking very weakNSE:HAL HAL has exhibited signs of a breakdown, with the stock breaking below key levels of support and resistance. The daily and weekly charts have both witnessed the breach of a downward trendline. There are two potential price levels to target:
1. The stock may experience a decline from its current level of 1737.
2. If the downward momentum continues, the stock could potentially reach levels between 1585 and 1520.
This statement offers a clearer and more concise description of the stock's current situation and potential price movement.
Please be aware that the stock market can be highly volatile, and stock prices can fluctuate rapidly. It's essential to do your own research or consult a financial advisor to make informed investment decisions. Always consider factors like market conditions, company fundamentals, and recent news when setting your trading strategy.
Also, keep in mind that the stock market involves risks, and there's no guarantee that HAL stock will reach your target price or avoid your stop-loss level. Make sure you are comfortable with the risks involved and never invest money you can't afford to lose.
Bitcoin technical analysis _ 2023-10-18Short position
After breaking the newly formed bottom box and the midline of the ascending channel, and also after breaking the important support at the price of 27,930
Entry 27860
The loss limit is 28,190
Risk Free 27525
(moving the stop to the entry point after breaking 27463)
Saving profit 27200
(Moving stop to risk to reward 1 if it reaches 27150)
Profit limit 26930