USD/CHF Trend This Week - UptrendUSD/CHF news:
🔆The USD/CHF pair continued its upward momentum, reaching 0.9000 in early European trading on Thursday. However, it is now showing signs of a potential pullback as the 1-hour RSI approached the overbought threshold of 80.
🔆On Thursday, data revealed that the second estimate for the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Q4 2024 remained unchanged from the initial forecast, reflecting an annualized growth of 2.3%. Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose by 22,000 to 242,000 for the week ending February 22, marking the highest level in three months.
🔆Given this backdrop, the US Dollar is likely to maintain its strength across the board, keeping downward pressure on USD-denominated commodities. Additionally, Switzerland’s latest Retail Sales y/y data came in at 1.3%, falling short of the expected 1.6%, which could signal bearish sentiment for the Swiss Franc.
Personal opinion:
🔆The USD/CHF pair is still in an uptrend, however, the RSI (1H) of USD/CHF and DXU both signaled divergence after entering the overbought zone. So in the short term, there will be a slight pullback and then an increase for this pair.
Analysis:
🔆Based on the resistance - support levels and important Fibonacci levels combined with SMA200 to come up with a reasonable strategy.
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CHF 0.8980 – 0.8990
❌SL: 0.8950 | ✅TP: 0.9025 – 0.9050 – 0.9090
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Longsetup
USD/CAD Trend During US Trading SessionUSD/CAD news:
🔆USD/CAD rallied yesterday as Trump outlined clear tariffs including those on Canada and Mexico from March 4
🔆DXY maintained its third consecutive day of gains after the US Q/Q GDP was released as expected, indicating that the US economy remains solid after the tariff preparations
🔆However, on the technical side, the RSI (1H) indicator after entering the overbought zone has shown signs of divergence against the pair, so there will be a short-term correction before the main uptrend continues
Personal opinion:
🔆USD/CAD still maintains a strong upward momentum after the latest economic and financial news - the latest tariff policy has more influence on the strength of CAD.
Analysis:
🔆Based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA34 to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CAD 1.4420 – 1.4410
❌SL: 1.4390 | ✅TP: 1.4460 – 1.4500 – 1.4540
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USD/JPY Trend Today - Maintaining UptrendUSD/JPY news:
🔆The US dollar (USD) strengthened alongside rising US Treasury yields, with the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, reaching 107.30. Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note peaked at 1.17% for the day.
🔆In recent developments, US President Donald Trump has initiated an investigation into potential tariffs on copper imports to boost domestic production of this essential metal. Additionally, he reaffirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will be implemented after the current one-month delay period ends next week.
🔆The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to raise interest rates from 0.50% to 0.75% this year. According to Bloomberg, overnight index swaps indicate full pricing of a rate hike by September, with a 50% probability of an earlier move as soon as June.
🔆On the economic front, Japan's Tokyo Core CPI y/y came in at 2.2%, slightly below the expected 2.3%. Preliminary Industrial Production m/m declined by 1.1%, missing forecasts of a 1.0% drop. Meanwhile, Retail Sales y/y matched expectations at 3.9%.
Personal Opinion:
🔆In the short term, USD/JPY is likely to strengthen due to the continued strength of the US dollar, combined with weak economic data from Japan.
Analysis:
🔆Based on the trend line and important resistance - support levels to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 149.80 – 149.60
❌SL: 149.30 | ✅TP: 150.30– 150.80 – 151.20
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Bullish on Daily TF.Bullish on Daily TF.
Beautiful Cup & Handle Formation
on Shorter Time Frame.
Crossing & Sustaining 174 will lead
it towards 180 & then around 185-186.
170 - 170.80 may act as Immediate Support level.
However, it should not break 160, otherwise we
may witness further Selling pressure uptill 153 - 155
#VRUSDT continues its uptrend📈 LONG BYBIT:VRUSDT.P from $0.011718
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.011470
⏱ 1H Timeframe
⚡ Action Plan:
✅ BYBIT:VRUSDT.P price broke the resistance level and is consolidating above it, confirming a bullish scenario.
✅ The asset is trading above the POC (Point of Control) at $0.00862, indicating buyer dominance.
✅ Increasing volume on the breakout confirms the strength of the upward movement.
🎯 Target TP Levels:
💎 TP 1: $0.012110
📢 A breakout above $0.011718 will confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
📢 POC $0.00862 remains a key support zone.
📢 Rising volume at the breakout suggests a high probability of reaching target levels.
📢 Partial take-profit at TP1 ($0.012110) helps minimize risks in case of a pullback.
🚀 BYBIT:VRUSDT.P continues its uptrend – watch for upward movement and secure profits at TP!
Gold price update: Sharp decline from all-time high!Dear friends!
Global gold prices have fallen to their lowest level in over a week, driven by the strengthening U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching key inflation data, which could provide important clues about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar has risen by 0.2%, pushing the USD Index (.DXY) further away from its 11-week low. This appreciation makes gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies.
On the other hand, U.S. President Donald Trump has raised hopes of a one-month delay in imposing higher tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, while also proposing a 25% tariff on European automobiles and goods. This uncertainty has driven investors toward the U.S. dollar, adding further pressure on gold prices, which were already facing profit-taking pressure after reaching record highs.
EURUSD: Bearish Wave Continues to Dominate!EURUSD continued its downward trajectory on Thursday, losing nearly 0.9% and slipping below the key 1.0400 support level for the first time in nearly two weeks. The decline was driven by strong USD buying pressure across the market.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reclaimed the 107.00 level, reaching a fresh six-day high, supported by a modest uptick in both U.S. and German bond yields. The dollar’s strength reflects ongoing concerns over U.S. tariffs and fresh doubts about the health of the U.S. economy, following weaker-than-expected economic data in recent days. These factors have weighed heavily on EURUSD.
From a technical perspective, the pair has broken below an ascending trendline, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside. This reinforces the bearish outlook, as no clear bottom formation has been established yet. If EURUSD stages a recovery, it is likely to encounter resistance near the confluence zone of the EMA 34, EMA 89, and the newly formed resistance area, which could trigger renewed selling pressure. For now, the bearish bias remains intact, with further downside potential unless a decisive recovery above the resistance zone materializes.
GBPUSD: The trend of discounts prevails?Hello everyone, great to have you back for today's discussion on GBPUSD!
Currently, GBPUSD has extended its decline, trading below 1.2600 as market pressure intensifies. Risk sentiment has worsened following a series of U.S. economic data releases, which indicate weakness in the overall U.S. economy while also signaling a persistent rise in core inflationary pressures.
From a technical standpoint, the pair has broken below the ascending trendline, confirming a bearish breakout. The bearish momentum remains strong, with no clear signs of a bottom forming yet. If GBPUSD stages a corrective pullback, it is likely to face resistance around the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, which aligns with the confluence of EMA 34, EMA 89, and the newly established resistance area. This setup could reinforce selling pressure, making it a key level to watch.
MGNT 1H Long Investment Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp-
- day will close without test
Calculated affordable stop limit
1/2 1M take profit
Daily Trend
"+ long impulse
+ SOS test / T2 level
+ support level
- strong approach from volume zone
+ biggest volume manipulation"
Monthly Trend
+ long impulse
+ expanding biggest volume T2
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ unvolumed 2Sp-
+ strong buying bars
+ weak selling bar / test
Yearly no context
GOLD → False breakdown before further declineOANDA:XAUUSD updating lows within the changing local trend structure. The price is currently testing the liquidity zone at 2852, with a potential rebound before further downside movement.
Gold registered its lowest level in two weeks, dropping below $2,900 in Asia on Friday, breaking an eight-week bullish streak. The metal remains under pressure from the stronger U.S. dollar, influenced by Trump's tariff policies and U.S. economic conditions. Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled on March 4 and also threatened to impose a 25% tariff on European Union imports, along with an additional 10% on Chinese goods. Additionally, weak U.S. GDP data (2.3% in Q4) and rising jobless claims have further supported the dollar. Traders are now awaiting the U.S. PCE Price Index to assess the Fed's interest rate outlook and its impact on gold.
A false breakdown at 2852 could trigger a retracement toward the 0.618 Fibonacci imbalance zone at 2877 or the 0.5 level at 2885 before resuming the decline. Given both weak fundamental and technical conditions, gold may attempt to retest its recent lows.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market.
Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends
Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level.
A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure.
Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month?
If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Here’s where we could see solid support:
Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time
Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March
Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark
Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K
Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone
Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region
Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup
Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce
Resistance Levels & Confluences
Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears
Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement
233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside
Potential Trade Setups
Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K
Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades.
New Indicator Release
The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
Gold breaks out of consolidation, facing bearish pressureGold has officially exited its previous consolidation phase, experiencing a sharp decline from the $2,950 region and reaching a low near $2,878. The breakdown of the rising wedge pattern has triggered increased selling pressure, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Currently, gold is making a slight recovery, trading around $2,919. However, the bearish trend remains dominant, leaving the price vulnerable to further downside moves. If gold fails to reclaim the $2,930 - $2,940 zone, the downward momentum may persist, targeting $2,905 as the first support level, with a potential extension toward $2,879.
Wishing you successful trades!
GBPUSD - double bottom formation, recovery upGBP/USD news:
🔆GBP/USD edged higher on Tuesday, pushing Cable towards the upper range of its recent consolidation and maintaining support near the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Meanwhile, US consumer sentiment declined in February, intensifying worries about an economic slowdown. Additionally, US President Donald Trump reiterated his plan to enforce hefty import tariffs, aiming to pressure the country's key trading partners amid ongoing trade war.
Personal opinion:
🔆Sideways price zone, GBP is about to be pressured by the rising dollar, short-term price increase
Technical analysis:
🔆H1 frame forms a double bottom pattern and recovers in the short term
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉BUY GBP/USD 1.26500 – 1.26400
❌SL: 1.26100 | ✅TP: 1.26800 – 1.27100 – 1.27500
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EURUSD: Strong preference for selling strategy!Dear friends!
EURUSD continues to sustain losses below 1.0500 during the early trading hours on Thursday. The pair is under pressure due to the recovery of the US dollar. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) weakens following former US President Donald Trump's threat to impose a 25% tariff on the European Union. This development has prevented EURUSD from making significant gains, keeping it limited below the 1.052 resistance level, marked by two recent peaks.
In the short term, EURUSD remains well-supported by bulls around the key support zone of 1.0462. However, this upward move appears to be a temporary consolidation before a potential strong decline, as indicated by the unchanged EMA 34 and 89 levels and a shift in momentum towards a bearish trend. My primary strategy focuses on selling, aiming for further downside if the support level is broken and a new resistance is established.
Wishing you successful trades and profitable opportunities!
GBPUSD: Rising within the uptrend channel!Dear traders!
GBPUSD is currently moving within a clear ascending channel, maintaining its bullish trend on the 1-hourchart.
Looking ahead, if the market conditions remain unchanged, we should consider buy positions in line with the trend. Pay close attention to the psychological resistance level at 1.2700, where GBPUSD may gain further momentum or break through to reach higher targets.
Wishing you successful and enjoyable trading!
#SHELLUSDT – Bullish Scenario, Expecting a Breakout📈 LONG BYBIT:SHELLUSDT.P from $0.7000
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.6671
⏱ 1H Timeframe
⚡ Trade Plan:
✅ The BYBIT:SHELLUSDT.P price is showing strong momentum after breaking out of a consolidation zone.
✅ The asset has broken above $0.6957 and is holding above this level, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend.
✅ Increasing volume confirms buyer activity.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.7350
🔥 TP 2: $0.7700
📢 Holding above $0.7000 would confirm further bullish movement.
📢 POC at $0.4671 is far below the current price, indicating a trend shift.
📢 Increasing volume supports the bullish case.
📢 Securing partial profits at TP1 ($0.7350) is a smart risk-management strategy.
🚀 BYBIT:SHELLUSDT.P remains in an uptrend – monitoring for continuation and securing profits at TP levels!
btc"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
OGKB 5M Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1/2 yearly level take profit at 0.459
1H Counter Trend
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp-"
1D Trend
"+ long impulse
+ JOC level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed manipulation"
1M Trend
"+ long impulse (in 1d 4h)
+ neutral zone"
1Y CounterTrend
"""- short impulse
+ 2Sp-
+ perforated support level"""
EURUSD: Uptrend still prevails!Dear traders!
Yesterday, EUR/USD experienced an impressive short-term rebound, briefly reaching the key resistance level of 1.052. However, lacking further momentum, the pair quickly retreated and stabilized within the day's range.
Looking ahead, as long as the ascending channel remains intact and its internal support levels hold firm, buyers are likely to continue their attempt to break through the next key resistance at the upper boundary of the channel.
Wishing you a successful trading day with plenty of profits!
EURUSD Trend in European and US SessionsEUR/USD news:
🔆Weakening U.S. economic data weighed on the U.S. dollar, as the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index dropped by 7 points in February to 98.3, marking its third consecutive decline, according to Tuesday’s data release.
🔆Meanwhile, Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin projected another decrease in Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation later this week, acknowledging the Fed’s progress in curbing inflation. Despite his positive outlook, Barkin stressed the importance of a cautious "wait and see" approach due to ongoing policy uncertainties.
🔆The EUR/USD pair strengthened as the Euro found support from rising optimism over potential fiscal expansion in Germany. Reports suggest that the country is considering a €200 billion emergency defense fund, fueling investor confidence.
🔆Additionally, Frederich Merz, leader of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Germany’s incoming chancellor, has not dismissed the possibility of modifying the debt brake to finance crucial initiatives such as tax cuts, reduced energy costs, and increased military spending, further boosting sentiment around the Euro.
Personal opinion:
🔆EUR/USD is still maintaining its upward momentum based on good news from Europe. There will be a slight pullback due to the increase in the US 10-year bond yield but this is an opportunity to buy at a cheaper price than the market
Analysis:
Based on important resistance - support zones and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA50 to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EURUSD 1.0470 – 1.0450
❌SL: 1.0420 | ✅TP: 1.0520 – 1.0560 – 1.0600
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
XAUUSD: Buy or sell?Gold continues to decline for the second day, trading around $2,913 per ounce, as the market pauses ahead of key inflation data and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies. Despite the drop, strong buyer interest at lower levels signals stability, while expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts continue to support the metal.If buyers defend key levels, a short-term rebound may occur.