GOLD --> Correction Before Potential Further DeclineOANDA:XAUUSD transitioning to a Correction Phase After Last Week's Economic Data. Market participants are generally confirming the bearish nature after returning to the channel.
The market is broadly prepared for a 25% rate cut, but traders seem cautious about hints regarding the Fed's stance: whether the Fed will cut interest rates, shift to a wait-and-see approach, or imply a rate hike based on last week's economic data. Traders are eagerly awaiting the Fed's decision, which will be announced on December 18. Gold prices continue to be supported by safe-haven demand amidst ongoing geopolitical risks. Additionally, China's continued gold purchases are providing further momentum for this precious metal.
Technically, after a false breakout at the 2721 level, a deep correction is forming, which typically develops into a local downward trend. Prices are approaching the panic zone of 2615-2600. During the Asian trading session, gold maintained its earlier recovery above $2650 as buyers still held control amidst the persistently weak US dollar and sluggish US Treasury yields, with attention on key resistance levels.
Prices are heading toward the imbalance zone in the correction process. A swift approach and retest of resistance could trigger a recovery. Traders may enter the profit-taking phase before major news releases.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
Longsetup
Gold: Short-Term Fluctuations, Long-Term TriumphsAs a market analyst, I observe that global gold prices currently stand at $2,647 per ounce, with February 2025 gold futures on the Comex New York exchange priced at $2,675 per ounce, reflecting a 0.03% increase from the previous day. Over the past week, gold has shown a solid 0.8% gain.
From my perspective, gold has had a remarkable year, and while it is now undergoing a phase of correction, I firmly believe this pullback will not last long. My analysis suggests that gold prices will rise further in the coming months. This outlook is supported by several key factors, including loose monetary policies, strong central bank buying activity, and growing demand for safe-haven assets, all of which are likely to drive gold to new record highs this year.
I’m also closely following comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell after each meeting, as these are crucial for shaping investor expectations for 2025. Inflation remains a pressing issue, still falling short of the Fed’s 2% target. According to Nicky Shiels, a metals strategist at MKS PAMP SA, gold prices could reach $2,500 per ounce, or even as high as $3,000 per ounce, depending on how effectively the Fed manages inflation.
In the short term, my projection is that gold will trade within a range of $2,647 to $2,760 per ounce. For the longer term, I align with Goldman Sachs' forecast that gold could achieve $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025. This aligns with the broader trends I’m observing, where persistent economic uncertainties and evolving monetary policies continue to shape a favorable environment for gold.
GOLD → The FED Rate Decision Ahead: What Should You Do?Dear Traders,
Gold (XAUUSD) has made a notable move, successfully testing the strong support level at 2633 before traders shifted into buying mode. As a result, the price broke above 2643, sparking new optimism as upcoming discussions around potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (FED) take center stage.
Currently, there is a 93% probability that the FED will cut rates by 25 basis points. However, the overarching theme is the FED's stance for the future. Hawkish hints regarding 2025 could influence the rate-cutting trajectory, an aspect the market has only partially priced in.
This means any indication of a smaller rate cut could fuel strength for the U.S. dollar. Conversely, a deeper cut could act as a bullish catalyst for gold. The spotlight is firmly on FED Chair Jerome Powell's comments, as they will provide crucial insights into the economic outlook for 2024 amidst the backdrop of Trump-era policies that continue to play a pivotal role.
That said, downside risks for gold remain elevated, particularly if the FED maintains a hawkish stance in the current climate.
Technical Analysis: At the moment, gold prices are consolidating within the range of 2658 - 2633, with a breakout in either direction likely to bring about a strong momentum-driven move. The market is complex and highly volatile right now, which is why traders are advised to hold off on entering positions before the event. Waiting for volatility to subside can offer better clarity on market direction and safer opportunities.
Final Advice: Patience is key in such turbulent times. Avoid getting swayed by short-term noise and focus on acting only after a clear trend emerges following the major event.
LLY 1H Swing Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- expanding T2
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
- biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly Context
"+ long impulse
- neutral zone"
Scalping! XAU! Waiting for gold price to BREAK from trendSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) stays under pressure during the early European session on Wednesday but manages to hold above the one-week low reached the previous day, showing limited follow-through selling. Expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) continue to support higher US Treasury bond yields, creating headwinds for the non-yielding yellow metal. However, USD bulls appear cautious, holding off on making strong moves ahead of the pivotal FOMC decision.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Moving sideways in 2 trendlines, M30. Leaning towards breaking the uptrend and waiting for today's interest rate cut results.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2645 - $2643 SL $2640 scalping
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2655
TP3: $2660
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
AFKS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
- above first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1 level
+ volumed manipulation
+ support level"
Monthly Context
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
- below 1/2 correction
+ support level
- one bar reversal?!"
Yearly Context
"- short impulse
- neutral zone"
EUR/CHF Breaks Above Downtrend Line: What’s Next?The daily chart for the EUR/CHF pair has recently revealed a bullish movement, successfully breaking above its descending trend line. This development indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, occurring after the price touched a significant support level at 0.9250. The fact that the price has breached the downtrend line after reaching this support suggests a potential influx of buying pressure in the short term. Currently, the pair is trading near the horizontal resistance zone at 0.9400, which has been tested multiple times in the past.
Possible Scenarios
Buy Scenario:
With the price having broken above the downtrend line, sustained trading above 0.9400 could signal a bullish move in the coming days.
A stop loss could be placed around 0.9310 (approximately 90 pips below the current price).
For a more conservative approach, a stop loss could be set below 0.9240 (about 160 pips).
Take Profit Opportunities:
TP1 at 0.9490, near the recent high (about 90 pips).
TP2 at 0.9590, targeting the next resistance area (approximately 190 pips).
Alternative Scenario:
If the price fails to maintain itself above 0.9400 and retreats below the trend line, this could indicate a potential continuation of the downtrend. In such a case, a short entry could be evaluated around 0.9350:
Stop Loss: Above the high of the previous candle, at around 0.9420 (approximately 70 pips).
TP1: At 0.9250, which serves as significant support and a recent low (around 100 pips).
Important Technical Factors to Note:
Trend Line: The break of the descending trend line suggests a reduction in selling pressure.
Resistance Zone: The area between 0.9400 and 0.9450 will be a critical test for buying strength.
Strong Support: The 0.9257 level remains a crucial point that buyers have defended in prior downtrends.
Fundamental Considerations
Euro (EUR): The euro's strength is influenced by Eurozone economic data and the European Central Bank (ECB) decisions. The recent release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), showing inflation at 2.2%, is close to the ECB’s target. This indicates that the ECB may adopt a dovish monetary policy in the short to medium term, which could negatively impact the euro's strength.
EUR/CHF is at a pivotal technical crossroads. The break of the descending trend line supports a bullish outlook in the short term, with initial targets set at 0.9490 and 0.9590. However, a failure to overcome the current resistance could see sellers regain control, with possible targets around 0.9300 and 0.9257. Traders should closely monitor price reactions to these critical levels before entering positions.
Disclaimer
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
interest rate cut! most important data end of 2024⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its recovery from the $2,633 level, a one-week low, and gains modest traction during the Asian session on Wednesday. The uptick appears to be driven by repositioning ahead of a key central bank event. However, gains are likely to be limited as traders await the outcome of the crucial two-day FOMC policy meeting later today. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is broadly expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and signal a more cautious approach to further rate reductions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market will pick up and recover when the FED lowers interest rates later today. But it won't have too much of an impact because most investors won't be too surprised.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2664 - $2662 SL $2667 scalping
TP1: $2658
TP2: $2652
TP3: $2645
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2694 - $2696 SL $2702
TP1: $2685
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2600
TP1: $2618
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2645
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
$UBER LONGThe chart for Uber Technologies Inc. NYSE:UBER indicates the end of a Wave 2 correction and the beginning of a Wave 3 rally within the context of Elliott Wave theory. This suggests a strong upward trend could be underway, with significant potential upside.
Analyst Price Targets for NYSE:UBER :
1. Mark Mahaney (Evercore ISI Group): Increased price target to $120, citing strong fundamentals and expansion into new markets.
2. Ivan Feinseth (Tigress Financial): Maintains a ‘Buy’ rating with a price target of $103, emphasizing growth in delivery services and mobility recovery.
3. Andrew Boone (JMP Securities): Reiterates ‘Market Outperform’ with a price target of $95, driven by Uber’s profitability improvements and growth in gross bookings.
The overall consensus among analysts is a target range of $90-$120, reflecting a potential upside of 40%-70% from current levels. This aligns with technical signals that indicate a bullish continuation phase as Wave 3 unfolds.
Exxon is oversold (the most since 2020)NYSE:XOM is inside it's sideways channel since March 2024 and trades within a price range of $108 - $123 with one failed breakout to the upper side in October.
The recent pulldown came from commodity prices (oil) and political drama about how much oil will be offered in Trump's term. Of course, it would be best if supply will not outpace demand too much since this would let oil prices drop. Trump will learn this soon enough. Because of that it's mostly noise what we have seen in this chart.
The level at $108 offered strong support twice and the sector (XLE) is also offering support itself. Also, the last time we've seen this stock so oversold was during the Covid crash in 2020.
From a fundamental perspective, Exxon Mobil's recent performance highlights its strong investment potential. The company's total shareholder yield, combining dividends and buybacks, now exceeds 7%, offering substantial returns to investors. In Q3 2024, Exxon reported $8.6 billion in net profit, with a 25% production increase, partly due to the acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources. Despite a 5% earnings decline from lower commodity prices, Exxon's diversified operations and strategic investments in alternative energy position it well for long-term growth. The recent stock price dip presents an attractive entry point for investors seeking robust returns in the energy sector.
Target Zones
$114.00
$123.00
Support Zones
$108.00
US Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame AnalysisUS Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame Analysis
Overview:
Today, let’s analyze the US Index (US30) on the daily time frame. Over the past several days, spanning more than a week, the trend has been distinctly bearish.
Key Observation:
The price is now nearing a significant key level in the range of 43,200–43,300. This area could act as a strong support zone, offering a potential opportunity for a long trade.
Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: 43,200–43,300
Monitor this range closely.
Look for bullish confirmation signals, such as wick rejections, bullish engulfing candles, or other reversal patterns before entering a trade.
Potential Target:
If the setup aligns, the trade could aim for the previous week’s high.
Keep in mind this move could take up to a week to materialize, but the potential gain from this trade could be significant.
Important Reminders:
Wait for Confirmation: Ensure a clear rejection or reaction at the key level before executing the trade.
Focus on Risk Management: Safeguarding your capital is crucial. Avoid impulsive or revenge trading.
Be Patient: Allow the trade to develop at its own pace; rushing can lead to mistakes.
Trading is Reactive, Not Predictive: Respond to price action as it unfolds rather than trying to forecast the future.
GBPUSD: Breaking the trend line!GBPUSD is currently trading around 1.2705 and has not changed much since the start of the trading session.
Early Tuesday morning, data released by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 4.3% in the three months to October, as expected. During the period, Employment Change increased by 173,000, while annual wage inflation, measured by Average Earnings excluding bonuses, increased to 5.2% from 4.9%.
Although the negative shift in risk sentiment has helped the US dollar gain ground in the European session, the GBP/USD pair remains flat but could fall as the bullish trendline and technical factors are broken.
FEDEX AT MY LEVEL DEC17 2024Last post about FEDEX when it was trading around 284 was to wait for 275s. Here we are at 275 &expect to hit all time high or at least 315 asap.
I don't trade news so I am not worried about earnings.
I am a price action trader.
Trade safely as per you RR & risk tolerance levels.
avaxusdt long"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
DROP , BASE , RALLY Pattern DROP , BASE , RALLY pattern is my most favorite pattern to identify on charts and take trades accordingly.
Simple explanation of this pattern is that '' price drops to a certain level and then starts accumulation or form base level with bit of liquidity hunt to the down side. Bullish rally begins after the liquidity hunt and formation of strong base.
In this pattern we can take several trades by managing risk with the stop loss at previous low or high.
This Pattern can be identify in any financial market with the accuracy of above 80%. (personal point of view on experience)
Not a financial advice, trade on your own risk. Only for educational purpose.
Regards:
Javed ali nagri
Potential LongLooking at the behaviour of silver, price may drop a little further to fully gravitate into support below 2605.25 area and head up from the inversion sellside fvg. or it may head up from the volume gap found in 4h 2637.51. I will be watching those areas for liquidity grab and watch the reaction from within that high resistance zone.
SUPERUSDT Long Setup / 2x-3x LeverageBINANCE:SUPERUSDT
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone 1.98-1.91
⚡️TP:
2.12
2.23
2.36
2.49
🔴SL:
1.72
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
PIXEL/USDT Long Opportunity!NGM:PIXEL
USDT Long Setup
PIXEL is currently retesting a significant support zone marked by the green box and aligning with key levels such as the Fib retracement and the moving averages (MA). The price action shows a correction after hitting the $0.3067 high, but bullish momentum may resume if the support holds.
Entry Range: CMP TO $0.2
Targets:
T1: $0.2580
T2: $0.3067
T3: $0.4783
Stop Loss (SL): $0.183
DYOR, NFA
Gold continued its downward trend at the beginning of the week⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher after dipping to the $2,644-2,643 range during the Asian session, a one-week low. This pause in its recent pullback from last Thursday's one-month high is supported by a softer US Dollar, driven by a slight retreat in US Treasury yields. Geopolitical risks and uncertainties surrounding US President-elect Donald Trump's policies also bolster demand for the safe-haven metal.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will take a cautious approach to rate cuts next year, given stalled progress in reducing inflation toward the 2% target, could support US bond yields and limit further gains for gold. Investors are likely holding back on major moves ahead of the much-anticipated FOMC meeting outcome on Wednesday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Downtrend continues - Gold is under strong selling pressure before results of interest rate cuts
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2674 - $2676 SL $2679
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2635 - $2637 SL $2632
TP1: $2645
TP2: $2658
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
SXP - Take Off!!!Dear my friends,
It's time to board the SXP train again. The downtrend has been broken, with a series of green candles on the weekly chart. The target is to break the $1 USDT zone, and from there, we’ll go far together! The RSI is entering the overbought zone with a stable upward trend on the weekly timeframe. Here’s another coin with a robust decentralized finance platform integrated with.
Best Regards!