XAUUSD: Double Top PatternHello everyone!
Currently, after a false breakout at the key level of $2721, the price has quickly reverted to a bearish trend. This development bears significant resemblance to the double top pattern, a technical formation that often signals an impending downtrend.
Given the current situation, the outlook leans in favor of the bears. If this scenario materializes, we can expect the price to continue moving towards lower support zones. To project potential downside targets, we are utilizing the Fibonacci extension tool, a powerful method for analyzing price momentum.
Based on our calculations, two critical levels to watch are $2609 and $2557. These are areas where buying pressure may emerge, potentially testing the trend's continuation. Stay tuned for further updates to fine-tune your trading strategies!
Longsetup
EURUSD: Bearish Trading Dominates!EUR/USD fell again on Friday, dropping another 0.5 percent to drop below 1.0500.
Fiber fell slightly for the fifth consecutive trading day after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by another 25 basis points, with overall market sentiment remaining firmly in the greenback on the day, making EURUSD even more difficult.
USDJPY Continues Consolidation Above Key Support!Dear Friends!
USD/JPY is trading sideways around 154.00 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair was weighed down by Japanese comments and a softer risk-on tone. However, a fresh rally in the US Dollar limited the pair's losses ahead of the US November Retail Sales report.
From a technical point of view, USDJPY remains in an uptrend with the trendline, EMAs and price channel still favoring buyers. In the short term, keep an eye on the upper limit of the channel, which could provide fresh upside momentum for USDJPY.
Wishing you happy and profitable trading.
USDJPY: Under Selling Pressure Around Recent Highs!USD/JPY has come under renewed selling pressure to near 0.6350 in Wednesday's Asian trading. The pair fails to benefit from fading hopes of a BoJ rate hike on Thursday as the US Dollar retreats despite a cautious risk environment. All eyes remain on the Fed outcome ahead of Thursday's BoJ decision
EGLD Ready !!!Hello Birdies,
MultiversX has broken out of the wedge pattern and is currently retesting it on the weekly chart.
The entry points are well mentioned on the chart beside if anything changed in the market.
A successful test above the pattern could trigger a rally towards targets at $55, $77, $112 and $235.
Prediction of EURUSD price decrease in the near future?Dear Traders,
The EUR/USD pair is currently hovering around the 1.0378 mark, extending its bearish momentum for several consecutive days. This persistent decline has been largely driven by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cuts, which have bolstered the US dollar and exerted downward pressure on this major currency pair.
Analyzing the 4-hour chart, it’s evident that the pair remains below the 34-period EMA, signaling that the bearish trend is far from over. After failing to sustain the upward momentum near the 1.0450 level, the price resumed its descent, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in the market.
Given these factors, my personal analysis suggests that the downtrend is likely to accelerate in the near term. Any potential corrective pullbacks, in this context, could present strategic opportunities for sellers to re-enter the market.
What’s your perspective on this outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments below—I’d love to hear your take!
GOLD -- Fell below 2650 with negative fundamental driversOANDA:XAUUSD continued its downward trajectory, dipping to $2,648, underpinned by adverse fundamental drivers. The key question now is whether a retracement is on the horizon or if the decline will deepen further.
Optimism about Chinese stimulus faded due to growing concerns over the U.S.-China trade war. In a closed report, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) stated that China has begun retaliating against President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming tariffs by implementing non-tariff measures.
The market now believes that the Fed might send a hawkish signal by indicating a pause in January after the anticipated 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at the December 17-18 policy meeting, especially following the release of higher-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data.
Technically, gold remains confined within its current channel, with the consolidation phase still intact. The primary focus lies on the key support zone between 2636 and 2634, below which a large liquidity cluster could serve as a potential target for prices.
The 2636 support level could trigger a retracement, depending on forthcoming market developments. If the retracement appears shallow and prices quickly return to this level, the likelihood of a break below support increases, potentially driving prices down to levels like 2612 and 2580. However, if gold can stabilize above 2682 and consolidate above local highs, it could pave the way for a retest of higher levels.
Regards Bentradegold!
Gold --> Bear Market Intensifies, Key Resistance LoomsHello, dear friends! This is Ben.
Gold prices rose after a false breakout at 2,650. Fundamentally, the situation remains complex, and technically...
The metal's price is being influenced by geopolitical tensions, weaker U.S. bond yields, and a softer USD, which supports the safe-haven appeal of XAU/USD. However, bets on a less dovish Fed warrant caution for bullish markets ahead of this week's FOMC meeting.
Theoretically, additional gold price gains could be limited by concerns about China's economy after its industrial production posted a modest rise in November, while retail sales disappointed. Widening gold discounts in India amid subdued wedding season demand due to higher prices may also act as a drag on the metal. China and India remain the largest gold consumers globally.
Looking ahead, U.S. PMI data also warrants attention for fresh insights into the Fed's rate trajectory next year, which could heavily influence gold prices—given gold's sensitivity to the USD.
From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of a major range, testing critical support. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. If there is a false breakout around the 2,655 level, a minor correction toward resistance could form. However, with prices testing strong support, we may witness a false breakout followed by a corrective move to the 2,660–2,675 region (0.618 Fib retracement) before resuming the downtrend.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
EUR/USD → Consolidates Ahead of Key Fed Interest Rate DecisionHello everyone, Ben here!
EUR/USD saw a sluggish upward movement on Monday, drifting towards the upper bounds of its short-term consolidation range just north of 1.0500, though lacking any significant conviction. With relatively limited European data this week, Fiber traders are bracing for a heavy U.S. data docket.
In the short term, the trend remains neutral, but prices are consolidating near a critical support level that has held firm for two years. Aggressive rate cuts in Europe are putting pressure on the pair, with expectations set for December 17th-18th. The Fed is widely anticipated to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps). However, any hawkish signals from the Fed aimed at taming inflation would increase the downside potential for EUR/USD.
Support levels: 1.045, 1.033
Resistance levels: 1.060, 1.065
From an interest rate perspective, within the context of a broader downtrend, price has yet to reach the key liquidity zone. Ahead of the news, I anticipate that the price will climb towards 1.060. However, based on both technical and fundamental outlooks, bearish momentum is expected to resume, and a break below the 1.045 support level will solidify the downward trend.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
GOLD --> Correction Before Potential Further DeclineOANDA:XAUUSD transitioning to a Correction Phase After Last Week's Economic Data. Market participants are generally confirming the bearish nature after returning to the channel.
The market is broadly prepared for a 25% rate cut, but traders seem cautious about hints regarding the Fed's stance: whether the Fed will cut interest rates, shift to a wait-and-see approach, or imply a rate hike based on last week's economic data. Traders are eagerly awaiting the Fed's decision, which will be announced on December 18. Gold prices continue to be supported by safe-haven demand amidst ongoing geopolitical risks. Additionally, China's continued gold purchases are providing further momentum for this precious metal.
Technically, after a false breakout at the 2721 level, a deep correction is forming, which typically develops into a local downward trend. Prices are approaching the panic zone of 2615-2600. During the Asian trading session, gold maintained its earlier recovery above $2650 as buyers still held control amidst the persistently weak US dollar and sluggish US Treasury yields, with attention on key resistance levels.
Prices are heading toward the imbalance zone in the correction process. A swift approach and retest of resistance could trigger a recovery. Traders may enter the profit-taking phase before major news releases.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
Gold: Short-Term Fluctuations, Long-Term TriumphsAs a market analyst, I observe that global gold prices currently stand at $2,647 per ounce, with February 2025 gold futures on the Comex New York exchange priced at $2,675 per ounce, reflecting a 0.03% increase from the previous day. Over the past week, gold has shown a solid 0.8% gain.
From my perspective, gold has had a remarkable year, and while it is now undergoing a phase of correction, I firmly believe this pullback will not last long. My analysis suggests that gold prices will rise further in the coming months. This outlook is supported by several key factors, including loose monetary policies, strong central bank buying activity, and growing demand for safe-haven assets, all of which are likely to drive gold to new record highs this year.
I’m also closely following comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell after each meeting, as these are crucial for shaping investor expectations for 2025. Inflation remains a pressing issue, still falling short of the Fed’s 2% target. According to Nicky Shiels, a metals strategist at MKS PAMP SA, gold prices could reach $2,500 per ounce, or even as high as $3,000 per ounce, depending on how effectively the Fed manages inflation.
In the short term, my projection is that gold will trade within a range of $2,647 to $2,760 per ounce. For the longer term, I align with Goldman Sachs' forecast that gold could achieve $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025. This aligns with the broader trends I’m observing, where persistent economic uncertainties and evolving monetary policies continue to shape a favorable environment for gold.
GOLD → The FED Rate Decision Ahead: What Should You Do?Dear Traders,
Gold (XAUUSD) has made a notable move, successfully testing the strong support level at 2633 before traders shifted into buying mode. As a result, the price broke above 2643, sparking new optimism as upcoming discussions around potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (FED) take center stage.
Currently, there is a 93% probability that the FED will cut rates by 25 basis points. However, the overarching theme is the FED's stance for the future. Hawkish hints regarding 2025 could influence the rate-cutting trajectory, an aspect the market has only partially priced in.
This means any indication of a smaller rate cut could fuel strength for the U.S. dollar. Conversely, a deeper cut could act as a bullish catalyst for gold. The spotlight is firmly on FED Chair Jerome Powell's comments, as they will provide crucial insights into the economic outlook for 2024 amidst the backdrop of Trump-era policies that continue to play a pivotal role.
That said, downside risks for gold remain elevated, particularly if the FED maintains a hawkish stance in the current climate.
Technical Analysis: At the moment, gold prices are consolidating within the range of 2658 - 2633, with a breakout in either direction likely to bring about a strong momentum-driven move. The market is complex and highly volatile right now, which is why traders are advised to hold off on entering positions before the event. Waiting for volatility to subside can offer better clarity on market direction and safer opportunities.
Final Advice: Patience is key in such turbulent times. Avoid getting swayed by short-term noise and focus on acting only after a clear trend emerges following the major event.
LLY 1H Swing Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- expanding T2
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level
- biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly Context
"+ long impulse
- neutral zone"
Scalping! XAU! Waiting for gold price to BREAK from trendSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) stays under pressure during the early European session on Wednesday but manages to hold above the one-week low reached the previous day, showing limited follow-through selling. Expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) continue to support higher US Treasury bond yields, creating headwinds for the non-yielding yellow metal. However, USD bulls appear cautious, holding off on making strong moves ahead of the pivotal FOMC decision.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Moving sideways in 2 trendlines, M30. Leaning towards breaking the uptrend and waiting for today's interest rate cut results.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2645 - $2643 SL $2640 scalping
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2655
TP3: $2660
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
AFKS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
- above first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1 level
+ volumed manipulation
+ support level"
Monthly Context
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
- below 1/2 correction
+ support level
- one bar reversal?!"
Yearly Context
"- short impulse
- neutral zone"
EUR/CHF Breaks Above Downtrend Line: What’s Next?The daily chart for the EUR/CHF pair has recently revealed a bullish movement, successfully breaking above its descending trend line. This development indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, occurring after the price touched a significant support level at 0.9250. The fact that the price has breached the downtrend line after reaching this support suggests a potential influx of buying pressure in the short term. Currently, the pair is trading near the horizontal resistance zone at 0.9400, which has been tested multiple times in the past.
Possible Scenarios
Buy Scenario:
With the price having broken above the downtrend line, sustained trading above 0.9400 could signal a bullish move in the coming days.
A stop loss could be placed around 0.9310 (approximately 90 pips below the current price).
For a more conservative approach, a stop loss could be set below 0.9240 (about 160 pips).
Take Profit Opportunities:
TP1 at 0.9490, near the recent high (about 90 pips).
TP2 at 0.9590, targeting the next resistance area (approximately 190 pips).
Alternative Scenario:
If the price fails to maintain itself above 0.9400 and retreats below the trend line, this could indicate a potential continuation of the downtrend. In such a case, a short entry could be evaluated around 0.9350:
Stop Loss: Above the high of the previous candle, at around 0.9420 (approximately 70 pips).
TP1: At 0.9250, which serves as significant support and a recent low (around 100 pips).
Important Technical Factors to Note:
Trend Line: The break of the descending trend line suggests a reduction in selling pressure.
Resistance Zone: The area between 0.9400 and 0.9450 will be a critical test for buying strength.
Strong Support: The 0.9257 level remains a crucial point that buyers have defended in prior downtrends.
Fundamental Considerations
Euro (EUR): The euro's strength is influenced by Eurozone economic data and the European Central Bank (ECB) decisions. The recent release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), showing inflation at 2.2%, is close to the ECB’s target. This indicates that the ECB may adopt a dovish monetary policy in the short to medium term, which could negatively impact the euro's strength.
EUR/CHF is at a pivotal technical crossroads. The break of the descending trend line supports a bullish outlook in the short term, with initial targets set at 0.9490 and 0.9590. However, a failure to overcome the current resistance could see sellers regain control, with possible targets around 0.9300 and 0.9257. Traders should closely monitor price reactions to these critical levels before entering positions.
Disclaimer
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
interest rate cut! most important data end of 2024⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its recovery from the $2,633 level, a one-week low, and gains modest traction during the Asian session on Wednesday. The uptick appears to be driven by repositioning ahead of a key central bank event. However, gains are likely to be limited as traders await the outcome of the crucial two-day FOMC policy meeting later today. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is broadly expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and signal a more cautious approach to further rate reductions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market will pick up and recover when the FED lowers interest rates later today. But it won't have too much of an impact because most investors won't be too surprised.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2664 - $2662 SL $2667 scalping
TP1: $2658
TP2: $2652
TP3: $2645
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2694 - $2696 SL $2702
TP1: $2685
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2600
TP1: $2618
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2645
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
$UBER LONGThe chart for Uber Technologies Inc. NYSE:UBER indicates the end of a Wave 2 correction and the beginning of a Wave 3 rally within the context of Elliott Wave theory. This suggests a strong upward trend could be underway, with significant potential upside.
Analyst Price Targets for NYSE:UBER :
1. Mark Mahaney (Evercore ISI Group): Increased price target to $120, citing strong fundamentals and expansion into new markets.
2. Ivan Feinseth (Tigress Financial): Maintains a ‘Buy’ rating with a price target of $103, emphasizing growth in delivery services and mobility recovery.
3. Andrew Boone (JMP Securities): Reiterates ‘Market Outperform’ with a price target of $95, driven by Uber’s profitability improvements and growth in gross bookings.
The overall consensus among analysts is a target range of $90-$120, reflecting a potential upside of 40%-70% from current levels. This aligns with technical signals that indicate a bullish continuation phase as Wave 3 unfolds.
Exxon is oversold (the most since 2020)NYSE:XOM is inside it's sideways channel since March 2024 and trades within a price range of $108 - $123 with one failed breakout to the upper side in October.
The recent pulldown came from commodity prices (oil) and political drama about how much oil will be offered in Trump's term. Of course, it would be best if supply will not outpace demand too much since this would let oil prices drop. Trump will learn this soon enough. Because of that it's mostly noise what we have seen in this chart.
The level at $108 offered strong support twice and the sector (XLE) is also offering support itself. Also, the last time we've seen this stock so oversold was during the Covid crash in 2020.
From a fundamental perspective, Exxon Mobil's recent performance highlights its strong investment potential. The company's total shareholder yield, combining dividends and buybacks, now exceeds 7%, offering substantial returns to investors. In Q3 2024, Exxon reported $8.6 billion in net profit, with a 25% production increase, partly due to the acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources. Despite a 5% earnings decline from lower commodity prices, Exxon's diversified operations and strategic investments in alternative energy position it well for long-term growth. The recent stock price dip presents an attractive entry point for investors seeking robust returns in the energy sector.
Target Zones
$114.00
$123.00
Support Zones
$108.00
US Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame AnalysisUS Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame Analysis
Overview:
Today, let’s analyze the US Index (US30) on the daily time frame. Over the past several days, spanning more than a week, the trend has been distinctly bearish.
Key Observation:
The price is now nearing a significant key level in the range of 43,200–43,300. This area could act as a strong support zone, offering a potential opportunity for a long trade.
Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: 43,200–43,300
Monitor this range closely.
Look for bullish confirmation signals, such as wick rejections, bullish engulfing candles, or other reversal patterns before entering a trade.
Potential Target:
If the setup aligns, the trade could aim for the previous week’s high.
Keep in mind this move could take up to a week to materialize, but the potential gain from this trade could be significant.
Important Reminders:
Wait for Confirmation: Ensure a clear rejection or reaction at the key level before executing the trade.
Focus on Risk Management: Safeguarding your capital is crucial. Avoid impulsive or revenge trading.
Be Patient: Allow the trade to develop at its own pace; rushing can lead to mistakes.
Trading is Reactive, Not Predictive: Respond to price action as it unfolds rather than trying to forecast the future.
GBPUSD: Breaking the trend line!GBPUSD is currently trading around 1.2705 and has not changed much since the start of the trading session.
Early Tuesday morning, data released by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 4.3% in the three months to October, as expected. During the period, Employment Change increased by 173,000, while annual wage inflation, measured by Average Earnings excluding bonuses, increased to 5.2% from 4.9%.
Although the negative shift in risk sentiment has helped the US dollar gain ground in the European session, the GBP/USD pair remains flat but could fall as the bullish trendline and technical factors are broken.
FEDEX AT MY LEVEL DEC17 2024Last post about FEDEX when it was trading around 284 was to wait for 275s. Here we are at 275 &expect to hit all time high or at least 315 asap.
I don't trade news so I am not worried about earnings.
I am a price action trader.
Trade safely as per you RR & risk tolerance levels.