Comparing Bitcoin Halving With Price Movementwhat is Bitcoin Halving?
Bitcoin halving is an event that occurs every four years and reduces the block reward for verifying transactions on the Bitcoin network. This reduction in supply helps to control the overall inflation rate of the cryptocurrency and maintain its scarcity. The next halving is expected in 2024.
Chart Overview: The chart above shows, how the bitcoin price moved before and after halving, before the 500 days of halving, the bitcoin price began to rise slowly. After the halving, the price of Bitcoin goes up hard, this was repeated in the past 3 halvings. expecting the same price movement in the 4th bitcoin halving. till the 4th bitcoin halving (halving expected date 2nd may 2024) bitcoin price will rise slowly After the halving we expect a strong up move in bitcoin and potentially reach the 200k level.
Thanks
Hexa
Longterm
NMDC Target 1 Reached This NMDC strategy i'm already posted but its hidden due to some TradingView House Rules Violation Please Note this
" INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN BREAKOUT "
Entry Level - 130
Stop Loss - 115
Targets - 145,156,164
Breakout Happened on Sep 1st With good volume
FUNDAMENTALS OF NMDC
Market Cap - ₹ 38,307 Cr.
Current Price - ₹ 130
Stock P/E - 7.74
Dividend Yield - 5.06 %
ROCE - 30.2 %
ROE - 23.0 %
Face Value - ₹ 1.00
PROS
Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 27.9%
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 38.9%
CONS
The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.75% over past five years.
Earnings include an other income of Rs.2,153 Cr.
Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -8.86%
Working capital days have increased from 58.6 days to 102 days
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HAPPY TRADING 👍
Bajaj Finance - Management Quality & Economic MoatNSE:BAJFINANCE
Bajaj Finance Ltd, one of India's largest and most diversified Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs), has exhibited robust management quality and developed a significant economic moat in the financial services sector.
Management Quality:
Strategic Growth: Bajaj Finance Ltd has shown a consistent focus on strategic growth and resilience, particularly evident during the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the disruptions caused by the pandemic, the company maintained a nuanced strategy on acquisition and underwriting across its businesses. This adaptability reflects strong managerial foresight and capability.
Financial Performance: In FY2022, Bajaj Finance recorded a 29% growth in assets under management (AUM) and a 59% growth in profit after tax on a consolidated basis. The company managed to achieve this impressive growth despite disruptions in business and elevated credit costs.
Capital Adequacy and Risk Management: Bajaj Finance remains well-capitalized with a capital-to-risk weighted asset ratio (CRAR) of 27.22% as of March 31, 2022. This is among the best for large NBFCs in India. The company's robust risk management practices have resulted in a strong portfolio quality, with Gross NPA at 1.60% and Net NPA at 0.68%, among the lowest in the industry.
Operational Efficiency: The company's operational efficiency is highlighted by its diverse customer base, digital transformation, and omnichannel strategy. This approach has enhanced customer experience and contributed to business growth.
Economic Moat:
Market Position and Sectoral Importance: As an NBFC, Bajaj Finance has become an integral part of India's financial sector. Its assets, worth more than ₹54 lakh crore as of March 31, 2021, constitute about 25% of the balance sheet size of the banking sector.
Rapid Asset Growth: Over the last five years, NBFCs' assets have grown at a cumulative average growth rate of 17.9%, with Bajaj Finance being a key contributor.
Customer Expansion: Bajaj Finance's customer franchise grew significantly, adding 2.21 million new customers in Q4FY22 alone. This growth in customer base is a testament to the company's strong market penetration and customer retention strategies.
Diversification and Innovation: The company has diversified its product offerings and continued to innovate, leveraging its understanding of regional dynamics and customer preferences. This diversification has enabled it to tap into various market segments effectively.
Strengths and Weaknesses:
Strengths:
High growth rates anticipated by analysts in the coming years.
High profitability due to outperforming net margins.
Frequent upward revisions of sales forecasts.
Strong analyst recommendations and upwardly revised price targets.
Weaknesses:
High valuations in earnings multiples.
High valuation levels compared to the size of its balance sheet.
Limited generosity in shareholder compensation.
Conclusion
In summary, Bajaj Finance Ltd demonstrates strong management quality characterized by strategic growth initiatives, robust financial performance, and effective risk management. Its economic moat is underpinned by its significant market position, rapid asset growth, customer expansion, and product diversification. The company's strengths in maintaining high profitability and adapting to market changes are counterbalanced by concerns about its high valuation levels and shareholder compensation policies.
USDPLN is time to UP?!USDPLN reached the long-term growth base plotted since 2011 - there was the first important minimum in the white growth tunnel. Interestingly, each subsequent minimum every few years is practically exactly 30 polish "groszy" (polish cents) higher. Would this indicate that what we see here is the place to start? :) For a long-term purchase of the dollar on this instrument? We reached the bottom edge of the tunnel. However, this is a bit tenous, because if EURUSD still has growth potential, it is rather impossible for the USDPLN instrument to stand still (consolidation) and the zloty not to strengthen further. Movements on USDPLN are always inversely proportional to movements on EURUSD in 95%. If you buy EURUSD, sell USDPLN. CPI in Poland is still falling every month - 6,5% in November this year. I wonder how much level 3.75 is possible to achieve currently on sale? Several zones of demand (tf 1 Month) are also important here on the way down, they can brake this move ...and other TL's. Also check Fibo levels. On oscillators in long terms the instrument is practically sold out. The idea is interesting and the place is worth paying attention to now all the time. Because if the zloty starts to depreciate, it will automatically start to lose against the Euro, the Swiss Franc and probably also against the British Pound, as is usually the case. However, currently the GBP and EUR have little room to fall against the zloty.
TRB - Still Strong 💪Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
In reference to my previous analysis (attached on the chart), TRB has broken above 140.0 and traded higher.
Now, what's next?
↗️ TRB is currently overall bullish from a long-term perspective, trading inside the rising blue channel.
📈 According to my trading plan, as TRB approaches the lower blue trendline, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups on lower timeframes to catch the next bullish impulse.
🎯 As the next bullish impulse begins, our target will be the 300.0 round number marked in green.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
"All strategies Are Good If Managed Properly!"
~Richard Nasr
CADCHF Exhaustion Longer Term LongI've been tracking the selling of this pair for some time and I think it's time for a correction. Yesterday we saw a big sell off presumably to clear out some stops which lead to buyers coming in and an interesting daily candle close. That's just the story but if you're looking for technical evidence it's lining up nicely with the parallel dynamic support/resistance trendlines as a great place for long entries giving good risk reward for those willing to wait it out.
BTC - Top-Down Analysis 📹 2023 =>2024 Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #BTC.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETH - A Major High To Be Broken in 2024Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
ETH has been hovering within a range for a couple of weeks, now fluctuating between 2120.0 and 2320.0.
📈 For the bulls to remain in control and take over from a medium-term perspective again, we need an H4 candle close above the range, at 2320.0
In this case, a movement to the 2,500 round number and upper red trendline would be expected.
📉 Meanwhile , ETH would be stuck inside a range, but the bulls will remain in control as long as the 2,100 level holds.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
IRCTC BUY CALLHi all,
After long struggle India ka favourite stock IRCTC given an excellent breakout in weakly timeframe. It will be the good buy for long term, support level would be 760 and target 1100, and there is a chance to break that level and reach all time high, 100% monopoly in railway ticketing is a advantage for that stock, and recently govt announce 1lakh crore investment in railway sector to minimise the waiting list in trains give positive vibe on that stock. To conclude recent positive news and a breakdown in weakly time frame shows a buy call for long term.
Iam not a SEBI Registered advisor do your own research to trade. I publish this idea only for educational purpose.
BTC - Christmas Theme Analysis 🎄Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard, and I want to wish you all a Merry Christmas.
I hope you enjoy this Christmas Theme Idea.
After acquiring the 🎁Gifts at 16,000 and breaking above the 🎄Christmas Tree neckline resistance at 30,000, 🎅Santa Claus has been heading North towards the previous all-time-high ⭐️Star.
📈 BTC is approaching the 48,000 - 50,000 resistance / supply zone. For the bulls to remain in control and push towards the all-time high, a break above the 50,000 level is required.
📉 Meanwhile, there is still a possibility that BTC may reject the 48,000 resistance and undergo one more bearish correction, reaching the 30,000 - 32,000 support before the next upward impulse begins.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? Why and when?
📚 Always adhere to your trading plan, including entry points, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Merry Christmas, Everyone! 🎄
~Richard Nasr
$SOL | The big flip in market cap is not between BTC and ETHHi fam,
Hope you made good profit last week and already booked and secured those.
CRYPTOCAP:SOL the most anticipated pump finally happened. more than 60% pump in single W1 candle at the time of writing.
Took BNB place in market cap and 80$ resistance crushed like it was nothing. now it's time to face supply region at 130$~150$. in few hours weekly candle will close and volatility will kick in.
As i said in my social media accounts Solana most probably will be in top 3 next year and there is another possibility for its fast growing ecosystem to absorb more liquidity from Ethereum and take its place. This is a major step for CRYPTOCAP:SOL and whole crypto environment. Price moves in a channel and responded to its levels many times.
History says CRYPTOCAP:SOL impulse waves are 8 fib. level of the previous corrective wave.
This will give us the 4 digit number of 1500$ per CRYPTOCAP:SOL in 2024. This is optimistic yet possible.
So i will hold into my CRYPTOCAP:SOL bags and will add more after a successful S/R test at 80$. Reaching 200$ before correction is slightly possible regarding RSI condition so i will wait for that S/R test at 80$.
Anyways, this coin looks promising for next months and definitely has a place in my bag.
As always DYOR before trading or taking any financial decision.
Bitcoin Future Bullish plan🔥🔥Good morning everyone!
Highlights of the night:
1. BlackRock held another meeting with the SEC regarding Bitcoin ETFs.
2. Matrixport says that there is a 95% chance that the Spot Bitcoin ETF will be approved in January, and it will set a target price for Bitcoin.
3. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Poised to Enter $30 Trillion Market, Says Greyscale CEO
It would be safe to say that Bitcoin is repeating 2016. First, we will see the price increase to $48,200, and then it will decrease to $38,000 and $35,000. We are the market. In 2024 and 2025, we may see Bitcoin rise to $200,000 and $300,000
My Bitcoin Prediction After Holding For 8 YearsGood morning everyone!
Highlights of the night:
1. BlackRock held another meeting with the SEC regarding Bitcoin ETFs.
2. Matrixport says that there is a 95% chance that the Spot Bitcoin ETF will be approved in January, and it will set a target price for Bitcoin.
3. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Poised to Enter $30 Trillion Market, Says Greyscale CEO
It would be safe to say that Bitcoin is repeating 2016. First, we will see the price increase to $48,200, and then it will decrease to $38,000 and $35,000. We are the market. In 2024 and 2025, we may see Bitcoin rise to $200,000 and $300,000
ETH - Last Couple of Candles of 2023Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
Based on my recent ETH analysis, we anticipated a rejection from the blue circle zone , as it is the intersection of the lower bound of the blue channel and the 2,150 support.
Now, what's next?
📈 For the bulls to remain in control and take over from a medium-term perspective again, we need an H4 candle close above the last major high marked in orange at 2,270.
In this case, a movement to the 2,500 round number and upper red trendline would be expected.
📉 Meanwhile , ETH would be stuck inside a range, but the bulls will remain in control as long as the 2,100 level holds.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
EURAUD - Wait For It ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 EURAUD has been overall bearish , trading inside the falling channel in red and it is currently approaching the lower red trendline.
Moreover, the zone 1.6 is a robust support level.
🎯 Therefore , the highlighted red circle represents a significant area to consider for potential buy setups, as it marks the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As EURAUD approaches the red circle zone, I will be actively searching for bullish reversal setups to capture the next bullish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC - For Now, We Wait ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
Based on my recent BTC analysis (attached on the chart), we anticipated a rejection from the blue circle zone, as it is the intersection of the lower bound of the channel and the 40,000 round number.
Now, what's next?
📈 For the bulls to remain in control and take over from a medium-term perspective again, we need an H4 candle close above the last major high marked in orange at 43,550.
In this case, a movement to the 48,000 resistance would be expected.
📉 Meanwhile , BTC would be stuck inside a range, but the bulls will remain in control as long as the 40,000 level holds.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
TRB - Catching The Next Impulse 📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
As per my last analysis, we know that the correction phase started on TRB as the red channel has broken downward.
📈 According to my trading plan , as TRB approaches the 100.0 support zone and the round number, I will be looking for buy setups.
🏹 For the bulls to take over and start the next impulse movement, we need a break above the last major high in blue.
🎯 In this case, a movement to the 140.0 supply zone would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
ETH - Top-Down Analysis 📹 2024 RoadmapHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #ETH.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Overbought - Pull back for rocket launch to $70 in the LTNASDAQ:AFRM should def be on your watch list going into 2024. To keep my analysis simple, we can see a major inverted head and shoulder forming with an approach to the neckline after completing the head. We can see a high probability of a rejection at this neckline due to the RSI showing overbought on the daily/weekly. I wouldnt short the neckline due to the high momentum the overall markets have experienced, we can still run higher in this overbought scenario.
2 possible scenario ill look at.
Entry long on the bottom of the right shoulder with candlestick confirmation/volume with a target of the neckline.
Second, Entry long break of the neckline with volume (Can wait for retest for entry) and stop loss at the bottom of right shoulder.. target $70 with TP at $50 and $60.
Target could be reached in 1-3 months or sooner.
Not financial advise, pure speculation. Use proper risk management.
RLC ANALYSIS🔮 #RLC Analysis - - - Breakout Trading 🚀🚀
💰💰 #RLC gave a breakout of symmetrical triangle pattern and trying to retest the levels. If #RLC closes above $1.685 then we will get a confirmation of a bullish trend. 🚀🚀
💸Current Price -- $1.595
📈Target Price -- $2.708
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#RLC #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
TRB - Stronger Than Ever 💪Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
↗️ After breaking above the 100.0 round number and support zone, TRB has been bullish trading inside the rising channel in red.
📈 According to my trading plan, as TRB approaches the lower red trendline, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups on lower timeframes to catch the next bullish impulse.
🎯 As the next bullish impulse begins, we will be targeting the 140.0 supply zone marked in gray.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr