SP500 James Cameron in a Trench Pattern Developing I mean, clear as day. I won't say there is potential to see a 40% crash in less than 3 months of time, but there is potential to see a long term target of 3300 and then going even lower 2500.
There is a crossing of two MAJOR trends about to occur. Both of these trends project the top being somewhere in that 4800 range. The scary part is the way trends stack up near FEB/March. IF price action followed along some of these trends, and we did indeed see a top around 4800, with a break in our strongest trend support line, then we could potentially see a rare, but possible movement where exit points along both of these trends line up in a way where each trend will signal a massive sell around the same point. Because these trends are so extremely strong. We could see a big drop all the way down to 3300, 2500, and then potentially all the way down to 1490 before we start to really climb again.
So for better news, in the short term, there is a likely scenario where a short term down trend takes us right to the massive support trend, and that also lines up with support lines. This price is like 4210. This is the movement that will likely bring us up to 4800, which is where things start to get scary if price can't find some stability over 5000.
Longterm
Will silver shine again? As in gold, possibility for a new bull market in SLV is in the cards for coming 2024.
The price structure* on weekly time-frame suggests there is a high chance that SLV, has found its bottom last year in Sep'22 and with higher low this year in Oct'23.
As long as Oct low holds, I would expect the price to move toward next resistance zones: first 22 and later important 24-25 zone. Afterwards, if price builds a handle and breaks-out above 24 that would confirm the move to 27-30-32 resistance area.
Overall, traditional fear-type assets look mid to long-term bullish to my eyes in coming months and years.
Trading thesis : I need the price to confidently move above 50D MA, and create at least short base with several days/a week of consolidation around previous basing attempts (most recent being around 21) with later break-out above this pivot to consider longs.
* Important caveat to EW: I use it solely to have a subjective idea about sentiment and overall structural context to support, but not guide, my investing decisions. Price and volume is the key, and only price pays, not the fibonacci resistance or any wave count.
New bull market in Gold As per my Elliot Wave* analysis, Octobers low may mark the the mid-term bottom for gold and price has started to work on building the right hand side of the cup.
As long as 168 holds, I would expect the price to move towards next important resistance area 194-200 area. Ideally build a hand of the cup after reaching that level and break-out above 194 towards important next targets: 212-224-230.
Also notice the "Mona Lisa" of cup-and-handle pattern in GLD on a monthly time-scale
The symmetry and volume dynamics, that subsides in the handle area, is almost picture perfect.
Trading thesis : I will be looking for price to digest its rally from Oct lows, preferably around 177-180 area, creating a cheat pivot and relatively low risk entry point. This entry, if materializes, may create a good long-term opportunity to build position for the coming 2024 and potentially beyond.
* Important caveat to EW: I use it solely to have a subjective idea about sentiment and overall structural context to support, but not guide, my investing decisions. Price and volume is the key, and only price pays, not the fibonacci resistance or any wave count.
BTC - Levels To Watch 👀Greetings, TradingView Family! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
After rejecting the 28,000 level , BTC has been bearish this week.
📈 For the bulls to remain in control, we need a break above 28,500.
Meanwhile, BTC could still trade lower to test the 25,000 support zone.
📉 If the bears manage to break below 25,000 , we can expect further long-term bearish movement towards the 20,000 demand zone.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and why?
📚 Always remember to follow your trading plan when it comes to entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Remember, all strategies are good if managed properly!
~Rich
AAL - Preparing for Takeoff? ✈️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
on Weekly: Left Chart
AAL has been trading inside a big range between 10.0 and 20.0 round number.
This week, AAL is approaching the lower bound of the range around 10.0 - 12.0 so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: Right Chart
For the bulls to take over medium-term, we need a break above the last major high highlighted in gray.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, AAL would be bearish and can still trade lower inside the support zone.
For now, we wait ⏱
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETH - 1500.0 Ahead ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
ETH has been overall bearish trading inside the red falling broadening wedge pattern. However, it is currently approaching the lower bound / red trendline.
Moreover, the 1500.0 is a strong support, demand and round number.
🏹 So the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the 1500.0 and lower red trendline.
As per my trading style:
As ETH approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC - Wait For The Bulls ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
This week, BTC rejected the 28,000 resistance and is currently trading lower, so the bears are in control from a short-term perspective.
However, the overall bias is still bullish as BTC is still trading inside the rising channel in orange.
Moreover, the zone 27,000 is a demand zone.
🏹 So the highlighted orange circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue demand zone and lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As BTC approaches the lower orange circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
⭐️ The gold rush begins... now!
Gold is very strongly correlated with 10-year US bonds TVC:US10Y , such a high correlation there began immediately after the 2008 crisis (coincidence?). This next year, 10-year yields are unlikely to go above 5.5%, which means the potential for gold to fall is very limited.
Now the yield on 10-year bonds is 4.74% and only +~0.7% is left to reach the 5.5% mark.
In this case, gold has the potential to fall by another -7.5-10% from the current ones, that is, in theory, the price of gold will find its mid- and long-term bottom at $1,700-1,750.
🔥 What does the technical analysis say?
On the weekly timeframe, gold entered the oversold zone according to indicators. Historically, from such levels, this asset bounced upward.
On the daily timeframe the situation is even more interesting.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD Gold has gone into a very oversold zone, and the last time the indicator had such values was 7 years ago!
Also, the price is at the lower border of the medium-term downward channel, the support level of 1831 points and the long-term moving average MA200w.
The technique suggests at least a technical rebound on which you can make money.
In this case, the minimum growth target will be in the area of 1887-1900 points.
📊 Result:
The most liquid asset in the world is in a very strongly oversold zone, and if we are not at the bottom now, then the bottom is clearly very close, so at current prices you can buy both speculatively and long-term.
But you need to be prepared to buy additional assets in the area of 1700-1750 points (potential drawdown of only -3.3%).
💡 Idea: long gold with leverage up to 20x.
In this case, the stop should be placed at 1790 (-1.65%) points, and the take profit in the area of 1887-1900 (+4.11%) points.
⚖️ Risk/profit: ~1k4.
Déjà Vu of 2021's Bearish Shift? 📉📉📉The Eerie Resemblance:
If you've been in the crypto game for a while, you might be experiencing déjà vu. In 2021, Bitcoin was riding high before it underwent a profound transformation from a bullish to a bearish trend. What followed was a period of intense volatility and uncertainty. 🐻
The Bearish Divergence:
One of the key signals of concern is the emergence of a notable bearish divergence. This phenomenon occurs when an asset's price makes higher highs while an oscillator, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), forms lower highs. It suggests weakening buying momentum and is often a precursor to a trend reversal. 📊
What Lies Ahead:
While history doesn't always repeat itself, it can offer valuable lessons. The current market sentiment, combined with the bearish divergence, is a reminder of the importance of caution in crypto investing. 🚦
Trading Strategy:
Risk Management: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders and defining clear risk tolerance levels.
Diversification: Consider diversifying your portfolio to spread risk across different assets.
Stay Informed: Keep a close watch on market news and developments that could influence Bitcoin's price.
Conclusion:
The crypto market is inherently volatile, and it can shift rapidly. While the current situation may appear similar to 2021, it's essential to approach it with an open mind and a well-thought-out strategy.
Remember, trading and investing in cryptocurrencies carry risks, but they also offer opportunities. Stay vigilant, stay informed, and adapt to the evolving market conditions. 🌟
The future remains uncertain, but it's our ability to navigate the unknown that sets us apart as crypto enthusiasts.
❗️Get my 3 crypto trading indicators for FREE❗️ Link below🔑
SasanSeifi 💁♂️Brent 👉1D🔼 90 / 94 Hey there! 😊
On the daily chart, As you can see, the trend turned quite bullish after it broke past that pesky resistance at 78 and overcame the dynamic resistance too. Right now, it's hanging out around 86. Fingers crossed, if it stays above the 82 mark, we could see it making its way up to the 90.70 resistance level and even touching the long-term supply zone. If it keeps climbing, we'll want to keep an eye on how it interacts with those resistance spots. Let's see where it goes from here! 🚀
Just keep these scenarios in mind as you analyze the market. Remember, things can always change unexpectedly, so stay flexible in your trading approach.❗
Wishing you loads of success in your trading adventures, my friend!✌
❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
And if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌
USDJPY - Getting Over-Bought ❗️ AgainHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
USDJPY has been overall bullish trading inside the rising broadening wedge pattern in red, however it is currently approaching around the upper trendline.
Moreover, the zone 150.0 is a resistance zone and strong round number.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper red trendline.
As per my trading style:
As USDJPY approaches the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETH - Longing For One More Impulse ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
After rejecting the 1500.0 support zone, ETH has been overall bullish trading inside the rising wedge in blue, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the zone 1600.0 is a support zone.
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the red support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As ETH approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDUSD - Wait For The Bulls ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
NZDUSD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling broadening wedge pattern in orange, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the zone 0.57-0.58 is a strong support zone.
🏹 So the highlighted orange circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support zone and lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As NZDUSD approaches the lower orange circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC - Looking For Trend-Following Buy Setups↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Bitcoin has been overall bullish trading inside the rising channel in orange, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the zone 27,000 is a demand zone.
🏹 So the highlighted orange circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue demand zone and lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As BTC approaches the lower orange circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
VEDANTA LTD - BEST TIME TO INVEST @225Entry Level : 225
SL : 207
Targets : 245,260,285,300+
52wk High : 340.75
52wk Low : 207.85
Mkt Cap : 826.61 B
Vedanta share: Vedanta demerger was announced on Friday after the market close. In this unlocking of business, Vedanta Limited announced to demerge and diversify its business into six separate entities — Vedanta Aluminium, Vedanta Oil & Gas, Vedanta Power, Vedanta Steel and Ferrous Materials, Vedanta Base Metals and Vedanta Ltd. Vedanta demerger is a vertical saplit in which every Vedanta shareholder will be given one share of the new entities for every one share they hold.
Gold - We Want our Safe Haven Back ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
XAUUSD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in blue, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the zone 1800.0 is a strong support, demand and round number.
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As XAUUSD approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EUR/USD -Macro Resistance (update) -Anticipating upcoming week to have some bullishness in price action,
looking for Technical Bounce at Trendline Support to long,
while remaining opened in Short Positioning regarding Macro and Higher Time Frames.
Every bounce may be short-lived,
so bear in mind this scenario when looking for your
next Short Opportunity on EUR/USD.
Maybe you'll enjoy having a trade open for months periods of times
www.tradingview.com
ETH - Bulls Are Strong 💪Greetings, TradingView Family! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Based on my last ETH analysis, we know that the bulls took over by breaking above the 1610.0 resistance.
📈 Now we are expecting a movement till the 1700.0 resistance.
📉 The bulls will remain in control, unless the last low 1650.0 is broken downward.
📚 Always remember to follow your trading plan when it comes to entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Remember, all strategies are good if managed properly!
~Rich