(USD/CHF) - Is SNB Rate Cut Bullish or Bearish?🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news:
👉Switzerland’s inflation outlook remains highly uncertain, with downside risks being the primary concern. Inflation in Switzerland has evolved in line with expectations and continues to be driven mainly by domestic services.
👉The situation will be closely monitored, and policy adjustments will be made if necessary. Assessing the impact of current tariffs and trade policies remains challenging.
👉Europe’s financial stimulus package is expected to benefit the Swiss economy. With this measure, monetary conditions are now appropriate, and there are no comments on the value of the Swiss franc.
👉Economic uncertainty remains high, both in positive and negative directions. This rate cut is designed to proactively address deflationary pressures.
Personal opinion:
👉Based on the interest rate policies of both central banks, in the short term, CHF is weaker than USD in many aspects, so USD/CHF may increase during this period.
👉Technically, RSI (1H) is entering the extreme overbought zone (near 80), so there will be a slight decline to adjust for the next increase. Consider strong support zones to get the best price
👉Analyze based on resistance - support levels combined with EMA and RSI to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CHF 0.8810- 0.8800
❌SL: 0.8775 | ✅TP: 0.8850 – 0.8890 – 0.8930
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Longusdchf
USD/CHF Trend This Week - UptrendUSD/CHF news:
🔆The USD/CHF pair continued its upward momentum, reaching 0.9000 in early European trading on Thursday. However, it is now showing signs of a potential pullback as the 1-hour RSI approached the overbought threshold of 80.
🔆On Thursday, data revealed that the second estimate for the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Q4 2024 remained unchanged from the initial forecast, reflecting an annualized growth of 2.3%. Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose by 22,000 to 242,000 for the week ending February 22, marking the highest level in three months.
🔆Given this backdrop, the US Dollar is likely to maintain its strength across the board, keeping downward pressure on USD-denominated commodities. Additionally, Switzerland’s latest Retail Sales y/y data came in at 1.3%, falling short of the expected 1.6%, which could signal bearish sentiment for the Swiss Franc.
Personal opinion:
🔆The USD/CHF pair is still in an uptrend, however, the RSI (1H) of USD/CHF and DXU both signaled divergence after entering the overbought zone. So in the short term, there will be a slight pullback and then an increase for this pair.
Analysis:
🔆Based on the resistance - support levels and important Fibonacci levels combined with SMA200 to come up with a reasonable strategy.
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CHF 0.8980 – 0.8990
❌SL: 0.8950 | ✅TP: 0.9025 – 0.9050 – 0.9090
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
UsdChf If Breakout = Rally To The UpsideThere is potential long for usdchf if the price is able to break above the upper trend chanel. The requirement would be bullish engulfing candle to ensure the moment is strong to the upside rally. I also mention the potential taking profit area. There are 3 areas.
Manage ur trade mate. Trade well and wisely.
USDCHF approaching resistance, potential for downsidePrice is facing bearish pressure and is likely to resist off horizontal overlap resistance which is in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension. Price will then take support at 0.91631 which coincides with 88.7% Fibonacci retracement, 127.2 Fibonacci extensions as well as horizontal swing low support. Alternatively, the price could break the overlap resistance rise to graphical swing high resistance at 0.92715.
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USDCHF Buy IdeaHello Traders,
Price is falling correctively and forming reversal channel. We also have divergence on macd. While the price remains in the reversal channel there is short term sell opportunities. Be aware that CHF is getting strong due the risk of a war, so be careful with this pair. I will manage to buy as much low as possible.
Good luck!
Cheers,
Jonas